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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Speedie

Burton 1–2 Cheltenham

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 2.53
Draw 3.20 fair 3.42
Away ✓ 3.20 fair 3.21
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Cheltenham
5 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
19 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (519 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawCheltenham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.4% 1–1 13.4% 0–0 11.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.81scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 35:60
Cheltenham before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
0.83scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 35:60
Burton all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 0.83
1.40 Goals conceded 1.43
2.21 Total goals 2.26
10.26 Shots 11.24
2.93 Shots on target 3.07
14.07 Shots faced 14.17
3.60 Corners 4.17
4.88 Corners against 5.71
12.70 Fouls 12.12
2.44 Yellow cards 2.10
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

26% Wins 24%
23% Draws 19%
51% Losses 57%
88% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 69%
42% Over 2.5 goals 43%
16% Over 3.5 goals 17%
7% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 45%
21% Clean sheets 21%
47% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 19%
40% Draws 50%
40% Losses 31%
67% Over 0.5 goals 64%
21% Over 1.5 goals 26%
2% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Cheltenham all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.05points / match
0.86scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 18:29
Cheltenham before this match, away
0.76points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 14:28
Burton at home away Cheltenham

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 0.67
1.38 Goals conceded 1.33
2.24 Total goals 2.00
11.76 Shots 10.00
3.33 Shots on target 2.33
13.05 Shots faced 14.48
4.19 Corners 4.14
4.86 Corners against 6.38
12.90 Fouls 12.14
2.14 Yellow cards 2.10
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 19%
19% Draws 19%
52% Losses 62%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
67% Over 1.5 goals 57%
38% Over 2.5 goals 38%
19% Over 3.5 goals 10%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
19% Clean sheets 19%
43% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 19%
43% Draws 52%
29% Losses 29%
67% Over 0.5 goals 57%
24% Over 1.5 goals 24%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Cheltenham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Stevenage – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 2.10 1.70
06.04.24 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
01.04.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
29.03.24 Wigan – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.08 1.73
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67

Cheltenham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Cheltenham – Bristol Rvs 1–3 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.00 1.85
09.04.24 Cheltenham – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.00 1.98 1.88
06.04.24 Leyton Orient – Cheltenham 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.80 2.20 1.65
01.04.24 Cheltenham – Exeter 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.73
29.03.24 Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.60 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Barnsley – Cheltenham 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Oxford – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.604.20 2.00 1.85
05.03.24 Cheltenham – Charlton 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.252.80 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
27.02.24 Wycombe – Cheltenham 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.50 2.10 1.70

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
01.04.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
03.02.24 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Burton – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85
06.01.24 Burton – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.70
29.12.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.003.80 2.30 1.60

