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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Smith

Exeter 1–0 Stevenage

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.50 fair 3.34
Draw 3.50 fair 3.45
Away 2.10 fair 2.43
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.60
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 2.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Exeter Stevenage
8 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 7
14 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (489 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.78
Expected goals 0.98 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
ExeterDrawStevenage
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 13.5% 1–1 13.3% 0–0 11.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
0.88scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 36:54
Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.24scored / match
0.98conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 51:40
Exeter all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.24
1.32 Goals conceded 0.98
2.20 Total goals 2.22
11.29 Shots 11.98
3.66 Shots on target 3.98
12.93 Shots faced 9.76
5.93 Corners 5.63
5.90 Corners against 4.10
11.27 Fouls 11.83
2.20 Yellow cards 1.90
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.66
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

34% Wins 41%
22% Draws 32%
44% Losses 27%
90% Over 0.5 goals 85%
66% Over 1.5 goals 59%
41% Over 2.5 goals 46%
10% Over 3.5 goals 24%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
2% Over 5.5 goals 0%
37% Both teams scored 41%
29% Clean sheets 46%
44% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 37%
41% Draws 41%
39% Losses 22%
66% Over 0.5 goals 71%
22% Over 1.5 goals 29%
7% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches
Stevenage all matches
Exeter before this match, at home
1.24points / match
0.71scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 15:20
Stevenage before this match, away
1.52points / match
1.38scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:25
Exeter at home away Stevenage

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.38
0.95 Goals conceded 1.19
1.67 Total goals 2.57
12.86 Shots 11.33
3.62 Shots on target 3.71
11.10 Shots faced 11.00
6.95 Corners 4.48
5.24 Corners against 4.10
10.67 Fouls 12.71
2.38 Yellow cards 2.33
0.19 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 43%
38% Draws 24%
33% Losses 33%
81% Over 0.5 goals 90%
52% Over 1.5 goals 71%
29% Over 2.5 goals 62%
5% Over 3.5 goals 24%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 48%
33% Clean sheets 38%
48% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 29%
48% Draws 38%
38% Losses 33%
57% Over 0.5 goals 76%
5% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home
Stevenage away

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Cheltenham – Exeter 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.73
29.03.24 Exeter – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.88 1.98
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Shrewsbury – Exeter 0–3 (0–3) 2.503.252.88 2.15 1.67
09.03.24 Exeter – Bolton 2–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.80 1.95 1.90
02.03.24 Peterboro – Exeter 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.65 2.20
24.02.24 Exeter – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.98 1.88
17.02.24 Lincoln – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.30 1.60
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Charlton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.252.60 2.15 1.67
29.03.24 Stevenage – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.70
23.03.24 Carlisle – Stevenage 2–2 (1–0) 4.753.801.73 2.20 1.65
16.03.24 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.80 2.35 1.57
13.03.24 Peterboro – Stevenage 3–1 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
09.03.24 Stevenage – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
02.03.24 Lincoln – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.40 1.53
27.02.24 Stevenage – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.50 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Stevenage – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75

Exeter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Exeter – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.88 1.98
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
09.03.24 Exeter – Bolton 2–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.80 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Exeter – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.98 1.88
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
06.02.24 Exeter – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.80 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
20.01.24 Exeter – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.65
06.01.24 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
29.12.23 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.95 1.90

Stevenage away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Charlton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.252.60 2.15 1.67
23.03.24 Carlisle – Stevenage 2–2 (1–0) 4.753.801.73 2.20 1.65
13.03.24 Peterboro – Stevenage 3–1 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
02.03.24 Lincoln – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.40 1.53
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Port Vale – Stevenage 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.602.15 2.05 1.80
27.01.24 Wigan – Stevenage 2–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Shrewsbury – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Portsmouth – Stevenage 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Barnsley – Stevenage 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter winsDrawsStevenage wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23E2 Stevenage – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
26.03.22E3 Exeter – Stevenage 2–1 (2–1) 1.723.754.75 2.13 1.75
09.10.21E3 Stevenage – Exeter 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.60

