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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Bramall

Southampton 1–2 Millwall

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.36 fair 1.74
Draw 5.00 fair 4.55
Away ✓ 8.00 fair 4.86
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Millwall
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
13 Corners 1
9 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (398 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
2.03points / match
1.94scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 64:40
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.94scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 31:46
Southampton all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 0.94
1.21 Goals conceded 1.39
3.15 Total goals 2.33
15.55 Shots 11.12
5.79 Shots on target 3.76
11.15 Shots faced 12.48
7.61 Corners 4.36
4.30 Corners against 5.27
10.15 Fouls 13.18
2.36 Yellow cards 2.30
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

61% Wins 24%
21% Draws 27%
18% Losses 48%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
85% Over 1.5 goals 70%
61% Over 2.5 goals 42%
36% Over 3.5 goals 24%
15% Over 4.5 goals 3%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 39%
30% Clean sheets 30%
6% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 27%
33% Draws 42%
18% Losses 30%
76% Over 0.5 goals 73%
39% Over 1.5 goals 30%
15% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Millwall all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
2.19points / match
2.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 40:20
Millwall before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.06scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:19
Southampton at home away Millwall

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.06
1.25 Goals conceded 1.19
3.75 Total goals 2.25
16.19 Shots 8.25
6.44 Shots on target 2.94
10.56 Shots faced 14.38
7.69 Corners 3.25
3.69 Corners against 6.06
9.69 Fouls 13.19
2.63 Yellow cards 2.44
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

69% Wins 25%
13% Draws 31%
19% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 63%
75% Over 2.5 goals 38%
50% Over 3.5 goals 31%
25% Over 4.5 goals 6%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 44%
31% Clean sheets 38%
6% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
19% Draws 50%
31% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 63%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
16.02.24 West Brom – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.30 1.75 2.05
13.02.24 Bristol City – Southampton 3–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.80 1.93 1.93
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Swansea – Southampton 1–3 (1–3) 5.004.001.67 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.25 1.62
14.02.24 Millwall – Ipswich 0–4 (0–3) 3.503.502.05 2.05 1.75
11.02.24 Coventry – Millwall 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.804.75 2.03 1.83
03.02.24 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.70
27.01.24 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.40 1.53
20.01.24 QPR – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.40 1.53
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
01.01.24 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.65
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.75 2.35 1.57

