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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Eley

Lincoln 2–1 Cardiff

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.43
Draw 3.25 fair 3.82
Away 2.65 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Cardiff
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 3
12 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.2% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.40scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:21
Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.16points / match
1.89scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 36:20
Lincoln all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.89
1.05 Goals conceded 1.05
2.45 Total goals 2.95
10.00 Shots 14.37
3.60 Shots on target 5.26
12.35 Shots faced 13.42
3.65 Corners 4.79
5.70 Corners against 5.32
13.30 Fouls 10.58
2.00 Yellow cards 1.79
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

50% Wins 68%
25% Draws 11%
25% Losses 21%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
65% Over 1.5 goals 68%
45% Over 2.5 goals 58%
30% Over 3.5 goals 37%
10% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
45% Both teams scored 47%
35% Clean sheets 42%
25% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 32%
20% Draws 47%
15% Losses 21%
80% Over 0.5 goals 63%
20% Over 1.5 goals 21%
10% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Cardiff all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
2.30points / match
1.80scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:9
Cardiff before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.11scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:6
Lincoln at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.11
0.90 Goals conceded 0.67
2.70 Total goals 1.78
11.80 Shots 12.56
4.60 Shots on target 3.22
11.10 Shots faced 14.33
4.00 Corners 4.33
6.20 Corners against 5.67
12.60 Fouls 9.78
2.30 Yellow cards 1.33
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.11

How often Full Time

70% Wins 56%
20% Draws 22%
10% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 44%
50% Over 2.5 goals 22%
40% Over 3.5 goals 22%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 33%
30% Clean sheets 56%
10% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 22%
20% Draws 67%
0% Losses 11%
80% Over 0.5 goals 33%
10% Over 1.5 goals 0%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Blackpool – Lincoln 2–2 (1–2) 3.053.302.20 2.00 1.80
09.12.25 Lincoln – Barnsley 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.503.90 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.303.70 2.15 1.67
22.11.25 Wycombe – Lincoln 3–2 (2–0) 1.863.603.80 2.10 1.70
15.11.25 Lincoln – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
08.11.25 Rotherham – Lincoln 3–0 (2–0) 3.403.302.05 2.10 1.70
28.10.25 Bradford – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.40 2.05 1.75
25.10.25 Leyton Orient – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.252.57 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 2.30 1.60
04.10.25 Lincoln – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.805.00 2.10 1.70

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Cardiff – Doncaster 4–3 (2–2) 1.763.803.90 1.67 2.15
09.12.25 Stevenage – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.202.40 2.10 1.70
06.12.25 Cardiff – Huddersfield 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.603.20 1.67 2.15
29.11.25 Cardiff – Mansfield 3–0 (1–0) 1.793.604.10 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Northampton – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.502.01 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Blackpool – Cardiff 3–1 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10
04.10.25 Cardiff – Leyton Orient 4–3 (1–1) 1.623.904.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Lincoln – Barnsley 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.503.90 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.303.70 2.15 1.67
15.11.25 Lincoln – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
18.10.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 2.30 1.60
04.10.25 Lincoln – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.805.00 2.10 1.70
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70
06.09.25 Lincoln – Wigan 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.103.00 2.60 1.48
30.08.25 Lincoln – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.602.85 2.10 1.70
16.08.25 Lincoln – Plymouth 3–2 (1–0) 2.003.253.75 2.05 1.75
02.08.25 Lincoln – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 1.83 2.03

