Derby 3–1 Blackburn – England Championship, 28 Feb 2026

Match facts

Derby Blackburn

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 3

10 Fouls 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (407 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.09

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 29%

DerbyDrawBlackburn

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.41points / match

1.44scored / match

1.32conceded / match

13 9 12

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 49:45

Blackburn before this match, all matches

1.12points / match

0.94scored / match

1.26conceded / match

10 8 16

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 32:43

Derby all matches all matches Blackburn

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 0.94

1.32 Goals conceded 1.26

2.76 Total goals 2.21

10.15 Shots 11.79

3.38 Shots on target 3.38

12.50 Shots faced 11.26

4.68 Corners 5.53

5.56 Corners against 4.74

12.18 Fouls 11.21

2.21 Yellow cards 2.09

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

38% Wins 29%

26% Draws 24%

35% Losses 47%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

79% Over 1.5 goals 74%

50% Over 2.5 goals 41%

24% Over 3.5 goals 12%

12% Over 4.5 goals 0%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

68% Both teams scored 47%

24% Clean sheets 26%

9% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 26%

38% Draws 44%

26% Losses 29%

76% Over 0.5 goals 68%

26% Over 1.5 goals 32%

15% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

W

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

5

W

1

2

L

2

W

2

L

2

4

L

Blackburn all matches

2

D

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

Derby before this match, at home

1.24points / match

1.24scored / match

1.35conceded / match

5 6 6

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:23

Blackburn before this match, away

1.31points / match

0.94scored / match

1.19conceded / match

6 3 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:19

Derby at home away Blackburn

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 0.94

1.35 Goals conceded 1.19

2.59 Total goals 2.13

10.47 Shots 11.19

3.47 Shots on target 3.00

11.82 Shots faced 13.56

5.59 Corners 4.81

4.94 Corners against 4.69

11.71 Fouls 12.25

2.00 Yellow cards 2.25

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

29% Wins 38%

35% Draws 19%

35% Losses 44%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

76% Over 1.5 goals 69%

35% Over 2.5 goals 44%

18% Over 3.5 goals 13%

12% Over 4.5 goals 0%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

71% Both teams scored 31%

24% Clean sheets 38%

6% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 38%

47% Draws 44%

29% Losses 19%

76% Over 0.5 goals 69%

29% Over 1.5 goals 25%

12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

Blackburn away

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

D

3

L

1

3

L

2

L

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.26	Hull – Derby	4–2 (2–2)	2.55	3.20	2.70	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Watford – Derby	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
14.02.26	Derby – Swansea	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
30.01.26	Bristol City – Derby	0–5 (0–3)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73

Blackburn all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.26	Blackburn – Bristol City	1–2 (1–2)	2.32	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
20.02.26	Blackburn – Preston	1–0 (0–0)	1.96	3.40	3.90	2.20	1.67
14.02.26	QPR – Blackburn	1–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.10	3.25	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Norwich – Blackburn	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
03.02.26	Blackburn – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	8.50	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Blackburn – Hull	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.20	2.00	1.80
24.01.26	Blackburn – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.10	2.65	2.20	1.67
20.01.26	Swansea – Blackburn	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Ipswich – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	1.49	4.00	6.25	2.00	1.80
04.01.26	Blackburn – Charlton	2–2 (1–2)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.30	1.62

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Derby – Swansea	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.20	4.00	2.20	1.67
10.12.25	Derby – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.95	2.95	2.50	1.53
06.12.25	Derby – Leicester	1–3 (0–3)	2.70	3.20	2.57	2.30	1.62
22.11.25	Derby – Watford	2–3 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	2.82	2.30	1.62
04.11.25	Derby – Hull	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73

Blackburn away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	QPR – Blackburn	1–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.10	3.25	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Norwich – Blackburn	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
20.01.26	Swansea – Blackburn	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Ipswich – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	1.49	4.00	6.25	2.00	1.80
29.12.25	Sheffield Weds – Blackburn	0–0 (0–0)	4.50	3.60	1.71	1.93	1.93
26.12.25	Middlesbrough – Blackburn	0–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.93	1.93
13.12.25	Portsmouth – Blackburn	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.50	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	Wrexham – Blackburn	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.25	2.10	1.73
21.11.25	Preston – Blackburn	1–2 (1–1)	2.45	3.05	2.85	2.20	1.67
04.11.25	Bristol City – Blackburn	0–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.50	2.03	1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3