Cheltenham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Leyton Orient – Cheltenham 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.80 2.20 1.65
29.03.24 Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.60 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Barnsley – Cheltenham 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Oxford – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.604.20 2.00 1.85
27.02.24 Wycombe – Cheltenham 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.50 2.10 1.70
23.02.24 Wigan – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
10.02.24 Cambridge – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.70
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Bolton – Cheltenham 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Northampton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsCheltenham wins
5matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24E2 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
01.04.23E2 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
22.10.22E2 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
08.01.22E2 Cheltenham – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.252.90 2.15 1.66
27.08.21E2 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 43 26 13 4 72 37 +35 91
2 Derby 44 26 8 10 75 37 +38 86
3 Bolton 43 24 10 9 79 46 +33 82
4 Peterboro 42 23 8 11 80 55 +25 77
5 Barnsley 43 21 12 10 77 57 +20 75
6 Oxford 43 21 10 12 76 53 +23 73
7 Blackpool 44 20 10 14 60 43 +17 70
8 Lincoln 43 18 14 11 62 37 +25 68
9 Stevenage 44 18 13 13 54 44 +10 67
10 Wigan 44 18 10 16 59 55 +4 64
11 Leyton Orient 44 17 11 16 50 53 -3 62
12 Northampton 44 17 8 19 55 63 -8 59
13 Exeter 44 16 10 18 43 58 -15 58
14 Reading 44 15 11 18 63 65 -2 56
15 Wycombe 42 14 13 15 53 52 +1 55
16 Bristol Rvs 43 15 9 19 51 64 -13 54
17 Charlton 44 11 19 14 63 63 0 52
18 Cambridge 42 12 10 20 38 58 -20 46
19 Shrewsbury 43 13 7 23 31 61 -30 46
20 Burton 43 11 10 22 35 60 -25 43
21 Port Vale 43 10 10 23 40 70 -30 40
22 Cheltenham 42 10 8 24 35 60 -25 38
23 Fleetwood Town 43 8 13 22 44 68 -24 37
24 Carlisle 44 7 9 28 40 76 -36 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 21 14 5 2 39 23 +16 47
2 Bolton 21 14 4 3 48 25 +23 46
3 Derby 22 14 4 4 39 18 +21 46
4 Blackpool 22 13 6 3 40 17 +23 45
5 Peterboro 21 12 4 5 48 24 +24 40
6 Wigan 22 12 4 6 28 18 +10 40
7 Oxford 21 11 6 4 43 22 +21 39
8 Reading 22 11 5 6 36 22 +14 38
9 Northampton 22 11 5 6 30 21 +9 38
10 Lincoln 22 10 7 5 36 15 +21 37
11 Stevenage 22 9 8 5 25 18 +7 35
12 Barnsley 22 9 6 7 37 32 +5 33
13 Leyton Orient 22 9 5 8 26 30 -4 32
14 Charlton 22 8 7 7 36 30 +6 31
15 Wycombe 22 8 7 7 30 28 +2 31
16 Cambridge 21 8 6 7 21 22 -1 30
17 Exeter 22 7 8 7 16 20 -4 29
18 Bristol Rvs 21 7 6 8 26 27 -1 27
19 Shrewsbury 22 8 3 11 18 28 -10 27
20 Cheltenham 21 6 4 11 21 32 -11 22
21 Burton 21 6 4 11 18 29 -11 22
22 Port Vale 21 6 3 12 26 32 -6 21
23 Fleetwood Town 22 5 5 12 23 33 -10 20
24 Carlisle 22 3 6 13 20 39 -19 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 22 12 8 2 33 14 +19 44
2 Barnsley 21 12 6 3 40 25 +15 42
3 Derby 22 12 4 6 36 19 +17 40
4 Peterboro 21 11 4 6 32 31 +1 37
5 Bolton 22 10 6 6 31 21 +10 36
6 Oxford 22 10 4 8 33 31 +2 34
7 Stevenage 22 9 5 8 29 26 +3 32
8 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 26 22 +4 31
9 Leyton Orient 22 8 6 8 24 23 +1 30
10 Exeter 22 9 2 11 27 38 -11 29
11 Bristol Rvs 22 8 3 11 25 37 -12 27
12 Blackpool 22 7 4 11 20 26 -6 25
13 Wycombe 20 6 6 8 23 24 -1 24
14 Wigan 22 6 6 10 31 37 -6 24
15 Charlton 22 3 12 7 27 33 -6 21
16 Burton 22 5 6 11 17 31 -14 21
17 Northampton 22 6 3 13 25 42 -17 21
18 Shrewsbury 21 5 4 12 13 33 -20 19
19 Port Vale 22 4 7 11 14 38 -24 19
20 Reading 22 4 6 12 27 43 -16 18
21 Fleetwood Town 21 3 8 10 21 35 -14 17
22 Cheltenham 21 4 4 13 14 28 -14 16
23 Cambridge 21 4 4 13 17 36 -19 16
24 Carlisle 22 4 3 15 20 37 -17 15

