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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: C Brook

Exeter 2–1 Carlisle

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.45
Draw 3.30 fair 3.43
Away 3.60 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Exeter Carlisle
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
10 Fouls 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.19 – 0.97
Home / Draw / Away
ExeterDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.7% 1–1 13.3% 0–0 11.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 16:36
Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 20:36
Exeter all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 0.80
1.50 Goals conceded 1.44
2.17 Total goals 2.24
12.13 Shots 11.80
3.58 Shots on target 3.44
13.21 Shots faced 12.96
5.83 Corners 5.64
5.96 Corners against 4.88
10.88 Fouls 9.96
1.88 Yellow cards 1.96
0.21 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

25% Wins 16%
21% Draws 32%
54% Losses 52%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 72%
33% Over 2.5 goals 28%
13% Over 3.5 goals 16%
13% Over 4.5 goals 4%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
25% Both teams scored 48%
33% Clean sheets 4%
54% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

4% Wins 4%
50% Draws 52%
46% Losses 44%
58% Over 0.5 goals 64%
25% Over 1.5 goals 24%
8% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches
Carlisle all matches
Exeter before this match, at home
1.08points / match
0.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 6:10
Carlisle before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.67scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 8:21
Exeter at home away Carlisle

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.67
0.83 Goals conceded 1.75
1.33 Total goals 2.42
14.92 Shots 10.75
3.58 Shots on target 3.17
10.75 Shots faced 15.08
7.58 Corners 4.25
5.83 Corners against 6.33
10.25 Fouls 11.33
2.42 Yellow cards 2.33
0.08 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

25% Wins 8%
33% Draws 25%
42% Losses 67%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
42% Over 1.5 goals 67%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
25% Both teams scored 42%
42% Clean sheets 0%
58% Failed to score 58%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 8%
67% Draws 58%
33% Losses 33%
42% Over 0.5 goals 67%
8% Over 1.5 goals 42%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.23 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Exeter – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.75
22.12.23 Cambridge – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.60
16.12.23 Stevenage – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
09.12.23 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 2.05 1.75
28.11.23 Exeter – Shrewsbury 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Bolton – Exeter 7–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Exeter 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.503.20 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Exeter – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Carlisle – Port Vale 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
29.12.23 Wigan – Carlisle 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.404.00 2.08 1.73
26.12.23 Fleetwood Town – Carlisle 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 2.03 1.83
23.12.23 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Carlisle – Northampton 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.63 2.15 1.67
09.12.23 Blackpool – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 1.98
28.11.23 Reading – Carlisle 5–1 (3–1) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
25.11.23 Carlisle – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Carlisle – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.38 1.98 1.88
28.10.23 Cambridge – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70

Exeter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Exeter – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 2.05 1.75
28.11.23 Exeter – Shrewsbury 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.67
28.10.23 Exeter – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Exeter – Wigan 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Exeter – Barnsley 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.63 1.93 1.93
30.09.23 Exeter – Northampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.30 2.15 1.67
16.09.23 Exeter – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.93 1.93
09.09.23 Exeter – Leyton Orient 1–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.98 1.88

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Wigan – Carlisle 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.404.00 2.08 1.73
26.12.23 Fleetwood Town – Carlisle 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 2.03 1.83
09.12.23 Blackpool – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 1.98
28.11.23 Reading – Carlisle 5–1 (3–1) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
28.10.23 Cambridge – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Portsmouth – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.85 2.00
07.10.23 Bolton – Carlisle 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.207.00 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Wycombe – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Lincoln – Carlisle 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.70
09.09.23 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter winsDrawsCarlisle wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23E2 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
09.04.22E3 Carlisle – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.15 1.66
20.11.21E3 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.98 1.88

