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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Derby 2–1 Sheffield Weds

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.24 fair 1.62
Draw 5.25 fair 4.70
Away 12.00 fair 5.91
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Sheffield Weds
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
7 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (422 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.96 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawSheffield Weds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11% 2–0 10.8% 1–1 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.49scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 52:46
Sheffield Weds before this match, all matches
0.31points / match
0.60scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 21:71
Derby all matches all matches Sheffield Weds

Per match

1.49 Goals scored 0.60
1.31 Goals conceded 2.03
2.80 Total goals 2.63
10.26 Shots 8.60
3.46 Shots on target 2.51
12.46 Shots faced 15.60
4.60 Corners 4.66
5.49 Corners against 6.29
12.11 Fouls 11.26
2.23 Yellow cards 1.46
0.66 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

40% Wins 3%
26% Draws 23%
34% Losses 74%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
51% Over 2.5 goals 57%
26% Over 3.5 goals 26%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 43%
23% Clean sheets 9%
9% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 17%
37% Draws 31%
29% Losses 51%
77% Over 0.5 goals 74%
26% Over 1.5 goals 34%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Sheffield Weds all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 24:24
Sheffield Weds before this match, away
0.41points / match
0.71scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 12:33
Derby at home away Sheffield Weds

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.71
1.33 Goals conceded 1.94
2.67 Total goals 2.65
10.67 Shots 7.53
3.61 Shots on target 2.59
11.78 Shots faced 16.94
5.39 Corners 4.41
4.83 Corners against 6.53
11.61 Fouls 11.35
2.06 Yellow cards 1.53
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

33% Wins 6%
33% Draws 24%
33% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
78% Over 1.5 goals 82%
39% Over 2.5 goals 59%
22% Over 3.5 goals 29%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
72% Both teams scored 47%
22% Clean sheets 12%
6% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 18%
44% Draws 24%
33% Losses 59%
78% Over 0.5 goals 82%
28% Over 1.5 goals 35%
11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Sheffield Weds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67
24.02.26 Hull – Derby 4–2 (2–2) 2.553.202.70 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Watford – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.40 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Derby – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Derby – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby 0–5 (0–3) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
20.01.26 Charlton – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.53
17.01.26 Preston – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67

Sheffield Weds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Southampton 1–3 (0–2) 9.505.251.27 1.57 2.38
25.02.26 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.50 2.63
22.02.26 Sheffield United – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–0) 1.119.0012.00 1.44 2.75
14.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 9.004.331.35 1.88 1.98
08.02.26 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.275.259.50 1.80 2.00
03.02.26 Blackburn – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.008.50 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Sheffield Weds – Wrexham 0–1 (0–0) 6.254.751.41 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.008.50 1.62 2.30
20.01.26 Sheffield Weds – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.201.45 1.80 2.00
17.01.26 Sheffield Weds – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.252.10 2.20 1.67

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Derby – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Derby – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 Derby – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.75 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.204.00 2.20 1.67
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62

