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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: W Finnie

Accrington 0–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.10 fair 2.42
Draw 3.50 fair 3.72
Away ✓ 2.25 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Accrington Derby
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 6
7 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (147 league matches this season so far).
Result Accrington to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
AccringtonDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.17scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:16
Derby before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.09scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:11
Accrington all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.09
1.33 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 2.09
15.17 Shots 14.64
4.00 Shots on target 4.64
12.17 Shots faced 10.91
6.58 Corners 6.64
4.67 Corners against 4.64
12.08 Fouls 9.00
2.25 Yellow cards 1.36
0.08 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

33% Wins 45%
33% Draws 18%
33% Losses 36%
92% Over 0.5 goals 82%
58% Over 1.5 goals 64%
42% Over 2.5 goals 45%
25% Over 3.5 goals 9%
8% Over 4.5 goals 9%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 45%
33% Clean sheets 36%
33% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 36%
42% Draws 45%
50% Losses 18%
58% Over 0.5 goals 55%
8% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches
Derby all matches
Accrington before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:9
Derby before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.40scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:3
Accrington at home away Derby

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.40
1.50 Goals conceded 0.60
3.17 Total goals 1.00
15.67 Shots 15.00
4.50 Shots on target 4.40
11.67 Shots faced 9.40
5.33 Corners 6.60
5.67 Corners against 4.20
10.50 Fouls 7.40
2.00 Yellow cards 1.20
0.17 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

33% Wins 20%
50% Draws 40%
17% Losses 40%
83% Over 0.5 goals 60%
67% Over 1.5 goals 40%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
33% Clean sheets 60%
33% Failed to score 80%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 20%
50% Draws 60%
33% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 40%
17% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Plymouth – Accrington 3–0 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
01.10.22 Accrington – Morecambe 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.25 1.88 1.98
24.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Accrington 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.00
17.09.22 Accrington – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 1.80 2.00
13.09.22 Wycombe – Accrington 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.72 2.07
06.09.22 Forest Green – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.402.90 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Accrington – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Accrington – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.07
20.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.83 2.02
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70

Accrington at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Accrington – Morecambe 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.25 1.88 1.98
17.09.22 Accrington – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 1.80 2.00
03.09.22 Accrington – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Accrington – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.07
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Accrington – Charlton 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.90 1.95
23.04.22 Accrington – Lincoln 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.75 2.05
15.04.22 Accrington – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.80 2.05
02.04.22 Accrington – Cheltenham 4–4 (2–1) 2.203.603.10 1.88 1.98
26.03.22 Accrington – Gillingham 1–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.02 1.83

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E1 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
15.03.22E1 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
12.03.22E1 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 13 10 1 2 24 13 +11 31
2 Ipswich 13 9 3 1 27 11 +16 30
3 Sheffield Weds 13 8 2 3 25 12 +13 26
4 Peterboro 13 7 1 5 25 14 +11 22
5 Portsmouth 11 6 4 1 22 12 +10 22
6 Barnsley 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
7 Bolton 12 6 2 4 13 8 +5 20
8 Exeter 13 5 3 5 22 16 +6 18
9 Shrewsbury 12 5 3 4 13 14 -1 18
10 Derby 11 5 2 4 12 11 +1 17
11 Charlton 13 3 7 3 19 17 +2 16
12 Fleetwood Town 12 3 7 2 11 10 +1 16
13 Accrington 12 4 4 4 14 16 -2 16
14 Cambridge 13 5 1 7 15 23 -8 16
15 Bristol Rvs 13 4 3 6 18 23 -5 15
16 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 12 17 -5 15
17 Lincoln 11 3 5 3 14 16 -2 14
18 Wycombe 12 4 2 6 14 16 -2 14
19 Cheltenham 12 4 2 6 11 15 -4 14
20 Oxford 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
21 Forest Green 13 3 2 8 12 29 -17 11
22 Milton Keynes Dons 12 3 1 8 12 17 -5 10
23 Burton 13 2 2 9 15 28 -13 8
24 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 9 23 -14 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 7 7 0 0 13 2 +11 21
2 Peterboro 7 5 1 1 17 3 +14 16
3 Bolton 6 5 0 1 10 3 +7 15
4 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 17 8 +9 14
5 Ipswich 6 4 2 0 14 5 +9 14
6 Charlton 6 3 3 0 13 6 +7 12
7 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
8 Derby 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Cambridge 6 4 0 2 9 9 0 12
10 Exeter 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
11 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
12 Shrewsbury 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
13 Accrington 6 2 3 1 10 9 +1 9
14 Cheltenham 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
15 Port Vale 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
16 Bristol Rvs 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
17 Lincoln 5 1 4 0 6 4 +2 7
18 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
19 Fleetwood Town 6 1 4 1 4 4 0 7
20 Oxford 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
21 Forest Green 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 1 1 4 5 9 -4 4
23 Burton 6 1 0 5 3 12 -9 3
24 Morecambe 6 0 2 4 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
2 Sheffield Weds 6 4 0 2 8 4 +4 12
3 Portsmouth 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
4 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
5 Plymouth 6 3 1 2 11 11 0 10
6 Fleetwood Town 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9
7 Exeter 7 2 2 3 12 10 +2 8
8 Shrewsbury 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
9 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 8 10 -2 7
10 Accrington 6 2 1 3 4 7 -3 7
11 Lincoln 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
12 Wycombe 7 2 1 4 8 12 -4 7
13 Port Vale 6 2 1 3 6 11 -5 7
14 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 0 4 7 8 -1 6
15 Peterboro 6 2 0 4 8 11 -3 6
16 Derby 5 1 2 2 2 3 -1 5
17 Bolton 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5
18 Burton 7 1 2 4 12 16 -4 5
19 Cheltenham 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
20 Morecambe 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
21 Forest Green 6 1 2 3 7 15 -8 5
22 Oxford 5 1 1 3 3 5 -2 4
23 Charlton 7 0 4 3 6 11 -5 4
24 Cambridge 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4

