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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Kirk

Bolton 1–2 Stoke

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.65 fair 2.32
Draw 3.40 fair 4.19
Away ✓ 2.45 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Stoke
30 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3.13 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
10 Corners 4
8 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (99 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.38scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:15
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.63scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:12
Bolton all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.63
1.88 Goals conceded 1.50
3.25 Total goals 3.13
1.14 xG created 0.99
1.69 xG allowed 1.48
12.25 Shots 12.00
4.75 Shots on target 4.00
12.38 Shots faced 13.88
5.38 Corners 4.50
4.88 Corners against 4.63
11.00 Fouls 15.38
1.50 Yellow cards 2.63
0.88 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 50%
13% Draws 13%
50% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 38%
38% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 50%
75% Draws 38%
13% Losses 13%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Stoke all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:9
Bolton at home away Stoke

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded 2.25
2.50 Total goals 3.50
1.19 xG created 1.11
1.55 xG allowed 2.24
14.00 Shots 13.75
5.75 Shots on target 3.75
11.50 Shots faced 17.00
6.25 Corners 4.00
4.50 Corners against 5.75
10.25 Fouls 15.25
1.75 Yellow cards 3.25
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
0% Draws 25%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
75% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Norwich – Bolton 3–4 (2–2) 1.464.505.75 1.53 2.50
12.09.26 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.402.50 1.62 2.30
08.09.26 Bolton – West Ham 2–3 (2–2) 5.004.001.56 1.57 2.38
05.09.26 Millwall – Bolton 4–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.80
01.09.26 Sheffield United – Bolton 3–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.25 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Bolton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.75 2.05 1.80
22.08.26 QPR – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.75 1.93 1.93
15.08.26 Bolton – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85
02.05.26E2 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
25.04.26E2 Bradford – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.573.102.65 1.90 1.95

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Stoke – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.91 1.91
12.09.26 Watford – Stoke 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.10 1.93 1.93
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Stoke – Charlton 4–0 (4–0) 2.053.253.50 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Stoke – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.602.01 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
15.08.26 Stoke – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.323.203.10 2.10 1.73
02.05.26 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.60 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 Stoke – Portsmouth 1–3 (0–1) 2.703.202.55 2.03 1.83

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.402.50 1.62 2.30
08.09.26 Bolton – West Ham 2–3 (2–2) 5.004.001.56 1.57 2.38
29.08.26 Bolton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.75 2.05 1.80
15.08.26 Bolton – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85
02.05.26E2 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
18.04.26E2 Bolton – Huddersfield 3–3 (1–0) 1.963.603.40 1.67 2.15
14.04.26E2 Bolton – Stevenage 5–1 (2–0) 1.813.604.00 2.08 1.73
06.04.26E2 Bolton – Stockport 2–2 (1–1) 1.863.603.50 1.70 2.10
17.03.26E2 Bolton – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.564.104.75 1.60 2.30
07.03.26E2 Bolton – Wycombe 3–2 (0–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Watford – Stoke 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.10 1.93 1.93
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.60 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Wrexham – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 1.713.704.50 1.83 2.03
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
20.03.26 Preston – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.75 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Swansea – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.303.70 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Coventry – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15 7 +8 20
2 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23 12 +11 16
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16 12 +4 15
4 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19 10 +9 14
5 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15 10 +5 14
6 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
7 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13 11 +2 14
8 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10 9 +1 14
9 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 13 -1 14
10 Stoke 8 4 1 3 13 12 +1 13
11 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8 11 -3 13
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15 15 0 11
13 Lincoln 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9 12 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11 15 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12 12 0 9
17 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17 19 -2 9
18 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10 12 -2 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7 14 -7 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8 15 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9 17 -8 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 4 4 0 0 15 4 +11 12
2 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
3 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
4 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 11 7 +4 10
5 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
6 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
7 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
8 Millwall 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
9 Wolves 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
10 Watford 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
11 Norwich 4 2 0 2 10 8 +2 6
12 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
13 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
14 Bolton 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
15 Bristol City 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
16 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
17 QPR 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
18 Birmingham 4 0 4 0 7 7 0 4
19 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
20 Sheffield United 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
21 Burnley 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
22 Preston 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
23 Lincoln 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
24 Derby 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
2 Swansea 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
3 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Lincoln 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9
5 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
6 Wolves 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
7 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
8 West Brom 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
9 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
10 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
11 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
12 Portsmouth 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
13 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
14 Bolton 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
15 Millwall 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
16 Stoke 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
17 Charlton 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
18 Blackburn 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
19 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
20 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
21 Preston 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
22 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
23 Watford 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
24 Burnley 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1

Bolton   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Norwich 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 0 6 17 19 9
2 2 West Ham 9 2 7 2.6 1.3 4 4 1 23 12 16
3 12 Millwall 8 1 7 1.9 1.9 3 2 3 15 15 11
4 16 Blackburn 8 1 7 1.5 1.5 2 3 3 12 12 9
5 1 Swansea 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 6 2 1 15 7 20
6 3 Middlesbrough 8 2 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 1 16 12 15
7 4 Southampton 8 2 6 2.4 1.2 4 2 2 19 10 14
8 7 Birmingham 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 1 13 11 14
9 10 Stoke 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 4 1 3 13 12 13
10 23 Preston 8 2 6 1.0 1.9 1 1 6 8 15 4
11 5 Wolves 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 4 2 1 15 10 14
12 9 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 4 2 3 12 13 14
13 15 Bolton 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 1 4 11 15 10
14 18 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
15 22 Derby 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 1 2 5 7 14 5
16 24 Burnley 8 3 5 1.1 2.1 0 4 4 9 17 4
17 6 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
18 11 Charlton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 2 8 11 13
19 14 Wrexham 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 2 4 2 9 12 10
20 19 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
21 21 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 4 3 10 12 7
22 8 West Brom 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 3 10 9 14
23 13 Lincoln 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
24 20 Watford 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
2 3 Middlesbrough 4 0 4 2.8 1.8 3 1 0 11 7 10
3 4 Southampton 4 0 4 3.8 1.0 4 0 0 15 4 12
4 12 Millwall 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7
5 16 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
6 17 Norwich 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 0 2 10 8 6
7 7 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 0 4 0 7 7 4
8 10 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
9 20 Watford 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
10 22 Derby 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
11 23 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
12 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
13 5 Wolves 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
14 6 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
15 13 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
16 14 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 15 Bolton 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
18 18 Sheffield United 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
19 19 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
20 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
21 24 Burnley 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
22 8 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 9 Bristol City 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
24 11 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
2 9 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
3 17 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
4 2 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
5 5 Wolves 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7
6 7 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
7 10 Stoke 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
8 11 Charlton 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
9 12 Millwall 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
10 15 Bolton 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
11 16 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
12 18 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
13 23 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
14 24 Burnley 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
15 3 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
16 4 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
17 6 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
18 8 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
19 14 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
20 19 Portsmouth 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
21 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
22 22 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
23 13 Lincoln 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9
24 20 Watford 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40