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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Ricardo

Luton 1–1 Bolton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.45 fair 2.39
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.65
Away 2.65 fair 3.25
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.31

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Bolton
19 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
13 Corners 2
8 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (196 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBolton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11.9% 0–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.18scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:21
Bolton before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.44scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:15
Luton all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.44
1.24 Goals conceded 0.94
2.41 Total goals 2.38
12.18 Shots 16.88
3.82 Shots on target 5.31
9.29 Shots faced 7.00
6.82 Corners 6.63
3.65 Corners against 4.00
11.00 Fouls 11.56
1.71 Yellow cards 1.75
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

47% Wins 44%
12% Draws 38%
41% Losses 19%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
65% Over 1.5 goals 88%
47% Over 2.5 goals 38%
24% Over 3.5 goals 13%
12% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 50%
47% Clean sheets 31%
29% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 31%
35% Draws 38%
35% Losses 31%
65% Over 0.5 goals 63%
24% Over 1.5 goals 19%
12% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Bolton all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.63points / match
0.88scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:7
Bolton before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.71scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:11
Luton at home away Bolton

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 0.71
0.88 Goals conceded 1.57
1.75 Total goals 2.29
14.13 Shots 15.86
4.25 Shots on target 5.43
7.50 Shots faced 7.29
7.50 Corners 6.43
4.00 Corners against 3.86
10.25 Fouls 11.86
1.13 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

50% Wins 14%
13% Draws 43%
38% Losses 43%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 29%
13% Over 3.5 goals 0%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 57%
50% Clean sheets 0%
38% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 0%
38% Draws 43%
25% Losses 57%
63% Over 0.5 goals 57%
13% Over 1.5 goals 0%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Bolton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.25 Luton – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85
22.11.25 Barnsley – Luton 5–0 (3–0) 3.053.402.15 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Luton – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.493.906.00 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Stockport – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.253.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
18.10.25 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.25 Blackpool – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.10 2.05 1.75
27.09.25 Luton – Doncaster 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.704.50 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Bolton – Bradford 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.10 1.65 2.20
08.11.25 Bolton – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 1.663.754.75 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
16.10.25 Huddersfield – Bolton 1–2 (1–0) 2.503.252.65 1.85 2.00
11.10.25 Burton – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.75 2.05
04.10.25 Bolton – Peterboro 2–1 (2–1) 1.414.506.00 1.62 2.25
27.09.25 Northampton – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.76 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Bolton – Wigan 4–1 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.03 1.83
13.09.25 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.93 1.93
06.09.25 Bolton – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (1–0) 1.463.906.25 2.05 1.75

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.25 Luton – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85
15.11.25 Luton – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.493.906.00 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Luton – Doncaster 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.704.50 1.98 1.88
13.09.25 Luton – Plymouth 2–3 (1–2) 1.494.206.00 1.75 2.05
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83
21.04.25E1 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67

