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England League One · ·Referee: T Parsons

Bolton 5–1 Stevenage

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.81 fair 2.03
Draw 3.60 fair 3.71
Away 4.00 fair 4.19
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Stevenage
24 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 3
11 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (499 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.42 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawStevenage
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.9% 1–1 12.5% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.40scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 59:44
Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.05scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 43:38
Bolton all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.05
1.05 Goals conceded 0.93
2.45 Total goals 1.98
16.12 Shots 9.88
4.86 Shots on target 3.51
9.81 Shots faced 9.49
6.43 Corners 4.59
4.07 Corners against 3.90
10.02 Fouls 12.49
1.57 Yellow cards 2.22
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.37

How often Full Time

43% Wins 46%
38% Draws 24%
19% Losses 29%
90% Over 0.5 goals 88%
76% Over 1.5 goals 51%
45% Over 2.5 goals 37%
21% Over 3.5 goals 17%
10% Over 4.5 goals 5%
2% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 44%
26% Clean sheets 41%
24% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 20%
40% Draws 66%
33% Losses 15%
62% Over 0.5 goals 46%
19% Over 1.5 goals 22%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Stevenage all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.15points / match
1.80scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 36:17
Stevenage before this match, away
1.19points / match
0.95scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 20:27
Bolton at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.95
0.85 Goals conceded 1.29
2.65 Total goals 2.24
18.55 Shots 9.14
5.45 Shots on target 3.10
8.75 Shots faced 11.38
8.05 Corners 4.76
3.45 Corners against 4.14
9.40 Fouls 12.67
1.60 Yellow cards 2.33
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

60% Wins 33%
35% Draws 19%
5% Losses 48%
85% Over 0.5 goals 86%
75% Over 1.5 goals 52%
60% Over 2.5 goals 48%
30% Over 3.5 goals 29%
15% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 48%
35% Clean sheets 29%
20% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 19%
45% Draws 57%
20% Losses 24%
60% Over 0.5 goals 48%
30% Over 1.5 goals 19%
15% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Stevenage away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Cardiff – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 1.714.004.00 1.50 2.50
06.04.26 Bolton – Stockport 2–2 (1–1) 1.863.603.50 1.70 2.10
03.04.26 Plymouth – Bolton 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.502.82 1.65 2.20
21.03.26 Port Vale – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.101.51 1.73 2.08
17.03.26 Bolton – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.564.104.75 1.60 2.30
14.03.26 Rotherham – Bolton 2–2 (2–0) 4.103.751.76 1.70 2.10
07.03.26 Bolton – Wycombe 3–2 (0–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
28.02.26 Exeter – Bolton 1–5 (0–1) 3.253.402.10 1.95 1.85
21.02.26 Bolton – Blackpool 2–2 (0–0) 1.494.006.00 1.73 2.08
17.02.26 Reading – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.502.10 1.93 1.93

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Bradford – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.003.75 2.70 1.44
06.04.26 Stevenage – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.793.104.33 2.25 1.62
03.04.26 Rotherham – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.20 2.40 1.53
21.03.26 Stevenage – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.204.20 2.35 1.57
17.03.26 Plymouth – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.253.90 2.25 1.62
14.03.26 Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
10.03.26 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 1–2 (1–1) 1.863.304.10 2.60 1.48
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
28.02.26 Stevenage – Stockport 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.102.65 2.50 1.50
21.02.26 Wycombe – Stevenage 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.254.33 2.35 1.57

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Bolton – Stockport 2–2 (1–1) 1.863.603.50 1.70 2.10
17.03.26 Bolton – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.564.104.75 1.60 2.30
07.03.26 Bolton – Wycombe 3–2 (0–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
21.02.26 Bolton – Blackpool 2–2 (0–0) 1.494.006.00 1.73 2.08
07.02.26 Bolton – Barnsley 3–2 (3–0) 1.623.804.75 1.67 2.15
27.01.26 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.424.007.00 1.75 2.05
24.01.26 Bolton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 1.494.205.75 1.65 2.20
04.01.26 Bolton – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.354.508.00 1.62 2.25
29.12.25 Bolton – Mansfield 0–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.25 Bolton – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 1.354.507.50 1.70 2.10