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Coventry – Millwall 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.804.75 2.03 1.83
03.02.24 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.70
20.01.24 QPR – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.40 1.53
01.01.24 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 2.10 1.70
13.12.23 Leicester – Millwall 3–2 (0–1) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.08
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
29.11.23 Ipswich – Millwall 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
28.10.23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsMillwall wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23E1 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 34 25 3 6 70 29 +41 78
2 Leeds 34 22 6 6 64 27 +37 72
3 Ipswich 33 20 9 4 65 44 +21 69
4 Southampton 33 20 7 6 64 40 +24 67
5 West Brom 34 16 8 10 49 32 +17 56
6 Hull 34 16 7 11 50 43 +7 55
7 Preston 34 15 7 12 47 52 -5 52
8 Coventry 34 13 12 9 51 40 +11 51
9 Norwich 33 15 6 12 58 50 +8 51
10 Sunderland 33 14 5 14 45 37 +8 47
11 Watford 33 11 11 11 49 45 +4 44
12 Bristol City 33 12 8 13 38 37 +1 44
13 Middlesbrough 32 13 5 14 47 47 0 44
14 Cardiff 33 12 5 16 37 47 -10 41
15 Birmingham 32 10 8 14 37 48 -11 38
16 Blackburn 33 11 5 17 47 59 -12 38
17 Plymouth 33 9 10 14 51 57 -6 37
18 Swansea 33 9 9 15 41 54 -13 36
19 Stoke 33 9 8 16 30 46 -16 35
20 Huddersfield 33 7 13 13 38 54 -16 34
21 Millwall 33 8 9 16 31 46 -15 33
22 QPR 33 8 8 17 30 44 -14 32
23 Sheffield Weds 33 8 5 20 26 52 -26 29
24 Rotherham 33 3 10 20 29 64 -35 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 17 13 4 0 38 12 +26 43
2 Leicester 17 13 1 3 34 11 +23 40
3 Ipswich 16 11 4 1 41 26 +15 37
4 West Brom 17 11 3 3 27 13 +14 36
5 Southampton 16 11 2 3 40 20 +20 35
6 Norwich 17 11 2 4 31 18 +13 35
7 Sunderland 16 10 0 6 28 19 +9 30
8 Preston 17 9 3 5 27 29 -2 30
9 Coventry 17 7 8 2 24 17 +7 29
10 Plymouth 17 8 4 5 38 30 +8 28
11 Birmingham 16 7 6 3 23 18 +5 27
12 Hull 17 7 5 5 24 17 +7 26
13 Bristol City 17 7 3 7 21 19 +2 24
14 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 17 18 -1 21
15 Huddersfield 17 5 6 6 21 23 -2 21
16 Cardiff 16 6 3 7 18 20 -2 21
17 Watford 16 5 5 6 26 21 +5 20
18 Blackburn 16 6 2 8 23 27 -4 20
19 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
20 Stoke 17 5 4 8 12 21 -9 19
21 Swansea 17 4 5 8 18 25 -7 17
22 Millwall 17 4 4 9 14 27 -13 16
23 Rotherham 17 3 6 8 17 23 -6 15
24 QPR 16 3 5 8 17 24 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 17 12 2 3 36 18 +18 38
2 Ipswich 17 9 5 3 24 18 +6 32
3 Southampton 17 9 5 3 24 20 +4 32
4 Leeds 17 9 2 6 26 15 +11 29
5 Hull 17 9 2 6 26 26 0 29
6 Watford 17 6 6 5 23 24 -1 24
7 Middlesbrough 16 7 2 7 30 29 +1 23
8 Coventry 17 6 4 7 27 23 +4 22
9 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22
10 West Brom 17 5 5 7 22 19 +3 20
11 Bristol City 16 5 5 6 17 18 -1 20
12 Cardiff 17 6 2 9 19 27 -8 20
13 Swansea 16 5 4 7 23 29 -6 19
14 QPR 17 5 3 9 13 20 -7 18
15 Blackburn 17 5 3 9 24 32 -8 18
16 Sunderland 17 4 5 8 17 18 -1 17
17 Millwall 16 4 5 7 17 19 -2 17
18 Norwich 16 4 4 8 27 32 -5 16
19 Stoke 16 4 4 8 18 25 -7 16
20 Huddersfield 16 2 7 7 17 31 -14 13
21 Birmingham 16 3 2 11 14 30 -16 11
22 Sheffield Weds 17 3 1 13 9 32 -23 10
23 Plymouth 16 1 6 9 13 27 -14 9
24 Rotherham 16 0 4 12 12 41 -29 4

