Southampton 2–1 Derby – England Championship, 11 Apr 2026

Match facts

Southampton Derby

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 2

8 Fouls 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (494 league matches this season so far).

Result Southampton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.75

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.25

Home / Draw / Away

46% 25% 30%

SouthamptonDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches

1.65points / match

1.70scored / match

1.23conceded / match

18 12 10

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 68:49

Derby before this match, all matches

1.54points / match

1.46scored / match

1.24conceded / match

18 9 14

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 60:51

Southampton all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.46

1.23 Goals conceded 1.24

2.93 Total goals 2.71

14.35 Shots 10.76

5.35 Shots on target 3.46

12.55 Shots faced 12.39

5.58 Corners 4.51

4.70 Corners against 5.41

10.78 Fouls 12.24

1.93 Yellow cards 2.27

0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

45% Wins 44%

30% Draws 22%

25% Losses 34%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

85% Over 1.5 goals 76%

57% Over 2.5 goals 49%

33% Over 3.5 goals 24%

15% Over 4.5 goals 12%

8% Over 5.5 goals 5%

70% Both teams scored 63%

25% Clean sheets 27%

13% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 37%

45% Draws 37%

20% Losses 27%

65% Over 0.5 goals 78%

38% Over 1.5 goals 27%

15% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches

1

W

4

3

W

1

D

5

W

3

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

W

2

W

5

1

W

Derby all matches

2

W

2

L

2

4

L

3

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

2

W

Southampton before this match, at home

1.89points / match

1.53scored / match

0.74conceded / match

10 6 3

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:14

Derby before this match, away

1.50points / match

1.55scored / match

1.30conceded / match

9 3 8

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 31:26

Southampton at home away Derby

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.55

0.74 Goals conceded 1.30

2.26 Total goals 2.85

15.74 Shots 9.95

5.42 Shots on target 3.20

10.79 Shots faced 13.95

6.32 Corners 3.55

4.47 Corners against 6.40

9.47 Fouls 12.80

1.63 Yellow cards 2.60

0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.80

0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

53% Wins 45%

32% Draws 15%

16% Losses 40%

84% Over 0.5 goals 100%

68% Over 1.5 goals 75%

42% Over 2.5 goals 60%

21% Over 3.5 goals 30%

11% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

47% Both teams scored 60%

47% Clean sheets 25%

21% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 45%

37% Draws 30%

21% Losses 25%

63% Over 0.5 goals 80%

37% Over 1.5 goals 25%

16% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

W

1

D

5

W

1

W

2

W

Derby away

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

5

W

2

L

2

4

L

1

L

1

W

2

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.26	Wrexham – Southampton	1–5 (1–2)	2.57	3.25	2.57	1.80	2.00
21.03.26	Southampton – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	1.51	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.10
18.03.26	Southampton – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.75	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Coventry – Southampton	1–2 (0–0)	1.71	3.80	4.10	1.67	2.20
11.03.26	West Brom – Southampton	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.50	2.35	1.98	1.88
28.02.26	Sheffield Weds – Southampton	1–3 (0–2)	9.50	5.25	1.27	1.57	2.38
24.02.26	Southampton – QPR	5–0 (2–0)	1.61	3.70	4.33	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Southampton – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	1.53	4.20	5.50	1.80	2.00
10.02.26	Leicester – Southampton	3–4 (3–0)	3.10	3.40	2.20	1.80	2.00
07.02.26	Southampton – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	1.83	2.03

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.04.26	Derby – Stoke	2–0 (0–0)	1.86	3.50	3.90	2.03	1.83
03.04.26	Coventry – Derby	3–2 (1–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Derby – Birmingham	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.25	2.50	1.98	1.88
16.03.26	Portsmouth – Derby	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.67
10.03.26	Millwall – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.80
07.03.26	Derby – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (2–1)	1.24	5.25	12.00	1.73	2.10
28.02.26	Derby – Blackburn	3–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
24.02.26	Hull – Derby	4–2 (2–2)	2.55	3.20	2.70	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Watford – Derby	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
14.02.26	Derby – Swansea	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67

