Bolton 2–3 Luton – England League One, 2 May 2026 | BetGPS

Match facts

Bolton Luton

24 Shots 12

12 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 3

17 Fouls 17

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).

Result Bolton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.82

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.13

Home / Draw / Away

50% 24% 26%

BoltonDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches

1.67points / match

1.51scored / match

1.09conceded / match

19 18 8

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 68:49

Luton before this match, all matches

1.58points / match

1.44scored / match

1.20conceded / match

20 11 14

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 65:54

Bolton all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.51 Goals scored 1.44

1.09 Goals conceded 1.20

2.60 Total goals 2.64

16.49 Shots 13.18

4.93 Shots on target 4.00

9.84 Shots faced 10.16

6.42 Corners 6.18

4.09 Corners against 4.29

10.13 Fouls 11.47

1.60 Yellow cards 1.62

0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.78

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

42% Wins 44%

40% Draws 24%

18% Losses 31%

91% Over 0.5 goals 98%

78% Over 1.5 goals 76%

47% Over 2.5 goals 53%

24% Over 3.5 goals 27%

13% Over 4.5 goals 11%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

62% Both teams scored 53%

24% Clean sheets 29%

22% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 36%

40% Draws 40%

31% Losses 24%

62% Over 0.5 goals 73%

20% Over 1.5 goals 38%

9% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches

3

2

W

2

D

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

L

5

1

W

3

D

1

D

Luton all matches

1

D

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

2

1

W

Bolton before this match, at home

2.14points / match

2.00scored / match

0.95conceded / match

13 8 1

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 44:21

Luton before this match, away

1.18points / match

1.27scored / match

1.36conceded / match

7 5 10

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 28:30

Bolton at home away Luton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.27

0.95 Goals conceded 1.36

2.95 Total goals 2.64

19.05 Shots 11.32

5.64 Shots on target 3.32

8.82 Shots faced 11.59

7.95 Corners 5.23

3.45 Corners against 4.14

9.64 Fouls 11.77

1.64 Yellow cards 1.91

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

59% Wins 32%

36% Draws 23%

5% Losses 45%

86% Over 0.5 goals 100%

77% Over 1.5 goals 77%

64% Over 2.5 goals 50%

36% Over 3.5 goals 27%

23% Over 4.5 goals 9%

9% Over 5.5 goals 0%

64% Both teams scored 45%

32% Clean sheets 27%

18% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 27%

41% Draws 36%

18% Losses 36%

64% Over 0.5 goals 68%

32% Over 1.5 goals 36%

14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

2

W

2

D

3

2

W

D

2

D

5

1

W

3

D

Luton away

1

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

D

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Bradford – Bolton	1–1 (0–0)	2.57	3.10	2.65	1.90	1.95
18.04.26	Bolton – Huddersfield	3–3 (1–0)	1.96	3.60	3.40	1.67	2.15
14.04.26	Bolton – Stevenage	5–1 (2–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.08	1.73
11.04.26	Cardiff – Bolton	2–0 (0–0)	1.71	4.00	4.00	1.50	2.50
06.04.26	Bolton – Stockport	2–2 (1–1)	1.86	3.60	3.50	1.70	2.10
03.04.26	Plymouth – Bolton	1–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.50	2.82	1.65	2.20
21.03.26	Port Vale – Bolton	1–0 (1–0)	5.25	4.10	1.51	1.73	2.08
17.03.26	Bolton – Doncaster	0–0 (0–0)	1.56	4.10	4.75	1.60	2.30
14.03.26	Rotherham – Bolton	2–2 (2–0)	4.10	3.75	1.76	1.70	2.10
07.03.26	Bolton – Wycombe	3–2 (0–2)	1.96	3.40	3.50	1.93	1.93

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Luton – Barnsley	2–1 (1–1)	1.39	4.75	6.50	1.50	2.50
21.04.26	Rotherham – Luton	0–2 (0–2)	5.25	3.90	1.56	1.67	2.15
18.04.26	Mansfield – Luton	2–2 (2–1)	3.20	3.40	2.10	1.70	2.10
15.04.26	Luton – Northampton	2–1 (1–1)	1.30	5.00	8.00	1.60	2.30
06.04.26	AFC Wimbledon – Luton	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.15	2.00	1.80
03.04.26	Luton – Peterboro	2–1 (1–0)	1.61	4.00	4.75	1.53	2.40
21.03.26	Luton – Stockport	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.30	2.57	1.93	1.93
17.03.26	Luton – Exeter	3–2 (3–1)	1.57	3.80	5.00	1.85	2.00
14.03.26	Wycombe – Luton	1–2 (0–2)	1.86	3.60	3.75	2.00	1.85
10.03.26	Doncaster – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.40	1.88	1.98

