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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Oxford 2–0 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.35 fair 2.91
Draw 3.20 fair 3.61
Away 3.00 fair 2.64
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.33

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Watford
15 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 5
8 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (494 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 11.3% 1–0 10.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.95scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 39:54
Watford before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.27scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 52:49
Oxford all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.27
1.32 Goals conceded 1.20
2.27 Total goals 2.46
11.66 Shots 14.15
3.29 Shots on target 4.59
14.02 Shots faced 11.24
3.80 Corners 5.10
7.22 Corners against 5.10
10.80 Fouls 10.76
1.63 Yellow cards 2.07
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

22% Wins 34%
34% Draws 37%
44% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 95%
68% Over 1.5 goals 78%
49% Over 2.5 goals 46%
20% Over 3.5 goals 22%
2% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 63%
17% Clean sheets 17%
39% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 20%
39% Draws 49%
37% Losses 32%
78% Over 0.5 goals 68%
44% Over 1.5 goals 39%
15% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Watford all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
1.15points / match
0.90scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 18:25
Watford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.10scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 22:28
Oxford at home away Watford

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 1.10
1.25 Goals conceded 1.40
2.15 Total goals 2.50
13.50 Shots 12.20
3.85 Shots on target 3.55
11.05 Shots faced 11.60
4.10 Corners 4.60
6.00 Corners against 5.55
10.40 Fouls 10.60
1.30 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

25% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
35% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
65% Over 1.5 goals 70%
45% Over 2.5 goals 50%
15% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 70%
20% Clean sheets 10%
40% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 10%
35% Draws 50%
35% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 35%
15% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Portsmouth – Oxford 2–2 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.20 1.67
03.04.26 Oxford – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.202.85 2.10 1.73
21.03.26 Southampton – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 1.514.006.00 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Oxford – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.25 2.20 1.67
11.03.26 Oxford – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.102.65 2.30 1.62
06.03.26 Preston – Oxford 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.203.50 2.30 1.62
28.02.26 Oxford – West Brom 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.202.25 2.20 1.67
25.02.26 Stoke – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 1.793.504.50 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.26 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Watford – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.00 1.80
03.04.26 QPR – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.402.65 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Watford – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.603.50 1.91 1.91
17.03.26 Watford – Wrexham 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.00 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73
10.03.26 Sheffield Weds – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.41 1.90 1.95
27.02.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.402.65 2.05 1.80
24.02.26 Watford – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.252.15 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Watford – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.40 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Preston – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.202.20 2.20 1.67

