Luton 2–1 Stevenage – England League One, 10 Jan 2026

Match facts

Luton Stevenage

15 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 7

8 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (287 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.06

Home / Draw / Away

42% 28% 30%

LutonDrawStevenage

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 42%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 12.2% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.46points / match

1.38scored / match

1.21conceded / match

10 5 9

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 33:29

Stevenage before this match, all matches

1.68points / match

1.18scored / match

0.82conceded / match

10 7 5

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:18

Luton all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.18

1.21 Goals conceded 0.82

2.58 Total goals 2.00

12.00 Shots 8.86

3.67 Shots on target 3.14

9.08 Shots faced 10.50

6.38 Corners 4.59

3.58 Corners against 3.91

11.13 Fouls 12.77

1.54 Yellow cards 2.23

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

42% Wins 45%

21% Draws 32%

38% Losses 23%

96% Over 0.5 goals 86%

71% Over 1.5 goals 55%

50% Over 2.5 goals 32%

29% Over 3.5 goals 18%

13% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

38% Both teams scored 45%

42% Clean sheets 36%

25% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 23%

38% Draws 64%

33% Losses 14%

67% Over 0.5 goals 50%

29% Over 1.5 goals 18%

13% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

D

5

L

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

D

2

3

L

4

W

3

W

1

L

Stevenage all matches

1

L

D

1

W

D

1

L

3

1

W

2

D

1

2

L

1

D

Luton before this match, at home

1.75points / match

1.42scored / match

0.83conceded / match

6 3 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:10

Stevenage before this match, away

1.50points / match

1.17scored / match

1.00conceded / match

5 3 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:12

Luton at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.17

0.83 Goals conceded 1.00

2.25 Total goals 2.17

14.08 Shots 8.25

4.33 Shots on target 3.25

7.58 Shots faced 11.67

7.42 Corners 4.92

4.00 Corners against 3.92

10.17 Fouls 13.25

1.08 Yellow cards 2.25

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 42%

25% Draws 25%

25% Losses 33%

92% Over 0.5 goals 83%

58% Over 1.5 goals 50%

42% Over 2.5 goals 42%

25% Over 3.5 goals 25%

8% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

33% Both teams scored 50%

50% Clean sheets 25%

25% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 25%

33% Draws 58%

25% Losses 17%

75% Over 0.5 goals 50%

33% Over 1.5 goals 17%

17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

L

2

3

L

1

W

2

L

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

4

W

3

W

Stevenage away

1

L

1

D

3

2

W

1

L

1

L

1

W

D

3

1

W

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.26	Exeter – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	1.96	2.10	1.70
29.12.25	Luton – Leyton Orient	3–0 (3–0)	1.66	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.85
26.12.25	Luton – Wycombe	4–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.05	2.08	1.73
18.12.25	Reading – Luton	3–2 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.40	1.98	1.88
13.12.25	Luton – Port Vale	2–2 (1–1)	1.71	3.60	4.50	2.05	1.75
09.12.25	Leyton Orient – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.57	3.25	2.50	1.93	1.93
29.11.25	Luton – Bolton	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.40	2.65	1.98	1.88
25.11.25	Luton – Huddersfield	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.20	2.00	1.85
22.11.25	Barnsley – Luton	5–0 (3–0)	3.05	3.40	2.15	1.75	2.05
15.11.25	Luton – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.49	3.90	6.00	1.93	1.93