Southampton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.03.26	Southampton – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	1.51	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.10
18.03.26	Southampton – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.75	1.73	2.10
24.02.26	Southampton – QPR	5–0 (2–0)	1.61	3.70	4.33	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Southampton – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	1.53	4.20	5.50	1.80	2.00
07.02.26	Southampton – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	1.83	2.03
21.01.26	Southampton – Sheffield United	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.80	2.65	1.67	2.20
17.01.26	Southampton – Hull	1–2 (0–2)	1.66	3.80	4.75	1.67	2.20
01.01.26	Southampton – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.60	4.50	1.80	2.00
20.12.25	Southampton – Coventry	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.70	2.57	1.62	2.30
09.12.25	Southampton – West Brom	3–2 (3–0)	1.79	3.75	3.90	1.73	2.10

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.04.26	Coventry – Derby	3–2 (1–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.10
16.03.26	Portsmouth – Derby	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.67
10.03.26	Millwall – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.80
24.02.26	Hull – Derby	4–2 (2–2)	2.55	3.20	2.70	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Watford – Derby	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
30.01.26	Bristol City – Derby	0–5 (0–3)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Southampton winsDrawsDerby wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.10.25E1	Derby – Southampton	1–1 (1–1)	3.50	3.30	2.05	2.20	1.67

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84	42	+42	85
2	Ipswich	40	21	12	7	71	40	+31	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56	47	+9	73
4	Middlesbrough	41	20	12	9	62	41	+21	72
5	Hull	41	20	8	13	63	58	+5	68
6	Southampton	40	18	12	10	68	49	+19	66
7	Wrexham	41	17	13	11	63	58	+5	64
8	Derby	41	18	9	14	60	51	+9	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55	50	+5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52	51	+1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58	63	-5	58
12	Watford	41	14	15	12	52	49	+3	57
13	Stoke	41	15	9	17	48	45	+3	54
14	Preston	41	13	15	13	48	52	-4	54
15	Swansea	41	15	9	17	49	54	-5	54
16	Birmingham	41	14	11	16	49	52	-3	53
17	Sheffield United	41	15	6	20	57	58	-1	51
18	Charlton	41	12	13	16	38	49	-11	49
19	Leicester	41	11	14	16	54	63	-9	47
20	Blackburn	41	12	11	18	37	49	-12	47
21	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42	56	-14	46
22	Portsmouth	40	10	12	18	40	57	-17	42
23	Oxford	41	9	14	18	39	54	-15	41
24	Sheffield Weds	42	1	11	30	25	82	-57	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	21	15	4	2	43	17	+26	49
2	Ipswich	21	13	7	1	38	15	+23	46
3	Watford	21	10	7	4	30	21	+9	37
4	Southampton	19	10	6	3	29	14	+15	36
5	Middlesbrough	20	10	6	4	28	16	+12	36
6	Swansea	21	10	6	5	30	24	+6	36
7	Millwall	21	11	3	7	29	25	+4	36
8	Birmingham	20	9	8	3	33	20	+13	35
9	Hull	21	10	4	7	32	32	0	34
10	QPR	21	10	3	8	37	32	+5	33
11	Derby	21	9	6	6	29	25	+4	33
12	Wrexham	21	9	6	6	37	35	+2	33
13	Stoke	20	9	5	6	31	21	+10	32
14	Preston	21	8	7	6	27	25	+2	31
15	West Brom	21	7	9	5	25	25	0	30
16	Sheffield United	20	8	4	8	33	26	+7	28
17	Bristol City	21	8	4	9	29	27	+2	28
18	Charlton	20	8	4	8	19	21	-2	28
19	Leicester	20	7	5	8	28	30	-2	26
20	Norwich	21	8	2	11	24	26	-2	26
21	Portsmouth	20	6	5	9	21	22	-1	23
22	Oxford	20	5	8	7	18	25	-7	23
23	Blackburn	21	4	8	9	18	25	-7	20
24	Sheffield Weds	21	0	6	15	11	42	-31	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Millwall	21	10	7	4	27	22	+5	37
2	Coventry	21	10	6	5	41	25	+16	36
3	Middlesbrough	21	10	6	5	34	25	+9	36
4	Hull	20	10	4	6	31	26	+5	34
5	Norwich	21	9	5	7	31	24	+7	32
6	Wrexham	20	8	7	5	26	23	+3	31
7	Derby	20	9	3	8	31	26	+5	30
8	Southampton	21	8	6	7	39	35	+4	30
9	Bristol City	21	8	6	7	23	24	-1	30
10	Ipswich	19	8	5	6	33	25	+8	29
11	Blackburn	20	8	3	9	19	24	-5	27
12	QPR	21	6	7	8	21	31	-10	25
13	Preston	20	5	8	7	21	27	-6	23
14	Sheffield United	21	7	2	12	24	32	-8	23
15	Stoke	21	6	4	11	17	24	-7	22
16	Leicester	21	4	9	8	26	33	-7	21
17	Charlton	21	4	9	8	19	28	-9	21
18	Watford	20	4	8	8	22	28	-6	20
19	Portsmouth	20	4	7	9	19	35	-16	19
20	Oxford	21	4	6	11	21	29	-8	18
21	Swansea	20	5	3	12	19	30	-11	18
22	Birmingham	21	5	3	13	16	32	-16	18
23	West Brom	21	4	4	13	17	31	-14	16
24	Sheffield Weds	21	1	5	15	14	40	-26	8

