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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Howard

Lincoln 0–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.00 fair 1.96
Draw 3.40 fair 4.05
Away ✓ 3.80 fair 4.12
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.82 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 2.02 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Burton
13 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (521 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.02scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 44:43
Burton before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.31scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 55:78
Lincoln all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.02 Goals scored 1.31
1.00 Goals conceded 1.86
2.02 Total goals 3.17
9.79 Shots 11.71
3.37 Shots on target 3.93
12.51 Shots faced 14.36
4.12 Corners 5.38
5.53 Corners against 5.57
10.40 Fouls 10.74
1.65 Yellow cards 1.48
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

30% Wins 31%
47% Draws 24%
23% Losses 45%
81% Over 0.5 goals 95%
70% Over 1.5 goals 81%
28% Over 2.5 goals 57%
9% Over 3.5 goals 36%
5% Over 4.5 goals 26%
2% Over 5.5 goals 12%
44% Both teams scored 55%
40% Clean sheets 17%
35% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 26%
40% Draws 43%
21% Losses 31%
72% Over 0.5 goals 64%
28% Over 1.5 goals 38%
12% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Burton all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
1.52points / match
1.00scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 21:16
Burton before this match, away
0.90points / match
1.33scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 28:45
Lincoln at home away Burton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.33
0.76 Goals conceded 2.14
1.76 Total goals 3.48
10.43 Shots 11.24
3.52 Shots on target 3.62
11.48 Shots faced 15.38
4.48 Corners 4.81
5.19 Corners against 5.43
10.19 Fouls 11.67
1.86 Yellow cards 1.76
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

29% Wins 24%
67% Draws 19%
5% Losses 57%
76% Over 0.5 goals 95%
67% Over 1.5 goals 86%
19% Over 2.5 goals 67%
10% Over 3.5 goals 38%
5% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
52% Both teams scored 62%
43% Clean sheets 10%
29% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 19%
48% Draws 48%
14% Losses 33%
62% Over 0.5 goals 62%
14% Over 1.5 goals 43%
10% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Wycombe – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.00 1.85
18.04.23 Lincoln – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.91 2.15 1.67
15.04.23 Lincoln – Port Vale 3–2 (2–2) 2.553.302.80 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Plymouth – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.90 1.95
07.04.23 Lincoln – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.40 1.53
01.04.23 Sheffield Weds – Lincoln 1–1 (1–1) 1.444.338.50 1.95 1.90
25.03.23 Fleetwood Town – Lincoln 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.30 2.35 1.57
18.03.23 Lincoln – Peterboro 0–3 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 2.02 1.83
11.03.23 Exeter – Lincoln 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.80 2.25 1.62
07.03.23 Cheltenham – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.70 1.44

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Burton – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (3–1) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.00
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.23 Lincoln – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.91 2.15 1.67
15.04.23 Lincoln – Port Vale 3–2 (2–2) 2.553.302.80 2.25 1.62
07.04.23 Lincoln – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.40 1.53
18.03.23 Lincoln – Peterboro 0–3 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 2.02 1.83
04.03.23 Lincoln – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.65
28.02.23 Lincoln – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.40 1.53
18.02.23 Lincoln – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.60 2.10 1.70
11.02.23 Lincoln – Bristol Rvs 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.02 1.83
28.01.23 Lincoln – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
02.01.23 Lincoln – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.331.62 1.80 2.00

