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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Madley

Wolves 1–0 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.93
Draw 4.75 fair 4.33
Away 8.00 fair 4.00
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Wolves Watford
24 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
1.95 Expected goals (xG) 0.16
14 Corners 2
12 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Wolves to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.81 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
WolvesDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Wolves before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.73scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:16
Watford before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.91scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:19
Wolves all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 0.91
1.45 Goals conceded 1.73
3.18 Total goals 2.64
1.72 xG created 1.11
1.00 xG allowed 1.89
16.18 Shots 13.00
4.27 Shots on target 4.36
10.91 Shots faced 15.91
6.45 Corners 3.64
4.00 Corners against 5.82
11.82 Fouls 11.27
1.55 Yellow cards 2.73
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 1.36

How often Full Time

45% Wins 27%
27% Draws 18%
27% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 45%
55% Over 3.5 goals 18%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
73% Both teams scored 55%
18% Clean sheets 9%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 9%
64% Draws 27%
18% Losses 64%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
45% Over 1.5 goals 55%
27% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wolves all matches
Watford all matches
Wolves before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:7
Watford before this match, away
0.20points / match
0.40scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:10
Wolves at home away Watford

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.40
1.40 Goals conceded 2.00
3.20 Total goals 2.40
1.93 xG created 0.95
0.87 xG allowed 2.20
17.00 Shots 10.80
4.40 Shots on target 3.40
9.00 Shots faced 15.60
7.00 Corners 3.20
3.60 Corners against 5.60
12.60 Fouls 12.60
1.80 Yellow cards 3.20
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.80

How often Full Time

40% Wins 0%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
80% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
60% Draws 20%
20% Losses 80%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Wolves at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Wolves all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Wolves – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.105.25 1.80 2.00
16.10.26 Burnley – Wolves 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.502.15 1.83 2.03
13.10.26 Wolves – Bolton 1–3 (0–1) 1.374.507.50 1.57 2.38
10.10.26 Middlesbrough – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.702.85 1.62 2.30
20.09.26 Wolves – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.704.33 1.93 1.93
13.09.26 Sheffield United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.10 1.73 2.10
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 West Ham – Wolves 4–2 (2–1) 2.013.603.40 1.67 2.20
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Preston – Wolves 1–3 (0–1) 4.203.401.81 1.80 2.00

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Watford – Charlton 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.70 1.91 1.91
13.10.26 Cardiff – Watford 5–1 (4–0) 1.574.105.00 1.50 2.63
10.10.26 Watford – Burnley 0–4 (0–3) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
18.09.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
12.09.26 Watford – Stoke 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.10 1.93 1.93
08.09.26 Watford – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.40 1.93 1.93
05.09.26 West Brom – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 1.91 1.91
01.09.26 Swansea – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Watford – West Ham 1–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.79 1.62 2.30
22.08.26 Wrexham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.863.504.00 1.90 1.95

