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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Herczeg

Southampton 5–1 Millwall

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.60
Draw 3.60 fair 4.01
Away 3.60 fair 2.73
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Millwall
21 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 5
3.21 Expected goals (xG) 1.10
8 Corners 11
6 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (28 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:3
Millwall before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:0
Southampton all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.50
1.50 Goals conceded 0.00
3.50 Total goals 2.50
2.01 xG created 3.05
0.87 xG allowed 0.77
17.50 Shots 21.50
4.00 Shots on target 5.00
15.50 Shots faced 8.00
6.00 Corners 7.00
3.00 Corners against 4.50
9.50 Fouls 13.00
3.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Millwall all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 3:1
Millwall before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:0
Southampton at home away Millwall

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.00
4.00 Total goals 2.00
2.32 xG created 3.40
0.93 xG allowed 0.52
18.00 Shots 24.00
5.00 Shots on target 3.00
15.00 Shots faced 8.00
4.00 Corners 6.00
2.00 Corners against 6.00
10.00 Fouls 12.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
16.08.26 Watford – Southampton 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Preston – Southampton 1–3 (0–1) 3.104.002.01 1.57 2.38
28.04.26 Southampton – Ipswich 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Swansea – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 3.704.331.76 1.80 2.00
14.04.26 Southampton – Blackburn 3–0 (2–0) 1.514.105.75 1.88 1.98
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
07.04.26 Wrexham – Southampton 1–5 (1–2) 2.573.252.57 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Southampton – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 1.514.006.00 1.73 2.10

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Millwall – Norwich 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Bristol City – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.402.65 1.98 1.88
02.05.26 Millwall – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.257.50 1.62 2.30
24.04.26 Leicester – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 4.104.001.71 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Stoke – Millwall 1–3 (0–1) 3.703.701.86 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 1.623.754.75 1.85 2.00
10.04.26 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
06.04.26 Millwall – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.25 1.88 1.98
03.04.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Ipswich – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.804.75 1.88 1.98

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
28.04.26 Southampton – Ipswich 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
14.04.26 Southampton – Blackburn 3–0 (2–0) 1.514.105.75 1.88 1.98
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Southampton – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 1.514.006.00 1.73 2.10
18.03.26 Southampton – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 1.73 2.10
24.02.26 Southampton – QPR 5–0 (2–0) 1.613.704.33 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Southampton – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.205.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Bristol City – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.402.65 1.98 1.88
24.04.26 Leicester – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 4.104.001.71 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Stoke – Millwall 1–3 (0–1) 3.703.701.86 1.67 2.20
10.04.26 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
03.04.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Ipswich – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.804.75 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Hull – Millwall 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.302.25 2.00 1.80
28.02.26 Preston – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.502.20 2.10 1.73
14.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 9.004.331.35 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Wrexham – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsMillwall wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26E1 Southampton – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 1.80 2.00
29.11.25E1 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
24.02.24E1 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
04.11.23E1 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wolves 3 2 1 0 9 4 +5 7
2 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Millwall 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
4 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
5 Charlton 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
6 West Brom 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
7 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
8 QPR 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
9 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
10 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
11 Bolton 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
12 Southampton 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
13 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
14 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
16 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
17 West Ham 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Burnley 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
19 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
20 Derby 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
21 Lincoln 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
22 Preston 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
23 Norwich 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
24 Stoke 3 0 0 3 3 9 -6 0
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
2 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
3 Millwall 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Southampton 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
5 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
6 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Bolton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Charlton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Watford 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
10 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
11 Burnley 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
12 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 QPR 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
14 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
15 Swansea 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
16 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
17 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
18 Norwich 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Stoke 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 West Ham 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
22 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
23 Preston 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
3 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
4 QPR 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
5 Wolves 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
6 Millwall 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
7 Charlton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
9 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
10 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
11 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
12 West Ham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
13 Watford 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Bolton 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
16 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
17 Derby 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
18 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Preston 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Southampton 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Burnley 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
23 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Stoke 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0

Southampton   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Wolves 3 0 3 3.0 1.3 2 1 0 9 4 7
2 4 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
3 6 West Brom 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
4 20 Derby 3 0 3 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
5 24 Stoke 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 0 3 3 9 0
6 2 Swansea 3 1 2 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
7 5 Charlton 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
8 7 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
9 9 Blackburn 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
10 12 Southampton 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
11 13 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
12 17 West Ham 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
13 18 Burnley 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
14 21 Lincoln 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
15 22 Preston 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
16 23 Norwich 2 0 2 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
17 3 Millwall 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
18 8 QPR 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
19 10 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
20 11 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
21 14 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
22 16 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 19 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
24 15 Sheffield United 2 2 0 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 0 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
2 4 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
3 20 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
4 3 Millwall 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
5 5 Charlton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
6 6 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
7 7 Birmingham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 9 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 10 Watford 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
10 11 Bolton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
11 12 Southampton 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
12 13 Portsmouth 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
13 16 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
14 17 West Ham 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
15 18 Burnley 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
16 21 Lincoln 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
17 22 Preston 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
18 23 Norwich 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
19 24 Stoke 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
20 2 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
21 8 QPR 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
22 14 Cardiff 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 15 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 19 Bristol City 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Swansea 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 6 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
3 24 Stoke 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
4 1 Wolves 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
5 4 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
6 5 Charlton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
7 7 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
8 8 QPR 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
9 9 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
10 12 Southampton 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
11 13 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
12 14 Cardiff 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
13 17 West Ham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
14 18 Burnley 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
15 19 Bristol City 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
16 20 Derby 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
17 21 Lincoln 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
18 22 Preston 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
19 23 Norwich 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
20 3 Millwall 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
21 10 Watford 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
22 11 Bolton 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
23 15 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 16 Wrexham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40