Burton 1–0 Rotherham – England League One, 17 Feb 2026

Match facts

Burton Rotherham

11 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

10 Corners 3

12 Fouls 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (364 league matches this season so far).

Result Burton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

44% 26% 30%

BurtonDrawRotherham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches

1.07points / match

1.10scored / match

1.50conceded / match

8 8 14

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 33:45

Rotherham before this match, all matches

1.07points / match

1.07scored / match

1.48conceded / match

8 7 14

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 31:43

Burton all matches all matches Rotherham

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.07

1.50 Goals conceded 1.48

2.60 Total goals 2.55

11.83 Shots 10.10

3.50 Shots on target 3.21

13.07 Shots faced 12.41

5.33 Corners 4.97

5.73 Corners against 4.86

11.03 Fouls 12.93

1.63 Yellow cards 2.14

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

27% Wins 28%

27% Draws 24%

47% Losses 48%

90% Over 0.5 goals 97%

70% Over 1.5 goals 72%

60% Over 2.5 goals 59%

30% Over 3.5 goals 24%

7% Over 4.5 goals 3%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

47% Both teams scored 48%

23% Clean sheets 21%

40% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 28%

40% Draws 28%

33% Losses 45%

67% Over 0.5 goals 76%

37% Over 1.5 goals 21%

7% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches

5

1

W

2

L

2

L

3

L

3

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

D

Rotherham all matches

1

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

4

L

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

1

W

4

W

3

L

Burton before this match, at home

1.20points / match

1.13scored / match

1.47conceded / match

5 3 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:22

Rotherham before this match, away

0.79points / match

0.93scored / match

1.50conceded / match

3 2 9

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:21

Burton at home away Rotherham

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.93

1.47 Goals conceded 1.50

2.60 Total goals 2.43

12.47 Shots 8.50

3.73 Shots on target 2.64

11.87 Shots faced 13.07

6.13 Corners 4.00

4.93 Corners against 4.86

10.60 Fouls 12.79

1.60 Yellow cards 2.07

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

33% Wins 21%

20% Draws 14%

47% Losses 64%

87% Over 0.5 goals 93%

67% Over 1.5 goals 64%

60% Over 2.5 goals 57%

33% Over 3.5 goals 21%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

33% Both teams scored 43%

27% Clean sheets 21%

53% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 29%

40% Draws 21%

33% Losses 50%

67% Over 0.5 goals 86%

40% Over 1.5 goals 14%

7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home

3

W

1

L

1

W

4

L

D

5

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

2

D

1

2

L

Rotherham away

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

W

D

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

4

L

2

3

L

4

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Port Vale – Burton	2–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.85	2.15	1.67
03.02.26	Burton – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	3.00	3.25	2.30	1.98	1.88
31.01.26	Burton – Cardiff	2–2 (1–0)	4.33	3.70	1.71	1.85	2.00
27.01.26	Bolton – Burton	2–1 (0–0)	1.42	4.00	7.00	1.75	2.05
22.01.26	Lincoln – Burton	2–1 (1–1)	1.51	3.60	5.75	1.90	1.90
17.01.26	Burton – Huddersfield	3–1 (1–1)	4.00	3.40	1.86	1.98	1.88
04.01.26	Plymouth – Burton	3–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.25	1.90	1.90
01.01.26	Reading – Burton	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.30	3.80	1.95	1.85
29.12.25	Burton – Wigan	0–2 (0–0)	2.57	3.20	2.55	2.25	1.62
26.12.25	Burton – Northampton	5–1 (4–1)	2.20	3.05	3.25	2.25	1.62

Rotherham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Rotherham – Cardiff	0–3 (0–1)	3.80	3.50	1.86	1.95	1.85
31.01.26	Exeter – Rotherham	0–4 (0–1)	1.86	3.50	3.90	2.10	1.70
27.01.26	Rotherham – Northampton	2–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.62
24.01.26	Rotherham – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.10	2.70	2.35	1.57
17.01.26	Stockport – Rotherham	3–2 (1–1)	1.46	4.10	6.00	1.88	1.98
01.01.26	Rotherham – Peterboro	0–2 (0–0)	2.95	3.30	2.20	1.83	2.03
29.12.25	Blackpool – Rotherham	4–0 (2–0)	1.86	3.40	3.90	2.00	1.80
26.12.25	Bolton – Rotherham	2–1 (1–0)	1.35	4.50	7.50	1.70	2.10
20.12.25	Rotherham – Huddersfield	1–3 (0–3)	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.90	1.95
13.12.25	Plymouth – Rotherham	1–0 (1–0)	1.96	3.50	3.40	1.93	1.93

