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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Reeves

QPR 1–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.91 fair 1.81
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.63
Away 3.70 fair 4.33
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Burnley
20 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
1.76 Expected goals (xG) 0.15
8 Corners 1
5 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.62scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:16
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.69points / match
1.31scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:25
QPR all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.31
1.23 Goals conceded 1.92
2.85 Total goals 3.23
1.66 xG created 1.34
1.14 xG allowed 1.53
14.38 Shots 14.08
4.85 Shots on target 4.15
11.92 Shots faced 13.92
5.38 Corners 4.69
4.23 Corners against 4.38
9.08 Fouls 10.08
2.00 Yellow cards 1.92
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

38% Wins 8%
38% Draws 46%
23% Losses 46%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 92%
62% Over 2.5 goals 69%
38% Over 3.5 goals 54%
23% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 85%
23% Clean sheets 15%
31% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
31% Draws 38%
31% Losses 31%
77% Over 0.5 goals 85%
38% Over 1.5 goals 46%
23% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Burnley all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.83points / match
2.17scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:5
Burnley before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.50scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:15
QPR at home away Burnley

Per match

2.17 Goals scored 1.50
0.83 Goals conceded 2.50
3.00 Total goals 4.00
2.22 xG created 1.63
0.98 xG allowed 1.72
17.50 Shots 14.83
6.17 Shots on target 4.83
10.50 Shots faced 15.67
6.67 Corners 4.50
3.83 Corners against 3.50
7.33 Fouls 9.83
1.33 Yellow cards 1.67
1.33 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

50% Wins 17%
33% Draws 17%
17% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 83%
50% Over 3.5 goals 83%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 83%
33% Clean sheets 17%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
17% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.26 Southampton – QPR 4–1 (1–0) 1.763.804.00 1.57 2.38
24.10.26 QPR – Swansea 5–0 (4–0) 2.453.302.65 1.98 1.88
17.10.26 Birmingham – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.91 1.91
14.10.26 QPR – Derby 4–1 (3–0) 1.663.804.50 1.80 2.00
09.10.26 West Ham – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.414.337.00 1.53 2.50
19.09.26 QPR – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 1.683.754.75 1.80 2.00
12.09.26 West Brom – QPR 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.303.60 1.85 2.00
09.09.26 Charlton – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 1.98 1.88
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.26 Burnley – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.40 1.93 1.93
24.10.26 Lincoln – Burnley 4–1 (1–1) 3.003.402.25 1.90 1.95
16.10.26 Burnley – Wolves 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.502.15 1.83 2.03
13.10.26 Burnley – Charlton 2–2 (1–0) 1.613.705.25 1.85 2.00
10.10.26 Watford – Burnley 0–4 (0–3) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 Burnley – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
12.09.26 Swansea – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.30 1.90 1.95
08.09.26 Wrexham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.013.403.60 1.93 1.93
05.09.26 Burnley – Bristol City 1–2 (0–0) 1.813.604.00 1.83 2.03
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 QPR – Swansea 5–0 (4–0) 2.453.302.65 1.98 1.88
14.10.26 QPR – Derby 4–1 (3–0) 1.663.804.50 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 QPR – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 1.683.754.75 1.80 2.00
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 QPR – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.75 1.93 1.93
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.10 1.98 1.88
03.04.26 QPR – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.402.65 1.88 1.98

