Port Vale 1–1 Luton – England League One, 28 Feb 2026

Match facts

Port Vale Luton

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 6

21 Fouls 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (393 league matches this season so far).

Result Port Vale to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.20

Home / Draw / Away

37% 28% 36%

Port ValeDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 44%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 10.8% 0–1 10.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Port Vale before this match, all matches

0.84points / match

0.81scored / match

1.39conceded / match

6 8 17

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 25:43

Luton before this match, all matches

1.39points / match

1.27scored / match

1.21conceded / match

13 7 13

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 42:40

Port Vale all matches all matches Luton

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.27

1.39 Goals conceded 1.21

2.19 Total goals 2.48

11.48 Shots 12.03

3.10 Shots on target 3.67

10.68 Shots faced 9.58

5.32 Corners 5.94

4.68 Corners against 4.24

10.61 Fouls 11.82

1.81 Yellow cards 1.58

0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

19% Wins 39%

26% Draws 21%

55% Losses 39%

87% Over 0.5 goals 97%

55% Over 1.5 goals 67%

42% Over 2.5 goals 48%

23% Over 3.5 goals 27%

10% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

35% Both teams scored 42%

26% Clean sheets 33%

52% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 27%

52% Draws 42%

32% Losses 30%

52% Over 0.5 goals 64%

29% Over 1.5 goals 27%

16% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale all matches

1

L

5

1

W

3

L

1

3

L

1

W

1

L

2

D

1

2

L

1

D

1

W

Luton all matches

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

1

L

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

L

1

D

Port Vale before this match, at home

0.73points / match

0.93scored / match

1.33conceded / match

2 5 8

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:20

Luton before this match, away

0.88points / match

1.06scored / match

1.56conceded / match

4 2 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:25

Port Vale at home away Luton

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.06

1.33 Goals conceded 1.56

2.27 Total goals 2.63

13.53 Shots 10.00

3.87 Shots on target 2.69

9.60 Shots faced 11.06

6.60 Corners 5.31

3.47 Corners against 4.00

10.20 Fouls 12.69

1.93 Yellow cards 1.94

0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.31

0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

13% Wins 25%

33% Draws 13%

53% Losses 63%

80% Over 0.5 goals 100%

53% Over 1.5 goals 69%

47% Over 2.5 goals 50%

27% Over 3.5 goals 31%

13% Over 4.5 goals 13%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

47% Both teams scored 38%

20% Clean sheets 25%

53% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 13%

53% Draws 44%

33% Losses 44%

47% Over 0.5 goals 56%

20% Over 1.5 goals 25%

20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale at home

D

3

L

D

1

L

1

L

5

1

W

1

3

L

1

L

2

D

1

D

Luton away

1

W

3

W

5

L

1

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Port Vale all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.26	Northampton – Port Vale	0–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.20	3.10	2.05	1.75
21.02.26	Port Vale – Reading	1–1 (0–1)	2.82	3.30	2.32	2.05	1.80
17.02.26	Stevenage – Port Vale	2–1 (2–1)	1.76	3.20	5.00	2.60	1.48
07.02.26	Port Vale – Burton	2–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.85	2.15	1.67
03.02.26	Port Vale – AFC Wimbledon	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.00	3.40	2.50	1.50
31.01.26	Leyton Orient – Port Vale	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.00	1.85
24.01.26	Port Vale – Exeter	1–3 (0–1)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.15	1.67
17.01.26	Mansfield – Port Vale	3–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.75
01.01.26	Port Vale – Blackpool	5–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.05	2.65	2.08	1.73
29.12.25	Bradford – Port Vale	1–0 (0–0)	1.68	3.70	4.50	1.95	1.85