Stevenage all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.26	Stevenage – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	3.90	2.20	1.65
29.12.25	Cardiff – Stevenage	2–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.30	5.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.25	AFC Wimbledon – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.82	2.75	2.65	2.88	1.40
20.12.25	Stevenage – Burton	2–2 (0–1)	1.79	3.30	4.33	2.20	1.65
13.12.25	Stockport – Stevenage	1–3 (0–1)	1.81	3.25	4.20	2.25	1.62
09.12.25	Stevenage – Cardiff	0–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.20	2.40	2.10	1.70
29.11.25	Wigan – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	2.95	3.40	2.50	1.50
25.11.25	Peterboro – Stevenage	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.05	2.85	2.15	1.67
22.11.25	Stevenage – Doncaster	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.00	2.15	1.67
06.11.25	Reading – Stevenage	1–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.25	Luton – Leyton Orient	3–0 (3–0)	1.66	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.85
26.12.25	Luton – Wycombe	4–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.05	2.08	1.73
13.12.25	Luton – Port Vale	2–2 (1–1)	1.71	3.60	4.50	2.05	1.75
29.11.25	Luton – Bolton	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.40	2.65	1.98	1.88
25.11.25	Luton – Huddersfield	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.20	2.00	1.85
15.11.25	Luton – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.49	3.90	6.00	1.93	1.93
18.10.25	Luton – Mansfield	0–2 (0–1)	1.57	3.90	5.00	1.85	2.00
27.09.25	Luton – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	1.68	3.70	4.50	1.98	1.88
13.09.25	Luton – Plymouth	2–3 (1–2)	1.49	4.20	6.00	1.75	2.05
23.08.25	Luton – Cardiff	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.70	2.05	1.75

Stevenage away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.25	Cardiff – Stevenage	2–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.30	5.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.25	AFC Wimbledon – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.82	2.75	2.65	2.88	1.40
13.12.25	Stockport – Stevenage	1–3 (0–1)	1.81	3.25	4.20	2.25	1.62
29.11.25	Wigan – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	2.95	3.40	2.50	1.50
25.11.25	Peterboro – Stevenage	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.05	2.85	2.15	1.67
06.11.25	Reading – Stevenage	1–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
18.10.25	Lincoln – Stevenage	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.30	1.60
27.09.25	Leyton Orient – Stevenage	2–3 (1–1)	2.50	3.20	2.65	2.20	1.65
13.09.25	Mansfield – Stevenage	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.75	2.25	1.62
23.08.25	Huddersfield – Stevenage	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	3.90	2.20	1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Luton winsDrawsStevenage wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.10.25E2	Stevenage – Luton	2–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.50	2.15	1.67

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	24	16	3	5	42	24	+18	51
2	Lincoln	25	14	6	5	40	26	+14	48
3	Bradford	24	13	7	4	34	25	+9	46
4	Huddersfield	25	11	6	8	45	34	+11	39
5	Bolton	24	10	9	5	31	22	+9	39
6	Stockport	24	11	6	7	33	30	+3	39
7	Stevenage	22	10	7	5	26	18	+8	37
8	Luton	24	10	5	9	33	29	+4	35
9	Reading	24	9	8	7	32	28	+4	35
10	Wycombe	25	8	9	8	32	28	+4	33
11	Mansfield	23	9	5	9	31	28	+3	32
12	Peterboro	24	10	2	12	30	33	-3	32
13	AFC Wimbledon	24	9	4	11	27	33	-6	31
14	Exeter	24	9	3	12	25	23	+2	30
15	Wigan	24	7	9	8	26	27	-1	30
16	Plymouth	25	9	3	13	32	39	-7	30
17	Barnsley	21	8	5	8	33	33	0	29
18	Blackpool	25	8	5	12	31	37	-6	29
19	Northampton	24	8	5	11	22	28	-6	29
20	Leyton Orient	24	8	4	12	35	41	-6	28
21	Burton	24	7	6	11	23	34	-11	27
22	Rotherham	24	6	6	12	22	35	-13	24
23	Doncaster	24	6	5	13	24	41	-17	23
24	Port Vale	23	4	6	13	18	31	-13	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	13	11	0	2	30	15	+15	33
2	Lincoln	13	9	3	1	26	13	+13	30
3	Bradford	12	9	2	1	20	10	+10	29
4	Bolton	13	8	4	1	22	7	+15	28
5	Huddersfield	13	7	4	2	27	13	+14	25
6	Wycombe	13	7	3	3	24	13	+11	24
7	Reading	13	7	3	3	16	12	+4	24
8	Luton	12	6	3	3	17	10	+7	21
9	Exeter	11	6	2	3	17	8	+9	20
10	Stevenage	10	5	4	1	12	6	+6	19
11	Leyton Orient	12	5	4	3	19	14	+5	19
12	Blackpool	13	5	4	4	21	19	+2	19
13	Wigan	11	5	3	3	12	8	+4	18
14	Northampton	12	5	3	4	13	10	+3	18
15	Stockport	12	5	3	4	16	16	0	18
16	Mansfield	11	5	2	4	18	12	+6	17
17	Peterboro	12	5	2	5	16	13	+3	17
18	Barnsley	10	5	1	4	20	16	+4	16
19	Rotherham	12	4	4	4	15	17	-2	16
20	AFC Wimbledon	11	4	3	4	10	8	+2	15
21	Doncaster	12	4	3	5	14	18	-4	15
22	Plymouth	13	4	2	7	14	19	-5	14
23	Burton	12	4	2	6	11	17	-6	14
24	Port Vale	11	2	3	6	10	13	-3	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	12	6	3	3	17	14	+3	21
2	Cardiff	11	5	3	3	12	9	+3	18
3	Stevenage	12	5	3	4	14	12	+2	18
4	Lincoln	12	5	3	4	14	13	+1	18
5	Bradford	12	4	5	3	14	15	-1	17
6	Plymouth	12	5	1	6	18	20	-2	16
7	AFC Wimbledon	13	5	1	7	17	25	-8	16
8	Mansfield	12	4	3	5	13	16	-3	15
9	Peterboro	12	5	0	7	14	20	-6	15
10	Huddersfield	12	4	2	6	18	21	-3	14
11	Luton	12	4	2	6	16	19	-3	14
12	Barnsley	11	3	4	4	13	17	-4	13
13	Burton	12	3	4	5	12	17	-5	13
14	Wigan	13	2	6	5	14	19	-5	12
15	Reading	11	2	5	4	16	16	0	11
16	Bolton	11	2	5	4	9	15	-6	11
17	Northampton	12	3	2	7	9	18	-9	11
18	Exeter	13	3	1	9	8	15	-7	10
19	Blackpool	12	3	1	8	10	18	-8	10
20	Wycombe	12	1	6	5	8	15	-7	9
21	Port Vale	12	2	3	7	8	18	-10	9
22	Leyton Orient	12	3	0	9	16	27	-11	9
23	Rotherham	12	2	2	8	7	18	-11	8
24	Doncaster	12	2	2	8	10	23	-13	8