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Oxford – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.202.85 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Oxford – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.25 2.20 1.67
11.03.26 Oxford – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.102.65 2.30 1.62
28.02.26 Oxford – West Brom 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.202.25 2.20 1.67
10.02.26 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67
31.01.26 Oxford – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.402.05 2.10 1.73
20.01.26 Oxford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.202.75 2.30 1.62
17.01.26 Oxford – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.00 1.85
29.12.25 Oxford – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.052.55 2.10 1.73
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 QPR – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.402.65 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73
10.03.26 Sheffield Weds – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.41 1.90 1.95
27.02.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.402.65 2.05 1.80
14.02.26 Preston – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.202.20 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
03.02.26 Hull – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 Blackburn – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.65 2.20 1.67
29.12.25 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.65 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Leicester – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.05 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsWatford wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25E1 Watford – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.963.253.90 2.00 1.80
15.03.25E1 Oxford – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.252.55 2.20 1.67
08.11.24E1 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 42 25 10 7 84 42 +42 85
2 Ipswich 40 21 12 7 71 40 +31 75
3 Millwall 42 21 10 11 56 47 +9 73
4 Middlesbrough 41 20 12 9 62 41 +21 72
5 Hull 41 20 8 13 63 58 +5 68
6 Southampton 40 18 12 10 68 49 +19 66
7 Wrexham 41 17 13 11 63 58 +5 64
8 Derby 41 18 9 14 60 51 +9 63
9 Norwich 42 17 7 18 55 50 +5 58
10 Bristol City 42 16 10 16 52 51 +1 58
11 QPR 42 16 10 16 58 63 -5 58
12 Watford 41 14 15 12 52 49 +3 57
13 Stoke 41 15 9 17 48 45 +3 54
14 Preston 41 13 15 13 48 52 -4 54
15 Swansea 41 15 9 17 49 54 -5 54
16 Birmingham 41 14 11 16 49 52 -3 53
17 Sheffield United 41 15 6 20 57 58 -1 51
18 Charlton 41 12 13 16 38 49 -11 49
19 Leicester 41 11 14 16 54 63 -9 47
20 Blackburn 41 12 11 18 37 49 -12 47
21 West Brom 42 11 13 18 42 56 -14 46
22 Portsmouth 40 10 12 18 40 57 -17 42
23 Oxford 41 9 14 18 39 54 -15 41
24 Sheffield Weds 42 1 11 30 25 82 -57 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 21 15 4 2 43 17 +26 49
2 Ipswich 21 13 7 1 38 15 +23 46
3 Watford 21 10 7 4 30 21 +9 37
4 Southampton 19 10 6 3 29 14 +15 36
5 Middlesbrough 20 10 6 4 28 16 +12 36
6 Swansea 21 10 6 5 30 24 +6 36
7 Millwall 21 11 3 7 29 25 +4 36
8 Birmingham 20 9 8 3 33 20 +13 35
9 Hull 21 10 4 7 32 32 0 34
10 QPR 21 10 3 8 37 32 +5 33
11 Derby 21 9 6 6 29 25 +4 33
12 Wrexham 21 9 6 6 37 35 +2 33
13 Stoke 20 9 5 6 31 21 +10 32
14 Preston 21 8 7 6 27 25 +2 31
15 West Brom 21 7 9 5 25 25 0 30
16 Sheffield United 20 8 4 8 33 26 +7 28
17 Bristol City 21 8 4 9 29 27 +2 28
18 Charlton 20 8 4 8 19 21 -2 28
19 Leicester 20 7 5 8 28 30 -2 26
20 Norwich 21 8 2 11 24 26 -2 26
21 Portsmouth 20 6 5 9 21 22 -1 23
22 Oxford 20 5 8 7 18 25 -7 23
23 Blackburn 21 4 8 9 18 25 -7 20
24 Sheffield Weds 21 0 6 15 11 42 -31 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 21 10 7 4 27 22 +5 37
2 Coventry 21 10 6 5 41 25 +16 36
3 Middlesbrough 21 10 6 5 34 25 +9 36
4 Hull 20 10 4 6 31 26 +5 34
5 Norwich 21 9 5 7 31 24 +7 32
6 Wrexham 20 8 7 5 26 23 +3 31
7 Derby 20 9 3 8 31 26 +5 30
8 Southampton 21 8 6 7 39 35 +4 30
9 Bristol City 21 8 6 7 23 24 -1 30
10 Ipswich 19 8 5 6 33 25 +8 29
11 Blackburn 20 8 3 9 19 24 -5 27
12 QPR 21 6 7 8 21 31 -10 25
13 Preston 20 5 8 7 21 27 -6 23
14 Sheffield United 21 7 2 12 24 32 -8 23
15 Stoke 21 6 4 11 17 24 -7 22
16 Leicester 21 4 9 8 26 33 -7 21
17 Charlton 21 4 9 8 19 28 -9 21
18 Watford 20 4 8 8 22 28 -6 20
19 Portsmouth 20 4 7 9 19 35 -16 19
20 Oxford 21 4 6 11 21 29 -8 18
21 Swansea 20 5 3 12 19 30 -11 18
22 Birmingham 21 5 3 13 16 32 -16 18
23 West Brom 21 4 4 13 17 31 -14 16
24 Sheffield Weds 21 1 5 15 14 40 -26 8

