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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: W Finnie

Blackpool 1–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 2.58
Draw 3.25 fair 3.64
Away ✓ 3.20 fair 2.96
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Blackpool Derby
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 3
6 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Blackpool to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
BlackpoolDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.2% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Blackpool before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.00scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:7
Derby before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.56scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:9
Blackpool all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.56
0.78 Goals conceded 1.00
1.78 Total goals 2.56
12.22 Shots 11.89
4.11 Shots on target 3.11
9.11 Shots faced 11.44
5.44 Corners 7.22
2.78 Corners against 6.33
9.78 Fouls 11.89
1.89 Yellow cards 2.33
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
22% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 89%
56% Over 1.5 goals 78%
33% Over 2.5 goals 56%
11% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
22% Both teams scored 56%
56% Clean sheets 44%
56% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 33%
22% Losses 22%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 22%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackpool all matches
Derby all matches
Blackpool before this match, at home
2.20points / match
1.60scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:2
Derby before this match, away
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:4
Blackpool at home away Derby

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 2.50
0.40 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 3.50
15.00 Shots 10.25
5.20 Shots on target 3.25
7.40 Shots faced 14.00
6.60 Corners 4.75
2.60 Corners against 7.25
8.80 Fouls 10.25
1.60 Yellow cards 1.75
1.20 1st-half goals scored 1.75
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

60% Wins 75%
40% Draws 0%
0% Losses 25%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 75%
20% Over 3.5 goals 25%
20% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
40% Both teams scored 50%
60% Clean sheets 50%
40% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 75%
40% Draws 25%
0% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackpool at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Blackpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Barnsley – Blackpool 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.803.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Blackpool – Reading 4–1 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 1.98 1.88
16.09.23 Wycombe – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.502.60 2.00 1.80
02.09.23 Blackpool – Wigan 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Lincoln – Blackpool 3–0 (2–0) 2.633.302.70 2.20 1.65
19.08.23 Blackpool – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.205.00 1.75 2.05
15.08.23 Blackpool – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.75 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Exeter – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
08.05.23E1 Norwich – Blackpool 0–1 (0–1) 1.534.006.50 1.67 2.20

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90

Blackpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Blackpool – Reading 4–1 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 1.98 1.88
02.09.23 Blackpool – Wigan 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 2.00 1.85
19.08.23 Blackpool – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.205.00 1.75 2.05
15.08.23 Blackpool – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.75 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
28.04.23E1 Blackpool – Millwall 2–3 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.80
18.04.23E1 Blackpool – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.601.91 2.00 1.85
15.04.23E1 Blackpool – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
07.04.23E1 Blackpool – Cardiff 1–3 (0–3) 2.803.202.60 2.30 1.62
18.03.23E1 Blackpool – Coventry 1–4 (1–2) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.73

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75
25.03.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
11.03.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.502.00 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Blackpool winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
11.12.21E1 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0 17 7 +10 22
2 Oxford 9 7 0 2 18 8 +10 21
3 Stevenage 10 5 3 2 15 9 +6 18
4 Bolton 9 5 2 2 15 10 +5 17
5 Peterboro 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
6 Port Vale 10 5 2 3 11 15 -4 17
7 Barnsley 10 5 1 4 20 12 +8 16
8 Exeter 10 5 1 4 10 9 +1 16
9 Wycombe 9 5 1 3 11 12 -1 16
10 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 14 9 +5 15
11 Blackpool 9 4 3 2 9 7 +2 15
12 Derby 9 4 2 3 14 9 +5 14
13 Cambridge 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
14 Wigan 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
15 Bristol Rvs 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
16 Charlton 9 3 2 4 11 11 0 11
17 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 8 14 -6 11
18 Northampton 9 3 1 5 8 9 -1 10
19 Reading 9 3 1 5 7 10 -3 10
20 Shrewsbury 9 3 1 5 4 9 -5 10
21 Carlisle 10 1 4 5 7 13 -6 7
22 Burton 10 1 4 5 6 14 -8 7
23 Fleetwood Town 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
24 Cheltenham 10 0 1 9 0 17 -17 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 5 3 2 0 8 2 +6 11
2 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 7 3 +4 11
3 Lincoln 4 3 1 0 9 1 +8 10
4 Peterboro 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
5 Cambridge 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
6 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
7 Bolton 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
8 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
9 Oxford 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
10 Charlton 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
11 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
12 Exeter 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
13 Shrewsbury 5 2 1 2 3 4 -1 7
14 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
15 Stevenage 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
16 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
17 Leyton Orient 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
18 Bristol Rvs 4 1 2 1 7 5 +2 5
19 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
20 Carlisle 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
21 Northampton 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
22 Fleetwood Town 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
23 Burton 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
24 Cheltenham 4 0 0 4 0 9 -9 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
2 Stevenage 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
3 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
4 Barnsley 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
5 Derby 4 3 0 1 10 4 +6 9
6 Exeter 5 3 0 2 6 4 +2 9
7 Port Vale 5 2 2 1 6 11 -5 8
8 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
9 Wigan 5 2 1 2 9 8 +1 7
10 Peterboro 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
11 Bristol Rvs 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
12 Northampton 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
13 Wycombe 4 2 0 2 4 7 -3 6
14 Leyton Orient 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
15 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
16 Burton 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
17 Cambridge 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
18 Blackpool 4 1 1 2 1 5 -4 4
19 Shrewsbury 4 1 0 3 1 5 -4 3
20 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
21 Fleetwood Town 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2
22 Carlisle 5 0 2 3 3 7 -4 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0

