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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: W Finnie

Burton 3–2 Sheffield Weds

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 5.50 fair 4.14
Draw 4.00 fair 4.23
Away 1.62 fair 1.92
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Sheffield Weds
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 7
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (488 league matches this season so far).
Result Sheffield Weds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawSheffield Weds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 0–1 10.1% 1–2 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.31scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 51:74
Sheffield Weds before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
1.73scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 71:32
Burton all matches all matches Sheffield Weds

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.73
1.90 Goals conceded 0.78
3.21 Total goals 2.51
11.92 Shots 14.46
3.90 Shots on target 4.83
13.90 Shots faced 9.46
5.54 Corners 5.80
5.41 Corners against 3.24
10.90 Fouls 12.02
1.51 Yellow cards 1.49
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

31% Wins 59%
23% Draws 29%
46% Losses 12%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
82% Over 1.5 goals 66%
59% Over 2.5 goals 39%
36% Over 3.5 goals 24%
26% Over 4.5 goals 15%
13% Over 5.5 goals 10%
54% Both teams scored 39%
18% Clean sheets 54%
33% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 56%
44% Draws 32%
31% Losses 12%
64% Over 0.5 goals 78%
38% Over 1.5 goals 32%
21% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Sheffield Weds all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.37points / match
1.21scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:30
Sheffield Weds before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.25scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 25:17
Burton at home away Sheffield Weds

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.25
1.58 Goals conceded 0.85
2.79 Total goals 2.10
12.37 Shots 13.55
4.11 Shots on target 4.50
12.74 Shots faced 10.75
6.32 Corners 5.60
5.53 Corners against 4.45
9.95 Fouls 12.40
1.21 Yellow cards 1.80
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

37% Wins 50%
26% Draws 30%
37% Losses 20%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
74% Over 1.5 goals 60%
47% Over 2.5 goals 30%
32% Over 3.5 goals 15%
16% Over 4.5 goals 5%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
42% Both teams scored 40%
26% Clean sheets 50%
37% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 50%
42% Draws 40%
26% Losses 10%
63% Over 0.5 goals 70%
32% Over 1.5 goals 25%
21% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Sheffield Weds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95
18.02.23 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.40 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Portsmouth – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.755.00 1.93 1.93

Sheffield Weds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.23 Sheffield Weds – Accrington 3–0 (1–0) 1.255.5013.00 1.73 2.08
07.04.23 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.10 2.05 1.75
01.04.23 Sheffield Weds – Lincoln 1–1 (1–1) 1.444.338.50 1.95 1.90
29.03.23 Cheltenham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (0–0) 5.253.501.73 2.15 1.67
26.03.23 Forest Green – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 8.004.201.44 2.00 1.85
21.03.23 Barnsley – Sheffield Weds 4–2 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
17.03.23 Sheffield Weds – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.65
11.03.23 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.302.00 2.05 1.75
04.03.23 Sheffield Weds – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.85 1.95
25.02.23 Charlton – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.501.95 1.98 1.88

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95
11.02.23 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
28.01.23 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05
14.01.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–4 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.70
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00

Sheffield Weds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.10 2.05 1.75
29.03.23 Cheltenham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (0–0) 5.253.501.73 2.15 1.67
26.03.23 Forest Green – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 8.004.201.44 2.00 1.85
21.03.23 Barnsley – Sheffield Weds 4–2 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
11.03.23 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.302.00 2.05 1.75
25.02.23 Charlton – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.501.95 1.98 1.88
11.02.23 Ipswich – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–2) 2.153.503.40 2.05 1.80
14.01.23 Wycombe – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.95 1.90
26.12.22 Fleetwood Town – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
10.12.22 Exeter – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–0) 3.753.501.95 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsSheffield Weds wins
3matches
5.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22E2 Sheffield Weds – Burton 4–2 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.75 2.05
01.03.22E2 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
05.02.22E2 Burton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 2.20 1.65