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 25 15 8 2 41 20 +21 53
2 Bolton 24 16 3 5 45 24 +21 51
3 Peterboro 25 14 7 4 50 27 +23 49
4 Derby 25 15 4 6 47 24 +23 49
5 Oxford 25 14 4 7 42 29 +13 46
6 Barnsley 24 12 7 5 46 28 +18 43
7 Stevenage 25 12 7 6 37 25 +12 43
8 Blackpool 26 11 6 9 42 32 +10 39
9 Northampton 25 11 3 11 31 33 -2 36
10 Wigan 25 10 5 10 35 30 +5 35
11 Bristol Rvs 24 9 7 8 34 33 +1 34
12 Lincoln 26 8 8 10 29 29 0 32
13 Leyton Orient 25 8 8 9 25 31 -6 32
14 Shrewsbury 26 9 3 14 17 36 -19 30
15 Charlton 24 7 8 9 36 34 +2 29
16 Port Vale 24 8 5 11 25 35 -10 29
17 Wycombe 24 7 7 10 28 33 -5 28
18 Reading 25 7 6 12 34 41 -7 27
19 Cambridge 24 7 6 11 21 32 -11 27
20 Burton 25 7 6 12 20 34 -14 27
21 Exeter 24 6 5 13 16 36 -20 23
22 Carlisle 25 4 8 13 20 36 -16 20
23 Cheltenham 24 5 5 14 17 33 -16 20
24 Fleetwood Town 25 4 6 15 22 45 -23 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 14 9 2 3 30 14 +16 29
2 Bolton 13 9 1 3 28 17 +11 28
3 Portsmouth 13 8 4 1 19 12 +7 28
4 Peterboro 12 7 4 1 29 11 +18 25
5 Oxford 12 7 3 2 22 11 +11 24
6 Northampton 13 7 2 4 19 14 +5 23
7 Wigan 12 7 1 4 18 11 +7 22
8 Shrewsbury 13 7 1 5 14 15 -1 22
9 Derby 12 6 3 3 21 11 +10 21
10 Charlton 13 6 3 4 25 18 +7 21
11 Stevenage 12 5 6 1 17 10 +7 21
12 Reading 13 6 3 4 21 15 +6 21
13 Cambridge 13 6 3 4 13 14 -1 21
14 Bristol Rvs 11 5 5 1 19 11 +8 20
15 Barnsley 12 5 3 4 23 15 +8 18
16 Burton 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
17 Lincoln 12 4 4 4 17 12 +5 16
18 Port Vale 11 5 0 6 14 13 +1 15
19 Wycombe 12 4 3 5 14 16 -2 15
20 Leyton Orient 12 4 3 5 10 17 -7 15
21 Carlisle 13 3 5 5 12 15 -3 14
22 Exeter 12 3 4 5 6 10 -4 13
23 Cheltenham 12 3 3 6 10 17 -7 12
24 Fleetwood Town 13 2 2 9 10 24 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 13 9 1 3 26 13 +13 28
2 Portsmouth 12 7 4 1 22 8 +14 25
3 Barnsley 12 7 4 1 23 13 +10 25
4 Peterboro 13 7 3 3 21 16 +5 24
5 Bolton 11 7 2 2 17 7 +10 23
6 Stevenage 13 7 1 5 20 15 +5 22
7 Oxford 13 7 1 5 20 18 +2 22
8 Leyton Orient 13 4 5 4 15 14 +1 17
9 Lincoln 14 4 4 6 12 17 -5 16
10 Bristol Rvs 13 4 2 7 15 22 -7 14
11 Port Vale 13 3 5 5 11 22 -11 14
12 Wigan 13 3 4 6 17 19 -2 13
13 Wycombe 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
14 Northampton 12 4 1 7 12 19 -7 13
15 Blackpool 12 2 4 6 12 18 -6 10
16 Fleetwood Town 12 2 4 6 12 21 -9 10
17 Exeter 12 3 1 8 10 26 -16 10
18 Burton 13 2 3 8 7 21 -14 9
19 Charlton 11 1 5 5 11 16 -5 8
20 Cheltenham 12 2 2 8 7 16 -9 8
21 Shrewsbury 13 2 2 9 3 21 -18 8
22 Cambridge 11 1 3 7 8 18 -10 6
23 Reading 12 1 3 8 13 26 -13 6
24 Carlisle 12 1 3 8 8 21 -13 6