Burton   Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 42 13 29 1.9 1.3 23 8 11 80 55 77
2 6 Oxford 43 14 29 1.8 1.2 21 10 12 76 53 73
3 5 Barnsley 43 15 28 1.8 1.3 21 12 10 77 57 75
4 2 Derby 44 19 25 1.7 0.8 26 8 10 75 37 86
5 1 Portsmouth 43 19 24 1.7 0.9 26 13 4 72 37 91
6 17 Charlton 44 20 24 1.4 1.4 11 19 14 63 63 52
7 14 Reading 44 21 23 1.4 1.5 15 11 18 63 65 56
8 16 Bristol Rvs 43 20 23 1.2 1.5 15 9 19 51 64 54
9 3 Bolton 43 21 22 1.8 1.1 24 10 9 79 46 82
10 12 Northampton 44 22 22 1.2 1.4 17 8 19 55 63 59
11 23 Fleetwood Town 43 21 22 1.0 1.6 8 13 22 44 68 37
12 9 Stevenage 44 23 21 1.2 1.0 18 13 13 54 44 67
13 10 Wigan 44 24 20 1.3 1.2 18 10 16 59 55 64
14 11 Leyton Orient 44 24 20 1.1 1.2 17 11 16 50 53 62
15 21 Port Vale 43 23 20 0.9 1.6 10 10 23 40 70 40
16 24 Carlisle 44 24 20 0.9 1.7 7 9 28 40 76 30
17 7 Blackpool 44 25 19 1.4 1.0 20 10 14 60 43 70
18 13 Exeter 44 25 19 1.0 1.3 16 10 18 43 58 58
19 15 Wycombe 42 23 19 1.3 1.2 14 13 15 53 52 55
20 18 Cambridge 42 24 18 0.9 1.4 12 10 20 38 58 46
21 20 Burton 43 25 18 0.8 1.4 11 10 22 35 60 43
22 22 Cheltenham 42 24 18 0.8 1.4 10 8 24 35 60 38
23 8 Lincoln 43 26 17 1.4 0.9 18 14 11 62 37 68
24 19 Shrewsbury 43 27 16 0.7 1.4 13 7 23 31 61 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 21 5 16 2.3 1.1 12 4 5 48 24 40
2 6 Oxford 21 5 16 2.0 1.0 11 6 4 43 22 39
3 5 Barnsley 22 7 15 1.7 1.5 9 6 7 37 32 33
4 17 Charlton 22 7 15 1.6 1.4 8 7 7 36 30 31
5 1 Portsmouth 21 7 14 1.9 1.1 14 5 2 39 23 47
6 3 Bolton 21 7 14 2.3 1.2 14 4 3 48 25 46
7 2 Derby 22 9 13 1.8 0.8 14 4 4 39 18 46
8 7 Blackpool 22 11 11 1.8 0.8 13 6 3 40 17 45
9 11 Leyton Orient 22 11 11 1.2 1.4 9 5 8 26 30 32
10 16 Bristol Rvs 21 10 11 1.2 1.3 7 6 8 26 27 27
11 8 Lincoln 22 12 10 1.6 0.7 10 7 5 36 15 37
12 21 Port Vale 21 11 10 1.2 1.5 6 3 12 26 32 21
13 22 Cheltenham 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 4 11 21 32 22
14 23 Fleetwood Town 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 5 5 12 23 33 20
15 24 Carlisle 22 12 10 0.9 1.8 3 6 13 20 39 15
16 12 Northampton 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 11 5 6 30 21 38
17 14 Reading 22 13 9 1.6 1.0 11 5 6 36 22 38
18 15 Wycombe 22 13 9 1.4 1.3 8 7 7 30 28 31
19 9 Stevenage 22 14 8 1.1 0.8 9 8 5 25 18 35
20 10 Wigan 22 14 8 1.3 0.8 12 4 6 28 18 40
21 19 Shrewsbury 22 14 8 0.8 1.3 8 3 11 18 28 27
22 20 Burton 21 13 8 0.9 1.4 6 4 11 18 29 22
23 18 Cambridge 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 8 6 7 21 22 30
24 13 Exeter 22 16 6 0.7 0.9 7 8 7 16 20 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Reading 22 8 14 1.2 2.0 4 6 12 27 43 18
2 4 Peterboro 21 8 13 1.5 1.5 11 4 6 32 31 37
3 5 Barnsley 21 8 13 1.9 1.2 12 6 3 40 25 42
4 6 Oxford 22 9 13 1.5 1.4 10 4 8 33 31 34
5 9 Stevenage 22 9 13 1.3 1.2 9 5 8 29 26 32
6 12 Northampton 22 9 13 1.1 1.9 6 3 13 25 42 21
7 13 Exeter 22 9 13 1.2 1.7 9 2 11 27 38 29
8 2 Derby 22 10 12 1.6 0.9 12 4 6 36 19 40
9 10 Wigan 22 10 12 1.4 1.7 6 6 10 31 37 24
10 16 Bristol Rvs 22 10 12 1.1 1.7 8 3 11 25 37 27
11 23 Fleetwood Town 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 3 8 10 21 35 17
12 18 Cambridge 21 10 11 0.8 1.7 4 4 13 17 36 16
13 1 Portsmouth 22 12 10 1.5 0.6 12 8 2 33 14 44
14 15 Wycombe 20 10 10 1.1 1.2 6 6 8 23 24 24
15 20 Burton 22 12 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 11 17 31 21
16 21 Port Vale 22 12 10 0.6 1.7 4 7 11 14 38 19
17 24 Carlisle 22 12 10 0.9 1.7 4 3 15 20 37 15
18 11 Leyton Orient 22 13 9 1.1 1.0 8 6 8 24 23 30
19 17 Charlton 22 13 9 1.2 1.5 3 12 7 27 33 21
20 3 Bolton 22 14 8 1.4 1.0 10 6 6 31 21 36
21 7 Blackpool 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 7 4 11 20 26 25
22 19 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 0.6 1.6 5 4 12 13 33 19
23 22 Cheltenham 21 13 8 0.7 1.3 4 4 13 14 28 16
24 8 Lincoln 21 14 7 1.2 1.0 8 7 6 26 22 31

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51