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20
18.02.23 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.40 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Portsmouth – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.755.00 1.93 1.93
04.02.23 Fleetwood Town – Burton 2–3 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.73
01.01.23 Morecambe – Burton 5–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Forest Green – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.502.60 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lincoln winsDrawsBurton wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22E2 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
29.01.22E2 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E2 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 43 28 8 7 76 46 +30 92
2 Ipswich 43 26 13 4 90 33 +57 91
3 Sheffield Weds 44 26 12 6 77 37 +40 90
4 Barnsley 43 26 7 10 76 38 +38 85
5 Bolton 43 21 12 10 57 33 +24 75
6 Derby 44 21 12 11 66 44 +22 75
7 Peterboro 44 23 4 17 73 54 +19 73
8 Portsmouth 44 17 17 10 58 47 +11 68
9 Wycombe 44 20 8 16 57 46 +11 68
10 Lincoln 43 13 20 10 44 43 +1 59
11 Charlton 44 15 13 16 65 62 +3 58
12 Fleetwood Town 44 14 15 15 51 47 +4 57
13 Shrewsbury 43 16 8 19 50 56 -6 56
14 Exeter 44 14 11 19 61 60 +1 53
15 Bristol Rvs 42 14 10 18 55 66 -11 52
16 Cheltenham 43 13 11 19 40 55 -15 50
17 Port Vale 44 13 10 21 45 65 -20 49
18 Burton 42 13 10 19 55 78 -23 49
19 Milton Keynes Dons 44 11 10 23 40 62 -22 43
20 Oxford 43 9 14 20 41 54 -13 41
21 Morecambe 44 9 14 21 42 73 -31 41
22 Cambridge 43 11 7 25 37 66 -29 40
23 Accrington 43 9 11 23 36 74 -38 38
24 Forest Green 44 6 9 29 31 84 -53 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 21 18 1 2 41 16 +25 55
2 Ipswich 22 15 6 1 54 13 +41 51
3 Sheffield Weds 22 15 6 1 48 16 +32 51
4 Barnsley 21 16 1 4 45 19 +26 49
5 Derby 22 13 5 4 39 19 +20 44
6 Bolton 21 13 5 3 30 12 +18 44
7 Peterboro 22 13 3 6 38 25 +13 42
8 Wycombe 22 11 5 6 32 21 +11 38
9 Portsmouth 22 9 10 3 32 20 +12 37
10 Shrewsbury 21 10 3 8 30 28 +2 33
11 Exeter 22 9 5 8 33 25 +8 32
12 Lincoln 21 6 14 1 21 16 +5 32
13 Charlton 22 8 7 7 41 29 +12 31
14 Cheltenham 22 8 7 7 23 25 -2 31
15 Burton 21 8 6 7 27 33 -6 30
16 Morecambe 22 7 8 7 27 29 -2 29
17 Port Vale 22 8 5 9 22 27 -5 29
18 Fleetwood Town 22 7 7 8 23 23 0 28
19 Cambridge 22 8 4 10 22 26 -4 28
20 Bristol Rvs 22 6 7 9 25 33 -8 25
21 Accrington 22 6 5 11 26 37 -11 23
22 Oxford 21 5 5 11 24 29 -5 20
23 Milton Keynes Dons 22 4 6 12 16 29 -13 18
24 Forest Green 22 5 2 15 15 39 -24 17
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 21 11 7 3 36 20 +16 40
2 Sheffield Weds 22 11 6 5 29 21 +8 39
3 Plymouth 22 10 7 5 35 30 +5 37
4 Barnsley 22 10 6 6 31 19 +12 36
5 Peterboro 22 10 1 11 35 29 +6 31
6 Bolton 22 8 7 7 27 21 +6 31
7 Derby 22 8 7 7 27 25 +2 31
8 Portsmouth 22 8 7 7 26 27 -1 31
9 Wycombe 22 9 3 10 25 25 0 30
10 Fleetwood Town 22 7 8 7 28 24 +4 29
11 Bristol Rvs 20 8 3 9 30 33 -3 27
12 Lincoln 22 7 6 9 23 27 -4 27
13 Charlton 22 7 6 9 24 33 -9 27
14 Milton Keynes Dons 22 7 4 11 24 33 -9 25
15 Shrewsbury 22 6 5 11 20 28 -8 23
16 Exeter 22 5 6 11 28 35 -7 21
17 Oxford 22 4 9 9 17 25 -8 21
18 Port Vale 22 5 5 12 23 38 -15 20
19 Cheltenham 21 5 4 12 17 30 -13 19
20 Burton 21 5 4 12 28 45 -17 19
21 Accrington 21 3 6 12 10 37 -27 15
22 Cambridge 21 3 3 15 15 40 -25 12
23 Morecambe 22 2 6 14 15 44 -29 12
24 Forest Green 22 1 7 14 16 45 -29 10

