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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Luton 2–2 Port Vale

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.71 fair 2.16
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 3.52
Away 4.50 fair 3.95
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 1.59
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Port Vale
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
11 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (221 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.30 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawPort Vale
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.7% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 11.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.16scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 22:23
Port Vale before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
0.61scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 11:21
Luton all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 0.61
1.21 Goals conceded 1.17
2.37 Total goals 1.78
12.26 Shots 12.72
3.68 Shots on target 3.39
9.11 Shots faced 10.22
6.89 Corners 5.28
3.47 Corners against 4.39
11.21 Fouls 11.28
1.68 Yellow cards 1.83
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

42% Wins 17%
21% Draws 28%
37% Losses 56%
95% Over 0.5 goals 78%
68% Over 1.5 goals 50%
42% Over 2.5 goals 33%
21% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
37% Both teams scored 28%
42% Clean sheets 33%
26% Failed to score 61%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 11%
37% Draws 61%
37% Losses 28%
63% Over 0.5 goals 39%
21% Over 1.5 goals 28%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Port Vale all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.56points / match
0.89scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:8
Port Vale before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:10
Luton at home away Port Vale

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 0.67
0.89 Goals conceded 1.11
1.78 Total goals 1.78
14.67 Shots 11.67
4.22 Shots on target 3.00
7.56 Shots faced 11.00
8.11 Corners 5.00
3.78 Corners against 5.33
10.00 Fouls 12.33
1.11 Yellow cards 1.78
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

44% Wins 22%
22% Draws 22%
33% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%
11% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 22%
44% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
33% Draws 56%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 44%
11% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Port Vale away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Leyton Orient – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.573.252.50 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Luton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.65 1.98 1.88
25.11.25 Luton – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85
22.11.25 Barnsley – Luton 5–0 (3–0) 3.053.402.15 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Luton – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.493.906.00 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Stockport – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.253.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
18.10.25 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.25 Blackpool – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.10 2.05 1.75

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.303.70 2.15 1.67
22.11.25 Port Vale – Plymouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.00 2.00 1.85
15.11.25 Port Vale – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 2.573.302.50 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Bolton – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 1.663.754.75 1.93 1.93
27.10.25 Port Vale – Stockport 0–3 (0–3) 2.573.202.57 2.20 1.65
18.10.25 Wigan – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.75 2.35 1.57
11.10.25 AFC Wimbledon – Port Vale 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.102.65 2.50 1.50
04.10.25 Port Vale – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.33 2.35 1.57
27.09.25 Barnsley – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.503.25 1.80 2.00
20.09.25 Port Vale – Mansfield 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.50 2.05 1.75

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Luton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.65 1.98 1.88
25.11.25 Luton – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85
15.11.25 Luton – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.493.906.00 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Luton – Doncaster 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.704.50 1.98 1.88
13.09.25 Luton – Plymouth 2–3 (1–2) 1.494.206.00 1.75 2.05
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83

