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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Burton 1–1 Bolton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.40 fair 3.56
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 3.98
Away 2.10 fair 2.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Bolton
14 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 8
7 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (498 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBolton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 10.3% 1–2 9.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.35scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 54:76
Bolton before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
1.34scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 55:32
Burton all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.34
1.90 Goals conceded 0.78
3.25 Total goals 2.12
11.80 Shots 11.24
3.88 Shots on target 3.59
13.95 Shots faced 10.95
5.45 Corners 5.27
5.45 Corners against 4.68
10.88 Fouls 11.07
1.50 Yellow cards 1.73
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

33% Wins 49%
23% Draws 27%
45% Losses 24%
95% Over 0.5 goals 85%
83% Over 1.5 goals 63%
60% Over 2.5 goals 37%
38% Over 3.5 goals 17%
28% Over 4.5 goals 10%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 37%
18% Clean sheets 49%
33% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 37%
43% Draws 37%
30% Losses 27%
65% Over 0.5 goals 71%
40% Over 1.5 goals 27%
23% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Bolton all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.30scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:32
Bolton before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.24scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:20
Burton at home away Bolton

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.24
1.60 Goals conceded 0.95
2.90 Total goals 2.19
12.10 Shots 10.86
4.05 Shots on target 3.29
12.90 Shots faced 12.14
6.10 Corners 5.38
5.60 Corners against 5.10
9.95 Fouls 12.10
1.20 Yellow cards 1.95
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

40% Wins 38%
25% Draws 29%
35% Losses 33%
95% Over 0.5 goals 86%
75% Over 1.5 goals 62%
50% Over 2.5 goals 38%
35% Over 3.5 goals 19%
20% Over 4.5 goals 14%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 43%
25% Clean sheets 38%
35% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 29%
40% Draws 38%
25% Losses 33%
65% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 24%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Bolton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Burton – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (3–1) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.00
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95
18.02.23 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.40 1.88 1.98

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Oxford – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
10.04.23 Bolton – Cambridge 1–1 (0–0) 1.573.757.00 2.02 1.83
07.04.23 Exeter – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70
17.03.23 Sheffield Weds – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.65
11.03.23 Bolton – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.10 2.05 1.80
04.03.23 Morecambe – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 1.83 2.02
28.02.23 Portsmouth – Bolton 3–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.08 1.73
25.02.23 Bolton – Port Vale 2–1 (2–1) 1.624.005.25 2.02 1.83
18.02.23 Wycombe – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.38 1.95 1.90
14.02.23 Bolton – Milton Keynes Dons 5–0 (3–0) 1.673.805.50 2.00 1.85

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Burton – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (3–1) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.00
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95
11.02.23 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
28.01.23 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05
14.01.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–4 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.70
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85