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 41 26 8 7 71 44 +27 86
2 Sheffield Weds 41 24 12 5 71 32 +39 84
3 Ipswich 40 23 13 4 79 32 +47 82
4 Barnsley 40 24 6 10 69 37 +32 78
5 Peterboro 42 22 4 16 71 50 +21 70
6 Bolton 40 19 11 10 54 32 +22 68
7 Derby 41 19 11 11 62 42 +20 68
8 Wycombe 41 19 8 14 55 42 +13 65
9 Portsmouth 41 16 15 10 55 45 +10 63
10 Charlton 41 14 13 14 62 53 +9 55
11 Shrewsbury 40 16 7 17 48 52 -4 55
12 Exeter 42 14 11 17 59 56 +3 53
13 Lincoln 40 11 19 10 39 41 -2 52
14 Bristol Rvs 39 14 9 16 53 61 -8 51
15 Fleetwood Town 41 12 14 15 45 45 0 50
16 Cheltenham 41 12 10 19 35 52 -17 46
17 Port Vale 41 12 10 19 40 60 -20 46
18 Burton 39 12 9 18 51 74 -23 45
19 Milton Keynes Dons 41 11 9 21 38 58 -20 42
20 Oxford 40 9 13 18 40 50 -10 40
21 Cambridge 41 11 7 23 35 61 -26 40
22 Accrington 40 9 11 20 33 66 -33 38
23 Morecambe 42 7 14 21 38 71 -33 35
24 Forest Green 41 6 8 27 29 76 -47 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 20 17 1 2 38 15 +23 52
2 Sheffield Weds 21 14 6 1 46 15 +31 48
3 Barnsley 20 15 1 4 43 19 +24 46
4 Ipswich 20 13 6 1 46 12 +34 45
5 Peterboro 21 13 3 5 38 22 +16 42
6 Derby 21 12 5 4 38 19 +19 41
7 Bolton 20 12 5 3 29 12 +17 41
8 Wycombe 21 11 5 5 32 19 +13 38
9 Portsmouth 21 8 10 3 31 20 +11 34
10 Exeter 21 9 5 7 32 23 +9 32
11 Shrewsbury 19 10 2 7 28 25 +3 32
12 Charlton 21 8 7 6 39 26 +13 31
13 Lincoln 19 5 13 1 18 14 +4 28
14 Cambridge 21 8 4 9 21 24 -3 28
15 Cheltenham 21 7 7 7 20 24 -4 28
16 Morecambe 21 6 8 7 26 29 -3 26
17 Burton 19 7 5 7 23 30 -7 26
18 Port Vale 21 7 5 9 20 27 -7 26
19 Fleetwood Town 21 6 7 8 22 23 -1 25
20 Bristol Rvs 20 6 6 8 23 30 -7 24
21 Accrington 20 6 5 9 23 30 -7 23
22 Oxford 19 5 4 10 23 27 -4 19
23 Milton Keynes Dons 20 4 5 11 14 26 -12 17
24 Forest Green 20 5 1 14 14 34 -20 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 20 10 7 3 33 20 +13 37
2 Sheffield Weds 20 10 6 4 25 17 +8 36
3 Plymouth 21 9 7 5 33 29 +4 34
4 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 26 18 +8 32
5 Portsmouth 20 8 5 7 24 25 -1 29
6 Peterboro 21 9 1 11 33 28 +5 28
7 Bolton 20 7 6 7 25 20 +5 27
8 Derby 20 7 6 7 24 23 +1 27
9 Wycombe 20 8 3 9 23 23 0 27
10 Bristol Rvs 19 8 3 8 30 31 -1 27
11 Fleetwood Town 20 6 7 7 23 22 +1 25
12 Milton Keynes Dons 21 7 4 10 24 32 -8 25
13 Charlton 20 6 6 8 23 27 -4 24
14 Lincoln 21 6 6 9 21 27 -6 24
15 Shrewsbury 21 6 5 10 20 27 -7 23
16 Exeter 21 5 6 10 27 33 -6 21
17 Oxford 21 4 9 8 17 23 -6 21
18 Port Vale 20 5 5 10 20 33 -13 20
19 Burton 20 5 4 11 28 44 -16 19
20 Cheltenham 20 5 3 12 15 28 -13 18
21 Accrington 20 3 6 11 10 36 -26 15
22 Cambridge 20 3 3 14 14 37 -23 12
23 Forest Green 21 1 7 13 15 42 -27 10
24 Morecambe 21 1 6 14 12 42 -30 9