Port Vale away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.303.70 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Bolton – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 1.663.754.75 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Wigan – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.75 2.35 1.57
11.10.25 AFC Wimbledon – Port Vale 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.102.65 2.50 1.50
27.09.25 Barnsley – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.503.25 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Exeter – Port Vale 0–2 (0–2) 2.823.402.32 2.10 1.70
30.08.25 Reading – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.57 2.15 1.67
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
02.08.25 Rotherham – Port Vale 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.602.90 1.75 2.05
26.04.25E3 AFC Wimbledon – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 18 12 2 4 32 17 +15 38
2 Bradford 18 9 7 2 26 18 +8 34
3 Lincoln 19 10 4 5 26 19 +7 34
4 Stockport 18 9 5 4 25 21 +4 32
5 Bolton 18 8 7 3 25 16 +9 31
6 Stevenage 17 9 4 4 19 12 +7 31
7 Huddersfield 20 8 4 8 32 30 +2 28
8 Luton 19 8 4 7 22 23 -1 28
9 AFC Wimbledon 19 8 3 8 23 26 -3 27
10 Wigan 19 6 8 5 22 21 +1 26
11 Barnsley 16 7 4 5 27 22 +5 25
12 Leyton Orient 19 7 4 8 30 30 0 25
13 Wycombe 19 6 6 7 26 21 +5 24
14 Northampton 18 7 3 8 17 18 -1 24
15 Rotherham 19 6 6 7 20 23 -3 24
16 Mansfield 19 6 5 8 23 24 -1 23
17 Reading 18 5 7 6 21 22 -1 22
18 Burton 18 6 4 8 16 24 -8 22
19 Doncaster 19 6 4 9 17 26 -9 22
20 Exeter 18 6 2 10 17 18 -1 20
21 Peterboro 18 6 1 11 21 26 -5 19
22 Blackpool 19 5 4 10 20 28 -8 19
23 Plymouth 19 6 1 12 20 32 -12 19
24 Port Vale 18 3 5 10 11 21 -10 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 10 7 2 1 18 9 +9 23
2 Bolton 9 6 3 0 18 4 +14 21
3 Cardiff 9 7 0 2 22 11 +11 21
4 Bradford 9 6 2 1 15 9 +6 20
5 Huddersfield 10 5 3 2 18 11 +7 18
6 Wycombe 10 5 2 3 19 11 +8 17
7 Wigan 9 5 2 2 11 5 +6 17
8 Stevenage 8 5 2 1 9 3 +6 17
9 Leyton Orient 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16
10 Rotherham 10 4 4 2 14 12 +2 16
11 Stockport 9 4 3 2 10 9 +1 15
12 Reading 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
13 Exeter 9 4 2 3 13 8 +5 14
14 Mansfield 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
15 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
16 Northampton 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
17 Doncaster 10 4 2 4 12 12 0 14
18 Luton 9 4 2 3 8 8 0 14
19 Barnsley 7 4 1 2 15 9 +6 13
20 Blackpool 9 3 3 3 13 15 -2 12
21 Peterboro 9 3 1 5 12 11 +1 10
22 Burton 9 3 1 5 6 14 -8 10
23 Plymouth 9 2 1 6 8 14 -6 7
24 Port Vale 9 1 3 5 5 11 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 9 5 2 2 10 6 +4 17
2 Stockport 9 5 2 2 15 12 +3 17
3 Bradford 9 3 5 1 11 9 +2 14
4 Stevenage 9 4 2 3 10 9 +1 14
5 Luton 10 4 2 4 14 15 -1 14
6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 1 5 13 19 -6 13
7 Burton 9 3 3 3 10 10 0 12
8 Barnsley 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
9 Plymouth 10 4 0 6 12 18 -6 12
10 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 8 10 -2 11
11 Northampton 8 3 1 4 7 9 -2 10
12 Huddersfield 10 3 1 6 14 19 -5 10
13 Bolton 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10
14 Wigan 10 1 6 3 11 16 -5 9
15 Mansfield 10 2 3 5 9 14 -5 9
16 Leyton Orient 9 3 0 6 14 20 -6 9
17 Peterboro 9 3 0 6 9 15 -6 9
18 Port Vale 9 2 2 5 6 10 -4 8
19 Rotherham 9 2 2 5 6 11 -5 8
20 Doncaster 9 2 2 5 5 14 -9 8
21 Reading 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
22 Wycombe 9 1 4 4 7 10 -3 7
23 Blackpool 10 2 1 7 7 13 -6 7
24 Exeter 9 2 0 7 4 10 -6 6