Oxford   Watford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 42 16 26 2.0 1.0 25 10 7 84 42 85
2 5 Hull 41 15 26 1.5 1.4 20 8 13 63 58 68
3 11 QPR 42 16 26 1.4 1.5 16 10 16 58 63 58
4 19 Leicester 41 17 24 1.3 1.5 11 14 16 54 63 47
5 6 Southampton 40 17 23 1.7 1.2 18 12 10 68 49 66
6 17 Sheffield United 41 18 23 1.4 1.4 15 6 20 57 58 51
7 4 Middlesbrough 41 19 22 1.5 1.0 20 12 9 62 41 72
8 24 Sheffield Weds 42 20 22 0.6 2.0 1 11 30 25 82 14
9 3 Millwall 42 21 21 1.3 1.1 21 10 11 56 47 73
10 7 Wrexham 41 20 21 1.5 1.4 17 13 11 63 58 64
11 2 Ipswich 40 20 20 1.8 1.0 21 12 7 71 40 75
12 8 Derby 41 21 20 1.5 1.2 18 9 14 60 51 63
13 15 Swansea 41 21 20 1.2 1.3 15 9 17 49 54 54
14 23 Oxford 41 21 20 1.0 1.3 9 14 18 39 54 41
15 9 Norwich 42 23 19 1.3 1.2 17 7 18 55 50 58
16 12 Watford 41 22 19 1.3 1.2 14 15 12 52 49 57
17 16 Birmingham 41 22 19 1.2 1.3 14 11 16 49 52 53
18 21 West Brom 42 23 19 1.0 1.3 11 13 18 42 56 46
19 10 Bristol City 42 24 18 1.2 1.2 16 10 16 52 51 58
20 13 Stoke 41 23 18 1.2 1.1 15 9 17 48 45 54
21 14 Preston 41 23 18 1.2 1.3 13 15 13 48 52 54
22 22 Portsmouth 40 22 18 1.0 1.4 10 12 18 40 57 42
23 20 Blackburn 41 25 16 0.9 1.2 12 11 18 37 49 47
24 18 Charlton 41 27 14 0.9 1.2 12 13 16 38 49 49
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 QPR 21 5 16 1.8 1.5 10 3 8 37 32 33
2 17 Sheffield United 20 6 14 1.6 1.3 8 4 8 33 26 28
3 1 Coventry 21 8 13 2.0 0.8 15 4 2 43 17 49
4 5 Hull 21 8 13 1.5 1.5 10 4 7 32 32 34
5 3 Millwall 21 9 12 1.4 1.2 11 3 7 29 25 36
6 7 Wrexham 21 9 12 1.8 1.7 9 6 6 37 35 33
7 2 Ipswich 21 10 11 1.8 0.7 13 7 1 38 15 46
8 13 Stoke 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 9 5 6 31 21 32
9 19 Leicester 20 9 11 1.4 1.5 7 5 8 28 30 26
10 10 Bristol City 21 11 10 1.4 1.3 8 4 9 29 27 28
11 14 Preston 21 11 10 1.3 1.2 8 7 6 27 25 31
12 15 Swansea 21 11 10 1.4 1.1 10 6 5 30 24 36
13 24 Sheffield Weds 21 11 10 0.5 2.0 0 6 15 11 42 6
14 4 Middlesbrough 20 11 9 1.4 0.8 10 6 4 28 16 36
15 9 Norwich 21 12 9 1.1 1.2 8 2 11 24 26 26
16 12 Watford 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 10 7 4 30 21 37
17 16 Birmingham 20 11 9 1.6 1.0 9 8 3 33 20 35
18 21 West Brom 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 7 9 5 25 25 30
19 22 Portsmouth 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 6 5 9 21 22 23
20 23 Oxford 20 11 9 0.9 1.2 5 8 7 18 25 23
21 6 Southampton 19 11 8 1.5 0.7 10 6 3 29 14 36
22 8 Derby 21 13 8 1.4 1.2 9 6 6 29 25 33
23 18 Charlton 20 13 7 0.9 1.1 8 4 8 19 21 28
24 20 Blackburn 21 14 7 0.9 1.2 4 8 9 18 25 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Southampton 21 6 15 1.9 1.7 8 6 7 39 35 30
2 1 Coventry 21 8 13 2.0 1.2 10 6 5 41 25 36
3 4 Middlesbrough 21 8 13 1.6 1.2 10 6 5 34 25 36
4 5 Hull 20 7 13 1.6 1.3 10 4 6 31 26 34
5 19 Leicester 21 8 13 1.2 1.6 4 9 8 26 33 21
6 8 Derby 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 9 3 8 31 26 30
7 24 Sheffield Weds 21 9 12 0.7 1.9 1 5 15 14 40 8
8 23 Oxford 21 10 11 1.0 1.4 4 6 11 21 29 18
9 9 Norwich 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 9 5 7 31 24 32
10 11 QPR 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 7 8 21 31 25
11 12 Watford 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 4 8 8 22 28 20
12 15 Swansea 20 10 10 0.9 1.5 5 3 12 19 30 18
13 16 Birmingham 21 11 10 0.8 1.5 5 3 13 16 32 18
14 21 West Brom 21 11 10 0.8 1.5 4 4 13 17 31 16
15 2 Ipswich 19 10 9 1.7 1.3 8 5 6 33 25 29
16 3 Millwall 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 10 7 4 27 22 37
17 7 Wrexham 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 8 7 5 26 23 31
18 17 Sheffield United 21 12 9 1.1 1.5 7 2 12 24 32 23
19 20 Blackburn 20 11 9 0.9 1.2 8 3 9 19 24 27
20 22 Portsmouth 20 11 9 0.9 1.8 4 7 9 19 35 19
21 10 Bristol City 21 13 8 1.1 1.1 8 6 7 23 24 30
22 14 Preston 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 5 8 7 21 27 23
23 13 Stoke 21 14 7 0.8 1.1 6 4 11 17 24 22
24 18 Charlton 21 14 7 0.9 1.3 4 9 8 19 28 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40