Stevenage away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Bradford – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.003.75 2.70 1.44
03.04.26 Rotherham – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.20 2.40 1.53
17.03.26 Plymouth – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.253.90 2.25 1.62
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
21.02.26 Wycombe – Stevenage 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.254.33 2.35 1.57
07.02.26 Northampton – Stevenage 3–1 (2–1) 3.103.102.30 2.50 1.50
31.01.26 Barnsley – Stevenage 3–1 (2–1) 2.403.302.75 2.15 1.67
17.01.26 Exeter – Stevenage 3–0 (0–0) 2.573.002.75 2.50 1.50
10.01.26 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53
29.12.25 Cardiff – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.713.305.00 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsStevenage wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26E2 Stevenage – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.05 2.15 1.67
03.05.25E2 Bolton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.40 2.00 1.85
29.10.24E2 Stevenage – Bolton 1–4 (0–2) 3.253.202.25 2.05 1.80
29.03.24E2 Stevenage – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.70
03.10.23E2 Bolton – Stevenage 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.403.60 2.03 1.83

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 42 28 9 5 79 36 +43 93
2 Cardiff 41 24 9 8 76 42 +34 81
3 Bradford 42 21 8 13 52 46 +6 71
4 Bolton 42 18 16 8 59 44 +15 70
5 Stockport 40 19 10 11 59 50 +9 67
6 Stevenage 41 19 10 12 43 38 +5 67
7 Plymouth 42 19 6 17 66 58 +8 63
8 Huddersfield 42 17 11 14 65 56 +9 62
9 Reading 43 16 14 13 62 55 +7 62
10 Luton 41 17 10 14 57 50 +7 61
11 Wycombe 43 16 12 15 63 51 +12 60
12 Barnsley 40 14 12 14 63 65 -2 54
13 Mansfield 40 13 14 13 50 43 +7 53
14 Doncaster 42 15 8 19 43 64 -21 53
15 Wigan 42 13 13 16 46 56 -10 52
16 Peterboro 41 15 6 20 60 58 +2 51
17 Burton 43 13 12 18 46 56 -10 51
18 Blackpool 43 14 9 20 51 65 -14 51
19 Leyton Orient 42 14 8 20 57 66 -9 50
20 AFC Wimbledon 42 14 8 20 49 63 -14 50
21 Exeter 43 12 11 20 47 55 -8 47
22 Rotherham 41 9 10 22 36 62 -26 37
23 Northampton 41 9 8 24 34 60 -26 35
24 Port Vale 39 8 10 21 30 54 -24 34
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 22 17 4 1 49 17 +32 55
2 Bradford 21 15 3 3 30 15 +15 48
3 Cardiff 21 15 2 4 44 22 +22 47
4 Bolton 20 12 7 1 36 17 +19 43
5 Stevenage 20 12 6 2 23 11 +12 42
6 Huddersfield 21 11 8 2 40 22 +18 41
7 Stockport 20 12 4 4 34 22 +12 40
8 Wycombe 21 12 3 6 42 20 +22 39
9 Luton 21 11 6 4 33 22 +11 39
10 Blackpool 22 11 5 6 34 29 +5 38
11 Reading 21 10 7 4 32 24 +8 37
12 Wigan 21 10 4 7 21 16 +5 34
13 Barnsley 21 9 5 7 36 32 +4 32
14 Doncaster 21 9 5 7 26 29 -3 32
15 Mansfield 21 8 7 6 31 21 +10 31
16 Plymouth 22 9 4 9 31 32 -1 31
17 Burton 22 9 4 9 26 27 -1 31
18 Exeter 21 8 6 7 26 24 +2 30
19 Leyton Orient 20 8 5 7 30 26 +4 29
20 Peterboro 19 8 4 7 36 23 +13 28
21 AFC Wimbledon 20 8 4 8 24 22 +2 28
22 Rotherham 21 6 8 7 23 29 -6 26
23 Northampton 20 6 4 10 20 24 -4 22
24 Port Vale 20 4 7 9 17 23 -6 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 20 11 5 4 30 19 +11 38
2 Cardiff 20 9 7 4 32 20 +12 34
3 Plymouth 20 10 2 8 35 26 +9 32
4 Stockport 20 7 6 7 25 28 -3 27
5 Bolton 22 6 9 7 23 27 -4 27
6 Reading 22 6 7 9 30 31 -1 25
7 Stevenage 21 7 4 10 20 27 -7 25
8 Bradford 21 6 5 10 22 31 -9 23
9 Peterboro 22 7 2 13 24 35 -11 23
10 Mansfield 19 5 7 7 19 22 -3 22
11 Luton 20 6 4 10 24 28 -4 22
12 Barnsley 19 5 7 7 27 33 -6 22
13 AFC Wimbledon 22 6 4 12 25 41 -16 22
14 Huddersfield 21 6 3 12 25 34 -9 21
15 Wycombe 22 4 9 9 21 31 -10 21
16 Leyton Orient 22 6 3 13 27 40 -13 21
17 Doncaster 21 6 3 12 17 35 -18 21
18 Burton 21 4 8 9 20 29 -9 20
19 Wigan 21 3 9 9 25 40 -15 18
20 Exeter 22 4 5 13 21 31 -10 17
21 Port Vale 19 4 3 12 13 31 -18 15
22 Blackpool 21 3 4 14 17 36 -19 13
23 Northampton 21 3 4 14 14 36 -22 13
24 Rotherham 20 3 2 15 13 33 -20 11