Blackpool   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 9 2 7 2.0 0.9 7 0 2 18 8 21
2 14 Wigan 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 1 4 14 14 13
3 4 Bolton 9 3 6 1.7 1.1 5 2 2 15 10 17
4 1 Portsmouth 10 5 5 1.7 0.7 6 4 0 17 7 22
5 3 Stevenage 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 3 2 15 9 18
6 7 Barnsley 10 5 5 2.0 1.2 5 1 4 20 12 16
7 9 Wycombe 9 4 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 3 11 12 16
8 10 Lincoln 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 4 3 2 14 9 15
9 12 Derby 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 4 2 3 14 9 14
10 16 Charlton 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 4 11 11 11
11 5 Peterboro 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
12 6 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 5 2 3 11 15 17
13 8 Exeter 10 6 4 1.0 0.9 5 1 4 10 9 16
14 17 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 3 2 5 8 14 11
15 11 Blackpool 9 6 3 1.0 0.8 4 3 2 9 7 15
16 15 Bristol Rvs 9 6 3 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
17 18 Northampton 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 3 1 5 8 9 10
18 19 Reading 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 3 1 5 7 10 10
19 22 Burton 10 7 3 0.6 1.4 1 4 5 6 14 7
20 23 Fleetwood Town 9 6 3 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
21 24 Cheltenham 10 7 3 0.0 1.7 0 1 9 0 17 1
22 13 Cambridge 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
23 20 Shrewsbury 9 8 1 0.4 1.0 3 1 5 4 9 10
24 21 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.7 1.3 1 4 5 7 13 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bolton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
2 7 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
3 16 Charlton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 2 Oxford 4 1 3 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
5 14 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
6 1 Portsmouth 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 2 0 7 3 11
7 3 Stevenage 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
8 5 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
9 8 Exeter 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
10 9 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
11 10 Lincoln 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 3 1 0 9 1 10
12 11 Blackpool 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 3 2 0 8 2 11
13 12 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
14 15 Bristol Rvs 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 2 1 7 5 5
15 17 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
16 18 Northampton 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
17 24 Cheltenham 4 2 2 0.0 2.2 0 0 4 0 9 0
18 6 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
19 13 Cambridge 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
20 19 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
21 20 Shrewsbury 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 2 1 2 3 4 7
22 22 Burton 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
23 23 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
24 21 Carlisle 5 5 0 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
2 14 Wigan 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 1 2 9 8 7
3 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
4 3 Stevenage 5 2 3 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
5 6 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 2 2 1 6 11 8
6 9 Wycombe 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 2 0 2 4 7 6
7 10 Lincoln 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
8 12 Derby 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 3 0 1 10 4 9
9 4 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
10 5 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
11 8 Exeter 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 2 6 4 9
12 17 Leyton Orient 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
13 19 Reading 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
14 22 Burton 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5
15 23 Fleetwood Town 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2
16 7 Barnsley 4 3 1 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
17 11 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 2 1 5 4
18 13 Cambridge 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
19 15 Bristol Rvs 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
20 16 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
21 18 Northampton 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
22 21 Carlisle 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 0 2 3 3 7 2
23 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1
24 20 Shrewsbury 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 1 0 3 1 5 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38