Bolton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.26	Bolton – Huddersfield	3–3 (1–0)	1.96	3.60	3.40	1.67	2.15
14.04.26	Bolton – Stevenage	5–1 (2–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.08	1.73
06.04.26	Bolton – Stockport	2–2 (1–1)	1.86	3.60	3.50	1.70	2.10
17.03.26	Bolton – Doncaster	0–0 (0–0)	1.56	4.10	4.75	1.60	2.30
07.03.26	Bolton – Wycombe	3–2 (0–2)	1.96	3.40	3.50	1.93	1.93
21.02.26	Bolton – Blackpool	2–2 (0–0)	1.49	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.08
07.02.26	Bolton – Barnsley	3–2 (3–0)	1.62	3.80	4.75	1.67	2.15
27.01.26	Bolton – Burton	2–1 (0–0)	1.42	4.00	7.00	1.75	2.05
24.01.26	Bolton – Leyton Orient	2–1 (0–0)	1.49	4.20	5.75	1.65	2.20
04.01.26	Bolton – Northampton	0–0 (0–0)	1.35	4.50	8.00	1.62	2.25

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.26	Rotherham – Luton	0–2 (0–2)	5.25	3.90	1.56	1.67	2.15
18.04.26	Mansfield – Luton	2–2 (2–1)	3.20	3.40	2.10	1.70	2.10
06.04.26	AFC Wimbledon – Luton	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.15	2.00	1.80
14.03.26	Wycombe – Luton	1–2 (0–2)	1.86	3.60	3.75	2.00	1.85
10.03.26	Doncaster – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.40	1.88	1.98
28.02.26	Port Vale – Luton	1–1 (1–1)	3.50	3.40	1.96	2.15	1.67
18.02.26	Wigan – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.25	2.40	2.25	1.62
14.02.26	Cardiff – Luton	3–1 (3–1)	1.71	3.50	4.00	1.85	2.00
27.01.26	Huddersfield – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
24.01.26	Plymouth – Luton	1–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.95	1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Bolton winsDrawsLuton wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.11.25E2	Luton – Bolton	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.40	2.65	1.98	1.88

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln	45	30	10	5	87	41	+46	100
2	Cardiff	45	27	10	8	86	45	+41	91
3	Bolton	45	19	18	8	68	49	+19	75
4	Stockport	45	21	11	13	68	57	+11	74
5	Bradford	45	21	11	13	56	50	+6	74
6	Stevenage	45	20	12	13	48	46	+2	72
7	Luton	45	20	11	14	65	54	+11	71
8	Plymouth	45	21	7	17	72	61	+11	70
9	Huddersfield	45	17	13	15	70	64	+6	64
10	Reading	45	16	15	14	64	59	+5	63
11	Mansfield	45	15	17	13	57	46	+11	62
12	Wycombe	45	16	12	17	66	56	+10	60
13	Barnsley	45	15	14	16	67	70	-3	59
14	Blackpool	45	16	9	20	53	65	-12	57
15	Doncaster	45	16	9	20	47	68	-21	57
16	Wigan	45	14	14	17	49	57	-8	56
17	Peterboro	45	15	8	22	63	65	-2	53
18	Burton	45	13	14	18	48	58	-10	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	45	15	8	22	51	68	-17	53
20	Leyton Orient	45	14	9	22	57	69	-12	51
21	Exeter	45	12	13	20	51	59	-8	49
22	Port Vale	45	10	12	23	36	59	-23	42
23	Rotherham	45	10	11	24	39	68	-29	41
24	Northampton	45	9	8	28	37	71	-34	35