Bolton   Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leyton Orient 42 15 27 1.4 1.6 14 8 20 57 66 50
2 12 Barnsley 40 14 26 1.6 1.6 14 12 14 63 65 54
3 5 Stockport 40 16 24 1.5 1.2 19 10 11 59 50 67
4 7 Plymouth 42 18 24 1.6 1.4 19 6 17 66 58 63
5 8 Huddersfield 42 18 24 1.5 1.3 17 11 14 65 56 62
6 1 Lincoln 42 19 23 1.9 0.9 28 9 5 79 36 93
7 16 Peterboro 41 18 23 1.5 1.4 15 6 20 60 58 51
8 2 Cardiff 41 19 22 1.9 1.0 24 9 8 76 42 81
9 3 Bradford 42 20 22 1.2 1.1 21 8 13 52 46 71
10 11 Wycombe 43 21 22 1.5 1.2 16 12 15 63 51 60
11 17 Burton 43 21 22 1.1 1.3 13 12 18 46 56 51
12 18 Blackpool 43 21 22 1.2 1.5 14 9 20 51 65 51
13 22 Rotherham 41 19 22 0.9 1.5 9 10 22 36 62 37
14 9 Reading 43 22 21 1.4 1.3 16 14 13 62 55 62
15 10 Luton 41 20 21 1.4 1.2 17 10 14 57 50 61
16 14 Doncaster 42 21 21 1.0 1.5 15 8 19 43 64 53
17 20 AFC Wimbledon 42 21 21 1.2 1.5 14 8 20 49 63 50
18 4 Bolton 42 23 19 1.4 1.0 18 16 8 59 44 70
19 21 Exeter 43 24 19 1.1 1.3 12 11 20 47 55 47
20 13 Mansfield 40 22 18 1.2 1.1 13 14 13 50 43 53
21 23 Northampton 41 23 18 0.8 1.5 9 8 24 34 60 35
22 6 Stevenage 41 26 15 1.0 0.9 19 10 12 43 38 67
23 15 Wigan 42 27 15 1.1 1.3 13 13 16 46 56 52
24 24 Port Vale 39 24 15 0.8 1.4 8 10 21 30 54 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lincoln 22 8 14 2.2 0.8 17 4 1 49 17 55
2 2 Cardiff 21 8 13 2.1 1.0 15 2 4 44 22 47
3 11 Wycombe 21 8 13 2.0 1.0 12 3 6 42 20 39
4 12 Barnsley 21 8 13 1.7 1.5 9 5 7 36 32 32
5 4 Bolton 20 8 12 1.8 0.8 12 7 1 36 17 43
6 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.7 1.1 12 4 4 34 22 40
7 7 Plymouth 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 9 31 32 31
8 8 Huddersfield 21 9 12 1.9 1.0 11 8 2 40 22 41
9 17 Burton 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 9 4 9 26 27 31
10 18 Blackpool 22 10 12 1.5 1.3 11 5 6 34 29 38
11 22 Rotherham 21 9 12 1.1 1.4 6 8 7 23 29 26
12 9 Reading 21 10 11 1.5 1.1 10 7 4 32 24 37
13 10 Luton 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 11 6 4 33 22 39
14 13 Mansfield 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 8 7 6 31 21 31