Lincoln   Burton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Peterboro 44 17 27 1.7 1.2 23 4 17 73 54 73
2 1 Plymouth 43 19 24 1.8 1.1 28 8 7 76 46 92
3 2 Ipswich 43 19 24 2.1 0.8 26 13 4 90 33 91
4 18 Burton 42 18 24 1.3 1.9 13 10 19 55 78 49
5 4 Barnsley 43 20 23 1.8 0.9 26 7 10 76 38 85
6 15 Bristol Rvs 42 19 23 1.3 1.6 14 10 18 55 66 52
7 17 Port Vale 44 22 22 1.0 1.5 13 10 21 45 65 49
8 21 Morecambe 44 22 22 1.0 1.7 9 14 21 42 73 41
9 11 Charlton 44 23 21 1.5 1.4 15 13 16 65 62 58
10 13 Shrewsbury 43 22 21 1.2 1.3 16 8 19 50 56 56
11 14 Exeter 44 23 21 1.4 1.4 14 11 19 61 60 53
12 24 Forest Green 44 23 21 0.7 1.9 6 9 29 31 84 27
13 6 Derby 44 24 20 1.5 1.0 21 12 11 66 44 75
14 23 Accrington 43 23 20 0.8 1.7 9 11 23 36 74 38
15 3 Sheffield Weds 44 25 19 1.8 0.8 26 12 6 77 37 90
16 12 Fleetwood Town 44 25 19 1.2 1.1 14 15 15 51 47 57
17 22 Cambridge 43 24 19 0.9 1.5 11 7 25 37 66 40
18 9 Wycombe 44 26 18 1.3 1.0 20 8 16 57 46 68
19 16 Cheltenham 43 25 18 0.9 1.3 13 11 19 40 55 50
20 8 Portsmouth 44 27 17 1.3 1.1 17 17 10 58 47 68
21 19 Milton Keynes Dons 44 28 16 0.9 1.4 11 10 23 40 62 43
22 20 Oxford 43 27 16 1.0 1.3 9 14 20 41 54 41
23 5 Bolton 43 28 15 1.3 0.8 21 12 10 57 33 75
24 10 Lincoln 43 31 12 1.0 1.0 13 20 10 44 43 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 22 8 14 2.5 0.6 15 6 1 54 13 51
2 7 Peterboro 22 8 14 1.7 1.1 13 3 6 38 25 42
3 4 Barnsley 21 8 13 2.1 0.9 16 1 4 45 19 49
4 13 Shrewsbury 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 10 3 8 30 28 33
5 1 Plymouth 21 10 11 2.0 0.8 18 1 2 41 16 55
6 3 Sheffield Weds 22 11 11 2.2 0.7 15 6 1 48 16 51
7 6 Derby 22 11 11 1.8 0.9 13 5 4 39 19 44
8 11 Charlton 22 11 11 1.9 1.3 8 7 7 41 29 31
9 14 Exeter 22 11 11 1.5 1.1 9 5 8 33 25 32
10 20 Oxford 21 10 11 1.1 1.4 5 5 11 24 29 20
11 23 Accrington 22 11 11 1.2 1.7 6 5 11 26 37 23
12 24 Forest Green 22 11 11 0.7 1.8 5 2 15 15 39 17
13 15 Bristol Rvs 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 6 7 9 25 33 25
14 18 Burton 21 11 10 1.3 1.6 8 6 7 27 33 30
15 21 Morecambe 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 7 8 7 27 29 29
16 8 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.5 0.9 9 10 3 32 20 37
17 12 Fleetwood Town 22 13 9 1.0 1.0 7 7 8 23 23 28
18 16 Cheltenham 22 13 9 1.0 1.1 8 7 7 23 25 31
19 17 Port Vale 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 8 5 9 22 27 29
20 22 Cambridge 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 8 4 10 22 26 28
21 9 Wycombe 22 14 8 1.5 1.0 11 5 6 32 21 38
22 5 Bolton 21 14 7 1.4 0.6 13 5 3 30 12 44
23 19 Milton Keynes Dons 22 16 6 0.7 1.3 4 6 12 16 29 18
24 10 Lincoln 21 17 4 1.0 0.8 6 14 1 21 16 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Burton 21 7 14 1.3 2.1 5 4 12 28 45 19
2 1 Plymouth 22 9 13 1.6 1.4 10 7 5 35 30 37
3 7 Peterboro 22 9 13 1.6 1.3 10 1 11 35 29 31
4 15 Bristol Rvs 20 7 13 1.5 1.6 8 3 9 30 33 27
5 17 Port Vale 22 9 13 1.0 1.7 5 5 12 23 38 20
6 21 Morecambe 22 10 12 0.7 2.0 2 6 14 15 44 12
7 2 Ipswich 21 11 10 1.7 1.0 11 7 3 36 20 40
8 4 Barnsley 22 12 10 1.4 0.9 10 6 6 31 19 36
9 9 Wycombe 22 12 10 1.1 1.1 9 3 10 25 25 30
10 11 Charlton 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 7 6 9 24 33 27
11 12 Fleetwood Town 22 12 10 1.3 1.1 7 8 7 28 24 29
12 14 Exeter 22 12 10 1.3 1.6 5 6 11 28 35 21
13 19 Milton Keynes Dons 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 7 4 11 24 33 25
14 22 Cambridge 21 11 10 0.7 1.9 3 3 15 15 40 12
15 24 Forest Green 22 12 10 0.7 2.0 1 7 14 16 45 10
16 6 Derby 22 13 9 1.2 1.1 8 7 7 27 25 31
17 13 Shrewsbury 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 6 5 11 20 28 23
18 16 Cheltenham 21 12 9 0.8 1.4 5 4 12 17 30 19
19 23 Accrington 21 12 9 0.5 1.8 3 6 12 10 37 15
20 3 Sheffield Weds 22 14 8 1.3 1.0 11 6 5 29 21 39
21 5 Bolton 22 14 8 1.2 1.0 8 7 7 27 21 31
22 8 Portsmouth 22 14 8 1.2 1.2 8 7 7 26 27 31
23 10 Lincoln 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 7 6 9 23 27 27
24 20 Oxford 22 17 5 0.8 1.1 4 9 9 17 25 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51