Sheffield Weds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.26 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.50 2.63
22.02.26 Sheffield United – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–0) 1.119.0012.00 1.44 2.75
08.02.26 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.275.259.50 1.80 2.00
03.02.26 Blackburn – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.008.50 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.008.50 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 QPR – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.394.756.50 1.80 2.00
01.01.26 Preston – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.464.007.00 1.85 2.00
20.12.25 Ipswich – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.57 2.38
09.12.25 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.00 1.57 2.38
26.11.25 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.25 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsSheffield Weds wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.25E1 Sheffield Weds – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.202.20 2.10 1.73
01.01.25E1 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
01.12.24E1 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
07.05.23E2 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
03.12.22E2 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 35 21 8 6 72 38 +34 71
2 Middlesbrough 35 19 9 7 54 35 +19 66
3 Millwall 36 19 8 9 50 41 +9 65
4 Ipswich 34 18 9 7 60 34 +26 63
5 Hull 36 18 6 12 57 52 +5 60
6 Wrexham 35 15 12 8 54 45 +9 57
7 Southampton 35 14 11 10 57 46 +11 53
8 Derby 35 14 9 12 52 46 +6 51
9 Watford 35 13 12 10 45 41 +4 51
10 Bristol City 35 14 8 13 48 44 +4 50
11 Birmingham 35 13 10 12 46 46 0 49
12 Preston 36 12 13 11 42 43 -1 49
13 Sheffield United 35 15 3 17 50 48 +2 48
14 Stoke 35 13 8 14 39 34 +5 47
15 QPR 35 13 8 14 46 54 -8 47
16 Swansea 35 13 7 15 40 43 -3 46
17 Norwich 35 13 6 16 47 44 +3 45
18 Charlton 35 10 11 14 33 44 -11 41
19 Leicester 35 10 10 15 47 56 -9 40
20 Portsmouth 35 10 10 15 35 45 -10 40
21 Blackburn 36 10 9 17 34 47 -13 39
22 Oxford 36 8 11 17 34 48 -14 35
23 West Brom 35 9 8 18 34 52 -18 35
24 Sheffield Weds 35 1 8 26 21 71 -50 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 17 13 3 1 36 13 +23 42
2 Ipswich 18 12 5 1 34 12 +22 41
3 Middlesbrough 17 10 5 2 26 12 +14 35
4 Millwall 18 10 3 5 26 21 +5 33
5 Swansea 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
6 Watford 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
7 Birmingham 17 8 7 2 31 18 +13 31
8 Southampton 17 8 6 3 26 14 +12 30
9 Wrexham 18 8 6 4 33 28 +5 30
10 Hull 19 9 3 7 29 31 -2 30
11 Preston 19 7 6 6 23 23 0 27
12 Sheffield United 17 8 2 7 28 20 +8 26
13 QPR 17 8 2 7 29 26 +3 26
14 Stoke 17 7 4 6 23 17 +6 25
15 Bristol City 18 7 4 7 28 24 +4 25
16 Charlton 17 7 4 6 17 18 -1 25
17 Derby 18 6 6 6 24 24 0 24
18 West Brom 17 6 6 5 19 22 -3 24
19 Portsmouth 17 6 4 7 18 17 +1 22
20 Leicester 17 6 4 7 23 25 -2 22
21 Norwich 17 6 1 10 19 22 -3 19
22 Blackburn 19 4 6 9 18 25 -7 18
23 Oxford 17 4 6 7 15 23 -8 18
24 Sheffield Weds 18 0 4 14 9 38 -29 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 18 9 5 4 24 20 +4 32
2 Middlesbrough 18 9 4 5 28 23 +5 31
3 Hull 17 9 3 5 28 21 +7 30
4 Coventry 18 8 5 5 36 25 +11 29
5 Derby 17 8 3 6 28 22 +6 27
6 Wrexham 17 7 6 4 21 17 +4 27
7 Norwich 18 7 5 6 28 22 +6 26
8 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 20 20 0 25
9 Southampton 18 6 5 7 31 32 -1 23
10 Ipswich 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22
11 Preston 17 5 7 5 19 20 -1 22
12 Stoke 18 6 4 8 16 17 -1 22
13 Sheffield United 18 7 1 10 22 28 -6 22
14 Blackburn 17 6 3 8 16 22 -6 21
15 QPR 18 5 6 7 17 28 -11 21
16 Watford 17 4 7 6 19 22 -3 19
17 Leicester 18 4 6 8 24 31 -7 18
18 Portsmouth 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18
19 Birmingham 18 5 3 10 15 28 -13 18
20 Oxford 19 4 5 10 19 25 -6 17
21 Charlton 18 3 7 8 16 26 -10 16
22 Swansea 17 4 2 11 14 24 -10 14
23 West Brom 18 3 2 13 15 30 -15 11
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 4 12 12 33 -21 7