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln	23	18	4	1	53	20	+33	58
2	Cardiff	23	17	2	4	50	23	+27	53
3	Bradford	23	15	5	3	32	17	+15	50
4	Bolton	22	13	8	1	44	21	+23	47
5	Stevenage	22	13	7	2	26	13	+13	46
6	Luton	23	13	6	4	37	24	+13	45
7	Stockport	23	13	4	6	38	26	+12	43
8	Huddersfield	23	11	9	3	42	27	+15	42
9	Blackpool	23	12	5	6	35	29	+6	41
10	Wycombe	22	12	3	7	42	21	+21	39
11	Wigan	23	11	4	8	24	17	+7	37
12	Reading	22	10	7	5	33	27	+6	37
13	Plymouth	23	10	4	9	33	33	0	34
14	Barnsley	22	9	6	7	38	34	+4	33
15	Doncaster	23	9	6	8	27	32	-5	33
16	Mansfield	22	8	8	6	33	23	+10	32
17	Burton	23	9	5	9	27	28	-1	32
18	Exeter	22	8	7	7	29	27	+2	31
19	Peterboro	22	8	6	8	38	27	+11	30
20	Leyton Orient	22	8	6	8	30	28	+2	30
21	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	25	27	-2	28
22	Rotherham	23	6	9	8	24	32	-8	27
23	Northampton	22	6	4	12	21	28	-7	22
24	Port Vale	22	4	9	9	17	23	-6	21

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln	22	12	6	4	34	21	+13	42
2	Cardiff	22	10	8	4	36	22	+14	38
3	Plymouth	22	11	3	8	39	28	+11	36
4	Stockport	22	8	7	7	30	31	-1	31
5	Mansfield	23	7	9	7	24	23	+1	30
6	Bolton	23	6	10	7	24	28	-4	28
7	Reading	23	6	8	9	31	32	-1	26
8	Luton	22	7	5	10	28	30	-2	26
9	Barnsley	23	6	8	9	29	36	-7	26
10	Stevenage	23	7	5	11	22	33	-11	26
11	AFC Wimbledon	23	7	4	12	26	41	-15	25
12	Bradford	22	6	6	10	24	33	-9	24
13	Doncaster	22	7	3	12	20	36	-16	24
14	Peterboro	23	7	2	14	25	38	-13	23
15	Huddersfield	22	6	4	12	28	37	-9	22
16	Burton	22	4	9	9	21	30	-9	21
17	Wycombe	23	4	9	10	24	35	-11	21
18	Leyton Orient	23	6	3	14	27	41	-14	21
19	Port Vale	23	6	3	14	19	36	-17	21
20	Wigan	22	3	10	9	25	40	-15	19
21	Exeter	23	4	6	13	22	32	-10	18
22	Blackpool	22	4	4	14	18	36	-18	16
23	Rotherham	22	4	2	16	15	36	-21	14
24	Northampton	23	3	4	16	16	43	-27	13

Bolton Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Barnsley	45	17	28	1.5	1.6	15	14	16	67	70	59
2	4	Stockport	45	18	27	1.5	1.3	21	11	13	68	57	74
3	20	Leyton Orient	45	18	27	1.3	1.5	14	9	22	57	69	51
4	8	Plymouth	45	19	26	1.6	1.4	21	7	17	72	61	70
5	9	Huddersfield	45	19	26	1.6	1.4	17	13	15	70	64	64
6	1	Lincoln	45	20	25	1.9	0.9	30	10	5	87	41	100
7	17	Peterboro	45	20	25	1.4	1.4	15	8	22	63	65	53
8	2	Cardiff	45	21	24	1.9	1.0	27	10	8	86	45	91
9	7	Luton	45	21	24	1.4	1.2	20	11	14	65	54	71
10	5	Bradford	45	22	23	1.2	1.1	21	11	13	56	50	74
11	12	Wycombe	45	22	23	1.5	1.2	16	12	17	66	56	60
12	23	Rotherham	45	22	23	0.9	1.5	10	11	24	39	68	41
13	10	Reading	45	23	22	1.4	1.3	16	15	14	64	59	63
14	14	Blackpool	45	23	22	1.2	1.4	16	9	20	53	65	57
15	15	Doncaster	45	23	22	1.0	1.5	16	9	20	47	68	57
16	18	Burton	45	23	22	1.1	1.3	13	14	18	48	58	53
17	19	AFC Wimbledon	45	23	22	1.1	1.5	15	8	22	51	68	53
18	3	Bolton	45	24	21	1.5	1.1	19	18	8	68	49	75
19	24	Northampton	45	24	21	0.8	1.6	9	8	28	37	71	35
20	11	Mansfield	45	25	20	1.3	1.0	15	17	13	57	46	62
21	21	Exeter	45	25	20	1.1	1.3	12	13	20	51	59	49
22	22	Port Vale	45	27	18	0.8	1.3	10	12	23	36	59	42
23	6	Stevenage	45	28	17	1.1	1.0	20	12	13	48	46	72
24	16	Wigan	45	29	16	1.1	1.3	14	14	17	49	57	56