Southampton Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Coventry	42	16	26	2.0	1.0	25	10	7	84	42	85
2	5	Hull	41	15	26	1.5	1.4	20	8	13	63	58	68
3	11	QPR	42	16	26	1.4	1.5	16	10	16	58	63	58
4	19	Leicester	41	17	24	1.3	1.5	11	14	16	54	63	47
5	6	Southampton	40	17	23	1.7	1.2	18	12	10	68	49	66
6	17	Sheffield United	41	18	23	1.4	1.4	15	6	20	57	58	51
7	4	Middlesbrough	41	19	22	1.5	1.0	20	12	9	62	41	72
8	24	Sheffield Weds	42	20	22	0.6	2.0	1	11	30	25	82	14
9	3	Millwall	42	21	21	1.3	1.1	21	10	11	56	47	73
10	7	Wrexham	41	20	21	1.5	1.4	17	13	11	63	58	64
11	2	Ipswich	40	20	20	1.8	1.0	21	12	7	71	40	75
12	8	Derby	41	21	20	1.5	1.2	18	9	14	60	51	63
13	15	Swansea	41	21	20	1.2	1.3	15	9	17	49	54	54
14	23	Oxford	41	21	20	1.0	1.3	9	14	18	39	54	41
15	9	Norwich	42	23	19	1.3	1.2	17	7	18	55	50	58
16	12	Watford	41	22	19	1.3	1.2	14	15	12	52	49	57
17	16	Birmingham	41	22	19	1.2	1.3	14	11	16	49	52	53
18	21	West Brom	42	23	19	1.0	1.3	11	13	18	42	56	46
19	10	Bristol City	42	24	18	1.2	1.2	16	10	16	52	51	58
20	13	Stoke	41	23	18	1.2	1.1	15	9	17	48	45	54
21	14	Preston	41	23	18	1.2	1.3	13	15	13	48	52	54
22	22	Portsmouth	40	22	18	1.0	1.4	10	12	18	40	57	42
23	20	Blackburn	41	25	16	0.9	1.2	12	11	18	37	49	47
24	18	Charlton	41	27	14	0.9	1.2	12	13	16	38	49	49