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Luton – Burton	1–1 (1–0)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.90	1.90
18.02.26	Wigan – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.25	2.40	2.25	1.62
14.02.26	Cardiff – Luton	3–1 (3–1)	1.71	3.50	4.00	1.85	2.00
07.02.26	Luton – Bradford	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.20	4.00	2.15	1.67
31.01.26	Luton – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.95	1.90
27.01.26	Huddersfield – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
24.01.26	Plymouth – Luton	1–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.95	1.85
17.01.26	Luton – Lincoln	2–2 (2–2)	2.35	3.00	2.75	2.15	1.67
10.01.26	Luton – Stevenage	2–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.20	4.50	2.40	1.53
01.01.26	Exeter – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	1.96	2.10	1.70

Port Vale at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Port Vale – Reading	1–1 (0–1)	2.82	3.30	2.32	2.05	1.80
07.02.26	Port Vale – Burton	2–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.85	2.15	1.67
03.02.26	Port Vale – AFC Wimbledon	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.00	3.40	2.50	1.50
24.01.26	Port Vale – Exeter	1–3 (0–1)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.15	1.67
01.01.26	Port Vale – Blackpool	5–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.05	2.65	2.08	1.73
20.12.25	Port Vale – Peterboro	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.05	1.95	1.90
22.11.25	Port Vale – Plymouth	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.00	2.00	1.85
15.11.25	Port Vale – Wycombe	0–0 (0–0)	2.57	3.30	2.50	2.15	1.67
27.10.25	Port Vale – Stockport	0–3 (0–3)	2.57	3.20	2.57	2.20	1.65
04.10.25	Port Vale – Northampton	0–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.50	4.33	2.35	1.57

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.26	Wigan – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.25	2.40	2.25	1.62
14.02.26	Cardiff – Luton	3–1 (3–1)	1.71	3.50	4.00	1.85	2.00
27.01.26	Huddersfield – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
24.01.26	Plymouth – Luton	1–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.95	1.85
01.01.26	Exeter – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	1.96	2.10	1.70
18.12.25	Reading – Luton	3–2 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.40	1.98	1.88
09.12.25	Leyton Orient – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.57	3.25	2.50	1.93	1.93
22.11.25	Barnsley – Luton	5–0 (3–0)	3.05	3.40	2.15	1.75	2.05
08.11.25	Stockport – Luton	0–3 (0–2)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.15	1.67
25.10.25	Northampton – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.20	1.86	2.25	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Port Vale winsDrawsLuton wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.12.25E2	Luton – Port Vale	2–2 (1–1)	1.71	3.60	4.50	2.05	1.75

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64	36	+28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59	31	+28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45	33	+12	58
4	Bradford	33	17	7	9	42	36	+6	58
5	Stockport	33	16	8	9	46	41	+5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55	45	+10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48	43	+5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35	34	+1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46	36	+10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42	40	+2	46
11	Peterboro	35	14	4	17	50	49	+1	46
12	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49	49	0	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53	53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39	46	-7	42
15	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37	34	+3	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37	35	+2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38	46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36	51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40	50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44	56	-12	36
21	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31	47	-16	35
22	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34	46	-12	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32	47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25	43	-18	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	17	14	1	2	42	18	+24	43
2	Bradford	17	13	2	2	26	12	+14	41
3	Lincoln	17	12	4	1	36	15	+21	40
4	Bolton	17	11	5	1	31	13	+18	38
5	Huddersfield	17	10	5	2	33	16	+17	35
6	Wycombe	17	10	3	4	33	16	+17	33
7	Luton	17	9	5	3	25	15	+10	32
8	Stockport	17	9	4	4	26	21	+5	31
9	Stevenage	15	8	6	1	17	8	+9	30
10	Reading	17	8	6	3	24	19	+5	30
11	Barnsley	15	8	3	4	32	24	+8	27
12	Exeter	15	7	4	4	21	13	+8	25
13	Blackpool	17	7	4	6	25	25	0	25
14	Peterboro	17	7	3	7	30	22	+8	24
15	Burton	17	7	3	7	21	22	-1	24
16	Leyton Orient	17	6	5	6	25	23	+2	23
17	Mansfield	16	6	4	6	22	16	+6	22
18	Doncaster	15	6	4	5	21	21	0	22
19	Northampton	18	6	4	8	19	19	0	22
20	AFC Wimbledon	15	6	3	6	16	13	+3	21
21	Wigan	15	6	3	6	14	12	+2	21
22	Plymouth	17	6	3	8	22	26	-4	21
23	Rotherham	16	5	5	6	19	24	-5	20
24	Port Vale	15	2	5	8	14	20	-6	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln	16	8	4	4	23	16	+7	28
2	Cardiff	16	7	5	4	22	18	+4	26
3	Plymouth	16	8	1	7	27	23	+4	25
4	Stockport	16	7	4	5	20	20	0	25
5	Peterboro	18	7	1	10	20	27	-7	22
6	AFC Wimbledon	17	6	3	8	23	33	-10	21
7	Bolton	17	4	8	5	14	20	-6	20
8	Reading	16	4	6	6	24	24	0	18
9	Stevenage	17	5	3	9	18	26	-8	18
10	Mansfield	15	4	5	6	15	19	-4	17
11	Huddersfield	17	5	2	10	22	29	-7	17
12	Barnsley	16	4	5	7	21	29	-8	17
13	Bradford	16	4	5	7	16	24	-8	17
14	Doncaster	17	5	2	10	15	30	-15	17
15	Exeter	17	4	4	9	16	21	-5	16
16	Burton	16	3	6	7	17	24	-7	15
17	Port Vale	16	4	3	9	11	23	-12	15
18	Wycombe	16	2	8	6	13	20	-7	14
19	Luton	16	4	2	10	17	25	-8	14
20	Wigan	17	2	7	8	20	34	-14	13
21	Leyton Orient	16	4	1	11	19	33	-14	13
22	Northampton	17	3	4	10	12	28	-16	13
23	Blackpool	16	3	3	10	15	25	-10	12
24	Rotherham	16	3	2	11	13	23	-10	11