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Stevenage – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.202.40 2.10 1.70
22.11.25 Northampton – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.502.01 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Blackpool – Cardiff 3–1 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Stockport – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.502.45 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85
03.05.25E1 Norwich – Cardiff 4–2 (3–0) 1.584.334.75 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 19 13 2 4 36 20 +16 41
2 Bradford 19 10 7 2 28 18 +10 37
3 Stevenage 19 10 5 4 24 15 +9 35
4 Lincoln 20 10 5 5 28 21 +7 35
5 Bolton 19 9 7 3 27 17 +10 34
6 Stockport 19 9 5 5 26 24 +2 32
7 Luton 21 8 5 8 26 28 -2 29
8 Barnsley 17 8 4 5 30 24 +6 28
9 Huddersfield 20 8 4 8 32 30 +2 28
10 Northampton 20 8 3 9 21 21 0 27
11 AFC Wimbledon 20 8 3 9 24 29 -5 27
12 Wigan 20 6 8 6 22 23 -1 26
13 Wycombe 20 6 7 7 26 21 +5 25
14 Leyton Orient 20 7 4 9 32 33 -1 25
15 Reading 20 6 7 7 24 26 -2 25
16 Rotherham 20 6 6 8 20 24 -4 24
17 Burton 20 6 6 8 18 26 -8 24
18 Mansfield 19 6 5 8 23 24 -1 23
19 Blackpool 21 6 5 10 24 30 -6 23
20 Peterboro 19 7 1 11 23 27 -4 22
21 Doncaster 20 6 4 10 20 30 -10 22
22 Plymouth 20 7 1 12 21 32 -11 22
23 Exeter 19 6 2 11 18 20 -2 20
24 Port Vale 19 3 6 10 13 23 -10 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 10 7 3 0 20 5 +15 24
2 Cardiff 10 8 0 2 26 14 +12 24
3 Lincoln 10 7 2 1 18 9 +9 23
4 Bradford 10 7 2 1 17 9 +8 23
5 Huddersfield 10 5 3 2 18 11 +7 18
6 Stevenage 9 5 3 1 11 5 +6 18
7 Reading 11 5 3 3 13 12 +1 18
8 Wycombe 10 5 2 3 19 11 +8 17
9 Wigan 10 5 2 3 11 7 +4 17
10 Northampton 11 5 2 4 13 10 +3 17
11 Barnsley 8 5 1 2 18 11 +7 16
12 Leyton Orient 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16
13 Rotherham 10 4 4 2 14 12 +2 16
14 Luton 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
15 Stockport 10 4 3 3 11 12 -1 15
16 Exeter 9 4 2 3 13 8 +5 14
17 Mansfield 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
19 Doncaster 10 4 2 4 12 12 0 14
20 Peterboro 10 4 1 5 14 12 +2 13
21 Blackpool 10 3 4 3 15 17 -2 13
22 Burton 10 3 2 5 6 14 -8 11
23 Plymouth 10 3 1 6 9 14 -5 10
24 Port Vale 9 1 3 5 5 11 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 9 5 2 2 10 6 +4 17
2 Stockport 9 5 2 2 15 12 +3 17
3 Stevenage 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17
4 Bradford 9 3 5 1 11 9 +2 14
5 Luton 11 4 2 5 16 18 -2 14
6 Burton 10 3 4 3 12 12 0 13
7 AFC Wimbledon 11 4 1 6 14 22 -8 13
8 Barnsley 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
9 Lincoln 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
10 Plymouth 10 4 0 6 12 18 -6 12
11 Northampton 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
12 Blackpool 11 3 1 7 9 13 -4 10
13 Huddersfield 10 3 1 6 14 19 -5 10
14 Bolton 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10
15 Port Vale 10 2 3 5 8 12 -4 9
16 Wigan 10 1 6 3 11 16 -5 9
17 Mansfield 10 2 3 5 9 14 -5 9
18 Peterboro 9 3 0 6 9 15 -6 9
19 Leyton Orient 10 3 0 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Wycombe 10 1 5 4 7 10 -3 8
21 Rotherham 10 2 2 6 6 12 -6 8
22 Doncaster 10 2 2 6 8 18 -10 8
23 Reading 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7
24 Exeter 10 2 0 8 5 12 -7 6

