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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Howard

Exeter 1–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.35 fair 2.05
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.91
Away 2.75 fair 3.91
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Exeter Burton
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 5
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (403 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
ExeterDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 11.7% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.15scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 38:39
Burton before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.12scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 38:49
Exeter all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.12
1.18 Goals conceded 1.44
2.33 Total goals 2.56
10.55 Shots 11.41
3.52 Shots on target 3.47
12.00 Shots faced 12.47
4.64 Corners 5.32
5.15 Corners against 5.35
12.27 Fouls 11.15
2.03 Yellow cards 1.65
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

33% Wins 29%
24% Draws 26%
42% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
61% Over 1.5 goals 71%
42% Over 2.5 goals 59%
21% Over 3.5 goals 26%
9% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
39% Both teams scored 44%
33% Clean sheets 26%
33% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 26%
36% Draws 38%
39% Losses 35%
73% Over 0.5 goals 68%
21% Over 1.5 goals 32%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches
Burton all matches
Exeter before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.38scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:18
Burton before this match, away
0.88points / match
1.00scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:27
Exeter at home away Burton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded 1.59
2.50 Total goals 2.59
12.75 Shots 10.65
4.38 Shots on target 3.12
9.69 Shots faced 13.35
5.63 Corners 4.59
3.88 Corners against 6.00
12.94 Fouls 11.76
1.75 Yellow cards 1.76
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

44% Wins 18%
25% Draws 35%
31% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 76%
44% Over 2.5 goals 59%
19% Over 3.5 goals 24%
13% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 59%
44% Clean sheets 18%
25% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 24%
31% Draws 35%
44% Losses 41%
75% Over 0.5 goals 71%
19% Over 1.5 goals 29%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Exeter – Bolton 1–5 (0–1) 3.253.402.10 1.95 1.85
21.02.26 Peterboro – Exeter 3–3 (1–0) 2.153.403.00 1.75 2.05
17.02.26 Exeter – Wycombe 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.20 2.08 1.73
14.02.26 Exeter – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.254.00 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 Mansfield – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.25 2.00 1.80
31.01.26 Exeter – Rotherham 0–4 (0–1) 1.863.503.90 2.10 1.70
27.01.26 Reading – Exeter 2–2 (1–1) 2.153.503.00 1.85 1.95
24.01.26 Port Vale – Exeter 1–3 (0–1) 2.353.203.00 2.15 1.67
17.01.26 Exeter – Stevenage 3–0 (0–0) 2.573.002.75 2.50 1.50
04.01.26 Huddersfield – Exeter 2–2 (2–1) 1.623.505.25 1.95 1.85

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90
24.02.26 Burton – Stockport 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
17.02.26 Burton – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.20 2.08 1.73
07.02.26 Port Vale – Burton 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.402.85 2.15 1.67
03.02.26 Burton – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
31.01.26 Burton – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 4.333.701.71 1.85 2.00
27.01.26 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.424.007.00 1.75 2.05
22.01.26 Lincoln – Burton 2–1 (1–1) 1.513.605.75 1.90 1.90
17.01.26 Burton – Huddersfield 3–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.86 1.98 1.88

Exeter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Exeter – Bolton 1–5 (0–1) 3.253.402.10 1.95 1.85
17.02.26 Exeter – Wycombe 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.20 2.08 1.73
14.02.26 Exeter – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.254.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Exeter – Rotherham 0–4 (0–1) 1.863.503.90 2.10 1.70
17.01.26 Exeter – Stevenage 3–0 (0–0) 2.573.002.75 2.50 1.50
01.01.26 Exeter – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.601.96 2.10 1.70
20.12.25 Exeter – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.10 1.83 2.03
09.12.25 Exeter – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.202.95 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Exeter – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.202.40 2.25 1.62
23.10.25 Exeter – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.32 1.85 2.00