Burton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.26	Burton – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	3.00	3.25	2.30	1.98	1.88
31.01.26	Burton – Cardiff	2–2 (1–0)	4.33	3.70	1.71	1.85	2.00
17.01.26	Burton – Huddersfield	3–1 (1–1)	4.00	3.40	1.86	1.98	1.88
29.12.25	Burton – Wigan	0–2 (0–0)	2.57	3.20	2.55	2.25	1.62
26.12.25	Burton – Northampton	5–1 (4–1)	2.20	3.05	3.25	2.25	1.62
13.12.25	Burton – Wycombe	0–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.40	1.96	2.00	1.80
29.11.25	Burton – Leyton Orient	0–4 (0–2)	2.65	3.30	2.45	1.75	2.05
15.11.25	Burton – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	2.95	1.85	2.00
18.10.25	Burton – Peterboro	0–1 (0–0)	2.32	3.40	2.75	1.80	2.00
11.10.25	Burton – Bolton	3–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.90	1.66	1.75	2.05

Rotherham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Exeter – Rotherham	0–4 (0–1)	1.86	3.50	3.90	2.10	1.70
17.01.26	Stockport – Rotherham	3–2 (1–1)	1.46	4.10	6.00	1.88	1.98
29.12.25	Blackpool – Rotherham	4–0 (2–0)	1.86	3.40	3.90	2.00	1.80
26.12.25	Bolton – Rotherham	2–1 (1–0)	1.35	4.50	7.50	1.70	2.10
13.12.25	Plymouth – Rotherham	1–0 (1–0)	1.96	3.50	3.40	1.93	1.93
22.11.25	Reading – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.79	3.75	4.00	1.93	1.93
15.11.25	Luton – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.49	3.90	6.00	1.93	1.93
25.10.25	Barnsley – Rotherham	0–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.60	3.90	1.70	2.10
11.10.25	Northampton – Rotherham	1–2 (1–0)	2.01	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
27.09.25	Mansfield – Rotherham	2–1 (0–1)	1.81	3.60	3.90	2.00	1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Burton winsDrawsRotherham wins

5matches

4.00goals / match

80%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.11.25E2	Rotherham – Burton	2–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	2.95	2.08	1.73
25.01.25E2	Burton – Rotherham	4–2 (3–1)	3.90	3.40	1.86	2.08	1.73
14.09.24E2	Rotherham – Burton	2–2 (1–1)	1.57	4.50	4.75	1.70	2.10
19.04.22E2	Burton – Rotherham	2–0 (1–0)	4.75	3.80	1.72	1.98	1.88
11.12.21E2	Rotherham – Burton	3–1 (1–1)	1.45	4.75	6.50	1.85	2.00

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	31	20	6	5	58	30	+28	66
2	Lincoln	31	18	8	5	53	31	+22	62
3	Bolton	32	15	11	6	42	30	+12	56
4	Stockport	30	15	8	7	42	35	+7	53
5	Bradford	30	15	7	8	39	33	+6	52
6	Huddersfield	32	14	7	11	53	43	+10	49
7	Reading	31	12	10	9	46	41	+5	46
8	Luton	31	13	6	12	41	38	+3	45
9	Stevenage	30	12	9	9	32	30	+2	45
10	Peterboro	32	14	2	16	45	43	+2	44
11	Wycombe	31	11	10	10	42	34	+8	43
12	Plymouth	31	12	4	15	41	46	-5	40
13	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37	32	+5	39
14	Exeter	30	11	6	13	33	30	+3	39
15	AFC Wimbledon	30	11	6	13	35	41	-6	39
16	Barnsley	28	10	8	10	47	49	-2	38
17	Northampton	31	9	7	15	29	39	-10	34
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40	49	-9	33
19	Blackpool	31	9	6	16	37	48	-11	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33	50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33	45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31	42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31	43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22	40	-18	22