Lincoln   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Huddersfield 20 7 13 1.6 1.5 8 4 8 32 30 28
2 14 Leyton Orient 20 8 12 1.6 1.6 7 4 9 32 33 25
3 20 Peterboro 19 7 12 1.2 1.4 7 1 11 23 27 22
4 1 Cardiff 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 13 2 4 36 20 41
5 11 AFC Wimbledon 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 8 3 9 24 29 27
6 2 Bradford 19 9 10 1.5 0.9 10 7 2 28 18 37
7 6 Stockport 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 9 5 5 26 24 32
8 7 Luton 21 11 10 1.2 1.3 8 5 8 26 28 29
9 8 Barnsley 17 7 10 1.8 1.4 8 4 5 30 24 28
10 16 Rotherham 20 10 10 1.0 1.2 6 6 8 20 24 24
11 17 Burton 20 10 10 0.9 1.3 6 6 8 18 26 24
12 21 Doncaster 20 10 10 1.0 1.5 6 4 10 20 30 22
13 4 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 28 21 35
14 13 Wycombe 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 21 25
15 18 Mansfield 19 10 9 1.2 1.3 6 5 8 23 24 23
16 19 Blackpool 21 12 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 10 24 30 23
17 22 Plymouth 20 11 9 1.1 1.6 7 1 12 21 32 22
18 10 Northampton 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 8 3 9 21 21 27
19 15 Reading 20 12 8 1.2 1.3 6 7 7 24 26 25
20 5 Bolton 19 12 7 1.4 0.9 9 7 3 27 17 34
21 24 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.7 1.2 3 6 10 13 23 15
22 3 Stevenage 19 13 6 1.3 0.8 10 5 4 24 15 35
23 12 Wigan 20 14 6 1.1 1.1 6 8 6 22 23 26
24 23 Exeter 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 6 2 11 18 20 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 10 1 9 2.6 1.4 8 0 2 26 14 24
2 2 Bradford 10 4 6 1.7 0.9 7 2 1 17 9 23
3 9 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 3 2 18 11 18
4 13 Wycombe 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 2 3 19 11 17
5 16 Rotherham 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 4 4 2 14 12 16
6 19 Blackpool 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 3 4 3 15 17 13
7 20 Peterboro 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 4 1 5 14 12 13
8 4 Lincoln 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 7 2 1 18 9 23
9 5 Bolton 10 5 5 2.0 0.5 7 3 0 20 5 24
10 8 Barnsley 8 3 5 2.2 1.4 5 1 2 18 11 16
11 17 Burton 10 5 5 0.6 1.4 3 2 5 6 14 11
12 21 Doncaster 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 4 2 4 12 12 14
13 6 Stockport 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 3 11 12 15
14 10 Northampton 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 5 2 4 13 10 17
15 14 Leyton Orient 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16
16 15 Reading 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 3 13 12 18
17 18 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
18 22 Plymouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.4 3 1 6 9 14 10
19 24 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.6 1.2 1 3 5 5 11 6
20 7 Luton 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
21 11 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
22 23 Exeter 9 6 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 3 13 8 14
23 3 Stevenage 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 3 1 11 5 18
24 12 Wigan 10 8 2 1.1 0.7 5 2 3 11 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 8 1.3 2.0 4 1 6 14 22 13
2 14 Leyton Orient 10 2 8 1.6 2.3 3 0 7 16 23 9
3 7 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 16 18 14
4 9 Huddersfield 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 3 1 6 14 19 10
5 6 Stockport 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 5 2 2 15 12 17
6 20 Peterboro 9 3 6 1.0 1.7 3 0 6 9 15 9
7 8 Barnsley 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
8 17 Burton 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 4 3 12 12 13
9 18 Mansfield 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 2 3 5 9 14 9
10 21 Doncaster 10 5 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 6 8 18 8
11 22 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 4 0 6 12 18 12
12 2 Bradford 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 5 1 11 9 14
13 3 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17
14 4 Lincoln 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
15 10 Northampton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
16 12 Wigan 10 6 4 1.1 1.6 1 6 3 11 16 9
17 15 Reading 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7
18 16 Rotherham 10 6 4 0.6 1.2 2 2 6 6 12 8
19 13 Wycombe 10 7 3 0.7 1.0 1 5 4 7 10 8
20 19 Blackpool 11 8 3 0.8 1.2 3 1 7 9 13 10
21 23 Exeter 10 7 3 0.5 1.2 2 0 8 5 12 6
22 24 Port Vale 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 5 8 12 9
23 1 Cardiff 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 5 2 2 10 6 17
24 5 Bolton 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40