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Lincoln – Burnley 4–1 (1–1) 3.003.402.25 1.90 1.95
10.10.26 Watford – Burnley 0–4 (0–3) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
12.09.26 Swansea – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.30 1.90 1.95
08.09.26 Wrexham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.013.403.60 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Norwich – Burnley 4–1 (3–1) 2.203.603.00 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 West Brom – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.10 1.73
18.05.26E0 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40
01.05.26E0 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
19.04.26E0 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 4–1 (0–1) 1.504.207.00 1.73 2.10
21.03.26E0 Fulham – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
26.10.24E1 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
22.04.23E1 Burnley – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 1.364.759.50 1.80 2.00
11.12.22E1 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Middlesbrough 13 8 4 1 30 17 +13 28 DWWDWW
2 Southampton 13 8 3 2 28 13 +15 27 LWWDWW
3 Swansea 13 8 2 3 20 13 +7 26 WWWLLW
4 Wolves 13 7 3 3 23 16 +7 24 LLWDWW
5 West Brom 13 7 3 3 19 14 +5 24 LLWWDW
6 Birmingham 13 6 5 2 23 13 +10 23 DWWWLW
7 Stoke 13 7 2 4 20 16 +4 23 WWLWDW
8 West Ham 13 6 4 3 33 18 +15 22 DDWWLL
9 QPR 13 5 5 3 21 16 +5 20 DDWLWL
10 Sheffield United 13 5 4 4 17 15 +2 19 LWLWDW
11 Portsmouth 13 5 4 4 16 15 +1 19 LWWDWD
12 Millwall 13 5 3 5 23 21 +2 18 DWLDLW
13 Blackburn 13 5 3 5 19 20 -1 18 DWWLWL
14 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15 17 -2 18 WDLLDW
15 Norwich 13 5 0 8 23 24 -1 15 LLLLWW
16 Lincoln 13 4 3 6 14 23 -9 15 LLLDWL
17 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 19 20 -1 14 WLWDWL
18 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15 19 -4 14 WDLWLL
19 Bolton 13 4 2 7 18 26 -8 14 WLWDLL
20 Charlton 13 3 5 5 11 21 -10 14 LDDLLL
21 Watford 13 3 2 8 12 23 -11 11 LLLWLL
22 Burnley 13 1 6 6 17 25 -8 9 DWDLLD
23 Derby 13 1 4 8 11 25 -14 7 DDLLDL
24 Preston 13 1 2 10 10 27 -17 5 DLLLDL
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Southampton 7 6 1 0 20 5 +15 19 WWWWDW
2 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 0 17 9 +8 17 WWDWDW
3 Swansea 7 4 2 1 11 3 +8 14 WDWWLW
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 13 7 +6 14 WWLDWW
5 Stoke 7 4 1 2 12 6 +6 13 WWWLDW
6 Cardiff 6 3 3 0 13 6 +7 12 DDDWWW
7 Blackburn 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12 WLLWWW
8 QPR 6 3 2 1 13 5 +8 11 DWLDWW
9 Millwall 7 3 2 2 15 9 +6 11 LWDLDW
10 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11 WDWDLW
11 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11 WLLWDW
12 West Ham 7 3 1 3 18 11 +7 10 WWWDLL
13 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10 DDDDWW
14 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10 LLWDWW
15 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10 WDWLLW
16 Norwich 7 3 0 4 13 12 +1 9 WWLLLW
17 Charlton 6 2 3 1 5 5 0 9 WWDDDL
18 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8 DLDWLW
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6 LWLWLL
20 Bolton 7 2 0 5 9 15 -6 6 LLWLLL
21 Burnley 7 0 5 2 8 10 -2 5 DLDDLD
22 Lincoln 7 1 2 4 8 16 -8 5 DDLLWL
23 Preston 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4 LLWLLD
24 Derby 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2 DLLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Birmingham 7 4 1 2 9 6 +3 13 WLWWLW
2 West Brom 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13 LWLWDW
3 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12 DDWDWW
4 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 12 11 +1 12 WWLDDW
5 Swansea 6 4 0 2 9 10 -1 12 WWLWWL
6 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11 LDWDWW
7 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10 WLDWLW
8 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10 LWWWLD
9 Stoke 6 3 1 2 8 10 -2 10 LLDWWW
10 Portsmouth 7 2 3 2 6 5 +1 9 LDLWDD
11 QPR 7 2 3 2 8 11 -3 9 WDDDLL
12 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8 DDWLLW
13 Southampton 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8 LDDLWW
14 Bolton 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8 DLLWWD
15 Millwall 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7 WLLDWL
16 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 12 -2 6 LLWLLW
17 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 8 13 -5 6 DLDWLL
18 Wrexham 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6 WDLDLL
19 Derby 7 1 2 4 7 15 -8 5 WLDLDL
20 Charlton 7 1 2 4 6 16 -10 5 DLLDLL
21 Burnley 6 1 1 4 9 15 -6 4 LLDLWL
22 Cardiff 7 0 2 5 6 14 -8 2 LLLLDL
23 Watford 7 0 1 6 4 14 -10 1 LLLLLL
24 Preston 7 0 1 6 5 17 -12 1 LLDLLL