Wolves at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Wolves – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.105.25 1.80 2.00
13.10.26 Wolves – Bolton 1–3 (0–1) 1.374.507.50 1.57 2.38
20.09.26 Wolves – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.704.33 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Wolves – Stoke 4–1 (2–1) 1.454.336.50 1.73 2.10
14.08.26 Wolves – Blackburn 2–2 (1–1) 1.493.906.25 1.91 1.91
17.05.26E0 Wolves – Fulham 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
02.05.26E0 Wolves – Sunderland 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.10 2.10 1.73
25.04.26E0 Wolves – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.67 2.20
03.03.26E0 Wolves – Liverpool 2–1 (0–0) 5.504.501.50 1.62 2.30
27.02.26E0 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.10.26 Cardiff – Watford 5–1 (4–0) 1.574.105.00 1.50 2.63
18.09.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 West Brom – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 1.91 1.91
01.09.26 Swansea – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.20 1.93 1.93
22.08.26 Wrexham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.863.504.00 1.90 1.95
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
21.04.26 West Brom – Watford 3–0 (2–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 Oxford – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.73
03.04.26 QPR – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.402.65 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Wolves winsDrawsWatford wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.22E0 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
11.09.21E0 Watford – Wolves 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27 17 +10 25
2 Swansea 11 7 2 2 16 8 +8 23
3 West Ham 11 6 4 1 30 12 +18 22
4 Southampton 11 6 3 2 21 10 +11 21
5 Birmingham 11 5 5 1 20 11 +9 20
6 West Brom 11 6 2 3 15 12 +3 20
7 Stoke 11 6 1 4 18 16 +2 19
8 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 16 +3 18
9 Portsmouth 12 5 3 4 16 15 +1 18
10 QPR 11 4 5 2 15 12 +3 17
11 Sheffield United 12 4 4 4 16 15 +1 16
12 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 17 16 +1 15
13 Millwall 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
14 Wrexham 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
15 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 12 15 -3 14
16 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16 23 -7 14
17 Charlton 12 3 5 4 11 18 -7 14
18 Norwich 12 4 0 8 20 22 -2 12
19 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 9 19 -10 12
20 Cardiff 11 2 5 4 18 17 +1 11
21 Watford 11 3 2 6 10 19 -9 11
22 Burnley 11 1 5 5 16 21 -5 8
23 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 21 -11 7
24 Preston 11 1 1 9 9 24 -15 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 6 5 1 0 16 4 +12 16
2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 14 9 +5 14
3 Swansea 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11
4 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
5 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
6 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10
7 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
8 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10
9 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
10 Stoke 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
11 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
12 Charlton 6 2 3 1 5 5 0 9
13 Millwall 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
14 QPR 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
15 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8
16 Wolves 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
17 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
18 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 10 0 6
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
20 Bolton 6 2 0 4 7 12 -5 6
21 Burnley 6 0 4 2 8 10 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Derby 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2
24 Lincoln 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12
2 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11
4 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
5 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
6 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
7 Stoke 6 3 1 2 8 10 -2 10
8 QPR 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9
9 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Portsmouth 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
11 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
12 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
13 Bolton 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
14 Millwall 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
15 Blackburn 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
16 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 12 -2 6
17 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
18 Southampton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
19 Derby 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
20 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
21 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
22 Cardiff 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
23 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
24 Preston 6 0 1 5 5 15 -10 1

Wolves   Watford

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 2.2 1.4 7 4 1 27 17 25
2 12 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 17 16 15
3 13 Millwall 12 3 9 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
4 18 Norwich 12 3 9 1.7 1.8 4 0 8 20 22 12
5 3 West Ham 11 3 8 2.7 1.1 6 4 1 30 12 22
6 5 Birmingham 11 3 8 1.8 1.0 5 5 1 20 11 20
7 7 Stoke 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 6 1 4 18 16 19
8 16 Bolton 12 4 8 1.3 1.9 4 2 6 16 23 14
9 22 Burnley 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 1 5 5 16 21 8
10 24 Preston 11 3 8 0.8 2.2 1 1 9 9 24 4
11 8 Wolves 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 5 3 3 19 16 18
12 11 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 4 4 4 16 15 16
13 20 Cardiff 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 2 5 4 18 17 11
14 2 Swansea 11 5 6 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 16 8 23
15 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 3 2 21 10 21
16 9 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 5 3 4 16 15 18
17 10 QPR 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 4 5 2 15 12 17
18 14 Wrexham 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
19 17 Charlton 12 6 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 4 11 18 14
20 19 Lincoln 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 5 9 19 12
21 23 Derby 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 1 4 7 10 21 7
22 6 West Brom 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 6 2 3 15 12 20
23 15 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 2 5 12 15 14
24 21 Watford 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 6 10 19 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 4 2 0 14 9 14
2 5 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10
3 12 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 13 Millwall 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
5 3 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
6 4 Southampton 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 1 0 16 4 16
7 7 Stoke 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
8 9 Portsmouth 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
9 14 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8
10 16 Bolton 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 4 7 12 6
11 18 Norwich 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 0 4 10 10 6
12 21 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10
13 22 Burnley 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 0 4 2 8 10 4
14 8 Wolves 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
15 10 QPR 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
16 11 Sheffield United 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
17 19 Lincoln 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
18 20 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
19 23 Derby 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2
20 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
21 2 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11
22 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
23 17 Charlton 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 2 3 1 5 5 9
24 15 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 2.0 2 0 4 10 12 6
2 24 Preston 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 0 1 5 5 15 1
3 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11
4 2 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
5 3 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12
6 7 Stoke 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 2 8 10 10
7 8 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
8 11 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
9 12 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
10 13 Millwall 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
11 15 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
12 16 Bolton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
13 17 Charlton 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
14 20 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
15 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
16 5 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
17 6 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
18 10 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 3 1 7 7 9
19 19 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
20 23 Derby 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
21 4 Southampton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
22 9 Portsmouth 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 14 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
24 21 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51