Bolton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Oxford – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
07.04.23 Exeter – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70
17.03.23 Sheffield Weds – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.65
04.03.23 Morecambe – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.801.67 1.83 2.02
28.02.23 Portsmouth – Bolton 3–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.08 1.73
18.02.23 Wycombe – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.38 1.95 1.90
11.02.23 Peterboro – Bolton 0–5 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.98 1.88
28.01.23 Charlton – Bolton 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.75 2.02 1.83
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
02.01.23 Barnsley – Bolton 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBolton wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.02.22E2 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 41 26 8 7 71 44 +27 86
2 Ipswich 41 24 13 4 85 32 +53 85
3 Sheffield Weds 42 24 12 6 73 35 +38 84
4 Barnsley 41 25 6 10 74 38 +36 81
5 Bolton 41 20 11 10 55 32 +23 71
6 Peterboro 42 22 4 16 71 50 +21 70
7 Derby 42 19 12 11 63 43 +20 69
8 Wycombe 42 19 8 15 55 43 +12 65
9 Portsmouth 42 16 16 10 56 46 +10 64
10 Shrewsbury 41 16 8 17 49 53 -4 56
11 Charlton 42 14 13 15 62 59 +3 55
12 Lincoln 41 12 19 10 42 43 -1 55
13 Exeter 42 14 11 17 59 56 +3 53
14 Fleetwood Town 42 13 14 15 50 47 +3 53
15 Bristol Rvs 40 14 10 16 54 62 -8 52
16 Burton 40 13 9 18 54 76 -22 48
17 Cheltenham 42 12 11 19 37 54 -17 47
18 Port Vale 42 12 10 20 42 63 -21 46
19 Milton Keynes Dons 42 11 10 21 40 60 -20 43
20 Oxford 41 9 13 19 40 51 -11 40
21 Cambridge 41 11 7 23 35 61 -26 40
22 Morecambe 43 8 14 21 39 71 -32 38
23 Accrington 41 9 11 21 35 71 -36 38
24 Forest Green 42 6 8 28 30 81 -51 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 20 17 1 2 38 15 +23 52
2 Ipswich 21 14 6 1 52 12 +40 48
3 Sheffield Weds 21 14 6 1 46 15 +31 48
4 Barnsley 20 15 1 4 43 19 +24 46
5 Peterboro 21 13 3 5 38 22 +16 42
6 Derby 21 12 5 4 38 19 +19 41
7 Bolton 20 12 5 3 29 12 +17 41
8 Wycombe 21 11 5 5 32 19 +13 38
9 Portsmouth 21 8 10 3 31 20 +11 34
10 Shrewsbury 20 10 3 7 29 26 +3 33
11 Exeter 21 9 5 7 32 23 +9 32
12 Charlton 21 8 7 6 39 26 +13 31
13 Lincoln 20 6 13 1 21 16 +5 31
14 Morecambe 22 7 8 7 27 29 -2 29
15 Burton 20 8 5 7 26 32 -6 29
16 Cambridge 21 8 4 9 21 24 -3 28
17 Cheltenham 21 7 7 7 20 24 -4 28
18 Port Vale 21 7 5 9 20 27 -7 26
19 Fleetwood Town 21 6 7 8 22 23 -1 25
20 Bristol Rvs 21 6 7 8 24 31 -7 25
21 Accrington 21 6 5 10 25 35 -10 23
22 Oxford 20 5 4 11 23 28 -5 19
23 Milton Keynes Dons 21 4 6 11 16 28 -12 18
24 Forest Green 21 5 1 15 15 39 -24 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 20 10 7 3 33 20 +13 37
2 Sheffield Weds 21 10 6 5 27 20 +7 36
3 Barnsley 21 10 5 6 31 19 +12 35
4 Plymouth 21 9 7 5 33 29 +4 34
5 Bolton 21 8 6 7 26 20 +6 30
6 Portsmouth 21 8 6 7 25 26 -1 30
7 Peterboro 21 9 1 11 33 28 +5 28
8 Fleetwood Town 21 7 7 7 28 24 +4 28
9 Derby 21 7 7 7 25 24 +1 28
10 Bristol Rvs 19 8 3 8 30 31 -1 27
11 Wycombe 21 8 3 10 23 24 -1 27
12 Milton Keynes Dons 21 7 4 10 24 32 -8 25
13 Lincoln 21 6 6 9 21 27 -6 24
14 Charlton 21 6 6 9 23 33 -10 24
15 Shrewsbury 21 6 5 10 20 27 -7 23
16 Exeter 21 5 6 10 27 33 -6 21
17 Oxford 21 4 9 8 17 23 -6 21
18 Port Vale 21 5 5 11 22 36 -14 20
19 Cheltenham 21 5 4 12 17 30 -13 19
20 Burton 20 5 4 11 28 44 -16 19
21 Accrington 20 3 6 11 10 36 -26 15
22 Cambridge 20 3 3 14 14 37 -23 12
23 Forest Green 21 1 7 13 15 42 -27 10
24 Morecambe 21 1 6 14 12 42 -30 9