QPR   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Middlesbrough 13 3 10 2.3 1.3 8 4 1 30 17 28 OUOOOO
2 8 West Ham 13 3 10 2.5 1.4 6 4 3 33 18 22 OUOUOO
3 12 Millwall 13 3 10 1.8 1.6 5 3 5 23 21 18 OUUOOO
4 13 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.5 1.5 5 3 5 19 20 18 OOUOUO
5 15 Norwich 13 3 10 1.8 1.8 5 0 8 23 24 15 OOUUOO
6 6 Birmingham 13 4 9 1.8 1.0 6 5 2 23 13 23 OUOOUO
7 19 Bolton 13 4 9 1.4 2.0 4 2 7 18 26 14 OOOUOO
8 22 Burnley 13 4 9 1.3 1.9 1 6 6 17 25 9 UOOOOU
9 2 Southampton 13 5 8 2.2 1.0 8 3 2 28 13 27 OUUUOO
10 3 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.0 8 2 3 20 13 26 OOUUOO
11 4 Wolves 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 3 3 23 16 24 UOOUUO
12 7 Stoke 13 5 8 1.5 1.2 7 2 4 20 16 23 OOOUUU
13 9 QPR 13 5 8 1.6 1.2 5 5 3 21 16 20 OUOOOO
14 16 Lincoln 13 5 8 1.1 1.8 4 3 6 14 23 15 OOOOOO
15 17 Cardiff 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 3 5 5 19 20 14 OOOOUO
16 24 Preston 13 5 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 10 10 27 5 OUOOUU
17 10 Sheffield United 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 5 4 4 17 15 19 OOOUUU
18 20 Charlton 13 6 7 0.8 1.6 3 5 5 11 21 14 OUOUOO
19 23 Derby 13 6 7 0.8 1.9 1 4 8 11 25 7 UUOUUO
20 5 West Brom 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 3 19 14 24 UUOOUO
21 11 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 4 16 15 19 UOUUOU
22 14 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 5 15 17 18 UUUUUO
23 18 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 15 19 14 OUOOUU
24 21 Watford 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 3 2 8 12 23 11 UOOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Middlesbrough 7 1 6 2.4 1.3 5 2 0 17 9 17 OOOUOO
2 8 West Ham 7 1 6 2.6 1.6 3 1 3 18 11 10 OOOUOO
3 12 Millwall 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 3 2 2 15 9 11 OOOUOO
4 2 Southampton 7 2 5 2.9 0.7 6 1 0 20 5 19 OOOUUO
5 6 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10 OUOOOO
6 13 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12 OOOOOU
7 15 Norwich 7 2 5 1.9 1.7 3 0 4 13 12 9 OOOUUO
8 16 Lincoln 7 2 5 1.1 2.3 1 2 4 8 16 5 UUOOOO
9 19 Bolton 7 2 5 1.3 2.1 2 0 5 9 15 6 UOUOOO
10 4 Wolves 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 4 2 1 13 7 14 OUOUUO
11 7 Stoke 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 1 2 12 6 13 UOOOUU
12 9 QPR 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 3 2 1 13 5 11 UOUOOO
13 11 Portsmouth 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10 OUUOOO
14 18 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8 UOUOOO
15 21 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10 OUOOOU
16 22 Burnley 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 0 5 2 8 10 5 UOUOOU
17 3 Swansea 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 4 2 1 11 3 14 UUOOUO
18 10 Sheffield United 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11 OOUOUU
19 17 Cardiff 6 3 3 2.2 1.0 3 3 0 13 6 12 UOUOOU
20 23 Derby 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2 OOUOUU
21 24 Preston 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4 OOOUUU
22 5 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11 OUUUUO
23 20 Charlton 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 2 3 1 5 5 9 OUUUUO
24 14 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Swansea 6 1 5 1.5 1.7 4 0 2 9 10 12 OOOOUO
2 13 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 1 3 3 8 13 6 UOOUOO
3 14 Bristol City 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 3 1 12 11 12 OOOUUO
4 15 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 2.0 2 0 4 10 12 6 OUOOOO
5 17 Cardiff 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 5 6 14 2 OUUOOO
6 20 Charlton 7 2 5 0.9 2.3 1 2 4 6 16 5 UOOOUO
7 22 Burnley 6 1 5 1.5 2.5 1 1 4 9 15 4 OOUOOO
8 24 Preston 7 2 5 0.7 2.4 0 1 6 5 17 1 UOOOOU
9 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11 OUUOOO
10 4 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10 OOOUUO
11 5 West Brom 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13 OUUOUO
12 6 Birmingham 7 3 4 1.3 0.9 4 1 2 9 6 13 OOOUUO
13 7 Stoke 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 2 8 10 10 OOUOOU
14 8 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12 OUOOOU
15 9 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 2 8 11 9 OUUUOO
16 10 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8 UOOOOU
17 12 Millwall 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7 UOOOUO
18 19 Bolton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8 UOOOOU
19 23 Derby 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 2 4 7 15 5 UOUOUO
20 2 Southampton 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8 OUUOUO
21 16 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10 OUUUOO
22 11 Portsmouth 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 3 2 6 5 9 OUUUUU
23 18 Wrexham 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6 OUOUUU
24 21 Watford 7 5 2 0.6 2.0 0 1 6 4 14 1 UUUOUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 6 Nov 2026, 21:44