Bolton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.25 Huddersfield – Bolton 1–2 (1–0) 2.503.252.65 1.85 2.00
11.10.25 Burton – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.75 2.05
27.09.25 Northampton – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.76 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.93 1.93
30.08.25 Blackpool – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.202.20 1.85 2.00
16.08.25 Barnsley – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.45 1.67 2.15
03.08.25 Stockport – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 1.95 1.90
26.04.25 Peterboro – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.752.50 1.57 2.35
21.04.25 Lincoln – Bolton 4–2 (2–2) 3.203.302.25 2.05 1.75
12.04.25 Barnsley – Bolton 4–1 (2–0) 3.303.752.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 15 9 3 3 19 11 +8 30
2 Cardiff 15 9 2 4 25 15 +10 29
3 Stockport 17 8 5 4 23 21 +2 29
4 Bradford 16 7 7 2 24 18 +6 28
5 Lincoln 17 8 4 5 22 18 +4 28
6 Bolton 16 7 6 3 23 15 +8 27
7 Luton 17 8 2 7 20 21 -1 26
8 Barnsley 15 7 4 4 26 19 +7 25
9 Huddersfield 16 8 1 7 25 22 +3 25
10 AFC Wimbledon 16 8 1 7 20 22 -2 25
11 Wycombe 17 6 5 6 25 19 +6 23
12 Rotherham 17 6 5 6 19 19 0 23
13 Mansfield 16 6 4 6 23 20 +3 22
14 Reading 17 5 7 5 20 20 0 22
15 Burton 16 6 4 6 16 19 -3 22
16 Wigan 16 5 6 5 20 20 0 21
17 Leyton Orient 17 6 3 8 25 29 -4 21
18 Northampton 16 6 2 8 13 17 -4 20
19 Doncaster 17 5 4 8 15 23 -8 19
20 Exeter 16 5 2 9 16 17 -1 17
21 Peterboro 16 5 1 10 18 23 -5 16
22 Plymouth 16 5 1 10 19 28 -9 16
23 Blackpool 18 4 4 10 17 28 -11 16
24 Port Vale 17 3 5 9 11 20 -9 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 9 6 3 0 18 4 +14 21
2 Wycombe 9 5 2 2 19 10 +9 17
3 Stevenage 7 5 2 0 9 2 +7 17
4 Lincoln 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
5 Bradford 8 5 2 1 14 9 +5 17
6 Huddersfield 8 5 1 2 14 7 +7 16
7 Cardiff 7 5 0 2 16 9 +7 15
8 Leyton Orient 9 4 3 2 15 9 +6 15
9 Rotherham 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
10 Stockport 9 4 3 2 10 9 +1 15
11 Reading 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
12 Mansfield 8 4 2 2 14 9 +5 14
13 Barnsley 7 4 1 2 15 9 +6 13
14 Wigan 7 4 1 2 10 5 +5 13
15 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 1 3 10 7 +3 13
16 Northampton 9 4 1 4 9 8 +1 13
17 Luton 8 4 1 3 7 7 0 13
18 Blackpool 9 3 3 3 13 15 -2 12
19 Exeter 8 3 2 3 12 8 +4 11
20 Doncaster 8 3 2 3 10 9 +1 11
21 Peterboro 9 3 1 5 12 11 +1 10
22 Burton 8 3 1 4 6 10 -4 10
23 Plymouth 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
24 Port Vale 9 1 3 5 5 11 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 8 4 2 2 9 6 +3 14
2 Stockport 8 4 2 2 13 12 +1 14
3 Stevenage 8 4 1 3 10 9 +1 13
4 Luton 9 4 1 4 13 14 -1 13
5 Barnsley 8 3 3 2 11 10 +1 12
6 Burton 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
7 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 0 4 10 15 -5 12
8 Bradford 8 2 5 1 10 9 +1 11
9 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 8 10 -2 11
10 Huddersfield 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
11 Plymouth 9 3 0 6 11 18 -7 9
12 Mansfield 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
13 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
14 Wigan 9 1 5 3 10 15 -5 8
15 Rotherham 9 2 2 5 6 11 -5 8
16 Doncaster 9 2 2 5 5 14 -9 8
17 Reading 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
18 Northampton 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
19 Wycombe 8 1 3 4 6 9 -3 6
20 Exeter 8 2 0 6 4 9 -5 6
21 Peterboro 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
22 Bolton 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
23 Leyton Orient 8 2 0 6 10 20 -10 6
24 Blackpool 9 1 1 7 4 13 -9 4