Port Vale Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Barnsley	31	9	22	1.7	1.7	12	8	11	53	53	44
2	20	Leyton Orient	33	12	21	1.3	1.7	10	6	17	44	56	36
3	1	Cardiff	33	13	20	1.9	1.1	21	6	6	64	36	69
4	6	Huddersfield	34	14	20	1.6	1.3	15	7	12	55	45	52
5	11	Peterboro	35	16	19	1.4	1.4	14	4	17	50	49	46
6	17	Burton	33	14	19	1.2	1.4	10	9	14	38	46	39
7	4	Bradford	33	15	18	1.3	1.1	17	7	9	42	36	58
8	5	Stockport	33	15	18	1.4	1.2	16	8	9	46	41	56
9	23	Rotherham	32	14	18	1.0	1.5	8	7	17	32	47	31
10	2	Lincoln	33	16	17	1.8	0.9	20	8	5	59	31	68
11	12	Plymouth	33	16	17	1.5	1.5	14	4	15	49	49	46
12	18	Doncaster	32	15	17	1.1	1.6	11	6	15	36	51	39
13	19	Blackpool	33	16	17	1.2	1.5	10	7	16	40	50	37
14	10	Luton	33	17	16	1.3	1.2	13	7	13	42	40	46
15	14	AFC Wimbledon	32	16	16	1.2	1.4	12	6	14	39	46	42
16	7	Reading	33	18	15	1.5	1.3	12	12	9	48	43	48
17	9	Wycombe	33	18	15	1.4	1.1	12	11	10	46	36	47
18	21	Northampton	35	20	15	0.9	1.3	9	8	18	31	47	35
19	3	Bolton	34	20	14	1.3	1.0	15	13	6	45	33	58
20	16	Mansfield	31	17	14	1.2	1.1	10	9	12	37	35	39
21	8	Stevenage	32	19	13	1.1	1.1	13	9	10	35	34	48
22	15	Exeter	32	19	13	1.2	1.1	11	8	13	37	34	41
23	24	Port Vale	31	18	13	0.8	1.4	6	8	17	25	43	26
24	22	Wigan	32	21	11	1.1	1.4	8	10	14	34	46	34

