Derby 1–0 Stevenage – England League One, 17 Feb 2024

Match facts

Derby Stevenage

5 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 2

2 Corners 4

13 Fouls 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (377 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

47% 25% 28%

DerbyDrawStevenage

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.97points / match

1.78scored / match

0.91conceded / match

19 6 7

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 57:29

Stevenage before this match, all matches

1.71points / match

1.48scored / match

1.06conceded / match

15 8 8

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 46:33

Derby all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.48

0.91 Goals conceded 1.06

2.69 Total goals 2.55

12.78 Shots 12.10

4.44 Shots on target 4.29

10.13 Shots faced 10.48

6.69 Corners 5.55

5.09 Corners against 4.74

10.66 Fouls 11.94

1.91 Yellow cards 2.06

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.81

0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

59% Wins 48%

19% Draws 26%

22% Losses 26%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

75% Over 1.5 goals 71%

56% Over 2.5 goals 55%

28% Over 3.5 goals 26%

13% Over 4.5 goals 10%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 48%

41% Clean sheets 42%

13% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 42%

47% Draws 39%

13% Losses 19%

66% Over 0.5 goals 77%

28% Over 1.5 goals 39%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

3

2

W

2

3

L

3

1

W

3

2

W

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

3

W

Stevenage all matches

1

D

1

2

L

3

W

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

1

W

1

L

2

D

2

3

L

Derby before this match, at home

1.87points / match

1.80scored / match

1.00conceded / match

8 4 3

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 27:15

Stevenage before this match, away

1.81points / match

1.63scored / match

1.19conceded / match

9 2 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:19

Derby at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.63

1.00 Goals conceded 1.19

2.80 Total goals 2.81

13.47 Shots 11.44

4.27 Shots on target 4.06

8.73 Shots faced 11.81

6.80 Corners 4.06

4.27 Corners against 4.75

10.47 Fouls 12.94

2.00 Yellow cards 2.50

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

53% Wins 56%

27% Draws 13%

20% Losses 31%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

87% Over 1.5 goals 81%

60% Over 2.5 goals 69%

27% Over 3.5 goals 19%

13% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 50%

33% Clean sheets 38%

7% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 38%

53% Draws 31%

13% Losses 31%

60% Over 0.5 goals 88%

20% Over 1.5 goals 38%

7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

2

W

4

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

3

1

W

2

3

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

Stevenage away

3

L

1

D

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.02.24	Exeter – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.60	2.05	1.98	1.88
10.02.24	Derby – Shrewsbury	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.85	2.00
03.02.24	Charlton – Derby	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.70	2.10
27.01.24	Derby – Cheltenham	2–1 (0–0)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.70	2.10
23.01.24	Reading – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.73	2.08
20.01.24	Lincoln – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.08	1.73
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Fleetwood Town – Derby	1–3 (0–2)	5.50	4.00	1.60	1.80	2.00
01.01.24	Derby – Peterboro	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.80	2.00
29.12.23	Oxford – Derby	2–3 (2–1)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.05	1.80

Stevenage all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.02.24	Stevenage – Bristol Rvs	2–3 (2–1)	1.73	3.80	4.75	2.00	1.85
10.02.24	Port Vale – Stevenage	2–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.60	2.15	2.05	1.80
06.02.24	Stevenage – Reading	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.93	1.93
03.02.24	Stevenage – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73
27.01.24	Wigan – Stevenage	2–3 (2–1)	3.10	3.60	2.20	2.08	1.73
13.01.24	Shrewsbury – Stevenage	0–1 (0–0)	4.00	3.40	1.95	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Portsmouth – Stevenage	2–1 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Stevenage – Northampton	3–0 (2–0)	1.70	3.60	5.50	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Barnsley – Stevenage	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.05	1.75
16.12.23	Stevenage – Exeter	1–1 (1–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.85