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	16	13	1	2	38	17	+21	40
2	Bolton	16	11	4	1	29	11	+18	37
3	Lincoln	16	11	4	1	32	15	+17	37
4	Bradford	15	11	2	2	24	12	+12	35
5	Huddersfield	16	9	5	2	31	15	+16	32
6	Luton	16	9	4	3	24	14	+10	31
7	Wycombe	16	9	3	4	30	15	+15	30
8	Reading	16	8	5	3	23	18	+5	29
9	Stockport	16	8	4	4	22	19	+3	28
10	Stevenage	14	7	6	1	15	7	+8	27
11	Exeter	14	7	3	4	20	12	+8	24
12	Barnsley	14	7	3	4	30	23	+7	24
13	Peterboro	16	7	2	7	27	19	+8	23
14	Leyton Orient	15	6	5	4	23	17	+6	23
15	Mansfield	15	6	4	5	22	14	+8	22
16	Blackpool	16	6	4	6	24	25	-1	22
17	Northampton	15	6	3	6	17	15	+2	21
18	Rotherham	15	5	5	5	18	22	-4	20
19	Doncaster	14	5	4	5	20	21	-1	19
20	AFC Wimbledon	14	5	3	6	13	12	+1	18
21	Wigan	14	5	3	6	13	12	+1	18
22	Burton	15	5	3	7	17	22	-5	18
23	Plymouth	16	5	3	8	17	24	-7	18
24	Port Vale	14	2	4	8	13	19	-6	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	15	7	5	3	20	13	+7	26
2	Lincoln	15	7	4	4	21	16	+5	25
3	Stockport	14	7	4	3	20	16	+4	25
4	Plymouth	15	7	1	7	24	22	+2	22
5	Peterboro	16	7	0	9	18	24	-6	21
6	AFC Wimbledon	16	6	3	7	22	29	-7	21
7	Bolton	16	4	7	5	13	19	-6	19
8	Stevenage	16	5	3	8	17	23	-6	18
9	Reading	15	4	5	6	23	23	0	17
10	Mansfield	14	4	5	5	15	18	-3	17
11	Huddersfield	16	5	2	9	22	28	-6	17
12	Bradford	15	4	5	6	15	21	-6	17
13	Exeter	16	4	3	9	13	18	-5	15
14	Luton	15	4	2	9	17	24	-7	14
15	Burton	15	3	5	7	16	23	-7	14
16	Barnsley	14	3	5	6	17	26	-9	14
17	Doncaster	16	4	2	10	13	29	-16	14
18	Wycombe	15	2	7	6	12	19	-7	13
19	Wigan	16	2	7	7	18	30	-12	13
20	Northampton	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13
21	Port Vale	14	3	3	8	9	21	-12	12
22	Rotherham	14	3	2	9	13	21	-8	11
23	Blackpool	15	3	2	10	13	23	-10	11
24	Leyton Orient	15	3	1	11	17	32	-15	10

Burton Rotherham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Huddersfield	32	13	19	1.7	1.3	14	7	11	53	43	49
2	16	Barnsley	28	9	19	1.7	1.8	10	8	10	47	49	38
3	1	Cardiff	31	13	18	1.9	1.0	20	6	5	58	30	66
4	18	Leyton Orient	30	12	18	1.3	1.6	9	6	15	40	49	33
5	21	Burton	30	12	18	1.1	1.5	8	8	14	33	45	32
6	5	Bradford	30	13	17	1.3	1.1	15	7	8	39	33	52
7	10	Peterboro	32	15	17	1.4	1.3	14	2	16	45	43	44
8	23	Rotherham	29	12	17	1.1	1.5	8	7	14	31	43	31
9	2	Lincoln	31	15	16	1.7	1.0	18	8	5	53	31	62
10	4	Stockport	30	14	16	1.4	1.2	15	8	7	42	35	53
11	8	Luton	31	15	16	1.3	1.2	13	6	12	41	38	45
12	19	Blackpool	31	15	16	1.2	1.5	9	6	16	37	48	33
13	20	Doncaster	30	14	16	1.1	1.7	9	6	15	33	50	33
14	7	Reading	31	16	15	1.5	1.3	12	10	9	46	41	46
15	12	Plymouth	31	16	15	1.3	1.5	12	4	15	41	46	40
16	11	Wycombe	31	17	14	1.4	1.1	11	10	10	42	34	43
17	13	Mansfield	29	15	14	1.3	1.1	10	9	10	37	32	39
18	15	AFC Wimbledon	30	16	14	1.2	1.4	11	6	13	35	41	39
19	3	Bolton	32	19	13	1.3	0.9	15	11	6	42	30	56
20	17	Northampton	31	18	13	0.9	1.3	9	7	15	29	39	34
21	14	Exeter	30	18	12	1.1	1.0	11	6	13	33	30	39
22	24	Port Vale	28	16	12	0.8	1.4	5	7	16	22	40	22
23	9	Stevenage	30	19	11	1.1	1.0	12	9	9	32	30	45
24	22	Wigan	30	20	10	1.0	1.4	7	10	13	31	42	31

