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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Corlett

Lincoln 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.51 fair 1.77
Draw 3.60 fair 4.34
Away 5.75 fair 4.92
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Burton
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
18 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (304 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.80 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.2% 1–1 11% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.62scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:28
Burton before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.04scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 26:35
Lincoln all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.04
1.08 Goals conceded 1.40
2.69 Total goals 2.44
11.23 Shots 11.64
3.92 Shots on target 3.60
12.35 Shots faced 13.40
3.81 Corners 4.80
5.50 Corners against 5.96
13.23 Fouls 10.96
2.19 Yellow cards 1.68
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

54% Wins 32%
27% Draws 24%
19% Losses 44%
96% Over 0.5 goals 88%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
50% Over 2.5 goals 52%
31% Over 3.5 goals 28%
12% Over 4.5 goals 8%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
54% Both teams scored 36%
31% Clean sheets 28%
19% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 28%
23% Draws 40%
12% Losses 32%
81% Over 0.5 goals 64%
23% Over 1.5 goals 32%
15% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Burton all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
2.31points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:13
Burton before this match, away
1.08points / match
1.00scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:17
Lincoln at home away Burton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.42
3.00 Total goals 2.42
13.08 Shots 11.17
5.00 Shots on target 3.33
10.85 Shots faced 14.75
4.15 Corners 4.42
5.77 Corners against 7.17
12.77 Fouls 11.67
2.38 Yellow cards 1.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.15 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

69% Wins 25%
23% Draws 33%
8% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 67%
54% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 25%
15% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 50%
23% Clean sheets 25%
8% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

77% Wins 33%
23% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
77% Over 0.5 goals 67%
15% Over 1.5 goals 25%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Luton – Lincoln 2–2 (2–2) 2.353.002.75 2.15 1.67
04.01.26 Lincoln – Peterboro 5–2 (3–1) 1.863.504.00 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Lincoln – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.052.82 2.15 1.67
29.12.25 Barnsley – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.50 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Stockport – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.253.25 2.10 1.70
20.12.25 Lincoln – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.252.65 2.00 1.85
13.12.25 Blackpool – Lincoln 2–2 (1–2) 3.053.302.20 2.00 1.80
09.12.25 Lincoln – Barnsley 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.503.90 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.303.70 2.15 1.67
22.11.25 Wycombe – Lincoln 3–2 (2–0) 1.863.603.80 2.10 1.70

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Burton – Huddersfield 3–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.86 1.98 1.88
04.01.26 Plymouth – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.25 1.90 1.90
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
29.12.25 Burton – Wigan 0–2 (0–0) 2.573.202.55 2.25 1.62
26.12.25 Burton – Northampton 5–1 (4–1) 2.203.053.25 2.25 1.62
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
13.12.25 Burton – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 2.00 1.80
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–4 (0–2) 2.653.302.45 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.502.95 1.85 2.00

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Lincoln – Peterboro 5–2 (3–1) 1.863.504.00 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Lincoln – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.052.82 2.15 1.67
20.12.25 Lincoln – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.252.65 2.00 1.85
09.12.25 Lincoln – Barnsley 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.503.90 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.303.70 2.15 1.67
15.11.25 Lincoln – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
18.10.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 2.30 1.60
04.10.25 Lincoln – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.805.00 2.10 1.70
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70
06.09.25 Lincoln – Wigan 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.103.00 2.60 1.48

