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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Derby 0–1 West Brom

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 3.00 fair 2.59
Draw 3.25 fair 4.07
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.71
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby West Brom
13 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
1.28 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
11 Corners 3
12 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (66 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawWest Brom
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:10
West Brom before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:6
Derby all matches all matches West Brom

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.60
2.00 Goals conceded 1.20
3.00 Total goals 2.80
0.79 xG created 1.32
2.12 xG allowed 1.65
10.00 Shots 11.20
3.20 Shots on target 4.40
18.60 Shots faced 12.20
4.80 Corners 4.80
6.80 Corners against 5.40
15.00 Fouls 9.80
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

20% Wins 60%
20% Draws 20%
60% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
0% Draws 80%
60% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 40%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
West Brom all matches
Derby before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:5
West Brom before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:4
Derby at home away West Brom

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded 2.00
3.50 Total goals 3.50
1.16 xG created 1.63
2.49 xG allowed 2.72
11.50 Shots 10.50
3.50 Shots on target 4.00
19.50 Shots faced 17.50
6.00 Corners 4.00
6.50 Corners against 7.50
14.00 Fouls 9.50
4.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
2.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
West Brom away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 West Ham – Derby 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.007.50 1.67 2.20
01.09.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.85
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
15.08.26 Charlton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.20 1.67
02.05.26 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 Norwich – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.83 2.03
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00

West Brom all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 West Brom – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 1.91 1.91
02.09.26 West Brom – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.10 1.73
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
23.08.26 West Brom – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.10 1.73
15.08.26 Norwich – West Brom 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 1.98 1.88
02.05.26 Sheffield Weds – West Brom 2–1 (2–0) 5.754.751.46 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 West Brom – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.901.86 2.03 1.83
21.04.26 West Brom – Watford 3–0 (2–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
18.04.26 Preston – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.73
10.04.26 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Derby – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–1) 1.245.2512.00 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Derby – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Derby – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73

West Brom away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
15.08.26 Norwich – West Brom 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 1.98 1.88
02.05.26 Sheffield Weds – West Brom 2–1 (2–0) 5.754.751.46 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Preston – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.73
06.04.26 Blackburn – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.573.102.70 2.30 1.62
21.03.26 Bristol City – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.302.75 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Sheffield United – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.704.50 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 Oxford – West Brom 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.202.25 2.20 1.67
10.02.26 Birmingham – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.10 1.73
31.01.26 Portsmouth – West Brom 3–0 (2–0) 3.203.102.35 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsWest Brom wins
6matches
1.83goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.26E1 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
13.09.25E1 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
21.04.25E1 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
26.12.24E1 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
27.12.21E1 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
14.09.21E1 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 6 3 2 1 14 7 +7 11
2 West Ham 6 3 2 1 14 9 +5 11
3 Swansea 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
4 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
5 QPR 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
6 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
7 West Brom 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6 7 -1 10
9 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
10 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 8 8 0 9
11 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13 10 +3 8
12 Watford 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
13 Wrexham 6 1 4 1 7 5 +2 7
14 Birmingham 5 1 4 0 7 6 +1 7
15 Stoke 6 2 1 3 9 10 -1 7
16 Norwich 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6
17 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
18 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
19 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
20 Cardiff 6 0 4 2 7 10 -3 4
21 Derby 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
22 Bolton 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9
2 West Brom 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
3 Watford 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
4 West Ham 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6
5 Millwall 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
6 Stoke 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
7 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
8 Charlton 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
9 Swansea 3 1 2 0 2 0 +2 5
10 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
11 QPR 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
13 Norwich 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
14 Birmingham 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
15 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
16 Blackburn 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
17 Bolton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
18 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
19 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Preston 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
21 Burnley 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
22 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
23 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
24 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
2 QPR 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Swansea 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
4 Wrexham 3 1 2 0 4 1 +3 5
5 West Ham 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
6 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
7 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
8 Wolves 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 4
9 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
10 Charlton 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
11 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
12 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
13 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
14 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
15 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
16 Norwich 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
17 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
19 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1
20 Watford 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
21 Burnley 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
22 Stoke 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
24 Preston 3 0 0 3 2 5 -3 0

Derby   West Brom

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 West Ham 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 3 2 1 14 9 11
2 11 Wolves 5 0 5 2.6 2.0 2 2 1 13 10 8
3 18 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.2 1.5 1 2 3 7 9 5
4 24 Preston 6 1 5 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
5 1 Southampton 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 3 2 1 14 7 11
6 6 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
7 9 Millwall 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
8 10 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 3 1 8 8 9
9 15 Stoke 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 1 3 9 10 7
10 16 Norwich 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6
11 21 Derby 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
12 22 Bolton 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
13 23 Burnley 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
14 3 Swansea 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
15 4 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
16 5 QPR 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
17 7 West Brom 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
18 8 Charlton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 1 1 6 7 10
19 14 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 1 4 0 7 6 7
20 17 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6
21 20 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 0 4 2 7 10 4
22 12 Watford 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
23 13 Wrexham 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 1 4 1 7 5 7
24 19 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Southampton 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9
2 2 West Ham 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6
3 9 Millwall 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
4 18 Blackburn 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
5 24 Preston 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
6 4 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
7 10 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
8 11 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
9 12 Watford 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
10 14 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
11 15 Stoke 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
12 16 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
13 21 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
14 22 Bolton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
15 23 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
16 5 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
17 6 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
18 7 West Brom 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
19 8 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
20 13 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
21 17 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
22 19 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
23 20 Cardiff 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
24 3 Swansea 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 1 2 0 2 0 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Swansea 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
2 6 Bristol City 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
3 11 Wolves 3 0 3 2.3 2.3 1 1 1 7 7 4
4 2 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
5 5 QPR 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
6 7 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
7 8 Charlton 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
8 10 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
9 15 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
10 16 Norwich 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
11 17 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
12 18 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
13 20 Cardiff 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1
14 21 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
15 22 Bolton 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
16 23 Burnley 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
17 24 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 0 3 2 5 0
18 1 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
19 4 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
20 9 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
21 13 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 1 2 0 4 1 5
22 14 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
23 19 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
24 12 Watford 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40