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	QPR	21	5	16	1.8	1.5	10	3	8	37	32	33
2	17	Sheffield United	20	6	14	1.6	1.3	8	4	8	33	26	28
3	1	Coventry	21	8	13	2.0	0.8	15	4	2	43	17	49
4	5	Hull	21	8	13	1.5	1.5	10	4	7	32	32	34
5	3	Millwall	21	9	12	1.4	1.2	11	3	7	29	25	36
6	7	Wrexham	21	9	12	1.8	1.7	9	6	6	37	35	33
7	2	Ipswich	21	10	11	1.8	0.7	13	7	1	38	15	46
8	13	Stoke	20	9	11	1.6	1.1	9	5	6	31	21	32
9	19	Leicester	20	9	11	1.4	1.5	7	5	8	28	30	26
10	10	Bristol City	21	11	10	1.4	1.3	8	4	9	29	27	28
11	14	Preston	21	11	10	1.3	1.2	8	7	6	27	25	31
12	15	Swansea	21	11	10	1.4	1.1	10	6	5	30	24	36
13	24	Sheffield Weds	21	11	10	0.5	2.0	0	6	15	11	42	6
14	4	Middlesbrough	20	11	9	1.4	0.8	10	6	4	28	16	36
15	9	Norwich	21	12	9	1.1	1.2	8	2	11	24	26	26
16	12	Watford	21	12	9	1.4	1.0	10	7	4	30	21	37
17	16	Birmingham	20	11	9	1.6	1.0	9	8	3	33	20	35
18	21	West Brom	21	12	9	1.2	1.2	7	9	5	25	25	30
19	22	Portsmouth	20	11	9	1.1	1.1	6	5	9	21	22	23
20	23	Oxford	20	11	9	0.9	1.2	5	8	7	18	25	23
21	6	Southampton	19	11	8	1.5	0.7	10	6	3	29	14	36
22	8	Derby	21	13	8	1.4	1.2	9	6	6	29	25	33
23	18	Charlton	20	13	7	0.9	1.1	8	4	8	19	21	28
24	20	Blackburn	21	14	7	0.9	1.2	4	8	9	18	25	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Southampton	21	6	15	1.9	1.7	8	6	7	39	35	30
2	1	Coventry	21	8	13	2.0	1.2	10	6	5	41	25	36
3	4	Middlesbrough	21	8	13	1.6	1.2	10	6	5	34	25	36
4	5	Hull	20	7	13	1.6	1.3	10	4	6	31	26	34
5	19	Leicester	21	8	13	1.2	1.6	4	9	8	26	33	21
6	8	Derby	20	8	12	1.6	1.3	9	3	8	31	26	30
7	24	Sheffield Weds	21	9	12	0.7	1.9	1	5	15	14	40	8
8	23	Oxford	21	10	11	1.0	1.4	4	6	11	21	29	18
9	9	Norwich	21	11	10	1.5	1.1	9	5	7	31	24	32
10	11	QPR	21	11	10	1.0	1.5	6	7	8	21	31	25
11	12	Watford	20	10	10	1.1	1.4	4	8	8	22	28	20
12	15	Swansea	20	10	10	0.9	1.5	5	3	12	19	30	18
13	16	Birmingham	21	11	10	0.8	1.5	5	3	13	16	32	18
14	21	West Brom	21	11	10	0.8	1.5	4	4	13	17	31	16
15	2	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.7	1.3	8	5	6	33	25	29
16	3	Millwall	21	12	9	1.3	1.0	10	7	4	27	22	37
17	7	Wrexham	20	11	9	1.3	1.1	8	7	5	26	23	31
18	17	Sheffield United	21	12	9	1.1	1.5	7	2	12	24	32	23
19	20	Blackburn	20	11	9	0.9	1.2	8	3	9	19	24	27
20	22	Portsmouth	20	11	9	0.9	1.8	4	7	9	19	35	19
21	10	Bristol City	21	13	8	1.1	1.1	8	6	7	23	24	30
22	14	Preston	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	5	8	7	21	27	23
23	13	Stoke	21	14	7	0.8	1.1	6	4	11	17	24	22
24	18	Charlton	21	14	7	0.9	1.3	4	9	8	19	28	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.