Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Cardiff 5–1 Watford

Full time · half time 4–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.11
Draw 4.10 fair 4.00
Away 5.00 fair 3.64
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Watford
22 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 4
3.67 Expected goals (xG) 1.46
6 Corners 1
12 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (107 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
1.22scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:14
Watford before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.78scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:14
Cardiff all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 0.78
1.56 Goals conceded 1.56
2.78 Total goals 2.33
1.75 xG created 0.89
1.64 xG allowed 1.76
17.78 Shots 11.89
6.00 Shots on target 3.78
12.89 Shots faced 15.44
7.67 Corners 3.89
5.00 Corners against 6.11
9.89 Fouls 11.33
1.89 Yellow cards 2.56
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.44
1.11 1st-half goals conceded 1.22

How often Full Time

11% Wins 22%
44% Draws 22%
44% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 56%
0% Clean sheets 0%
22% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 11%
22% Draws 22%
56% Losses 67%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
33% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Watford all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.75scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:5
Watford before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:5
Cardiff at home away Watford

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.25
1.25 Goals conceded 1.25
3.00 Total goals 1.50
2.24 xG created 0.83
1.36 xG allowed 1.84
23.00 Shots 10.00
7.00 Shots on target 3.25
10.50 Shots faced 14.00
8.75 Corners 3.75
4.25 Corners against 5.50
9.00 Fouls 12.75
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.25
1.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
75% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 25%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 25%
50% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Blackburn – Cardiff 2–1 (2–0) 2.653.502.40 1.62 2.30
19.09.26 Cardiff – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 1.793.804.00 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.402.50 1.62 2.30
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Portsmouth – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.323.402.85 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
02.05.26E2 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Watford – Burnley 0–4 (0–3) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
18.09.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
12.09.26 Watford – Stoke 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.10 1.93 1.93
08.09.26 Watford – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.40 1.93 1.93
05.09.26 West Brom – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 1.91 1.91
01.09.26 Swansea – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Watford – West Ham 1–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.79 1.62 2.30
22.08.26 Wrexham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.863.504.00 1.90 1.95
16.08.26 Watford – Southampton 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Watford – Coventry 0–4 (0–2) 3.304.001.91 1.57 2.38

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Cardiff – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 1.793.804.00 1.67 2.20
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
25.04.26E2 Cardiff – Northampton 5–1 (3–0) 1.117.5015.00 1.36 3.10
22.04.26E2 Cardiff – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.257.00 1.53 2.40
11.04.26E2 Cardiff – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 1.714.004.00 1.50 2.50
21.03.26E2 Cardiff – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.03.26E2 Cardiff – Wycombe 0–2 (0–0) 1.623.804.75 1.70 2.10
07.03.26E2 Cardiff – Lincoln 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.303.00 1.85 1.95

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 West Brom – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 1.91 1.91
01.09.26 Swansea – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.20 1.93 1.93
22.08.26 Wrexham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.863.504.00 1.90 1.95
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
21.04.26 West Brom – Watford 3–0 (2–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 Oxford – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.73
03.04.26 QPR – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.402.65 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73
10.03.26 Sheffield Weds – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.41 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsWatford wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.73
29.12.24E1 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
03.02.24E1 Watford – Cardiff 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 2.03 1.83
07.10.23E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
19.04.23E1 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
02.11.22E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15 7 +8 20
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17 12 +5 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 20 10 +10 17
4 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23 12 +11 16
5 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 13 +2 16
6 Wolves 8 4 2 2 15 11 +4 14
7 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
8 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13 11 +2 14
9 Millwall 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
10 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10 9 +1 14
11 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 13 -1 14
12 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8 11 -3 13
13 Blackburn 9 3 3 3 14 13 +1 12
14 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
15 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 10 13 -3 11
16 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 7 11 -4 11
17 Bolton 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
18 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17 19 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
20 Watford 9 2 2 5 7 14 -7 8
21 Cardiff 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7
22 Burnley 9 1 4 4 13 17 -4 7
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8 15 -7 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8 16 -8 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 5 5 0 0 16 4 +12 15
2 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 12 7 +5 13
3 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
4 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
5 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
6 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
7 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
8 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
9 Millwall 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
10 Wolves 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
11 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
12 Watford 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
13 Norwich 4 2 0 2 10 8 +2 6
14 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
15 Bolton 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
16 Bristol City 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
17 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
18 QPR 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
19 Birmingham 4 0 4 0 7 7 0 4
20 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
21 Burnley 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Lincoln 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
24 Derby 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
2 Swansea 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
3 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Lincoln 5 3 0 2 4 5 -1 9
5 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
6 Wolves 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
7 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
8 Stoke 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
9 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
10 West Brom 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
11 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
12 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
14 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
15 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
16 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
17 Bolton 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
18 Charlton 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
19 Blackburn 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
20 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
21 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
22 Preston 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
23 Watford 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
24 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1

Cardiff   Watford

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Blackburn 9 1 8 1.6 1.4 3 3 3 14 13 12
2 18 Norwich 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 0 6 17 19 9
3 4 West Ham 9 2 7 2.6 1.3 4 4 1 23 12 16
4 5 Stoke 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 5 1 3 15 13 16
5 9 Millwall 9 2 7 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
6 1 Swansea 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 6 2 1 15 7 20
7 2 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 5 3 1 17 12 18
8 3 Southampton 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 5 2 2 20 10 17
9 8 Birmingham 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 1 13 11 14
10 14 Sheffield United 9 3 6 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
11 17 Bolton 9 3 6 1.3 1.9 3 1 5 12 17 10
12 22 Burnley 9 3 6 1.4 1.9 1 4 4 13 17 7
13 24 Preston 9 3 6 0.9 1.8 1 1 7 8 16 4
14 6 Wolves 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 2 15 11 14
15 11 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 4 2 3 12 13 14
16 21 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7
17 23 Derby 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 1 3 5 8 15 6
18 7 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
19 12 Charlton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 2 8 11 13
20 15 Wrexham 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 2 5 2 10 13 11
21 16 Lincoln 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 3 2 4 7 11 11
22 19 Portsmouth 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
23 20 Watford 9 5 4 0.8 1.6 2 2 5 7 14 8
24 10 West Brom 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 3 10 9 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
2 2 Middlesbrough 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 4 1 0 12 7 13
3 3 Southampton 5 1 4 3.2 0.8 5 0 0 16 4 15
4 4 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
5 9 Millwall 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7
6 18 Norwich 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 0 2 10 8 6
7 20 Watford 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
8 5 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
9 8 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 0 4 0 7 7 4
10 14 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
11 17 Bolton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
12 23 Derby 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
13 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
14 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
15 6 Wolves 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
16 7 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
17 15 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
18 16 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
19 19 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
20 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
21 22 Burnley 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
22 10 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 11 Bristol City 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
24 12 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
2 5 Stoke 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
3 11 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
4 18 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
5 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
6 4 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
7 6 Wolves 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
8 8 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
9 9 Millwall 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
10 12 Charlton 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
11 13 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
12 14 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
13 17 Bolton 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
14 21 Cardiff 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
15 24 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
16 2 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 3 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
18 7 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
19 10 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
20 15 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
21 16 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 2 4 5 9
22 19 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
23 23 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
24 20 Watford 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51