Luton   Bolton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Huddersfield 16 5 11 1.6 1.4 8 1 7 25 22 25
2 4 Bradford 16 6 10 1.5 1.1 7 7 2 24 18 28
3 17 Leyton Orient 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 6 3 8 25 29 21
4 3 Stockport 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 8 5 4 23 21 29
5 10 AFC Wimbledon 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 8 1 7 20 22 25
6 11 Wycombe 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 6 5 6 25 19 23
7 12 Rotherham 17 8 9 1.1 1.1 6 5 6 19 19 23
8 21 Peterboro 16 7 9 1.1 1.4 5 1 10 18 23 16
9 2 Cardiff 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 9 2 4 25 15 29
10 7 Luton 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 8 2 7 20 21 26
11 8 Barnsley 15 7 8 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 19 25
12 13 Mansfield 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 23 20 22
13 15 Burton 16 8 8 1.0 1.2 6 4 6 16 19 22
14 19 Doncaster 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 8 15 23 19
15 22 Plymouth 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 10 19 28 16
16 5 Lincoln 17 10 7 1.3 1.1 8 4 5 22 18 28
17 23 Blackpool 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 10 17 28 16
18 6 Bolton 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 7 6 3 23 15 27
19 14 Reading 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 5 7 5 20 20 22
20 16 Wigan 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 6 5 20 20 21
21 24 Port Vale 17 11 6 0.6 1.2 3 5 9 11 20 14
22 18 Northampton 16 11 5 0.8 1.1 6 2 8 13 17 20
23 20 Exeter 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 5 2 9 16 17 17
24 1 Stevenage 15 11 4 1.3 0.7 9 3 3 19 11 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cardiff 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 5 0 2 16 9 15
2 4 Bradford 8 2 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 1 14 9 17
3 11 Wycombe 9 3 6 2.1 1.1 5 2 2 19 10 17
4 9 Huddersfield 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 1 2 14 7 16
5 12 Rotherham 8 3 5 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
6 21 Peterboro 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 1 5 12 11 10
7 23 Blackpool 9 4 5 1.4 1.7 3 3 3 13 15 12
8 5 Lincoln 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
9 6 Bolton 9 5 4 2.0 0.4 6 3 0 18 4 21
10 8 Barnsley 7 3 4 2.1 1.3 4 1 2 15 9 13
11 13 Mansfield 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 2 2 14 9 14
12 15 Burton 8 4 4 0.8 1.2 3 1 4 6 10 10
13 17 Leyton Orient 9 5 4 1.7 1.0 4 3 2 15 9 15
14 19 Doncaster 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 2 3 10 9 11
15 24 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.6 1.2 1 3 5 5 11 6
16 3 Stockport 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 3 2 10 9 15
17 10 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 1 3 10 7 13
18 18 Northampton 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 4 1 4 9 8 13
19 20 Exeter 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 3 12 8 11
20 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
21 7 Luton 8 6 2 0.9 0.9 4 1 3 7 7 13
22 14 Reading 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
23 16 Wigan 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 4 1 2 10 5 13
24 1 Stevenage 7 6 1 1.3 0.3 5 2 0 9 2 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stockport 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 4 2 2 13 12 14
2 7 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 1 4 13 14 13
3 9 Huddersfield 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
4 10 AFC Wimbledon 8 2 6 1.2 1.9 4 0 4 10 15 12
5 17 Leyton Orient 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 2 0 6 10 20 6
6 22 Plymouth 9 4 5 1.2 2.0 3 0 6 11 18 9
7 4 Bradford 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 5 1 10 9 11
8 8 Barnsley 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 3 3 2 11 10 12
9 12 Rotherham 9 5 4 0.7 1.2 2 2 5 6 11 8
10 13 Mansfield 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
11 14 Reading 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
12 15 Burton 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
13 16 Wigan 9 5 4 1.1 1.7 1 5 3 10 15 8
14 19 Doncaster 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 5 5 14 8
15 21 Peterboro 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
16 1 Stevenage 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 1 3 10 9 13
17 5 Lincoln 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 3 2 4 8 10 11
18 11 Wycombe 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 1 3 4 6 9 6
19 2 Cardiff 8 6 2 1.1 0.8 4 2 2 9 6 14
20 6 Bolton 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
21 18 Northampton 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
22 20 Exeter 8 6 2 0.5 1.1 2 0 6 4 9 6
23 23 Blackpool 9 7 2 0.4 1.4 1 1 7 4 13 4
24 24 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51