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 41 25 12 4 68 35 +33 87
2 Derby 42 25 7 10 72 37 +35 82
3 Bolton 41 23 9 9 76 45 +31 78
4 Peterboro 40 22 8 10 77 50 +27 74
5 Barnsley 40 21 11 8 73 51 +22 74
6 Lincoln 41 18 13 10 60 34 +26 67
7 Oxford 41 19 10 12 67 53 +14 67
8 Stevenage 41 17 13 11 51 40 +11 64
9 Blackpool 41 17 10 14 57 43 +14 61
10 Wigan 41 17 8 16 55 52 +3 59
11 Leyton Orient 41 16 10 15 45 47 -2 58
12 Northampton 42 16 8 18 53 61 -8 56
13 Wycombe 40 13 12 15 51 52 -1 51
14 Reading 41 14 9 18 58 62 -4 51
15 Bristol Rvs 40 14 9 17 48 59 -11 51
16 Exeter 41 14 9 18 36 54 -18 51
17 Charlton 41 10 17 14 58 59 -1 47
18 Shrewsbury 41 13 7 21 30 56 -26 46
19 Cambridge 40 12 9 19 37 56 -19 45
20 Burton 41 10 10 21 33 55 -22 40
21 Port Vale 40 10 9 21 38 63 -25 39
22 Cheltenham 39 10 8 21 33 53 -20 38
23 Fleetwood Town 41 7 13 21 42 67 -25 34
24 Carlisle 41 6 9 26 39 73 -34 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 20 14 3 3 47 24 +23 45
2 Portsmouth 20 13 5 2 36 22 +14 44
3 Derby 21 13 4 4 36 18 +18 43
4 Blackpool 20 11 6 3 38 17 +21 39
5 Wigan 21 12 3 6 28 18 +10 39
6 Lincoln 21 10 7 4 35 13 +22 37
7 Peterboro 20 11 4 5 45 24 +21 37
8 Reading 21 11 4 6 35 21 +14 37
9 Oxford 20 10 6 4 38 22 +16 36
10 Northampton 21 10 5 6 28 21 +7 35
11 Stevenage 20 8 8 4 22 15 +7 32
12 Barnsley 21 9 5 7 35 30 +5 32
13 Wycombe 21 8 6 7 30 28 +2 30
14 Cambridge 20 8 5 7 20 21 -1 29
15 Leyton Orient 20 8 4 8 21 27 -6 28
16 Charlton 20 7 6 7 32 27 +5 27
17 Bristol Rvs 19 7 6 6 26 23 +3 27
18 Shrewsbury 21 8 3 10 18 26 -8 27
19 Exeter 21 6 8 7 15 20 -5 26
20 Burton 20 6 4 10 18 25 -7 22
21 Cheltenham 19 6 4 9 20 28 -8 22
22 Port Vale 20 6 3 11 24 28 -4 21
23 Fleetwood Town 21 4 5 12 21 33 -12 17
24 Carlisle 21 3 6 12 20 38 -18 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 21 12 7 2 32 13 +19 43
2 Barnsley 19 12 6 1 38 21 +17 42
3 Derby 21 12 3 6 36 19 +17 39
4 Peterboro 20 11 4 5 32 26 +6 37
5 Bolton 21 9 6 6 29 21 +8 33
6 Stevenage 21 9 5 7 29 25 +4 32
7 Oxford 21 9 4 8 29 31 -2 31
8 Lincoln 20 8 6 6 25 21 +4 30
9 Leyton Orient 21 8 6 7 24 20 +4 30
10 Exeter 20 8 1 11 21 34 -13 25
11 Bristol Rvs 21 7 3 11 22 36 -14 24
12 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 19 26 -7 22
13 Wycombe 19 5 6 8 21 24 -3 21
14 Northampton 21 6 3 12 25 40 -15 21
15 Charlton 21 3 11 7 26 32 -6 20
16 Wigan 20 5 5 10 27 34 -7 20
17 Shrewsbury 20 5 4 11 12 30 -18 19
18 Burton 21 4 6 11 15 30 -15 18
19 Port Vale 20 4 6 10 14 35 -21 18
20 Fleetwood Town 20 3 8 9 21 34 -13 17
21 Cheltenham 20 4 4 12 13 25 -12 16
22 Cambridge 20 4 4 12 17 35 -18 16
23 Reading 20 3 5 12 23 41 -18 14
24 Carlisle 20 3 3 14 19 35 -16 12