Derby winsDrawsBlackburn wins

5matches

3.80goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.11.25E1	Blackburn – Derby	1–2 (0–2)	1.91	3.30	3.90	2.38	1.57
08.03.25E1	Derby – Blackburn	2–1 (2–1)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.38	1.57
09.08.24E1	Blackburn – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83
15.03.22E1	Blackburn – Derby	3–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.30	4.75	2.50	1.53
30.10.21E1	Derby – Blackburn	1–2 (0–2)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	34	20	8	6	70	37	+33	68
2	Middlesbrough	34	18	9	7	51	34	+17	63
3	Millwall	34	17	8	9	45	40	+5	59
4	Ipswich	32	16	9	7	56	34	+22	57
5	Hull	33	17	6	10	55	48	+7	57
6	Wrexham	34	14	12	8	53	45	+8	54
7	Watford	35	13	12	10	45	41	+4	51
8	Southampton	34	13	11	10	54	45	+9	50
9	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48	44	+4	50
10	Preston	34	12	13	9	41	38	+3	49
11	Birmingham	34	13	10	11	45	43	+2	49
12	Derby	34	13	9	12	49	45	+4	48
13	Stoke	34	13	8	13	38	32	+6	47
14	QPR	34	13	8	13	46	52	-6	47
15	Swansea	34	13	7	14	40	40	0	46
16	Sheffield United	34	14	3	17	48	48	0	45
17	Norwich	34	12	6	16	45	44	+1	42
18	Charlton	34	10	11	13	33	43	-10	41
19	Leicester	34	10	10	14	47	54	-7	40
20	Portsmouth	33	10	9	14	34	43	-9	39
21	Blackburn	34	10	8	16	32	43	-11	38
22	West Brom	34	9	8	17	33	50	-17	35
23	Oxford	34	6	11	17	29	46	-17	29
24	Sheffield Weds	34	1	8	25	20	68	-48	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	16	12	3	1	34	12	+22	39
2	Ipswich	16	10	5	1	30	12	+18	35
3	Middlesbrough	17	10	5	2	26	12	+14	35
4	Millwall	18	10	3	5	26	21	+5	33
5	Swansea	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
6	Watford	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
7	Birmingham	16	8	7	1	30	15	+15	31
8	Southampton	17	8	6	3	26	14	+12	30
9	Wrexham	18	8	6	4	33	28	+5	30
10	Hull	18	9	3	6	28	28	0	30
11	Preston	17	7	6	4	22	18	+4	27
12	Sheffield United	17	8	2	7	28	20	+8	26
13	QPR	16	8	2	6	29	24	+5	26
14	Stoke	17	7	4	6	23	17	+6	25
15	Bristol City	18	7	4	7	28	24	+4	25
16	Charlton	16	7	4	5	17	17	0	25
17	West Brom	17	6	6	5	19	22	-3	24
18	Portsmouth	16	6	4	6	18	16	+2	22
19	Leicester	16	6	4	6	23	23	0	22
20	Derby	17	5	6	6	21	23	-2	21
21	Norwich	17	6	1	10	19	22	-3	19
22	Blackburn	18	4	5	9	17	24	-7	17
23	Oxford	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15
24	Sheffield Weds	17	0	4	13	8	35	-27	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	18	8	5	5	36	25	+11	29
2	Middlesbrough	17	8	4	5	25	22	+3	28
3	Hull	15	8	3	4	27	20	+7	27
4	Derby	17	8	3	6	28	22	+6	27
5	Millwall	16	7	5	4	19	19	0	26
6	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	20	20	0	25
7	Wrexham	16	6	6	4	20	17	+3	24
8	Norwich	17	6	5	6	26	22	+4	23
9	Ipswich	16	6	4	6	26	22	+4	22
10	Stoke	17	6	4	7	15	15	0	22
11	Preston	17	5	7	5	19	20	-1	22
12	Blackburn	16	6	3	7	15	19	-4	21
13	QPR	18	5	6	7	17	28	-11	21
14	Southampton	17	5	5	7	28	31	-3	20
15	Watford	17	4	7	6	19	22	-3	19
16	Sheffield United	17	6	1	10	20	28	-8	19
17	Leicester	18	4	6	8	24	31	-7	18
18	Birmingham	18	5	3	10	15	28	-13	18
19	Portsmouth	17	4	5	8	16	27	-11	17
20	Charlton	18	3	7	8	16	26	-10	16
21	Swansea	16	4	2	10	14	21	-7	14
22	Oxford	18	3	5	10	16	24	-8	14
23	West Brom	17	3	2	12	14	28	-14	11
24	Sheffield Weds	17	1	4	12	12	33	-21	7