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.24	Derby – Shrewsbury	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.85	2.00
27.01.24	Derby – Cheltenham	2–1 (0–0)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.70	2.10
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
01.01.24	Derby – Peterboro	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.80	2.00
21.12.23	Derby – Lincoln	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	6.00	2.03	1.83
16.12.23	Derby – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.90	1.95
25.11.23	Derby – Bristol Rvs	2–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.00	5.25	1.75	2.05
11.11.23	Derby – Barnsley	3–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.80	2.05
31.10.23	Derby – Northampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.55	3.80	6.50	1.85	2.00
24.10.23	Derby – Exeter	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	5.75	1.85	2.00

Stevenage away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.24	Port Vale – Stevenage	2–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.60	2.15	2.05	1.80
27.01.24	Wigan – Stevenage	2–3 (2–1)	3.10	3.60	2.20	2.08	1.73
13.01.24	Shrewsbury – Stevenage	0–1 (0–0)	4.00	3.40	1.95	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Portsmouth – Stevenage	2–1 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Barnsley – Stevenage	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.05	1.75
09.12.23	Burton – Stevenage	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.25	2.03	1.83
25.11.23	Fleetwood Town – Stevenage	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.40	2.30	1.98	1.88
11.11.23	Wycombe – Stevenage	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.03	1.83
24.10.23	Bristol Rvs – Stevenage	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.93	1.93
14.10.23	Blackpool – Stevenage	3–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.08	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsStevenage wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.10.23E2	Stevenage – Derby	3–1 (2–1)	2.50	3.30	2.80	2.08	1.73

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	33	20	9	4	54	29	+25	69
2	Derby	32	19	6	7	57	29	+28	63
3	Bolton	30	19	5	6	54	29	+25	62
4	Barnsley	31	16	9	6	56	35	+21	57
5	Peterboro	31	16	8	7	59	39	+20	56
6	Oxford	32	16	7	9	54	40	+14	55
7	Stevenage	31	15	8	8	46	33	+13	53
8	Leyton Orient	32	13	9	10	39	39	0	48
9	Blackpool	32	13	8	11	48	38	+10	47
10	Wigan	32	13	6	13	46	42	+4	45
11	Bristol Rvs	32	12	7	13	44	45	-1	43
12	Lincoln	32	10	12	10	34	32	+2	42
13	Northampton	31	12	5	14	40	47	-7	41
14	Reading	32	10	9	13	41	45	-4	39
15	Exeter	33	11	6	16	25	46	-21	39
16	Wycombe	31	9	10	12	41	43	-2	37
17	Cambridge	30	9	8	13	26	38	-12	35
18	Burton	31	9	8	14	27	40	-13	35
19	Shrewsbury	32	10	5	17	23	43	-20	35
20	Charlton	32	7	11	14	44	49	-5	32
21	Port Vale	29	8	7	14	30	45	-15	31
22	Cheltenham	30	8	5	17	24	40	-16	29
23	Fleetwood Town	32	6	8	18	32	53	-21	26
24	Carlisle	31	4	8	19	26	51	-25	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bolton	16	11	2	3	32	19	+13	35
2	Blackpool	17	10	4	3	34	16	+18	34
3	Portsmouth	16	10	4	2	26	17	+9	34
4	Oxford	16	8	5	3	29	17	+12	29
5	Peterboro	14	8	4	2	33	15	+18	28
6	Derby	15	8	4	3	27	15	+12	28
7	Reading	16	8	4	4	25	16	+9	28
8	Wigan	16	9	1	6	23	16	+7	28
9	Barnsley	16	8	3	5	30	20	+10	27
10	Northampton	16	7	4	5	21	18	+3	25
11	Cambridge	16	7	4	5	15	16	-1	25
12	Stevenage	15	6	6	3	20	14	+6	24
13	Leyton Orient	15	7	3	5	18	22	-4	24
14	Bristol Rvs	16	6	5	5	24	19	+5	23
15	Shrewsbury	16	7	2	7	16	19	-3	23
16	Charlton	17	6	4	7	29	25	+4	22
17	Burton	15	6	4	5	16	15	+1	22
18	Lincoln	15	5	6	4	19	13	+6	21
19	Wycombe	15	5	5	5	22	21	+1	20
20	Exeter	17	5	5	7	10	16	-6	20
21	Cheltenham	15	5	3	7	15	21	-6	18
22	Port Vale	15	5	2	8	19	20	-1	17
23	Carlisle	16	3	5	8	14	23	-9	14
24	Fleetwood Town	16	3	3	10	14	26	-12	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Derby	17	11	2	4	30	14	+16	35
2	Portsmouth	17	10	5	2	28	12	+16	35
3	Barnsley	15	8	6	1	26	15	+11	30
4	Stevenage	16	9	2	5	26	19	+7	29
5	Peterboro	17	8	4	5	26	24	+2	28
6	Bolton	14	8	3	3	22	10	+12	27
7	Oxford	16	8	2	6	25	23	+2	26
8	Leyton Orient	17	6	6	5	21	17	+4	24
9	Lincoln	17	5	6	6	15	19	-4	21
10	Bristol Rvs	16	6	2	8	20	26	-6	20
11	Exeter	16	6	1	9	15	30	-15	19
12	Wigan	16	4	5	7	23	26	-3	17
13	Wycombe	16	4	5	7	19	22	-3	17
14	Northampton	15	5	1	9	19	29	-10	16
15	Fleetwood Town	16	3	5	8	18	27	-9	14
16	Port Vale	14	3	5	6	11	25	-14	14
17	Blackpool	15	3	4	8	14	22	-8	13
18	Burton	16	3	4	9	11	25	-14	13
19	Shrewsbury	16	3	3	10	7	24	-17	12
20	Cheltenham	15	3	2	10	9	19	-10	11
21	Reading	16	2	5	9	16	29	-13	11
22	Charlton	15	1	7	7	15	24	-9	10
23	Cambridge	14	2	4	8	11	22	-11	10
24	Carlisle	15	1	3	11	12	28	-16	6