Luton Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Huddersfield	25	9	16	1.8	1.4	11	6	8	45	34	39
2	20	Leyton Orient	24	9	15	1.5	1.7	8	4	12	35	41	28
3	3	Bradford	24	10	14	1.4	1.0	13	7	4	34	25	46
4	1	Cardiff	24	11	13	1.8	1.0	16	3	5	42	24	51
5	6	Stockport	24	11	13	1.4	1.2	11	6	7	33	30	39
6	12	Peterboro	24	11	13	1.2	1.4	10	2	12	30	33	32
7	22	Rotherham	24	11	13	0.9	1.5	6	6	12	22	35	24
8	2	Lincoln	25	13	12	1.6	1.0	14	6	5	40	26	48
9	8	Luton	24	12	12	1.4	1.2	10	5	9	33	29	35
10	11	Mansfield	23	11	12	1.3	1.2	9	5	9	31	28	32
11	13	AFC Wimbledon	24	12	12	1.1	1.4	9	4	11	27	33	31
12	16	Plymouth	25	13	12	1.3	1.6	9	3	13	32	39	30
13	17	Barnsley	21	9	12	1.6	1.6	8	5	8	33	33	29
14	18	Blackpool	25	13	12	1.2	1.5	8	5	12	31	37	29
15	21	Burton	24	12	12	1.0	1.4	7	6	11	23	34	27
16	23	Doncaster	24	12	12	1.0	1.7	6	5	13	24	41	23
17	10	Wycombe	25	14	11	1.3	1.1	8	9	8	32	28	33
18	5	Bolton	24	15	9	1.3	0.9	10	9	5	31	22	39
19	9	Reading	24	15	9	1.3	1.2	9	8	7	32	28	35
20	19	Northampton	24	15	9	0.9	1.2	8	5	11	22	28	29
21	24	Port Vale	23	14	9	0.8	1.3	4	6	13	18	31	18
22	14	Exeter	24	16	8	1.0	1.0	9	3	12	25	23	30
23	7	Stevenage	22	15	7	1.2	0.8	10	7	5	26	18	37
24	15	Wigan	24	17	7	1.1	1.1	7	9	8	26	27	30