15 16 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.9 1.2 8 4 7 36 23 28
16 19 Leyton Orient 20 9 11 1.5 1.3 8 5 7 30 26 29
17 14 Doncaster 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 9 5 7 26 29 32
18 3 Bradford 21 12 9 1.4 0.7 15 3 3 30 15 48
19 21 Exeter 21 12 9 1.2 1.1 8 6 7 26 24 30
20 20 AFC Wimbledon 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 8 4 8 24 22 28
21 23 Northampton 20 12 8 1.0 1.2 6 4 10 20 24 22
22 24 Port Vale 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 4 7 9 17 23 19
23 6 Stevenage 20 15 5 1.1 0.6 12 6 2 23 11 42
24 15 Wigan 21 16 5 1.0 0.8 10 4 7 21 16 34
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leyton Orient 22 6 16 1.2 1.8 6 3 13 27 40 21
2 3 Bradford 21 8 13 1.0 1.5 6 5 10 22 31 23
3 12 Barnsley 19 6 13 1.4 1.7 5 7 7 27 33 22
4 20 AFC Wimbledon 22 9 13 1.1 1.9 6 4 12 25 41 22
5 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 7 25 28 27
6 7 Plymouth 20 8 12 1.8 1.3 10 2 8 35 26 32
7 8 Huddersfield 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 6 3 12 25 34 21
8 16 Peterboro 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 7 2 13 24 35 23
9 14 Doncaster 21 10 11 0.8 1.7 6 3 12 17 35 21
10 6 Stevenage 21 11 10 1.0 1.3 7 4 10 20 27 25
11 9 Reading 22 12 10 1.4 1.4 6 7 9 30 31 25
12 10 Luton 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 6 4 10 24 28 22
13 15 Wigan 21 11 10 1.2 1.9 3 9 9 25 40 18
14 17 Burton 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 4 8 9 20 29 20
15 18 Blackpool 21 11 10 0.8 1.7 3 4 14 17 36 13
16 21 Exeter 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 4 5 13 21 31 17
17 22 Rotherham 20 10 10 0.7 1.6 3 2 15 13 33 11
18 23 Northampton 21 11 10 0.7 1.7 3 4 14 14 36 13
19 1 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.5 0.9 11 5 4 30 19 38
20 2 Cardiff 20 11 9 1.6 1.0 9 7 4 32 20 34
21 11 Wycombe 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 4 9 9 21 31 21
22 24 Port Vale 19 11 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 12 13 31 15
23 4 Bolton 22 15 7 1.0 1.2 6 9 7 23 27 27
24 13 Mansfield 19 12 7 1.0 1.2 5 7 7 19 22 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51