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Plymouth – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.25 1.90 1.90
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
08.11.25 Bradford – Burton 1–2 (0–2) 1.623.704.75 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.402.95 2.08 1.73
25.10.25 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.20 2.20 1.65
04.10.25 Doncaster – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.754.50 1.95 1.90
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
20.09.25 Huddersfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lincoln winsDrawsBurton wins
9matches
2.11goals / match
44%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25E2 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.502.35 2.20 1.65
22.02.25E2 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.404.33 2.15 1.67
10.08.24E2 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70
03.02.24E2 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65
14.10.23E2 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
25.04.23E2 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
26.12.22E2 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
29.01.22E2 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E2 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 26 17 4 5 45 26 +19 55
2 Lincoln 26 14 7 5 42 28 +14 49
3 Bradford 25 13 7 5 35 27 +8 46
4 Stockport 26 13 6 7 37 32 +5 45
5 Bolton 27 11 10 6 33 25 +8 43
6 Huddersfield 27 11 6 10 46 38 +8 39
7 Luton 26 11 6 9 37 32 +5 39
8 Stevenage 25 10 8 7 27 23 +4 38
9 Wycombe 26 9 9 8 34 29 +5 36
10 Mansfield 24 10 5 9 34 28 +6 35
11 Reading 25 9 8 8 33 31 +2 35
12 Peterboro 26 11 2 13 33 35 -2 35
13 Exeter 25 10 3 12 28 23 +5 33
14 Plymouth 26 10 3 13 33 39 -6 33
15 Barnsley 22 9 5 8 35 34 +1 32
16 Leyton Orient 26 9 5 12 39 43 -4 32
17 AFC Wimbledon 25 9 4 12 27 34 -7 31
18 Wigan 25 7 9 9 26 28 -2 30
19 Burton 25 8 6 11 26 35 -9 30
20 Blackpool 26 8 5 13 32 39 -7 29
21 Northampton 25 8 5 12 23 30 -7 29
22 Doncaster 25 7 5 13 25 41 -16 26
23 Rotherham 25 6 6 13 24 38 -14 24
24 Port Vale 24 4 6 14 18 34 -16 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 13 11 0 2 30 15 +15 33
2 Lincoln 13 9 3 1 26 13 +13 30
3 Bradford 13 9 2 2 21 12 +9 29
4 Bolton 13 8 4 1 22 7 +15 28
5 Huddersfield 13 7 4 2 27 13 +14 25
6 Luton 14 7 4 3 21 13 +8 25
7 Wycombe 13 7 3 3 24 13 +11 24
8 Reading 13 7 3 3 16 12 +4 24
9 Stockport 14 7 3 4 20 18 +2 24
10 Exeter 12 7 2 3 20 8 +12 23
11 Leyton Orient 14 6 5 3 23 16 +7 23
12 Mansfield 12 6 2 4 21 12 +9 20
13 Stevenage 11 5 5 1 12 6 +6 20
14 Peterboro 14 6 2 6 19 15 +4 20
15 Barnsley 11 6 1 4 22 17 +5 19
16 Blackpool 13 5 4 4 21 19 +2 19
17 Wigan 12 5 3 4 12 9 +3 18
18 Northampton 13 5 3 5 14 12 +2 18
19 Burton 13 5 2 6 14 18 -4 17
20 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 15 17 -2 16
21 AFC Wimbledon 12 4 3 5 10 9 +1 15
22 Doncaster 12 4 3 5 14 18 -4 15
23 Plymouth 13 4 2 7 14 19 -5 14
24 Port Vale 11 2 3 6 10 13 -3 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 13 6 4 3 15 11 +4 22
2 Stockport 12 6 3 3 17 14 +3 21
3 Lincoln 13 5 4 4 16 15 +1 19
4 Plymouth 13 6 1 6 19 20 -1 19
5 Stevenage 14 5 3 6 15 17 -2 18
6 Bradford 12 4 5 3 14 15 -1 17
7 AFC Wimbledon 13 5 1 7 17 25 -8 16
8 Mansfield 12 4 3 5 13 16 -3 15
9 Peterboro 12 5 0 7 14 20 -6 15
10 Bolton 14 3 6 5 11 18 -7 15
11 Luton 12 4 2 6 16 19 -3 14
12 Huddersfield 14 4 2 8 19 25 -6 14
13 Barnsley 11 3 4 4 13 17 -4 13
14 Burton 12 3 4 5 12 17 -5 13
15 Wigan 13 2 6 5 14 19 -5 12
16 Wycombe 13 2 6 5 10 16 -6 12
17 Reading 12 2 5 5 17 19 -2 11
18 Northampton 12 3 2 7 9 18 -9 11
19 Doncaster 13 3 2 8 11 23 -12 11
20 Exeter 13 3 1 9 8 15 -7 10
21 Blackpool 13 3 1 9 11 20 -9 10
22 Leyton Orient 12 3 0 9 16 27 -11 9
23 Port Vale 13 2 3 8 8 21 -13 9
24 Rotherham 13 2 2 9 9 21 -12 8