Exeter   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Oxford 25 8 17 1.7 1.2 14 4 7 42 29 46
2 8 Blackpool 26 10 16 1.6 1.2 11 6 9 42 32 39
3 9 Northampton 25 9 16 1.2 1.3 11 3 11 31 33 36
4 3 Peterboro 25 10 15 2.0 1.1 14 7 4 50 27 49
5 4 Derby 25 10 15 1.9 1.0 15 4 6 47 24 49
6 15 Charlton 24 9 15 1.5 1.4 7 8 9 36 34 29
7 18 Reading 25 10 15 1.4 1.6 7 6 12 34 41 27
8 6 Barnsley 24 10 14 1.9 1.2 12 7 5 46 28 43
9 7 Stevenage 25 11 14 1.5 1.0 12 7 6 37 25 43
10 1 Portsmouth 25 12 13 1.6 0.8 15 8 2 41 20 53
11 2 Bolton 24 11 13 1.9 1.0 16 3 5 45 24 51
12 11 Bristol Rvs 24 11 13 1.4 1.4 9 7 8 34 33 34
13 24 Fleetwood Town 25 12 13 0.9 1.8 4 6 15 22 45 18
14 10 Wigan 25 13 12 1.4 1.2 10 5 10 35 30 35
15 17 Wycombe 24 12 12 1.2 1.4 7 7 10 28 33 28
16 16 Port Vale 24 13 11 1.0 1.5 8 5 11 25 35 29
17 12 Lincoln 26 16 10 1.1 1.1 8 8 10 29 29 32
18 13 Leyton Orient 25 15 10 1.0 1.2 8 8 9 25 31 32
19 19 Cambridge 24 14 10 0.9 1.3 7 6 11 21 32 27
20 20 Burton 25 15 10 0.8 1.4 7 6 12 20 34 27
21 14 Shrewsbury 26 17 9 0.7 1.4 9 3 14 17 36 30
22 21 Exeter 24 16 8 0.7 1.5 6 5 13 16 36 23
23 23 Cheltenham 24 16 8 0.7 1.4 5 5 14 17 33 20
24 22 Carlisle 25 18 7 0.8 1.4 4 8 13 20 36 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bolton 13 3 10 2.2 1.3 9 1 3 28 17 28
2 8 Blackpool 14 4 10 2.1 1.0 9 2 3 30 14 29
3 15 Charlton 13 3 10 1.9 1.4 6 3 4 25 18 21
4 5 Oxford 12 3 9 1.8 0.9 7 3 2 22 11 24
5 3 Peterboro 12 4 8 2.4 0.9 7 4 1 29 11 25
6 9 Northampton 13 5 8 1.5 1.1 7 2 4 19 14 23
7 4 Derby 12 5 7 1.8 0.9 6 3 3 21 11 21
8 6 Barnsley 12 5 7 1.9 1.2 5 3 4 23 15 18
9 1 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.5 0.9 8 4 1 19 12 28
10 10 Wigan 12 6 6 1.5 0.9 7 1 4 18 11 22
11 11 Bristol Rvs 11 5 6 1.7 1.0 5 5 1 19 11 20
12 14 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.1 1.2 7 1 5 14 15 22
13 18 Reading 13 7 6 1.6 1.2 6 3 4 21 15 21
14 24 Fleetwood Town 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 2 9 10 24 8
15 7 Stevenage 12 7 5 1.4 0.8 5 6 1 17 10 21
16 12 Lincoln 12 7 5 1.4 1.0 4 4 4 17 12 16
17 13 Leyton Orient 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 5 10 17 15
18 16 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 5 0 6 14 13 15
19 17 Wycombe 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 5 14 16 15
20 20 Burton 12 7 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 4 13 13 18
21 19 Cambridge 13 9 4 1.0 1.1 6 3 4 13 14 21
22 23 Cheltenham 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 3 3 6 10 17 12
23 22 Carlisle 13 10 3 0.9 1.2 3 5 5 12 15 14
24 21 Exeter 12 10 2 0.5 0.8 3 4 5 6 10 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Stevenage 13 4 9 1.5 1.2 7 1 5 20 15 22
2 18 Reading 12 3 9 1.1 2.2 1 3 8 13 26 6
3 4 Derby 13 5 8 2.0 1.0 9 1 3 26 13 28
4 5 Oxford 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 7 1 5 20 18 22
5 9 Northampton 12 4 8 1.0 1.6 4 1 7 12 19 13
6 1 Portsmouth 12 5 7 1.8 0.7 7 4 1 22 8 25
7 3 Peterboro 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 7 3 3 21 16 24
8 6 Barnsley 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 7 4 1 23 13 25
9 11 Bristol Rvs 13 6 7 1.2 1.7 4 2 7 15 22 14
10 17 Wycombe 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
11 24 Fleetwood Town 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 2 4 6 12 21 10
12 8 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.0 1.5 2 4 6 12 18 10
13 10 Wigan 13 7 6 1.3 1.5 3 4 6 17 19 13
14 16 Port Vale 13 7 6 0.8 1.7 3 5 5 11 22 14
15 19 Cambridge 11 5 6 0.7 1.6 1 3 7 8 18 6
16 21 Exeter 12 6 6 0.8 2.2 3 1 8 10 26 10
17 12 Lincoln 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 6 12 17 16
18 13 Leyton Orient 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 15 14 17
19 15 Charlton 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 1 5 5 11 16 8
20 20 Burton 13 8 5 0.5 1.6 2 3 8 7 21 9
21 22 Carlisle 12 8 4 0.7 1.8 1 3 8 8 21 6
22 23 Cheltenham 12 8 4 0.6 1.3 2 2 8 7 16 8
23 2 Bolton 11 8 3 1.5 0.6 7 2 2 17 7 23
24 14 Shrewsbury 13 10 3 0.2 1.6 2 2 9 3 21 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51