Burton   Sheffield Weds

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Peterboro 42 17 25 1.7 1.2 22 4 16 71 50 70
2 18 Burton 39 16 23 1.3 1.9 12 9 18 51 74 45
3 1 Plymouth 41 19 22 1.7 1.1 26 8 7 71 44 86
4 4 Barnsley 40 18 22 1.7 0.9 24 6 10 69 37 78
5 14 Bristol Rvs 39 17 22 1.4 1.6 14 9 16 53 61 51
6 3 Ipswich 40 19 21 2.0 0.8 23 13 4 79 32 82
7 23 Morecambe 42 21 21 0.9 1.7 7 14 21 38 71 35
8 11 Shrewsbury 40 20 20 1.2 1.3 16 7 17 48 52 55
9 17 Port Vale 41 21 20 1.0 1.5 12 10 19 40 60 46
10 7 Derby 41 22 19 1.5 1.0 19 11 11 62 42 68
11 10 Charlton 41 22 19 1.5 1.3 14 13 14 62 53 55
12 12 Exeter 42 23 19 1.4 1.3 14 11 17 59 56 53
13 24 Forest Green 41 22 19 0.7 1.9 6 8 27 29 76 26
14 15 Fleetwood Town 41 23 18 1.1 1.1 12 14 15 45 45 50
15 22 Accrington 40 22 18 0.8 1.6 9 11 20 33 66 38
16 8 Wycombe 41 24 17 1.3 1.0 19 8 14 55 42 65
17 9 Portsmouth 41 24 17 1.3 1.1 16 15 10 55 45 63
18 21 Cambridge 41 24 17 0.9 1.5 11 7 23 35 61 40
19 2 Sheffield Weds 41 25 16 1.7 0.8 24 12 5 71 32 84
20 16 Cheltenham 41 25 16 0.9 1.3 12 10 19 35 52 46
21 20 Oxford 40 24 16 1.0 1.2 9 13 18 40 50 40
22 6 Bolton 40 25 15 1.4 0.8 19 11 10 54 32 68
23 19 Milton Keynes Dons 41 26 15 0.9 1.4 11 9 21 38 58 42
24 13 Lincoln 40 29 11 1.0 1.0 11 19 10 39 41 52
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Barnsley 20 7 13 2.1 0.9 15 1 4 43 19 46
2 5 Peterboro 21 8 13 1.8 1.0 13 3 5 38 22 42
3 3 Ipswich 20 8 12 2.3 0.6 13 6 1 46 12 45
4 7 Derby 21 10 11 1.8 0.9 12 5 4 38 19 41
5 11 Shrewsbury 19 8 11 1.5 1.3 10 2 7 28 25 32
6 20 Oxford 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 5 4 10 23 27 19
7 1 Plymouth 20 10 10 1.9 0.8 17 1 2 38 15 52
8 2 Sheffield Weds 21 11 10 2.2 0.7 14 6 1 46 15 48
9 10 Charlton 21 11 10 1.9 1.2 8 7 6 39 26 31
10 12 Exeter 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 9 5 7 32 23 32
11 23 Morecambe 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 6 8 7 26 29 26
12 24 Forest Green 20 10 10 0.7 1.7 5 1 14 14 34 16
13 9 Portsmouth 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 8 10 3 31 20 34
14 14 Bristol Rvs 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 6 6 8 23 30 24
15 15 Fleetwood Town 21 12 9 1.0 1.1 6 7 8 22 23 25
16 17 Port Vale 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 7 5 9 20 27 26
17 18 Burton 19 10 9 1.2 1.6 7 5 7 23 30 26
18 22 Accrington 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 6 5 9 23 30 23
19 8 Wycombe 21 13 8 1.5 0.9 11 5 5 32 19 38
20 16 Cheltenham 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 7 7 7 20 24 28
21 21 Cambridge 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 8 4 9 21 24 28
22 6 Bolton 20 13 7 1.4 0.6 12 5 3 29 12 41
23 19 Milton Keynes Dons 20 15 5 0.7 1.3 4 5 11 14 26 17
24 13 Lincoln 19 16 3 0.9 0.7 5 13 1 18 14 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Burton 20 6 14 1.4 2.2 5 4 11 28 44 19
2 14 Bristol Rvs 19 6 13 1.6 1.6 8 3 8 30 31 27
3 1 Plymouth 21 9 12 1.6 1.4 9 7 5 33 29 34
4 5 Peterboro 21 9 12 1.6 1.3 9 1 11 33 28 28
5 17 Port Vale 20 9 11 1.0 1.6 5 5 10 20 33 20
6 23 Morecambe 21 10 11 0.6 2.0 1 6 14 12 42 9
7 19 Milton Keynes Dons 21 11 10 1.1 1.5 7 4 10 24 32 25
8 3 Ipswich 20 11 9 1.6 1.0 10 7 3 33 20 37
9 4 Barnsley 20 11 9 1.3 0.9 9 5 6 26 18 32
10 8 Wycombe 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 8 3 9 23 23 27
11 10 Charlton 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 6 8 23 27 24
12 11 Shrewsbury 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 6 5 10 20 27 23
13 12 Exeter 21 12 9 1.3 1.6 5 6 10 27 33 21
14 15 Fleetwood Town 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 6 7 7 23 22 25
15 21 Cambridge 20 11 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 14 14 37 12
16 22 Accrington 20 11 9 0.5 1.8 3 6 11 10 36 15
17 24 Forest Green 21 12 9 0.7 2.0 1 7 13 15 42 10
18 6 Bolton 20 12 8 1.2 1.0 7 6 7 25 20 27
19 7 Derby 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 7 6 7 24 23 27
20 9 Portsmouth 20 12 8 1.2 1.2 8 5 7 24 25 29
21 13 Lincoln 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 6 6 9 21 27 24
22 16 Cheltenham 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 3 12 15 28 18
23 2 Sheffield Weds 20 14 6 1.2 0.8 10 6 4 25 17 36
24 20 Oxford 21 16 5 0.8 1.1 4 9 8 17 23 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51