Exeter   Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 40 13 27 1.9 1.2 22 8 10 77 50 74
2 7 Oxford 41 14 27 1.6 1.3 19 10 12 67 53 67
3 5 Barnsley 40 15 25 1.8 1.3 21 11 8 73 51 74
4 2 Derby 42 18 24 1.7 0.9 25 7 10 72 37 82
5 1 Portsmouth 41 18 23 1.7 0.9 25 12 4 68 35 87
6 3 Bolton 41 19 22 1.9 1.1 23 9 9 76 45 78
7 12 Northampton 42 20 22 1.3 1.5 16 8 18 53 61 56
8 14 Reading 41 19 22 1.4 1.5 14 9 18 58 62 51
9 15 Bristol Rvs 40 18 22 1.2 1.5 14 9 17 48 59 51
10 17 Charlton 41 19 22 1.4 1.4 10 17 14 58 59 47
11 23 Fleetwood Town 41 19 22 1.0 1.6 7 13 21 42 67 34
12 24 Carlisle 41 21 20 1.0 1.8 6 9 26 39 73 27
13 8 Stevenage 41 22 19 1.2 1.0 17 13 11 51 40 64
14 9 Blackpool 41 22 19 1.4 1.0 17 10 14 57 43 61
15 13 Wycombe 40 21 19 1.3 1.3 13 12 15 51 52 51
16 10 Wigan 41 23 18 1.3 1.3 17 8 16 55 52 59
17 19 Cambridge 40 22 18 0.9 1.4 12 9 19 37 56 45
18 21 Port Vale 40 22 18 0.9 1.6 10 9 21 38 63 39
19 11 Leyton Orient 41 24 17 1.1 1.1 16 10 15 45 47 58
20 16 Exeter 41 24 17 0.9 1.3 14 9 18 36 54 51
21 6 Lincoln 41 25 16 1.5 0.8 18 13 10 60 34 67
22 20 Burton 41 25 16 0.8 1.3 10 10 21 33 55 40
23 22 Cheltenham 39 23 16 0.8 1.4 10 8 21 33 53 38
24 18 Shrewsbury 41 26 15 0.7 1.4 13 7 21 30 56 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 20 5 15 2.2 1.2 11 4 5 45 24 37
2 7 Oxford 20 5 15 1.9 1.1 10 6 4 38 22 36
3 3 Bolton 20 6 14 2.4 1.2 14 3 3 47 24 45
4 5 Barnsley 21 7 14 1.7 1.4 9 5 7 35 30 32
5 1 Portsmouth 20 7 13 1.8 1.1 13 5 2 36 22 44
6 17 Charlton 20 7 13 1.6 1.4 7 6 7 32 27 27
7 2 Derby 21 9 12 1.7 0.9 13 4 4 36 18 43
8 9 Blackpool 20 9 11 1.9 0.8 11 6 3 38 17 39
9 15 Bristol Rvs 19 8 11 1.4 1.2 7 6 6 26 23 27
10 23 Fleetwood Town 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 4 5 12 21 33 17
11 24 Carlisle 21 11 10 1.0 1.8 3 6 12 20 38 15
12 6 Lincoln 21 12 9 1.7 0.6 10 7 4 35 13 37
13 11 Leyton Orient 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 8 4 8 21 27 28
14 12 Northampton 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 10 5 6 28 21 35
15 13 Wycombe 21 12 9 1.4 1.3 8 6 7 30 28 30
16 14 Reading 21 12 9 1.7 1.0 11 4 6 35 21 37
17 21 Port Vale 20 11 9 1.2 1.4 6 3 11 24 28 21
18 22 Cheltenham 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 6 4 9 20 28 22
19 10 Wigan 21 13 8 1.3 0.9 12 3 6 28 18 39
20 18 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 8 3 10 18 26 27
21 19 Cambridge 20 13 7 1.0 1.1 8 5 7 20 21 29
22 20 Burton 20 13 7 0.9 1.2 6 4 10 18 25 22
23 8 Stevenage 20 14 6 1.1 0.8 8 8 4 22 15 32
24 16 Exeter 21 15 6 0.7 1.0 6 8 7 15 20 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Stevenage 21 8 13 1.4 1.2 9 5 7 29 25 32
2 12 Northampton 21 8 13 1.2 1.9 6 3 12 25 40 21
3 14 Reading 20 7 13 1.1 2.0 3 5 12 23 41 14
4 2 Derby 21 9 12 1.7 0.9 12 3 6 36 19 39
5 4 Peterboro 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 11 4 5 32 26 37
6 7 Oxford 21 9 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 8 29 31 31
7 23 Fleetwood Town 20 8 12 1.1 1.7 3 8 9 21 34 17
8 5 Barnsley 19 8 11 2.0 1.1 12 6 1 38 21 42
9 15 Bristol Rvs 21 10 11 1.0 1.7 7 3 11 22 36 24
10 16 Exeter 20 9 11 1.1 1.7 8 1 11 21 34 25
11 19 Cambridge 20 9 11 0.8 1.8 4 4 12 17 35 16
12 1 Portsmouth 21 11 10 1.5 0.6 12 7 2 32 13 43
13 10 Wigan 20 10 10 1.4 1.7 5 5 10 27 34 20
14 13 Wycombe 19 9 10 1.1 1.3 5 6 8 21 24 21
15 24 Carlisle 20 10 10 0.9 1.8 3 3 14 19 35 12
16 17 Charlton 21 12 9 1.2 1.5 3 11 7 26 32 20
17 20 Burton 21 12 9 0.7 1.4 4 6 11 15 30 18
18 21 Port Vale 20 11 9 0.7 1.8 4 6 10 14 35 18
19 3 Bolton 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 9 6 6 29 21 33
20 9 Blackpool 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 6 4 11 19 26 22
21 11 Leyton Orient 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 8 6 7 24 20 30
22 6 Lincoln 20 13 7 1.2 1.1 8 6 6 25 21 30
23 18 Shrewsbury 20 13 7 0.6 1.5 5 4 11 12 30 19
24 22 Cheltenham 20 13 7 0.7 1.2 4 4 12 13 25 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51