Derby   Sheffield Weds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 36 13 23 1.6 1.4 18 6 12 57 52 60
2 1 Coventry 35 13 22 2.1 1.1 21 8 6 72 38 71
3 15 QPR 35 13 22 1.3 1.5 13 8 14 46 54 47
4 19 Leicester 35 13 22 1.3 1.6 10 10 15 47 56 40
5 7 Southampton 35 14 21 1.6 1.3 14 11 10 57 46 53
6 13 Sheffield United 35 15 20 1.4 1.4 15 3 17 50 48 48
7 24 Sheffield Weds 35 15 20 0.6 2.0 1 8 26 21 71 11
8 2 Middlesbrough 35 16 19 1.5 1.0 19 9 7 54 35 66
9 22 Oxford 36 17 19 0.9 1.3 8 11 17 34 48 35
10 3 Millwall 36 18 18 1.4 1.1 19 8 9 50 41 65
11 4 Ipswich 34 16 18 1.8 1.0 18 9 7 60 34 63
12 8 Derby 35 17 18 1.5 1.3 14 9 12 52 46 51
13 11 Birmingham 35 17 18 1.3 1.3 13 10 12 46 46 49
14 10 Bristol City 35 18 17 1.4 1.3 14 8 13 48 44 50
15 17 Norwich 35 18 17 1.3 1.3 13 6 16 47 44 45
16 23 West Brom 35 18 17 1.0 1.5 9 8 18 34 52 35
17 6 Wrexham 35 19 16 1.5 1.3 15 12 8 54 45 57
18 9 Watford 35 19 16 1.3 1.2 13 12 10 45 41 51
19 16 Swansea 35 19 16 1.1 1.2 13 7 15 40 43 46
20 12 Preston 36 21 15 1.2 1.2 12 13 11 42 43 49
21 14 Stoke 35 20 15 1.1 1.0 13 8 14 39 34 47
22 20 Portsmouth 35 20 15 1.0 1.3 10 10 15 35 45 40
23 21 Blackburn 36 21 15 0.9 1.3 10 9 17 34 47 39
24 18 Charlton 35 22 13 0.9 1.3 10 11 14 33 44 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 QPR 17 4 13 1.7 1.5 8 2 7 29 26 26
2 5 Hull 19 7 12 1.5 1.6 9 3 7 29 31 30
3 13 Sheffield United 17 5 12 1.6 1.2 8 2 7 28 20 26
4 1 Coventry 17 7 10 2.1 0.8 13 3 1 36 13 42
5 3 Millwall 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 10 3 5 26 21 33
6 4 Ipswich 18 8 10 1.9 0.7 12 5 1 34 12 41
7 6 Wrexham 18 8 10 1.8 1.6 8 6 4 33 28 30
8 10 Bristol City 18 8 10 1.6 1.3 7 4 7 28 24 25
9 24 Sheffield Weds 18 8 10 0.5 2.1 0 4 14 9 38 4
10 11 Birmingham 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 8 7 2 31 18 31
11 12 Preston 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 23 23 27
12 14 Stoke 17 8 9 1.4 1.0 7 4 6 23 17 25
13 19 Leicester 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 6 4 7 23 25 22
14 22 Oxford 17 8 9 0.9 1.4 4 6 7 15 23 18
15 2 Middlesbrough 17 9 8 1.5 0.7 10 5 2 26 12 35
16 7 Southampton 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 6 3 26 14 30
17 9 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
18 16 Swansea 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
19 17 Norwich 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 10 19 22 19
20 8 Derby 18 11 7 1.3 1.3 6 6 6 24 24 24
21 20 Portsmouth 17 10 7 1.1 1.0 6 4 7 18 17 22
22 21 Blackburn 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 4 6 9 18 25 18
23 23 West Brom 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 19 22 24
24 18 Charlton 17 11 6 1.0 1.1 7 4 6 17 18 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Southampton 18 5 13 1.7 1.8 6 5 7 31 32 23
2 19 Leicester 18 5 13 1.3 1.7 4 6 8 24 31 18
3 1 Coventry 18 6 12 2.0 1.4 8 5 5 36 25 29
4 2 Middlesbrough 18 7 11 1.6 1.3 9 4 5 28 23 31
5 5 Hull 17 6 11 1.6 1.2 9 3 5 28 21 30
6 8 Derby 17 6 11 1.6 1.3 8 3 6 28 22 27
7 22 Oxford 19 9 10 1.0 1.3 4 5 10 19 25 17
8 23 West Brom 18 8 10 0.8 1.7 3 2 13 15 30 11
9 24 Sheffield Weds 17 7 10 0.7 1.9 1 4 12 12 33 7
10 11 Birmingham 18 9 9 0.8 1.6 5 3 10 15 28 18
11 15 QPR 18 9 9 0.9 1.6 5 6 7 17 28 21
12 17 Norwich 18 9 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 6 28 22 26
13 3 Millwall 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 20 32
14 4 Ipswich 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22
15 9 Watford 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 4 7 6 19 22 19
16 13 Sheffield United 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 7 1 10 22 28 22
17 16 Swansea 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 4 2 11 14 24 14
18 20 Portsmouth 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 4 6 8 17 28 18
19 21 Blackburn 17 9 8 0.9 1.3 6 3 8 16 22 21
20 10 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 4 6 20 20 25
21 18 Charlton 18 11 7 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 16 26 16
22 6 Wrexham 17 11 6 1.2 1.0 7 6 4 21 17 27
23 12 Preston 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 7 5 19 20 22
24 14 Stoke 18 12 6 0.9 0.9 6 4 8 16 17 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51