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England League One · ·Referee: O Yates

Bolton 1–3 Oxford

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.05 fair 2.17
Draw 3.50 fair 3.68
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 3.75
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Oxford
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
13 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.39 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawOxford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13% 1–1 12.8% 0–0 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.20scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:11
Oxford before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
1.07scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:17
Bolton all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.07
0.73 Goals conceded 1.21
1.93 Total goals 2.29
11.47 Shots 14.36
3.67 Shots on target 4.36
10.20 Shots faced 9.57
6.40 Corners 5.57
4.33 Corners against 4.07
10.73 Fouls 13.29
1.67 Yellow cards 1.93
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

53% Wins 29%
20% Draws 21%
27% Losses 50%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 64%
27% Over 2.5 goals 43%
13% Over 3.5 goals 7%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
27% Both teams scored 64%
47% Clean sheets 7%
40% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 21%
40% Draws 43%
27% Losses 36%
67% Over 0.5 goals 57%
27% Over 1.5 goals 21%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Oxford all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.38points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:4
Oxford before this match, away
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:8
Bolton at home away Oxford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.14
0.50 Goals conceded 1.14
2.00 Total goals 2.29
12.75 Shots 10.86
4.00 Shots on target 3.43
9.13 Shots faced 12.57
5.75 Corners 3.86
4.13 Corners against 5.29
10.38 Fouls 13.86
2.13 Yellow cards 2.14
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

75% Wins 29%
13% Draws 29%
13% Losses 43%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 57%
38% Over 2.5 goals 29%
13% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
25% Both teams scored 57%
63% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 43%
38% Draws 43%
13% Losses 14%
63% Over 0.5 goals 57%
38% Over 1.5 goals 14%
13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Oxford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
22.10.22 Accrington – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 1.93 1.93
15.10.22 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Forest Green – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.98 1.88
04.10.22 Cheltenham – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.90 2.05 1.75
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.37 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Plymouth – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.02 1.83

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.05
22.10.22 Oxford – Peterboro 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.602.75 1.80 2.05
15.10.22 Exeter – Oxford 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.403.20 1.98 1.88
08.10.22 Oxford – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.90
01.10.22 Charlton – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.00 1.85
13.09.22 Plymouth – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 1.88 1.98
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cheltenham – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Oxford – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.66 2.15

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.10.22 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.50 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05
06.08.22 Bolton – Wycombe 3–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 2.07 1.72
30.04.22 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 4–2 (1–1) 2.303.602.87 1.85 2.00
18.04.22 Bolton – Accrington 3–1 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.80 2.00

Oxford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.05
15.10.22 Exeter – Oxford 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.10.22 Charlton – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Plymouth – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 1.88 1.98
27.08.22 Cheltenham – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.75 2.05
13.08.22 Bristol Rvs – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
23.04.22 Rotherham – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.50 1.85 2.00
15.04.22 Fleetwood Town – Oxford 2–3 (1–3) 3.903.701.90 1.93 1.93
05.04.22 Morecambe – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 4.003.601.90 1.72 2.07

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsOxford wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22E2 Oxford – Bolton 2–3 (2–2) 1.903.404.00 1.75 2.05
21.08.21E2 Bolton – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 2.623.502.60 1.85 1.95

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 16 12 2 2 32 17 +15 38
2 Ipswich 16 11 3 2 31 14 +17 36
3 Sheffield Weds 16 9 4 3 29 14 +15 31
4 Peterboro 16 9 1 6 31 19 +12 28
5 Bolton 15 8 3 4 18 11 +7 27
6 Portsmouth 14 7 5 2 24 16 +8 26
7 Exeter 16 6 4 6 26 21 +5 22
8 Charlton 16 5 7 4 23 19 +4 22
9 Barnsley 15 6 3 6 17 14 +3 21
10 Derby 14 6 3 5 15 12 +3 21
11 Lincoln 14 5 6 3 17 17 0 21
12 Shrewsbury 15 6 3 6 15 17 -2 21
13 Wycombe 15 6 2 7 20 20 0 20
14 Bristol Rvs 16 5 5 6 25 27 -2 20
15 Port Vale 15 5 4 6 17 22 -5 19
16 Cambridge 16 6 1 9 18 28 -10 19
17 Fleetwood Town 15 3 8 4 13 14 -1 17
18 Cheltenham 15 5 2 8 13 20 -7 17
19 Accrington 15 4 4 7 17 25 -8 16
20 Oxford 14 4 3 7 15 17 -2 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 15 4 1 10 15 22 -7 13
22 Forest Green 16 3 4 9 15 33 -18 13
23 Burton 16 3 3 10 18 31 -13 12
24 Morecambe 15 2 5 8 11 25 -14 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 8 8 0 0 15 3 +12 24
2 Peterboro 8 6 1 1 20 4 +16 19
3 Bolton 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19
4 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
5 Sheffield Weds 8 4 3 1 18 9 +9 15
6 Charlton 8 4 3 1 16 8 +8 15
7 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0 13 7 +6 13
8 Exeter 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
9 Derby 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
10 Cheltenham 8 4 0 4 10 12 -2 12
11 Cambridge 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
12 Wycombe 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
13 Barnsley 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
14 Shrewsbury 7 3 1 3 7 9 -2 10
15 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
16 Accrington 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
17 Bristol Rvs 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
18 Lincoln 6 1 5 0 7 5 +2 8
19 Fleetwood Town 8 1 5 2 5 6 -1 8
20 Oxford 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Burton 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Forest Green 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
23 Morecambe 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 6 1 1 16 8 +8 19
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
4 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Lincoln 8 4 1 3 10 12 -2 13
6 Barnsley 8 3 2 3 9 6 +3 11
7 Bristol Rvs 8 3 2 3 13 12 +1 11
8 Shrewsbury 8 3 2 3 8 8 0 11
9 Wycombe 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10
10 Port Vale 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 10
11 Exeter 8 2 3 3 12 10 +2 9
12 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 0 4 9 8 +1 9
13 Fleetwood Town 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
14 Peterboro 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
15 Derby 7 2 2 3 5 4 +1 8
16 Oxford 7 2 2 3 8 8 0 8
17 Bolton 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
18 Charlton 8 1 4 3 7 11 -4 7
19 Accrington 7 2 1 4 5 10 -5 7
20 Cambridge 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
21 Forest Green 8 1 4 3 10 18 -8 7
22 Morecambe 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
23 Burton 8 1 2 5 13 18 -5 5
24 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5