Accrington   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 13 4 9 2.1 0.8 9 3 1 27 11 30
2 21 Forest Green 13 4 9 0.9 2.2 3 2 8 12 29 11
3 1 Plymouth 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 10 1 2 24 13 31
4 4 Peterboro 13 5 8 1.9 1.1 7 1 5 25 14 22
5 14 Cambridge 13 5 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 7 15 23 16
6 15 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 4 3 6 18 23 15
7 24 Morecambe 12 4 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 7 9 23 7
8 3 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 1.9 0.9 8 2 3 25 12 26
9 8 Exeter 13 6 7 1.7 1.2 5 3 5 22 16 18
10 16 Port Vale 12 5 7 1.0 1.4 4 3 5 12 17 15
11 18 Wycombe 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 4 2 6 14 16 14
12 23 Burton 13 6 7 1.2 2.2 2 2 9 15 28 8
13 5 Portsmouth 11 5 6 2.0 1.1 6 4 1 22 12 22
14 6 Barnsley 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
15 9 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 5 3 4 13 14 18
16 22 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 3 1 8 12 17 10
17 10 Derby 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 5 2 4 12 11 17
18 11 Charlton 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 3 7 3 19 17 16
19 13 Accrington 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 4 14 16 16
20 19 Cheltenham 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 4 2 6 11 15 14
21 17 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.3 1.5 3 5 3 14 16 14
22 20 Oxford 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 2 6 9 12 11
23 12 Fleetwood Town 12 9 3 0.9 0.8 3 7 2 11 10 16
24 7 Bolton 12 10 2 1.1 0.7 6 2 4 13 8 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 4 2 1 17 8 14
2 10 Derby 6 1 5 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
3 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
4 2 Ipswich 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 2 0 14 5 14
5 4 Peterboro 7 3 4 2.4 0.4 5 1 1 17 3 16
6 5 Portsmouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
7 9 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
8 15 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
9 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 0.5 2.0 0 2 4 3 12 2
10 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 7 0 0 13 2 21
11 6 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
12 8 Exeter 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
13 13 Accrington 6 3 3 1.7 1.5 2 3 1 10 9 9
14 14 Cambridge 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 4 0 2 9 9 12
15 16 Port Vale 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
16 19 Cheltenham 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
17 20 Oxford 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
18 7 Bolton 6 4 2 1.7 0.5 5 0 1 10 3 15
19 11 Charlton 6 4 2 2.2 1.0 3 3 0 13 6 12
20 18 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
21 22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 1 4 5 9 4
22 23 Burton 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 5 3 12 3
23 12 Fleetwood Town 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 1 4 1 4 4 7
24 17 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 1 4 0 6 4 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 6 1 5 1.8 1.8 3 1 2 11 11 10
2 2 Ipswich 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
3 14 Cambridge 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
4 18 Wycombe 7 2 5 1.1 1.7 2 1 4 8 12 7
5 23 Burton 7 2 5 1.7 2.3 1 2 4 12 16 5
6 4 Peterboro 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 2 0 4 8 11 6
7 8 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 2 2 3 12 10 8
8 15 Bristol Rvs 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 2 1 3 8 10 7
9 16 Port Vale 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 2 1 3 6 11 7
10 21 Forest Green 6 2 4 1.2 2.5 1 2 3 7 15 5
11 22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 2 0 4 7 8 6
12 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
13 6 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
14 11 Charlton 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 0 4 3 6 11 4
15 17 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
16 3 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 0 2 8 4 12
17 5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
18 9 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
19 12 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 3 1 7 6 9
20 13 Accrington 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 1 3 4 7 7
21 19 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
22 20 Oxford 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 1 3 3 5 4
23 7 Bolton 6 6 0 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5
24 10 Derby 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 1 2 2 2 3 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51