Southampton   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Blackburn 33 8 25 1.4 1.8 11 5 17 47 59 38
2 17 Plymouth 33 10 23 1.5 1.7 9 10 14 51 57 37
3 3 Ipswich 33 12 21 2.0 1.3 20 9 4 65 44 69
4 7 Preston 34 13 21 1.4 1.5 15 7 12 47 52 52
5 9 Norwich 33 12 21 1.8 1.5 15 6 12 58 50 51
6 18 Swansea 33 12 21 1.2 1.6 9 9 15 41 54 36
7 1 Leicester 34 14 20 2.1 0.9 25 3 6 70 29 78
8 4 Southampton 33 13 20 1.9 1.2 20 7 6 64 40 67
9 6 Hull 34 14 20 1.5 1.3 16 7 11 50 43 55
10 2 Leeds 34 15 19 1.9 0.8 22 6 6 64 27 72
11 13 Middlesbrough 32 13 19 1.5 1.5 13 5 14 47 47 44
12 8 Coventry 34 16 18 1.5 1.2 13 12 9 51 40 51
13 10 Sunderland 33 15 18 1.4 1.1 14 5 14 45 37 47
14 11 Watford 33 16 17 1.5 1.4 11 11 11 49 45 44
15 24 Rotherham 33 16 17 0.9 1.9 3 10 20 29 64 19
16 14 Cardiff 33 17 16 1.1 1.4 12 5 16 37 47 41
17 15 Birmingham 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 10 8 14 37 48 38
18 20 Huddersfield 33 17 16 1.2 1.6 7 13 13 38 54 34
19 23 Sheffield Weds 33 17 16 0.8 1.6 8 5 20 26 52 29
20 5 West Brom 34 20 14 1.4 0.9 16 8 10 49 32 56
21 21 Millwall 33 19 14 0.9 1.4 8 9 16 31 46 33
22 22 QPR 33 19 14 0.9 1.3 8 8 17 30 44 32
23 12 Bristol City 33 20 13 1.2 1.1 12 8 13 38 37 44
24 19 Stoke 33 20 13 0.9 1.4 9 8 16 30 46 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Plymouth 17 3 14 2.2 1.8 8 4 5 38 30 28
2 3 Ipswich 16 3 13 2.6 1.6 11 4 1 41 26 37
3 7 Preston 17 4 13 1.6 1.7 9 3 5 27 29 30
4 2 Leeds 17 5 12 2.2 0.7 13 4 0 38 12 43
5 4 Southampton 16 4 12 2.5 1.2 11 2 3 40 20 35
6 16 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.4 1.7 6 2 8 23 27 20
7 10 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 10 0 6 28 19 30
8 18 Swansea 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 8 18 25 17
9 1 Leicester 17 8 9 2.0 0.6 13 1 3 34 11 40
10 9 Norwich 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 11 2 4 31 18 35
11 11 Watford 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 5 5 6 26 21 20
12 15 Birmingham 16 7 9 1.4 1.1 7 6 3 23 18 27
13 20 Huddersfield 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 5 6 6 21 23 21
14 21 Millwall 17 9 8 0.8 1.6 4 4 9 14 27 16
15 22 QPR 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 5 8 17 24 14
16 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
17 6 Hull 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 5 5 24 17 26
18 8 Coventry 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 8 2 24 17 29
19 24 Rotherham 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 3 6 8 17 23 15
20 5 West Brom 17 11 6 1.6 0.8 11 3 3 27 13 36
21 12 Bristol City 17 11 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 7 21 19 24
22 14 Cardiff 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 6 3 7 18 20 21
23 19 Stoke 17 11 6 0.7 1.2 5 4 8 12 21 19
24 13 Middlesbrough 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 7 17 18 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Middlesbrough 16 2 14 1.9 1.8 7 2 7 30 29 23
2 6 Hull 17 4 13 1.5 1.5 9 2 6 26 26 29
3 16 Blackburn 17 4 13 1.4 1.9 5 3 9 24 32 18
4 9 Norwich 16 4 12 1.7 2.0 4 4 8 27 32 16
5 1 Leicester 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 12 2 3 36 18 38
6 8 Coventry 17 6 11 1.6 1.4 6 4 7 27 23 22
7 18 Swansea 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 7 23 29 19
8 14 Cardiff 17 7 10 1.1 1.6 6 2 9 19 27 20
9 24 Rotherham 16 6 10 0.8 2.6 0 4 12 12 41 4
10 17 Plymouth 16 7 9 0.8 1.7 1 6 9 13 27 9
11 3 Ipswich 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 3 24 18 32
12 4 Southampton 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 9 5 3 24 20 32
13 5 West Brom 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 5 5 7 22 19 20
14 7 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22
15 11 Watford 17 9 8 1.4 1.4 6 6 5 23 24 24
16 23 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 0.5 1.9 3 1 13 9 32 10
17 2 Leeds 17 10 7 1.5 0.9 9 2 6 26 15 29
18 10 Sunderland 17 10 7 1.0 1.1 4 5 8 17 18 17
19 12 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 5 6 17 18 20
20 15 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 11 14 30 11
21 19 Stoke 16 9 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 18 25 16
22 20 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 17 31 13
23 21 Millwall 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 7 17 19 17
24 22 QPR 17 11 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 9 13 20 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51