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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Allison

Bolton 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.66 fair 1.91
Draw 3.75 fair 4.14
Away 5.25 fair 4.26
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Burton
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 8
10 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (171 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 11% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.14scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:10
Burton before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.13scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:29
Bolton all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.13
0.71 Goals conceded 1.93
1.86 Total goals 3.07
11.14 Shots 12.47
3.50 Shots on target 3.47
10.00 Shots faced 13.87
6.43 Corners 5.73
4.07 Corners against 5.27
10.79 Fouls 10.93
1.64 Yellow cards 1.33
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
21% Draws 20%
29% Losses 60%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 80%
21% Over 2.5 goals 47%
14% Over 3.5 goals 27%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
21% Both teams scored 47%
50% Clean sheets 13%
43% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 47%
29% Losses 27%
71% Over 0.5 goals 53%
29% Over 1.5 goals 27%
7% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Burton all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.29points / match
1.43scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:3
Burton before this match, away
0.71points / match
1.71scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:16
Bolton at home away Burton

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.71
0.43 Goals conceded 2.29
1.86 Total goals 4.00
12.29 Shots 12.86
3.71 Shots on target 3.71
8.57 Shots faced 15.86
5.71 Corners 5.43
3.57 Corners against 4.57
10.43 Fouls 12.00
2.14 Yellow cards 1.71
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

71% Wins 14%
14% Draws 29%
14% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 100%
29% Over 2.5 goals 71%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 29%
14% Both teams scored 71%
71% Clean sheets 14%
29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
29% Draws 43%
14% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Accrington – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 1.93 1.93
15.10.22 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Forest Green – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.98 1.88
04.10.22 Cheltenham – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.90 2.05 1.75
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.37 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Plymouth – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.50 2.02 1.83

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.50 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05
06.08.22 Bolton – Wycombe 3–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 2.07 1.72
30.04.22 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 4–2 (1–1) 2.303.602.87 1.85 2.00
18.04.22 Bolton – Accrington 3–1 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.80 2.00
09.04.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.05 1.75

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
23.04.22 Doncaster – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
15.04.22 Accrington – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.80 2.05
02.04.22 Morecambe – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.22E2 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 15 11 2 2 30 16 +14 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 3 2 28 12 +16 33
3 Sheffield Weds 15 9 3 3 28 13 +15 30
4 Peterboro 15 8 1 6 28 18 +10 25
5 Portsmouth 13 7 4 2 23 15 +8 25
6 Bolton 14 7 3 4 16 10 +6 24
7 Charlton 15 5 7 3 23 17 +6 22
8 Exeter 15 6 3 6 26 21 +5 21
9 Barnsley 14 6 3 5 17 13 +4 21
10 Shrewsbury 14 6 3 5 14 15 -1 21
11 Derby 13 6 2 5 15 12 +3 20
12 Wycombe 14 6 2 6 18 17 +1 20
13 Bristol Rvs 15 5 4 6 24 26 -2 19
14 Port Vale 14 5 4 5 15 19 -4 19
15 Lincoln 13 4 6 3 16 17 -1 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 3 7 4 12 13 -1 16
17 Accrington 14 4 4 6 16 22 -6 16
18 Cambridge 15 5 1 9 15 26 -11 16
19 Oxford 13 4 2 7 14 16 -2 14
20 Cheltenham 14 4 2 8 12 20 -8 14
21 Burton 15 3 3 9 17 29 -12 12
22 Forest Green 15 3 3 9 14 32 -18 12
23 Morecambe 14 2 5 7 11 24 -13 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 14 3 1 10 13 22 -9 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 7 7 0 0 13 2 +11 21
2 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
3 Peterboro 7 5 1 1 17 3 +14 16
4 Bolton 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16
5 Charlton 7 4 3 0 16 6 +10 15
6 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 17 8 +9 14
7 Exeter 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
8 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
9 Derby 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
10 Cambridge 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
11 Wycombe 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
12 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
13 Shrewsbury 7 3 1 3 7 9 -2 10
14 Port Vale 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
15 Accrington 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
16 Bristol Rvs 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
17 Cheltenham 7 3 0 4 9 12 -3 9
18 Lincoln 6 1 5 0 7 5 +2 8
19 Fleetwood Town 7 1 4 2 4 5 -1 7
20 Oxford 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Burton 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Forest Green 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
23 Morecambe 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
4 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Barnsley 8 3 2 3 9 6 +3 11
6 Shrewsbury 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
7 Bristol Rvs 7 3 1 3 12 11 +1 10
8 Lincoln 7 3 1 3 9 12 -3 10
9 Wycombe 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10
10 Port Vale 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 10
11 Fleetwood Town 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
12 Peterboro 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
13 Exeter 7 2 2 3 12 10 +2 8
14 Derby 7 2 2 3 5 4 +1 8
15 Bolton 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
16 Oxford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
17 Accrington 6 2 1 3 4 7 -3 7
18 Charlton 8 1 4 3 7 11 -4 7
19 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 0 4 7 8 -1 6
20 Morecambe 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6
21 Forest Green 7 1 3 3 9 17 -8 6
22 Burton 7 1 2 4 12 16 -4 5
23 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5
24 Cambridge 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4