Lincoln   Burton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Huddersfield 27 10 17 1.7 1.4 11 6 10 46 38 39
2 16 Leyton Orient 26 10 16 1.5 1.7 9 5 12 39 43 32
3 3 Bradford 25 10 15 1.4 1.1 13 7 5 35 27 46
4 1 Cardiff 26 12 14 1.7 1.0 17 4 5 45 26 55
5 4 Stockport 26 12 14 1.4 1.2 13 6 7 37 32 45
6 7 Luton 26 12 14 1.4 1.2 11 6 9 37 32 39
7 12 Peterboro 26 12 14 1.3 1.3 11 2 13 33 35 35
8 23 Rotherham 25 11 14 1.0 1.5 6 6 13 24 38 24
9 2 Lincoln 26 13 13 1.6 1.1 14 7 5 42 28 49
10 10 Mansfield 24 11 13 1.4 1.2 10 5 9 34 28 35
11 15 Barnsley 22 9 13 1.6 1.5 9 5 8 35 34 32
12 19 Burton 25 12 13 1.0 1.4 8 6 11 26 35 30
13 20 Blackpool 26 13 13 1.2 1.5 8 5 13 32 39 29
14 9 Wycombe 26 14 12 1.3 1.1 9 9 8 34 29 36
15 14 Plymouth 26 14 12 1.3 1.5 10 3 13 33 39 33
16 17 AFC Wimbledon 25 13 12 1.1 1.4 9 4 12 27 34 31
17 22 Doncaster 25 13 12 1.0 1.6 7 5 13 25 41 26
18 5 Bolton 27 17 10 1.2 0.9 11 10 6 33 25 43
19 11 Reading 25 15 10 1.3 1.2 9 8 8 33 31 35
20 21 Northampton 25 15 10 0.9 1.2 8 5 12 23 30 29
21 24 Port Vale 24 14 10 0.8 1.4 4 6 14 18 34 18
22 8 Stevenage 25 16 9 1.1 0.9 10 8 7 27 23 38
23 13 Exeter 25 16 9 1.1 0.9 10 3 12 28 23 33
24 18 Wigan 25 18 7 1.0 1.1 7 9 9 26 28 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 13 3 10 2.3 1.2 11 0 2 30 15 33
2 3 Bradford 13 5 8 1.6 0.9 9 2 2 21 12 29
3 6 Huddersfield 13 5 8 2.1 1.0 7 4 2 27 13 25
4 20 Blackpool 13 5 8 1.6 1.5 5 4 4 21 19 19
5 2 Lincoln 13 6 7 2.0 1.0 9 3 1 26 13 30
6 4 Stockport 14 7 7 1.4 1.3 7 3 4 20 18 24
7 7 Luton 14 7 7 1.5 0.9 7 4 3 21 13 25
8 9 Wycombe 13 6 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 3 24 13 24
9 10 Mansfield 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 6 2 4 21 12 20
10 12 Peterboro 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 6 2 6 19 15 20
11 15 Barnsley 11 4 7 2.0 1.5 6 1 4 22 17 19
12 16 Leyton Orient 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 23 16 23
13 19 Burton 13 6 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 6 14 18 17
14 23 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 4 4 15 17 16
15 5 Bolton 13 7 6 1.7 0.5 8 4 1 22 7 28
16 14 Plymouth 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 4 2 7 14 19 14
17 22 Doncaster 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 14 18 15
18 13 Exeter 12 7 5 1.7 0.7 7 2 3 20 8 23
19 21 Northampton 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 5 3 5 14 12 18
20 24 Port Vale 11 6 5 0.9 1.2 2 3 6 10 13 9
21 11 Reading 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 7 3 3 16 12 24
22 17 AFC Wimbledon 12 9 3 0.8 0.8 4 3 5 10 9 15
23 8 Stevenage 11 9 2 1.1 0.5 5 5 1 12 6 20
24 18 Wigan 12 10 2 1.0 0.8 5 3 4 12 9 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Huddersfield 14 5 9 1.4 1.8 4 2 8 19 25 14
2 16 Leyton Orient 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 0 9 16 27 9
3 17 AFC Wimbledon 13 4 9 1.3 1.9 5 1 7 17 25 16
4 3 Bradford 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 4 5 3 14 15 17
5 4 Stockport 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 6 3 3 17 14 21
6 7 Luton 12 5 7 1.3 1.6 4 2 6 16 19 14
7 8 Stevenage 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 5 3 6 15 17 18
8 12 Peterboro 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 5 0 7 14 20 15
9 23 Rotherham 13 6 7 0.7 1.6 2 2 9 9 21 8
10 2 Lincoln 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 4 16 15 19
11 10 Mansfield 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 3 5 13 16 15
12 11 Reading 12 6 6 1.4 1.6 2 5 5 17 19 11
13 14 Plymouth 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 6 1 6 19 20 19
14 15 Barnsley 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 4 13 17 13
15 19 Burton 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 3 4 5 12 17 13
16 22 Doncaster 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 3 2 8 11 23 11
17 9 Wycombe 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 2 6 5 10 16 12
18 18 Wigan 13 8 5 1.1 1.5 2 6 5 14 19 12
19 20 Blackpool 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 3 1 9 11 20 10
20 21 Northampton 12 7 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 7 9 18 11
21 24 Port Vale 13 8 5 0.6 1.6 2 3 8 8 21 9
22 1 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 6 4 3 15 11 22
23 5 Bolton 14 10 4 0.8 1.3 3 6 5 11 18 15
24 13 Exeter 13 9 4 0.6 1.2 3 1 9 8 15 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51