Burton   Bolton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Peterboro 42 17 25 1.7 1.2 22 4 16 71 50 70
2 16 Burton 40 16 24 1.4 1.9 13 9 18 54 76 48
3 4 Barnsley 41 18 23 1.8 0.9 25 6 10 74 38 81
4 1 Plymouth 41 19 22 1.7 1.1 26 8 7 71 44 86
5 2 Ipswich 41 19 22 2.1 0.8 24 13 4 85 32 85
6 15 Bristol Rvs 40 18 22 1.4 1.6 14 10 16 54 62 52
7 18 Port Vale 42 21 21 1.0 1.5 12 10 20 42 63 46
8 22 Morecambe 43 22 21 0.9 1.7 8 14 21 39 71 38
9 10 Shrewsbury 41 21 20 1.2 1.3 16 8 17 49 53 56
10 11 Charlton 42 22 20 1.5 1.4 14 13 15 62 59 55
11 24 Forest Green 42 22 20 0.7 1.9 6 8 28 30 81 26
12 7 Derby 42 23 19 1.5 1.0 19 12 11 63 43 69
13 13 Exeter 42 23 19 1.4 1.3 14 11 17 59 56 53
14 14 Fleetwood Town 42 23 19 1.2 1.1 13 14 15 50 47 53
15 23 Accrington 41 22 19 0.9 1.7 9 11 21 35 71 38
16 3 Sheffield Weds 42 25 17 1.7 0.8 24 12 6 73 35 84
17 8 Wycombe 42 25 17 1.3 1.0 19 8 15 55 43 65
18 9 Portsmouth 42 25 17 1.3 1.1 16 16 10 56 46 64
19 17 Cheltenham 42 25 17 0.9 1.3 12 11 19 37 54 47
20 21 Cambridge 41 24 17 0.9 1.5 11 7 23 35 61 40
21 19 Milton Keynes Dons 42 26 16 1.0 1.4 11 10 21 40 60 43
22 20 Oxford 41 25 16 1.0 1.2 9 13 19 40 51 40
23 5 Bolton 41 26 15 1.3 0.8 20 11 10 55 32 71
24 12 Lincoln 41 29 12 1.0 1.0 12 19 10 42 43 55
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 21 8 13 2.5 0.6 14 6 1 52 12 48
2 4 Barnsley 20 7 13 2.1 0.9 15 1 4 43 19 46
3 6 Peterboro 21 8 13 1.8 1.0 13 3 5 38 22 42
4 7 Derby 21 10 11 1.8 0.9 12 5 4 38 19 41
5 10 Shrewsbury 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 10 3 7 29 26 33
6 20 Oxford 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 5 4 11 23 28 19
7 24 Forest Green 21 10 11 0.7 1.9 5 1 15 15 39 16
8 1 Plymouth 20 10 10 1.9 0.8 17 1 2 38 15 52
9 3 Sheffield Weds 21 11 10 2.2 0.7 14 6 1 46 15 48
10 11 Charlton 21 11 10 1.9 1.2 8 7 6 39 26 31
11 13 Exeter 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 9 5 7 32 23 32
12 16 Burton 20 10 10 1.3 1.6 8 5 7 26 32 29
13 22 Morecambe 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 7 8 7 27 29 29
14 23 Accrington 21 11 10 1.2 1.7 6 5 10 25 35 23
15 9 Portsmouth 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 8 10 3 31 20 34
16 14 Fleetwood Town 21 12 9 1.0 1.1 6 7 8 22 23 25
17 15 Bristol Rvs 21 12 9 1.1 1.5 6 7 8 24 31 25
18 18 Port Vale 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 7 5 9 20 27 26
19 8 Wycombe 21 13 8 1.5 0.9 11 5 5 32 19 38
20 17 Cheltenham 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 7 7 7 20 24 28
21 21 Cambridge 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 8 4 9 21 24 28
22 5 Bolton 20 13 7 1.4 0.6 12 5 3 29 12 41
23 19 Milton Keynes Dons 21 15 6 0.8 1.3 4 6 11 16 28 18
24 12 Lincoln 20 16 4 1.1 0.8 6 13 1 21 16 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Burton 20 6 14 1.4 2.2 5 4 11 28 44 19
2 15 Bristol Rvs 19 6 13 1.6 1.6 8 3 8 30 31 27
3 1 Plymouth 21 9 12 1.6 1.4 9 7 5 33 29 34
4 6 Peterboro 21 9 12 1.6 1.3 9 1 11 33 28 28
5 18 Port Vale 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 5 5 11 22 36 20
6 22 Morecambe 21 10 11 0.6 2.0 1 6 14 12 42 9
7 4 Barnsley 21 11 10 1.5 0.9 10 5 6 31 19 35
8 11 Charlton 21 11 10 1.1 1.6 6 6 9 23 33 24
9 14 Fleetwood Town 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 7 7 7 28 24 28
10 19 Milton Keynes Dons 21 11 10 1.1 1.5 7 4 10 24 32 25
11 2 Ipswich 20 11 9 1.6 1.0 10 7 3 33 20 37
12 8 Wycombe 21 12 9 1.1 1.1 8 3 10 23 24 27
13 10 Shrewsbury 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 6 5 10 20 27 23
14 13 Exeter 21 12 9 1.3 1.6 5 6 10 27 33 21
15 17 Cheltenham 21 12 9 0.8 1.4 5 4 12 17 30 19
16 21 Cambridge 20 11 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 14 14 37 12
17 23 Accrington 20 11 9 0.5 1.8 3 6 11 10 36 15
18 24 Forest Green 21 12 9 0.7 2.0 1 7 13 15 42 10
19 5 Bolton 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 8 6 7 26 20 30
20 7 Derby 21 13 8 1.2 1.1 7 7 7 25 24 28
21 9 Portsmouth 21 13 8 1.2 1.2 8 6 7 25 26 30
22 12 Lincoln 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 6 6 9 21 27 24
23 3 Sheffield Weds 21 14 7 1.3 1.0 10 6 5 27 20 36
24 20 Oxford 21 16 5 0.8 1.1 4 9 8 17 23 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51