Derby Blackburn

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Hull	33	11	22	1.7	1.5	17	6	10	55	48	57
2	14	QPR	34	12	22	1.4	1.5	13	8	13	46	52	47
3	19	Leicester	34	12	22	1.4	1.6	10	10	14	47	54	40
4	1	Coventry	34	13	21	2.1	1.1	20	8	6	70	37	68
5	8	Southampton	34	14	20	1.6	1.3	13	11	10	54	45	50
6	16	Sheffield United	34	14	20	1.4	1.4	14	3	17	48	48	45
7	24	Sheffield Weds	34	15	19	0.6	2.0	1	8	25	20	68	11
8	2	Middlesbrough	34	16	18	1.5	1.0	18	9	7	51	34	63
9	3	Millwall	34	17	17	1.3	1.2	17	8	9	45	40	59
10	4	Ipswich	32	15	17	1.8	1.1	16	9	7	56	34	57
11	9	Bristol City	35	18	17	1.4	1.3	14	8	13	48	44	50
12	11	Birmingham	34	17	17	1.3	1.3	13	10	11	45	43	49
13	12	Derby	34	17	17	1.4	1.3	13	9	12	49	45	48
14	17	Norwich	34	17	17	1.3	1.3	12	6	16	45	44	42
15	23	Oxford	34	17	17	0.9	1.4	6	11	17	29	46	29
16	6	Wrexham	34	18	16	1.6	1.3	14	12	8	53	45	54
17	7	Watford	35	19	16	1.3	1.2	13	12	10	45	41	51
18	22	West Brom	34	18	16	1.0	1.5	9	8	17	33	50	35
19	15	Swansea	34	19	15	1.2	1.2	13	7	14	40	40	46
20	20	Portsmouth	33	18	15	1.0	1.3	10	9	14	34	43	39
21	10	Preston	34	20	14	1.2	1.1	12	13	9	41	38	49
22	13	Stoke	34	20	14	1.1	0.9	13	8	13	38	32	47
23	21	Blackburn	34	20	14	0.9	1.3	10	8	16	32	43	38
24	18	Charlton	34	21	13	1.0	1.3	10	11	13	33	43	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	QPR	16	3	13	1.8	1.5	8	2	6	29	24	26
2	16	Sheffield United	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	8	2	7	28	20	26
3	5	Hull	18	7	11	1.6	1.6	9	3	6	28	28	30
4	3	Millwall	18	8	10	1.4	1.2	10	3	5	26	21	33
5	6	Wrexham	18	8	10	1.8	1.6	8	6	4	33	28	30
6	9	Bristol City	18	8	10	1.6	1.3	7	4	7	28	24	25
7	1	Coventry	16	7	9	2.1	0.8	12	3	1	34	12	39
8	4	Ipswich	16	7	9	1.9	0.8	10	5	1	30	12	35
9	13	Stoke	17	8	9	1.4	1.0	7	4	6	23	17	25
10	19	Leicester	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	4	6	23	23	22
11	24	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	0.5	2.1	0	4	13	8	35	4
12	2	Middlesbrough	17	9	8	1.5	0.7	10	5	2	26	12	35
13	7	Watford	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
14	8	Southampton	17	9	8	1.5	0.8	8	6	3	26	14	30
15	10	Preston	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	6	4	22	18	27
16	11	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	8	7	1	30	15	31
17	15	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
18	17	Norwich	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	6	1	10	19	22	19
19	23	Oxford	16	8	8	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	22	15
20	20	Portsmouth	16	9	7	1.1	1.0	6	4	6	18	16	22
21	21	Blackburn	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	4	5	9	17	24	17
22	22	West Brom	17	10	7	1.1	1.3	6	6	5	19	22	24
23	12	Derby	17	11	6	1.2	1.4	5	6	6	21	23	21
24	18	Charlton	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	7	4	5	17	17	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Leicester	18	5	13	1.3	1.7	4	6	8	24	31	18
2	1	Coventry	18	6	12	2.0	1.4	8	5	5	36	25	29
3	8	Southampton	17	5	12	1.6	1.8	5	5	7	28	31	20
4	5	Hull	15	4	11	1.8	1.3	8	3	4	27	20	27
5	12	Derby	17	6	11	1.6	1.3	8	3	6	28	22	27
6	2	Middlesbrough	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	8	4	5	25	22	28
7	24	Sheffield Weds	17	7	10	0.7	1.9	1	4	12	12	33	7
8	11	Birmingham	18	9	9	0.8	1.6	5	3	10	15	28	18
9	14	QPR	18	9	9	0.9	1.6	5	6	7	17	28	21
10	17	Norwich	17	8	9	1.5	1.3	6	5	6	26	22	23
11	22	West Brom	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	3	2	12	14	28	11
12	23	Oxford	18	9	9	0.9	1.3	3	5	10	16	24	14
13	4	Ipswich	16	8	8	1.6	1.4	6	4	6	26	22	22
14	7	Watford	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	4	7	6	19	22	19
15	16	Sheffield United	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	6	1	10	20	28	19
16	20	Portsmouth	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	4	5	8	16	27	17
17	3	Millwall	16	9	7	1.2	1.2	7	5	4	19	19	26
18	9	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	4	6	20	20	25
19	15	Swansea	16	9	7	0.9	1.3	4	2	10	14	21	14
20	18	Charlton	18	11	7	0.9	1.4	3	7	8	16	26	16
21	21	Blackburn	16	9	7	0.9	1.2	6	3	7	15	19	21
22	6	Wrexham	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	6	6	4	20	17	24
23	10	Preston	17	11	6	1.1	1.2	5	7	5	19	20	22
24	13	Stoke	17	12	5	0.9	0.9	6	4	7	15	15	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.