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Lincoln	23	8	15	2.3	0.9	18	4	1	53	20	58
2	2	Cardiff	23	9	14	2.2	1.0	17	2	4	50	23	53
3	3	Bolton	22	8	14	2.0	1.0	13	8	1	44	21	47
4	4	Stockport	23	9	14	1.7	1.1	13	4	6	38	26	43
5	13	Barnsley	22	8	14	1.7	1.5	9	6	7	38	34	33
6	7	Luton	23	10	13	1.6	1.0	13	6	4	37	24	45
7	8	Plymouth	23	10	13	1.4	1.4	10	4	9	33	33	34
8	9	Huddersfield	23	10	13	1.8	1.2	11	9	3	42	27	42
9	12	Wycombe	22	9	13	1.9	1.0	12	3	7	42	21	39
10	10	Reading	22	10	12	1.5	1.2	10	7	5	33	27	37
11	11	Mansfield	22	10	12	1.5	1.0	8	8	6	33	23	32
12	14	Blackpool	23	11	12	1.5	1.3	12	5	6	35	29	41
13	17	Peterboro	22	10	12	1.7	1.2	8	6	8	38	27	30
14	18	Burton	23	11	12	1.2	1.2	9	5	9	27	28	32
15	23	Rotherham	23	11	12	1.0	1.4	6	9	8	24	32	27
16	20	Leyton Orient	22	11	11	1.4	1.3	8	6	8	30	28	30
17	15	Doncaster	23	13	10	1.2	1.4	9	6	8	27	32	33
18	21	Exeter	22	12	10	1.3	1.2	8	7	7	29	27	31
19	5	Bradford	23	14	9	1.4	0.7	15	5	3	32	17	50
20	19	AFC Wimbledon	22	13	9	1.1	1.2	8	4	10	25	27	28
21	24	Northampton	22	13	9	1.0	1.3	6	4	12	21	28	22
22	22	Port Vale	22	15	7	0.8	1.0	4	9	9	17	23	21
23	6	Stevenage	22	16	6	1.2	0.6	13	7	2	26	13	46
24	16	Wigan	23	17	6	1.0	0.7	11	4	8	24	17	37

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Leyton Orient	23	7	16	1.2	1.8	6	3	14	27	41	21
2	5	Bradford	22	8	14	1.1	1.5	6	6	10	24	33	24
3	13	Barnsley	23	9	14	1.3	1.6	6	8	9	29	36	26
4	4	Stockport	22	9	13	1.4	1.4	8	7	7	30	31	31
5	8	Plymouth	22	9	13	1.8	1.3	11	3	8	39	28	36
6	9	Huddersfield	22	9	13	1.3	1.7	6	4	12	28	37	22
7	17	Peterboro	23	10	13	1.1	1.7	7	2	14	25	38	23
8	19	AFC Wimbledon	23	10	13	1.1	1.8	7	4	12	26	41	25
9	15	Doncaster	22	10	12	0.9	1.6	7	3	12	20	36	24
10	24	Northampton	23	11	12	0.7	1.9	3	4	16	16	43	13
11	6	Stevenage	23	12	11	1.0	1.4	7	5	11	22	33	26
12	7	Luton	22	11	11	1.3	1.4	7	5	10	28	30	26
13	22	Port Vale	23	12	11	0.8	1.6	6	3	14	19	36	21
14	23	Rotherham	22	11	11	0.7	1.6	4	2	16	15	36	14
15	1	Lincoln	22	12	10	1.5	1.0	12	6	4	34	21	42
16	2	Cardiff	22	12	10	1.6	1.0	10	8	4	36	22	38
17	10	Reading	23	13	10	1.3	1.4	6	8	9	31	32	26
18	12	Wycombe	23	13	10	1.0	1.5	4	9	10	24	35	21
19	14	Blackpool	22	12	10	0.8	1.6	4	4	14	18	36	16
20	16	Wigan	22	12	10	1.1	1.8	3	10	9	25	40	19
21	18	Burton	22	12	10	1.0	1.4	4	9	9	21	30	21
22	21	Exeter	23	13	10	1.0	1.4	4	6	13	22	32	18
23	11	Mansfield	23	15	8	1.0	1.0	7	9	7	24	23	30
24	3	Bolton	23	16	7	1.0	1.2	6	10	7	24	28	28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.