Derby Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	32	11	21	1.7	1.2	16	7	9	54	40	55
2	5	Peterboro	31	11	20	1.9	1.3	16	8	7	59	39	56
3	13	Northampton	31	12	19	1.3	1.5	12	5	14	40	47	41
4	1	Portsmouth	33	15	18	1.6	0.9	20	9	4	54	29	69
5	2	Derby	32	14	18	1.8	0.9	19	6	7	57	29	63
6	4	Barnsley	31	13	18	1.8	1.1	16	9	6	56	35	57
7	11	Bristol Rvs	32	14	18	1.4	1.4	12	7	13	44	45	43
8	20	Charlton	32	14	18	1.4	1.5	7	11	14	44	49	32
9	7	Stevenage	31	14	17	1.5	1.1	15	8	8	46	33	53
10	9	Blackpool	32	15	17	1.5	1.2	13	8	11	48	38	47
11	23	Fleetwood Town	32	15	17	1.0	1.7	6	8	18	32	53	26
12	10	Wigan	32	16	16	1.4	1.3	13	6	13	46	42	45
13	16	Wycombe	31	15	16	1.3	1.4	9	10	12	41	43	37
14	3	Bolton	30	15	15	1.8	1.0	19	5	6	54	29	62
15	14	Reading	32	17	15	1.3	1.4	10	9	13	41	45	39
16	8	Leyton Orient	32	18	14	1.2	1.2	13	9	10	39	39	48
17	21	Port Vale	29	15	14	1.0	1.6	8	7	14	30	45	31
18	15	Exeter	33	20	13	0.8	1.4	11	6	16	25	46	39
19	17	Cambridge	30	17	13	0.9	1.3	9	8	13	26	38	35
20	18	Burton	31	19	12	0.9	1.3	9	8	14	27	40	35
21	24	Carlisle	31	19	12	0.8	1.6	4	8	19	26	51	20
22	12	Lincoln	32	21	11	1.1	1.0	10	12	10	34	32	42
23	19	Shrewsbury	32	21	11	0.7	1.3	10	5	17	23	43	35
24	22	Cheltenham	30	19	11	0.8	1.3	8	5	17	24	40	29