Luton   Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Huddersfield 20 7 13 1.6 1.5 8 4 8 32 30 28
2 12 Leyton Orient 19 8 11 1.6 1.6 7 4 8 30 30 25
3 21 Peterboro 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 6 1 11 21 26 19
4 1 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.8 0.9 12 2 4 32 17 38
5 2 Bradford 18 8 10 1.4 1.0 9 7 2 26 18 34
6 9 AFC Wimbledon 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 8 3 8 23 26 27
7 15 Rotherham 19 9 10 1.1 1.2 6 6 7 20 23 24
8 4 Stockport 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 9 5 4 25 21 32
9 11 Barnsley 16 7 9 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 22 25
10 13 Wycombe 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 6 6 7 26 21 24
11 16 Mansfield 19 10 9 1.2 1.3 6 5 8 23 24 23
12 18 Burton 18 9 9 0.9 1.3 6 4 8 16 24 22
13 19 Doncaster 19 10 9 0.9 1.4 6 4 9 17 26 22
14 23 Plymouth 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 6 1 12 20 32 19
15 3 Lincoln 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 10 4 5 26 19 34
16 8 Luton 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 8 4 7 22 23 28
17 22 Blackpool 19 11 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 10 20 28 19
18 17 Reading 18 11 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 6 21 22 22
19 5 Bolton 18 12 6 1.4 0.9 8 7 3 25 16 31
20 10 Wigan 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 6 8 5 22 21 26
21 14 Northampton 18 12 6 0.9 1.0 7 3 8 17 18 24
22 24 Port Vale 18 12 6 0.6 1.2 3 5 10 11 21 14
23 20 Exeter 18 13 5 0.9 1.0 6 2 10 17 18 20
24 6 Stevenage 17 13 4 1.1 0.7 9 4 4 19 12 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 9 1 8 2.4 1.2 7 0 2 22 11 21
2 2 Bradford 9 3 6 1.7 1.0 6 2 1 15 9 20
3 7 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 3 2 18 11 18
4 13 Wycombe 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 2 3 19 11 17
5 15 Rotherham 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 4 4 2 14 12 16
6 3 Lincoln 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 7 2 1 18 9 23
7 18 Burton 9 4 5 0.7 1.6 3 1 5 6 14 10
8 19 Doncaster 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 4 2 4 12 12 14
9 21 Peterboro 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 1 5 12 11 10
10 22 Blackpool 9 4 5 1.4 1.7 3 3 3 13 15 12
11 5 Bolton 9 5 4 2.0 0.4 6 3 0 18 4 21
12 11 Barnsley 7 3 4 2.1 1.3 4 1 2 15 9 13
13 12 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16
14 16 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
15 23 Plymouth 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 6 8 14 7
16 24 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.6 1.2 1 3 5 5 11 6
17 4 Stockport 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 3 2 10 9 15
18 9 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
19 14 Northampton 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
20 17 Reading 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
21 20 Exeter 9 6 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 3 13 8 14
22 8 Luton 9 7 2 0.9 0.9 4 2 3 8 8 14
23 10 Wigan 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 2 2 11 5 17
24 6 Stevenage 8 7 1 1.1 0.4 5 2 1 9 3 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Huddersfield 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 3 1 6 14 19 10
2 9 AFC Wimbledon 10 3 7 1.3 1.9 4 1 5 13 19 13
3 12 Leyton Orient 9 2 7 1.6 2.2 3 0 6 14 20 9
4 4 Stockport 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 5 2 2 15 12 17
5 8 Luton 10 4 6 1.4 1.5 4 2 4 14 15 14
6 21 Peterboro 9 3 6 1.0 1.7 3 0 6 9 15 9
7 11 Barnsley 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
8 16 Mansfield 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 2 3 5 9 14 9
9 23 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 4 0 6 12 18 12
10 2 Bradford 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 5 1 11 9 14
11 10 Wigan 10 6 4 1.1 1.6 1 6 3 11 16 9
12 15 Rotherham 9 5 4 0.7 1.2 2 2 5 6 11 8
13 17 Reading 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
14 18 Burton 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 3 10 10 12
15 19 Doncaster 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 5 5 14 8
16 3 Lincoln 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 3 2 4 8 10 11
17 6 Stevenage 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 3 10 9 14
18 13 Wycombe 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 1 4 4 7 10 7
19 14 Northampton 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 3 1 4 7 9 10
20 22 Blackpool 10 7 3 0.7 1.3 2 1 7 7 13 7
21 1 Cardiff 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 5 2 2 10 6 17
22 5 Bolton 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10
23 20 Exeter 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 0 7 4 10 6
24 24 Port Vale 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 5 6 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40