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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Derby 1–1 Wrexham

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.70 fair 2.47
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.98
Away 2.57 fair 2.91
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Wrexham
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
0.60 Expected goals (xG) 1.46
1 Corners 8
10 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (99 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawWrexham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 8.9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
0.88scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:14
Wrexham before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.13scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:12
Derby all matches all matches Wrexham

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded 1.50
2.63 Total goals 2.63
1.01 xG created 1.10
1.82 xG allowed 1.34
12.25 Shots 10.88
3.63 Shots on target 3.50
15.25 Shots faced 12.25
6.38 Corners 4.75
5.63 Corners against 4.25
13.38 Fouls 11.00
2.25 Yellow cards 1.13
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

13% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
63% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 63%
13% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
13% Draws 25%
63% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Wrexham all matches
Derby before this match, at home
0.25points / match
0.75scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:8
Wrexham before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:7
Derby at home away Wrexham

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.75
2.75 Total goals 2.75
1.18 xG created 0.89
2.13 xG allowed 1.21
13.50 Shots 10.75
3.50 Shots on target 3.25
15.50 Shots faced 10.00
8.25 Corners 4.75
5.00 Corners against 4.50
12.00 Fouls 11.75
2.25 Yellow cards 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
75% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 25%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
75% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Wrexham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Burnley – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Derby – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
05.09.26 West Ham – Derby 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.007.50 1.67 2.20
01.09.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.85
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
15.08.26 Charlton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.20 1.67
02.05.26 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00

Wrexham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Wrexham – Southampton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.80 2.00
11.09.26 West Ham – Wrexham 6–0 (2–0) 1.564.005.25 1.67 2.20
08.09.26 Wrexham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.013.403.60 1.93 1.93
05.09.26 Swansea – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.30 2.00 1.85
02.09.26 Millwall – Wrexham 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 1.91 1.91
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 Wrexham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.863.504.00 1.90 1.95
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
26.04.26 Coventry – Wrexham 3–1 (1–1) 2.103.803.10 1.73 2.10

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Derby – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Derby – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–1) 1.245.2512.00 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67

Wrexham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.26 West Ham – Wrexham 6–0 (2–0) 1.564.005.25 1.67 2.20
05.09.26 Swansea – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.30 2.00 1.85
02.09.26 Millwall – Wrexham 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 1.91 1.91
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
26.04.26 Coventry – Wrexham 3–1 (1–1) 2.103.803.10 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Oxford – Wrexham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.203.00 2.20 1.67
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 West Brom – Wrexham 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.303.50 2.10 1.73
21.03.26 Sheffield United – Wrexham 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.403.90 1.83 2.03
17.03.26 Watford – Wrexham 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.00 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsWrexham wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26E1 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
27.09.25E1 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15 7 +8 20
2 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23 12 +11 16
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16 12 +4 15
4 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19 10 +9 14
5 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15 10 +5 14
6 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
7 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13 11 +2 14
8 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10 9 +1 14
9 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 13 -1 14
10 Stoke 8 4 1 3 13 12 +1 13
11 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8 11 -3 13
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15 15 0 11
13 Lincoln 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9 12 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11 15 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12 12 0 9
17 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17 19 -2 9
18 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10 12 -2 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7 14 -7 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8 15 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9 17 -8 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 4 4 0 0 15 4 +11 12
2 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
3 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
4 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 11 7 +4 10
5 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
6 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
7 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
8 Millwall 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
9 Wolves 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
10 Watford 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
11 Norwich 4 2 0 2 10 8 +2 6
12 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
13 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
14 Bolton 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
15 Bristol City 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
16 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
17 QPR 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
18 Birmingham 4 0 4 0 7 7 0 4
19 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
20 Sheffield United 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
21 Burnley 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
22 Preston 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
23 Lincoln 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
24 Derby 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
2 Swansea 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
3 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Lincoln 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9
5 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
6 Wolves 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
7 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
8 West Brom 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
9 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
10 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
11 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
12 Portsmouth 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
13 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
14 Bolton 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
15 Millwall 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
16 Stoke 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
17 Charlton 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
18 Blackburn 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
19 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
20 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
21 Preston 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
22 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
23 Watford 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
24 Burnley 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1

Derby   Wrexham

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Norwich 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 0 6 17 19 9
2 2 West Ham 9 2 7 2.6 1.3 4 4 1 23 12 16
3 12 Millwall 8 1 7 1.9 1.9 3 2 3 15 15 11
4 16 Blackburn 8 1 7 1.5 1.5 2 3 3 12 12 9
5 1 Swansea 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 6 2 1 15 7 20
6 3 Middlesbrough 8 2 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 1 16 12 15
7 4 Southampton 8 2 6 2.4 1.2 4 2 2 19 10 14
8 7 Birmingham 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 1 13 11 14
9 10 Stoke 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 4 1 3 13 12 13
10 23 Preston 8 2 6 1.0 1.9 1 1 6 8 15 4
11 5 Wolves 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 4 2 1 15 10 14
12 9 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 4 2 3 12 13 14
13 15 Bolton 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 1 4 11 15 10
14 18 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
15 22 Derby 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 1 2 5 7 14 5
16 24 Burnley 8 3 5 1.1 2.1 0 4 4 9 17 4
17 6 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
18 11 Charlton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 2 8 11 13
19 14 Wrexham 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 2 4 2 9 12 10
20 19 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
21 21 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 4 3 10 12 7
22 8 West Brom 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 3 10 9 14
23 13 Lincoln 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
24 20 Watford 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
2 3 Middlesbrough 4 0 4 2.8 1.8 3 1 0 11 7 10
3 4 Southampton 4 0 4 3.8 1.0 4 0 0 15 4 12
4 12 Millwall 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7
5 16 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
6 17 Norwich 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 0 2 10 8 6
7 7 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 0 4 0 7 7 4
8 10 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
9 20 Watford 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
10 22 Derby 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
11 23 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
12 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
13 5 Wolves 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
14 6 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
15 13 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
16 14 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 15 Bolton 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
18 18 Sheffield United 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
19 19 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
20 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
21 24 Burnley 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
22 8 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 9 Bristol City 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
24 11 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
2 9 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
3 17 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
4 2 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
5 5 Wolves 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7
6 7 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
7 10 Stoke 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
8 11 Charlton 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
9 12 Millwall 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
10 15 Bolton 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
11 16 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
12 18 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
13 23 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
14 24 Burnley 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
15 3 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
16 4 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
17 6 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
18 8 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
19 14 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
20 19 Portsmouth 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
21 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
22 22 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
23 13 Lincoln 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9
24 20 Watford 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51