Bolton   Oxford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 16 5 11 2.0 1.1 12 2 2 32 17 38
2 4 Peterboro 16 5 11 1.9 1.2 9 1 6 31 19 28
3 2 Ipswich 16 6 10 1.9 0.9 11 3 2 31 14 36
4 14 Bristol Rvs 16 6 10 1.6 1.7 5 5 6 25 27 20
5 22 Forest Green 16 6 10 0.9 2.1 3 4 9 15 33 13
6 7 Exeter 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 26 21 22
7 13 Wycombe 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 6 2 7 20 20 20
8 15 Port Vale 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 22 19
9 16 Cambridge 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 6 1 9 18 28 19
10 19 Accrington 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 4 4 7 17 25 16
11 23 Burton 16 8 8 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 18 31 12
12 24 Morecambe 15 7 8 0.7 1.7 2 5 8 11 25 11
13 3 Sheffield Weds 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 4 3 29 14 31
14 6 Portsmouth 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 5 2 24 16 26
15 12 Shrewsbury 15 8 7 1.0 1.1 6 3 6 15 17 21
16 21 Milton Keynes Dons 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 4 1 10 15 22 13
17 8 Charlton 16 10 6 1.4 1.2 5 7 4 23 19 22
18 9 Barnsley 15 9 6 1.1 0.9 6 3 6 17 14 21
19 10 Derby 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 6 3 5 15 12 21
20 18 Cheltenham 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 2 8 13 20 17
21 20 Oxford 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 4 3 7 15 17 15
22 5 Bolton 15 11 4 1.2 0.7 8 3 4 18 11 27
23 11 Lincoln 14 10 4 1.2 1.2 5 6 3 17 17 21
24 17 Fleetwood Town 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 3 8 4 13 14 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 2.2 1.1 4 3 1 18 9 15
2 4 Peterboro 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 6 1 1 20 4 19
3 7 Exeter 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
4 10 Derby 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
5 14 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
6 15 Port Vale 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
7 19 Accrington 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
8 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
9 1 Plymouth 8 4 4 1.9 0.4 8 0 0 15 3 24
10 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
11 6 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 4 0 13 7 13
12 12 Shrewsbury 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 3 7 9 10
13 13 Wycombe 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
14 18 Cheltenham 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 4 0 4 10 12 12
15 20 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
16 24 Morecambe 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
17 5 Bolton 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19
18 8 Charlton 8 5 3 2.0 1.0 4 3 1 16 8 15
19 9 Barnsley 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
20 16 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
21 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 23 Burton 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
23 11 Lincoln 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 5 0 7 5 8
24 17 Fleetwood Town 8 7 1 0.6 0.8 1 5 2 5 6 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
2 2 Ipswich 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 6 1 1 16 8 19
3 4 Peterboro 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
4 16 Cambridge 8 2 6 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
5 23 Burton 8 2 6 1.6 2.2 1 2 5 13 18 5
6 13 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10
7 14 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 2 3 13 12 11
8 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 4 3 10 18 7
9 7 Exeter 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 3 3 12 10 9
10 15 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 3 1 3 7 11 10
11 21 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 0 4 9 8 9
12 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 1 3 4 7 13 6
13 6 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
14 8 Charlton 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 3 7 11 7
15 9 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 3 2 3 9 6 11
16 11 Lincoln 8 5 3 1.2 1.5 4 1 3 10 12 13
17 12 Shrewsbury 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 3 8 8 11
18 17 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
19 19 Accrington 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 2 1 4 5 10 7
20 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
21 18 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
22 20 Oxford 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 2 3 8 8 8
23 5 Bolton 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
24 10 Derby 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 2 2 3 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51