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Cardiff	16	4	12	2.4	1.1	13	1	2	38	17	40
2	16	Barnsley	14	4	10	2.1	1.6	7	3	4	30	23	24
3	19	Blackpool	16	6	10	1.5	1.6	6	4	6	24	25	22
4	2	Lincoln	16	7	9	2.0	0.9	11	4	1	32	15	37
5	3	Bolton	16	7	9	1.8	0.7	11	4	1	29	11	37
6	6	Huddersfield	16	7	9	1.9	0.9	9	5	2	31	15	32
7	10	Peterboro	16	7	9	1.7	1.2	7	2	7	27	19	23
8	21	Burton	15	6	9	1.1	1.5	5	3	7	17	22	18
9	23	Rotherham	15	6	9	1.2	1.5	5	5	5	18	22	20
10	4	Stockport	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	8	4	4	22	19	28
11	5	Bradford	15	7	8	1.6	0.8	11	2	2	24	12	35
12	8	Luton	16	8	8	1.5	0.9	9	4	3	24	14	31
13	11	Wycombe	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	9	3	4	30	15	30
14	13	Mansfield	15	7	8	1.5	0.9	6	4	5	22	14	22
15	20	Doncaster	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	5	4	5	20	21	19
16	7	Reading	16	9	7	1.4	1.1	8	5	3	23	18	29
17	12	Plymouth	16	9	7	1.1	1.5	5	3	8	17	24	18
18	18	Leyton Orient	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	6	5	4	23	17	23
19	24	Port Vale	14	7	7	0.9	1.4	2	4	8	13	19	10
20	14	Exeter	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	7	3	4	20	12	24
21	17	Northampton	15	9	6	1.1	1.0	6	3	6	17	15	21
22	15	AFC Wimbledon	14	10	4	0.9	0.9	5	3	6	13	12	18
23	22	Wigan	14	11	3	0.9	0.9	5	3	6	13	12	18
24	9	Stevenage	14	12	2	1.1	0.5	7	6	1	15	7	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Leyton Orient	15	4	11	1.1	2.1	3	1	11	17	32	10
2	6	Huddersfield	16	6	10	1.4	1.8	5	2	9	22	28	17
3	15	AFC Wimbledon	16	6	10	1.4	1.8	6	3	7	22	29	21
4	5	Bradford	15	6	9	1.0	1.4	4	5	6	15	21	17
5	9	Stevenage	16	7	9	1.1	1.4	5	3	8	17	23	18
6	16	Barnsley	14	5	9	1.2	1.9	3	5	6	17	26	14
7	21	Burton	15	6	9	1.1	1.5	3	5	7	16	23	14
8	4	Stockport	14	6	8	1.4	1.1	7	4	3	20	16	25
9	7	Reading	15	7	8	1.5	1.5	4	5	6	23	23	17
10	8	Luton	15	7	8	1.1	1.6	4	2	9	17	24	14
11	10	Peterboro	16	8	8	1.1	1.5	7	0	9	18	24	21
12	12	Plymouth	15	7	8	1.6	1.5	7	1	7	24	22	22
13	20	Doncaster	16	8	8	0.8	1.8	4	2	10	13	29	14
14	23	Rotherham	14	6	8	0.9	1.5	3	2	9	13	21	11
15	2	Lincoln	15	8	7	1.4	1.1	7	4	4	21	16	25
16	17	Northampton	16	9	7	0.8	1.5	3	4	9	12	24	13
17	22	Wigan	16	9	7	1.1	1.9	2	7	7	18	30	13
18	1	Cardiff	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	7	5	3	20	13	26
19	11	Wycombe	15	9	6	0.8	1.3	2	7	6	12	19	13
20	13	Mansfield	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	4	5	5	15	18	17
21	14	Exeter	16	10	6	0.8	1.1	4	3	9	13	18	15
22	19	Blackpool	15	9	6	0.9	1.5	3	2	10	13	23	11
23	24	Port Vale	14	9	5	0.6	1.5	3	3	8	9	21	12
24	3	Bolton	16	12	4	0.8	1.2	4	7	5	13	19	19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.