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Cardiff	17	4	13	2.5	1.1	14	1	2	42	18	43
2	13	Barnsley	15	4	11	2.1	1.6	8	3	4	32	24	27
3	2	Lincoln	17	7	10	2.1	0.9	12	4	1	36	15	40
4	3	Bolton	17	7	10	1.8	0.8	11	5	1	31	13	38
5	6	Huddersfield	17	7	10	1.9	0.9	10	5	2	33	16	35
6	11	Peterboro	17	7	10	1.8	1.3	7	3	7	30	22	24
7	17	Burton	17	7	10	1.2	1.3	7	3	7	21	22	24
8	19	Blackpool	17	7	10	1.5	1.5	7	4	6	25	25	25
9	23	Rotherham	16	6	10	1.2	1.5	5	5	6	19	24	20
10	5	Stockport	17	8	9	1.5	1.2	9	4	4	26	21	31
11	9	Wycombe	17	8	9	1.9	0.9	10	3	4	33	16	33
12	20	Leyton Orient	17	8	9	1.5	1.4	6	5	6	25	23	23
13	4	Bradford	17	9	8	1.5	0.7	13	2	2	26	12	41
14	10	Luton	17	9	8	1.5	0.9	9	5	3	25	15	32
15	12	Plymouth	17	9	8	1.3	1.5	6	3	8	22	26	21
16	16	Mansfield	16	8	8	1.4	1.0	6	4	6	22	16	22
17	18	Doncaster	15	7	8	1.4	1.4	6	4	5	21	21	22
18	7	Reading	17	10	7	1.4	1.1	8	6	3	24	19	30
19	21	Northampton	18	11	7	1.1	1.1	6	4	8	19	19	22
20	24	Port Vale	15	8	7	0.9	1.3	2	5	8	14	20	11
21	15	Exeter	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	7	4	4	21	13	25
22	14	AFC Wimbledon	15	10	5	1.1	0.9	6	3	6	16	13	21
23	8	Stevenage	15	12	3	1.1	0.5	8	6	1	17	8	30
24	22	Wigan	15	12	3	0.9	0.8	6	3	6	14	12	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Leyton Orient	16	4	12	1.2	2.1	4	1	11	19	33	13
2	13	Barnsley	16	5	11	1.3	1.8	4	5	7	21	29	17
3	14	AFC Wimbledon	17	6	11	1.4	1.9	6	3	8	23	33	21
4	4	Bradford	16	6	10	1.0	1.5	4	5	7	16	24	17
5	6	Huddersfield	17	7	10	1.3	1.7	5	2	10	22	29	17
6	8	Stevenage	17	7	10	1.1	1.5	5	3	9	18	26	18
7	5	Stockport	16	7	9	1.2	1.2	7	4	5	20	20	25
8	11	Peterboro	18	9	9	1.1	1.5	7	1	10	20	27	22
9	12	Plymouth	16	7	9	1.7	1.4	8	1	7	27	23	25
10	17	Burton	16	7	9	1.1	1.5	3	6	7	17	24	15
11	18	Doncaster	17	8	9	0.9	1.8	5	2	10	15	30	17
12	7	Reading	16	8	8	1.5	1.5	4	6	6	24	24	18
13	10	Luton	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	4	2	10	17	25	14
14	21	Northampton	17	9	8	0.7	1.6	3	4	10	12	28	13
15	22	Wigan	17	9	8	1.2	2.0	2	7	8	20	34	13
16	23	Rotherham	16	8	8	0.8	1.4	3	2	11	13	23	11
17	1	Cardiff	16	9	7	1.4	1.1	7	5	4	22	18	26
18	2	Lincoln	16	9	7	1.4	1.0	8	4	4	23	16	28
19	15	Exeter	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	4	4	9	16	21	16
20	19	Blackpool	16	9	7	0.9	1.6	3	3	10	15	25	12
21	9	Wycombe	16	10	6	0.8	1.2	2	8	6	13	20	14
22	16	Mansfield	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	4	5	6	15	19	17
23	24	Port Vale	16	10	6	0.7	1.4	4	3	9	11	23	15
24	3	Bolton	17	13	4	0.8	1.2	4	8	5	14	20	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.