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Charlton	17	5	12	1.7	1.5	6	4	7	29	25	22
2	3	Bolton	16	5	11	2.0	1.2	11	2	3	32	19	35
3	4	Barnsley	16	5	11	1.9	1.2	8	3	5	30	20	27
4	6	Oxford	16	5	11	1.8	1.1	8	5	3	29	17	29
5	5	Peterboro	14	4	10	2.4	1.1	8	4	2	33	15	28
6	9	Blackpool	17	7	10	2.0	0.9	10	4	3	34	16	34
7	1	Portsmouth	16	7	9	1.6	1.1	10	4	2	26	17	34
8	2	Derby	15	6	9	1.8	1.0	8	4	3	27	15	28
9	11	Bristol Rvs	16	7	9	1.5	1.2	6	5	5	24	19	23
10	10	Wigan	16	8	8	1.4	1.0	9	1	6	23	16	28
11	13	Northampton	16	8	8	1.3	1.1	7	4	5	21	18	25
12	8	Leyton Orient	15	8	7	1.2	1.5	7	3	5	18	22	24
13	16	Wycombe	15	8	7	1.5	1.4	5	5	5	22	21	20
14	19	Shrewsbury	16	9	7	1.0	1.2	7	2	7	16	19	23
15	21	Port Vale	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	5	2	8	19	20	17
16	23	Fleetwood Town	16	9	7	0.9	1.6	3	3	10	14	26	12
17	7	Stevenage	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	6	6	3	20	14	24
18	12	Lincoln	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	5	6	4	19	13	21
19	14	Reading	16	10	6	1.6	1.0	8	4	4	25	16	28
20	22	Cheltenham	15	9	6	1.0	1.4	5	3	7	15	21	18
21	15	Exeter	17	12	5	0.6	0.9	5	5	7	10	16	20
22	17	Cambridge	16	11	5	0.9	1.0	7	4	5	15	16	25
23	18	Burton	15	10	5	1.1	1.0	6	4	5	16	15	22
24	24	Carlisle	16	11	5	0.9	1.4	3	5	8	14	23	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Stevenage	16	5	11	1.6	1.2	9	2	5	26	19	29
2	13	Northampton	15	4	11	1.3	1.9	5	1	9	19	29	16
3	5	Peterboro	17	7	10	1.5	1.4	8	4	5	26	24	28
4	6	Oxford	16	6	10	1.6	1.4	8	2	6	25	23	26
5	23	Fleetwood Town	16	6	10	1.1	1.7	3	5	8	18	27	14
6	1	Portsmouth	17	8	9	1.6	0.7	10	5	2	28	12	35
7	2	Derby	17	8	9	1.8	0.8	11	2	4	30	14	35
8	11	Bristol Rvs	16	7	9	1.2	1.6	6	2	8	20	26	20
9	14	Reading	16	7	9	1.0	1.8	2	5	9	16	29	11
10	16	Wycombe	16	7	9	1.2	1.4	4	5	7	19	22	17
11	10	Wigan	16	8	8	1.4	1.6	4	5	7	23	26	17
12	15	Exeter	16	8	8	0.9	1.9	6	1	9	15	30	19
13	17	Cambridge	14	6	8	0.8	1.6	2	4	8	11	22	10
14	4	Barnsley	15	8	7	1.7	1.0	8	6	1	26	15	30
15	8	Leyton Orient	17	10	7	1.2	1.0	6	6	5	21	17	24
16	9	Blackpool	15	8	7	0.9	1.5	3	4	8	14	22	13
17	18	Burton	16	9	7	0.7	1.6	3	4	9	11	25	13
18	21	Port Vale	14	7	7	0.8	1.8	3	5	6	11	25	14
19	24	Carlisle	15	8	7	0.8	1.9	1	3	11	12	28	6
20	20	Charlton	15	9	6	1.0	1.6	1	7	7	15	24	10
21	12	Lincoln	17	12	5	0.9	1.1	5	6	6	15	19	21
22	22	Cheltenham	15	10	5	0.6	1.3	3	2	10	9	19	11
23	3	Bolton	14	10	4	1.6	0.7	8	3	3	22	10	27
24	19	Shrewsbury	16	12	4	0.4	1.5	3	3	10	7	24	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.