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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Parsons

Bolton 1–0 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.57 fair 2.31
Draw 3.40 fair 4.09
Away 2.50 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.27
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Cardiff
7 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 10
0.49 Expected goals (xG) 1.78
2 Corners 10
16 Fouls 13
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (70 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:12
Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:10
Bolton all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.17
2.00 Goals conceded 1.67
3.00 Total goals 2.83
1.26 xG created 1.71
1.84 xG allowed 1.77
13.67 Shots 17.67
4.67 Shots on target 5.83
12.00 Shots faced 14.33
6.50 Corners 7.83
4.17 Corners against 5.17
10.00 Fouls 10.00
1.17 Yellow cards 1.67
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

17% Wins 0%
17% Draws 67%
67% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 83%
17% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
67% Draws 17%
17% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Cardiff all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:5
Cardiff before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:6
Bolton at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 3.00
1.43 xG created 1.31
1.47 xG allowed 2.15
16.33 Shots 13.67
6.00 Shots on target 5.00
9.67 Shots faced 16.67
7.67 Corners 6.00
2.67 Corners against 5.00
8.33 Fouls 11.33
0.67 Yellow cards 2.33
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.09.26 Bolton – West Ham 2–3 (2–2) 5.004.001.56 1.57 2.38
05.09.26 Millwall – Bolton 4–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.80
01.09.26 Sheffield United – Bolton 3–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.25 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Bolton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.75 2.05 1.80
22.08.26 QPR – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.75 1.93 1.93
15.08.26 Bolton – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85
02.05.26E2 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
25.04.26E2 Bradford – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.573.102.65 1.90 1.95
18.04.26E2 Bolton – Huddersfield 3–3 (1–0) 1.963.603.40 1.67 2.15
14.04.26E2 Bolton – Stevenage 5–1 (2–0) 1.813.604.00 2.08 1.73

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Portsmouth – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.323.402.85 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
02.05.26E2 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
25.04.26E2 Cardiff – Northampton 5–1 (3–0) 1.117.5015.00 1.36 3.10
22.04.26E2 Cardiff – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.257.00 1.53 2.40
18.04.26E2 Reading – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 4.754.001.57 1.62 2.25

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.09.26 Bolton – West Ham 2–3 (2–2) 5.004.001.56 1.57 2.38
29.08.26 Bolton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.75 2.05 1.80
15.08.26 Bolton – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85
02.05.26E2 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
18.04.26E2 Bolton – Huddersfield 3–3 (1–0) 1.963.603.40 1.67 2.15
14.04.26E2 Bolton – Stevenage 5–1 (2–0) 1.813.604.00 2.08 1.73
06.04.26E2 Bolton – Stockport 2–2 (1–1) 1.863.603.50 1.70 2.10
17.03.26E2 Bolton – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.564.104.75 1.60 2.30
07.03.26E2 Bolton – Wycombe 3–2 (0–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
21.02.26E2 Bolton – Blackpool 2–2 (0–0) 1.494.006.00 1.73 2.08

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Portsmouth – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.323.402.85 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26E2 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
18.04.26E2 Reading – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 4.754.001.57 1.62 2.25
14.04.26E2 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.15 1.73 2.08
06.04.26E2 Peterboro – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.68 1.50 2.50
14.03.26E2 Exeter – Cardiff 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.601.76 1.80 2.00
10.03.26E2 Barnsley – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.801.86 1.57 2.35
28.02.26E2 Doncaster – Cardiff 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.801.96 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsCardiff wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26E2 Cardiff – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 1.714.004.00 1.50 2.50
25.10.25E2 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 West Brom 6 4 1 1 9 6 +3 13
3 Southampton 6 3 2 1 14 7 +7 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
5 QPR 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11
6 Charlton 6 3 2 1 6 7 -1 11
7 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
8 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
9 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
10 Norwich 6 3 0 3 10 9 +1 9
11 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 8 8 0 9
12 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13 10 +3 8
13 Watford 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
14 Birmingham 6 1 4 1 8 8 0 7
15 Stoke 6 2 1 3 9 10 -1 7
16 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 7 11 -4 7
17 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
18 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
19 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
20 Cardiff 6 0 4 2 7 10 -3 4
21 Bolton 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
22 Derby 6 1 1 4 5 11 -6 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 4 3 0 1 14 4 +10 9
2 Southampton 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9
3 West Brom 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Watford 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
5 Charlton 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
6 Millwall 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
7 Stoke 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
8 Norwich 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
9 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
10 Swansea 3 1 2 0 2 0 +2 5
11 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
12 QPR 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
13 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
14 Birmingham 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
15 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
16 Blackburn 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
17 Bolton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
18 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
19 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Preston 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
21 Burnley 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
22 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
23 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
24 Derby 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
2 QPR 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
3 Swansea 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
4 West Brom 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
5 West Ham 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
6 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
7 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
8 Wolves 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 4
9 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
10 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
11 Charlton 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
12 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
13 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
14 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
15 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
16 Norwich 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
17 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
19 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1
20 Watford 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
21 Burnley 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
22 Stoke 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
24 Preston 3 0 0 3 2 5 -3 0

Bolton   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Ham 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 10 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 1.5 3 0 3 10 9 9
3 12 Wolves 5 0 5 2.6 2.0 2 2 1 13 10 8
4 18 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.2 1.5 1 2 3 7 9 5
5 24 Preston 6 1 5 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
6 3 Southampton 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 3 2 1 14 7 11
7 8 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
8 9 Millwall 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
9 11 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 3 1 8 8 9
10 14 Birmingham 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 4 1 8 8 7
11 15 Stoke 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 1 3 9 10 7
12 21 Bolton 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
13 22 Derby 6 2 4 0.8 1.8 1 1 4 5 11 4
14 23 Burnley 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
15 2 West Brom 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 4 1 1 9 6 13
16 4 Swansea 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
17 5 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11
18 6 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 2 1 6 7 11
19 7 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
20 16 Wrexham 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 1 4 2 7 11 7
21 17 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6
22 20 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 0 4 2 7 10 4
23 13 Watford 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
24 19 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Ham 4 0 4 3.5 1.0 3 0 1 14 4 9
2 3 Southampton 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9
3 9 Millwall 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
4 10 Norwich 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
5 18 Blackburn 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 24 Preston 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
7 7 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
8 11 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
9 12 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
10 13 Watford 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
11 14 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
12 15 Stoke 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
13 21 Bolton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
14 22 Derby 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 1 2 2 6 1
15 23 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
16 2 West Brom 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
17 5 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
18 6 Charlton 3 2 1 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
19 8 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
20 16 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
21 17 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
22 19 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
23 20 Cardiff 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
24 4 Swansea 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 1 2 0 2 0 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Swansea 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
2 8 Bristol City 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
3 12 Wolves 3 0 3 2.3 2.3 1 1 1 7 7 4
4 1 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
5 2 West Brom 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
6 5 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
7 6 Charlton 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
8 10 Norwich 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
9 11 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
10 14 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
11 15 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
12 16 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
13 17 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
14 18 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
15 20 Cardiff 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1
16 21 Bolton 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
17 22 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
18 23 Burnley 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
19 24 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 0 3 2 5 0
20 3 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
21 7 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
22 9 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
23 19 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
24 13 Watford 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40