Bolton   Burton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 15 5 10 2.0 1.1 11 2 2 30 16 35
2 4 Peterboro 15 5 10 1.9 1.2 8 1 6 28 18 25
3 13 Bristol Rvs 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 4 6 24 26 19
4 22 Forest Green 15 5 10 0.9 2.1 3 3 9 14 32 12
5 2 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.8 10 3 2 28 12 33
6 8 Exeter 15 6 9 1.7 1.4 6 3 6 26 21 21
7 12 Wycombe 14 6 8 1.3 1.2 6 2 6 18 17 20
8 14 Port Vale 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 5 15 19 19
9 18 Cambridge 15 7 8 1.0 1.7 5 1 9 15 26 16
10 23 Morecambe 14 6 8 0.8 1.7 2 5 7 11 24 11
11 3 Sheffield Weds 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 28 13 30
12 5 Portsmouth 13 6 7 1.8 1.2 7 4 2 23 15 25
13 17 Accrington 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 6 16 22 16
14 21 Burton 15 8 7 1.1 1.9 3 3 9 17 29 12
15 24 Milton Keynes Dons 14 7 7 0.9 1.6 3 1 10 13 22 10
16 7 Charlton 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 5 7 3 23 17 22
17 9 Barnsley 14 8 6 1.2 0.9 6 3 5 17 13 21
18 10 Shrewsbury 14 8 6 1.0 1.1 6 3 5 14 15 21
19 11 Derby 13 7 6 1.2 0.9 6 2 5 15 12 20
20 19 Oxford 13 7 6 1.1 1.2 4 2 7 14 16 14
21 20 Cheltenham 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 4 2 8 12 20 14
22 15 Lincoln 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 6 3 16 17 18
23 16 Fleetwood Town 14 10 4 0.9 0.9 3 7 4 12 13 16
24 6 Bolton 14 11 3 1.1 0.7 7 3 4 16 10 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 4 2 1 17 8 14
2 8 Exeter 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
3 11 Derby 6 1 5 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
4 13 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
5 17 Accrington 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
6 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
7 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
8 4 Peterboro 7 3 4 2.4 0.4 5 1 1 17 3 16
9 5 Portsmouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
10 10 Shrewsbury 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 3 7 9 10
11 14 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
12 19 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
13 20 Cheltenham 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 3 0 4 9 12 9
14 23 Morecambe 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
15 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 7 0 0 13 2 21
16 7 Charlton 7 4 3 2.3 0.9 4 3 0 16 6 15
17 9 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
18 12 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
19 18 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
20 24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
21 6 Bolton 7 5 2 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16
22 21 Burton 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
23 15 Lincoln 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 5 0 7 5 8
24 16 Fleetwood Town 7 6 1 0.6 0.7 1 4 2 4 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
2 4 Peterboro 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
3 2 Ipswich 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
4 12 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10
5 13 Bristol Rvs 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 1 3 12 11 10
6 18 Cambridge 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
7 21 Burton 7 2 5 1.7 2.3 1 2 4 12 16 5
8 22 Forest Green 7 2 5 1.3 2.4 1 3 3 9 17 6
9 8 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 2 2 3 12 10 8
10 14 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 3 1 3 7 11 10
11 23 Morecambe 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6
12 24 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 2 0 4 7 8 6
13 5 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
14 7 Charlton 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 3 7 11 7
15 9 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 3 2 3 9 6 11
16 15 Lincoln 7 4 3 1.3 1.7 3 1 3 9 12 10
17 16 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
18 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
19 10 Shrewsbury 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
20 17 Accrington 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 1 3 4 7 7
21 19 Oxford 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
22 20 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
23 6 Bolton 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
24 11 Derby 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 2 2 3 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51