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Cardiff	13	3	10	2.3	1.2	11	0	2	30	15	33
2	4	Huddersfield	13	5	8	2.1	1.0	7	4	2	27	13	25
3	18	Blackpool	13	5	8	1.6	1.5	5	4	4	21	19	19
4	2	Lincoln	13	6	7	2.0	1.0	9	3	1	26	13	30
5	3	Bradford	12	5	7	1.7	0.8	9	2	1	20	10	29
6	10	Wycombe	13	6	7	1.8	1.0	7	3	3	24	13	24
7	22	Rotherham	12	5	7	1.2	1.4	4	4	4	15	17	16
8	5	Bolton	13	7	6	1.7	0.5	8	4	1	22	7	28
9	6	Stockport	12	6	6	1.3	1.3	5	3	4	16	16	18
10	11	Mansfield	11	5	6	1.6	1.1	5	2	4	18	12	17
11	12	Peterboro	12	6	6	1.3	1.1	5	2	5	16	13	17
12	16	Plymouth	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	4	2	7	14	19	14
13	17	Barnsley	10	4	6	2.0	1.6	5	1	4	20	16	16
14	20	Leyton Orient	12	6	6	1.6	1.2	5	4	3	19	14	19
15	21	Burton	12	6	6	0.9	1.4	4	2	6	11	17	14
16	23	Doncaster	12	6	6	1.2	1.5	4	3	5	14	18	15
17	8	Luton	12	7	5	1.4	0.8	6	3	3	17	10	21
18	24	Port Vale	11	6	5	0.9	1.2	2	3	6	10	13	9
19	9	Reading	13	9	4	1.2	0.9	7	3	3	16	12	24
20	14	Exeter	11	7	4	1.5	0.7	6	2	3	17	8	20
21	19	Northampton	12	8	4	1.1	0.8	5	3	4	13	10	18
22	13	AFC Wimbledon	11	8	3	0.9	0.7	4	3	4	10	8	15
23	7	Stevenage	10	8	2	1.2	0.6	5	4	1	12	6	19
24	15	Wigan	11	9	2	1.1	0.7	5	3	3	12	8	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	AFC Wimbledon	13	4	9	1.3	1.9	5	1	7	17	25	16
2	20	Leyton Orient	12	3	9	1.3	2.2	3	0	9	16	27	9
3	4	Huddersfield	12	4	8	1.5	1.8	4	2	6	18	21	14
4	3	Bradford	12	5	7	1.2	1.2	4	5	3	14	15	17
5	6	Stockport	12	5	7	1.4	1.2	6	3	3	17	14	21
6	8	Luton	12	5	7	1.3	1.6	4	2	6	16	19	14
7	12	Peterboro	12	5	7	1.2	1.7	5	0	7	14	20	15
8	11	Mansfield	12	6	6	1.1	1.3	4	3	5	13	16	15
9	16	Plymouth	12	6	6	1.5	1.7	5	1	6	18	20	16
10	17	Barnsley	11	5	6	1.2	1.5	3	4	4	13	17	13
11	21	Burton	12	6	6	1.0	1.4	3	4	5	12	17	13
12	22	Rotherham	12	6	6	0.6	1.5	2	2	8	7	18	8
13	23	Doncaster	12	6	6	0.8	1.9	2	2	8	10	23	8
14	2	Lincoln	12	7	5	1.2	1.1	5	3	4	14	13	18
15	7	Stevenage	12	7	5	1.2	1.0	5	3	4	14	12	18
16	9	Reading	11	6	5	1.5	1.5	2	5	4	16	16	11
17	15	Wigan	13	8	5	1.1	1.5	2	6	5	14	19	12
18	19	Northampton	12	7	5	0.8	1.5	3	2	7	9	18	11
19	10	Wycombe	12	8	4	0.7	1.2	1	6	5	8	15	9
20	14	Exeter	13	9	4	0.6	1.2	3	1	9	8	15	10
21	18	Blackpool	12	8	4	0.8	1.5	3	1	8	10	18	10
22	24	Port Vale	12	8	4	0.7	1.5	2	3	7	8	18	9
23	1	Cardiff	11	8	3	1.1	0.8	5	3	3	12	9	18
24	5	Bolton	11	8	3	0.8	1.4	2	5	4	9	15	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.