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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Bell

Burton 0–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.33 fair 2.22
Draw 3.60 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 1.85 fair 3.44
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Derby
14 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (12 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:2
Derby before this match, all matches
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:2
Burton all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 3.00
9.00 Shots 21.00
3.00 Shots on target 5.00
15.00 Shots faced 7.00
4.00 Corners 11.00
7.00 Corners against 4.00
12.00 Fouls 11.00
1.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
2.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Derby all matches
Burton before this match, at home

No matches yet this season.

Derby before this match, away

No matches yet this season.

Burton at home away Derby

Per match

How often Full Time

How often Half Time

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
03.05.23 Burton – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Burton – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (3–1) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.00
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
10.04.23 Derby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.05 1.80
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75
01.04.23 Derby – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.08 1.73
25.03.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
03.05.23 Burton – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
18.04.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Burton – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (3–1) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.00
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95
11.02.23 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
28.01.23 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75
25.03.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
11.03.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.502.00 1.98 1.88
07.03.23 Plymouth – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.55 1.95 1.90
25.02.23 Barnsley – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.08 1.73
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23E2 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.12.22E2 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 7 0 +7 3
2 Bolton 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
3 Exeter 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Cambridge 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Wigan 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Charlton 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
8 Peterboro 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Shrewsbury 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Bristol Rvs 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
12 Carlisle 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Derby 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
16 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Reading 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Burton 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
21 Oxford 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
23 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 0 7 -7 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 7 0 +7 3
2 Bolton 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
3 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Cambridge 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Charlton 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Shrewsbury 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
7 Carlisle 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
9 Bristol Rvs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Burton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Exeter 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Leyton Orient 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Lincoln 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Oxford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Peterboro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 Wigan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 Derby 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Reading 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
24 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Exeter 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
2 Wigan 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
3 Peterboro 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
4 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
5 Bristol Rvs 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
6 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
7 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Bolton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Cambridge 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Carlisle 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Charlton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Derby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Northampton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Portsmouth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Reading 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Wycombe 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
21 Burton 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Oxford 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 0 7 -7 0

Burton   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barnsley 1 0 1 7.0 0.0 1 0 0 7 0 3
2 2 Bolton 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
3 3 Exeter 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
4 6 Wigan 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
5 15 Derby 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
6 22 Lincoln 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
7 23 Wycombe 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
8 24 Port Vale 1 0 1 0.0 7.0 0 0 1 0 7 0
9 4 Blackpool 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
10 5 Cambridge 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
11 7 Charlton 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
12 8 Peterboro 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 9 Shrewsbury 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 10 Stevenage 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
15 11 Bristol Rvs 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 12 Carlisle 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 13 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 14 Portsmouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 16 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 17 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
21 18 Northampton 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
22 19 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
23 20 Burton 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 21 Oxford 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barnsley 1 0 1 7.0 0.0 1 0 0 7 0 3
2 2 Bolton 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
3 15 Derby 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
4 23 Wycombe 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
5 3 Exeter 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 4 Blackpool 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
7 5 Cambridge 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
8 6 Wigan 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 7 Charlton 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
10 8 Peterboro 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 9 Shrewsbury 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
12 10 Stevenage 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 11 Bristol Rvs 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 12 Carlisle 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
15 13 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 14 Portsmouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 16 Cheltenham 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 17 Leyton Orient 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 18 Northampton 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 19 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
21 20 Burton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 21 Oxford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 22 Lincoln 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 24 Port Vale 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Exeter 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
2 6 Wigan 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 22 Lincoln 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
4 24 Port Vale 1 0 1 0.0 7.0 0 0 1 0 7 0
5 1 Barnsley 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 2 Bolton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 4 Blackpool 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 5 Cambridge 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 7 Charlton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 8 Peterboro 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
11 9 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 10 Stevenage 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 11 Bristol Rvs 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
14 12 Carlisle 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 13 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 14 Portsmouth 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 15 Derby 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 16 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 17 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 18 Northampton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 19 Reading 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 20 Burton 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
23 21 Oxford 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 23 Wycombe 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51