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Port Vale – Burton 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.402.85 2.15 1.67
27.01.26 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.424.007.00 1.75 2.05
22.01.26 Lincoln – Burton 2–1 (1–1) 1.513.605.75 1.90 1.90
04.01.26 Plymouth – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.25 1.90 1.90
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
08.11.25 Bradford – Burton 1–2 (0–2) 1.623.704.75 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter winsDrawsBurton wins
6matches
1.33goals / match
17%over 2.5
17%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.25E2 Exeter – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.55 2.08 1.73
21.12.24E2 Burton – Exeter 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.30 1.98 1.88
16.03.24E2 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
02.09.23E2 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
11.02.23E2 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
17.09.22E2 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 34 22 6 6 68 36 +32 72
2 Lincoln 34 21 8 5 63 31 +32 71
3 Bolton 35 16 13 6 50 34 +16 61
4 Bradford 34 17 7 10 43 38 +5 58
5 Stockport 34 16 8 10 47 43 +4 56
6 Huddersfield 35 15 7 13 55 46 +9 52
7 Reading 34 13 12 9 50 44 +6 51
8 Stevenage 33 14 9 10 37 35 +2 51
9 Wycombe 34 13 11 10 49 36 +13 50
10 Luton 34 13 8 13 43 41 +2 47
11 Peterboro 35 14 4 17 50 49 +1 46
12 Plymouth 34 14 4 16 49 50 -1 46
13 Barnsley 31 12 8 11 53 53 0 44
14 AFC Wimbledon 33 12 7 14 41 48 -7 43
15 Exeter 33 11 8 14 38 39 -1 41
16 Mansfield 32 10 10 12 39 37 +2 40
17 Burton 34 10 9 15 38 49 -11 39
18 Doncaster 33 11 6 16 36 55 -19 39
19 Wigan 33 9 10 14 35 46 -11 37
20 Blackpool 34 10 7 17 40 54 -14 37
21 Leyton Orient 33 10 6 17 44 56 -12 36
22 Northampton 35 9 8 18 31 47 -16 35
23 Rotherham 33 9 7 17 33 47 -14 34
24 Port Vale 32 6 9 17 26 44 -18 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 18 13 4 1 40 15 +25 43
2 Cardiff 17 14 1 2 42 18 +24 43
3 Bradford 17 13 2 2 26 12 +14 41
4 Bolton 17 11 5 1 31 13 +18 38
5 Wycombe 18 11 3 4 36 16 +20 36
6 Huddersfield 17 10 5 2 33 16 +17 35
7 Stevenage 16 9 6 1 19 9 +10 33
8 Reading 18 9 6 3 26 20 +6 33
9 Luton 17 9 5 3 25 15 +10 32
10 Stockport 17 9 4 4 26 21 +5 31
11 Barnsley 15 8 3 4 32 24 +8 27
12 Exeter 16 7 4 5 22 18 +4 25
13 Blackpool 17 7 4 6 25 25 0 25
14 Peterboro 17 7 3 7 30 22 +8 24
15 Wigan 16 7 3 6 15 12 +3 24
16 Burton 17 7 3 7 21 22 -1 24
17 Mansfield 17 6 5 6 24 18 +6 23
18 Leyton Orient 17 6 5 6 25 23 +2 23
19 Rotherham 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
20 Northampton 18 6 4 8 19 19 0 22
21 Doncaster 16 6 4 6 21 25 -4 22
22 AFC Wimbledon 15 6 3 6 16 13 +3 21
23 Plymouth 17 6 3 8 22 26 -4 21
24 Port Vale 16 2 6 8 15 21 -6 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 17 8 5 4 26 18 +8 29
2 Lincoln 16 8 4 4 23 16 +7 28
3 Plymouth 17 8 1 8 27 24 +3 25
4 Stockport 17 7 4 6 21 22 -1 25
5 Bolton 18 5 8 5 19 21 -2 23
6 Peterboro 18 7 1 10 20 27 -7 22
7 AFC Wimbledon 18 6 4 8 25 35 -10 22
8 Reading 16 4 6 6 24 24 0 18
9 Stevenage 17 5 3 9 18 26 -8 18
10 Mansfield 15 4 5 6 15 19 -4 17
11 Huddersfield 18 5 2 11 22 30 -8 17
12 Barnsley 16 4 5 7 21 29 -8 17
13 Bradford 17 4 5 8 17 26 -9 17
14 Doncaster 17 5 2 10 15 30 -15 17
15 Exeter 17 4 4 9 16 21 -5 16
16 Luton 17 4 3 10 18 26 -8 15
17 Burton 17 3 6 8 17 27 -10 15
18 Port Vale 16 4 3 9 11 23 -12 15
19 Wycombe 16 2 8 6 13 20 -7 14
20 Wigan 17 2 7 8 20 34 -14 13
21 Leyton Orient 16 4 1 11 19 33 -14 13
22 Northampton 17 3 4 10 12 28 -16 13
23 Blackpool 17 3 3 11 15 29 -14 12
24 Rotherham 16 3 2 11 13 23 -10 11

Exeter   Burton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Barnsley 31 9 22 1.7 1.7 12 8 11 53 53 44
2 1 Cardiff 34 13 21 2.0 1.1 22 6 6 68 36 72
3 21 Leyton Orient 33 12 21 1.3 1.7 10 6 17 44 56 36
4 6 Huddersfield 35 15 20 1.6 1.3 15 7 13 55 46 52
5 17 Burton 34 14 20 1.1 1.4 10 9 15 38 49 39
6 4 Bradford 34 15 19 1.3 1.1 17 7 10 43 38 58
7 5 Stockport 34 15 19 1.4 1.3 16 8 10 47 43 56
8 11 Peterboro 35 16 19 1.4 1.4 14 4 17 50 49 46
9 2 Lincoln 34 16 18 1.9 0.9 21 8 5 63 31 71
10 18 Doncaster 33 15 18 1.1 1.7 11 6 16 36 55 39
11 20 Blackpool 34 16 18 1.2 1.6 10 7 17 40 54 37
12 23 Rotherham 33 15 18 1.0 1.4 9 7 17 33 47 34
13 12 Plymouth 34 17 17 1.4 1.5 14 4 16 49 50 46
14 14 AFC Wimbledon 33 16 17 1.2 1.5 12 7 14 41 48 43
15 7 Reading 34 18 16 1.5 1.3 13 12 9 50 44 51
16 9 Wycombe 34 18 16 1.4 1.1 13 11 10 49 36 50
17 10 Luton 34 18 16 1.3 1.2 13 8 13 43 41 47
18 3 Bolton 35 20 15 1.4 1.0 16 13 6 50 34 61
19 16 Mansfield 32 17 15 1.2 1.2 10 10 12 39 37 40
20 22 Northampton 35 20 15 0.9 1.3 9 8 18 31 47 35
21 8 Stevenage 33 19 14 1.1 1.1 14 9 10 37 35 51
22 15 Exeter 33 19 14 1.2 1.2 11 8 14 38 39 41
23 24 Port Vale 32 19 13 0.8 1.4 6 9 17 26 44 27
24 19 Wigan 33 22 11 1.1 1.4 9 10 14 35 46 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 17 4 13 2.5 1.1 14 1 2 42 18 43
2 2 Lincoln 18 7 11 2.2 0.8 13 4 1 40 15 43
3 13 Barnsley 15 4 11 2.1 1.6 8 3 4 32 24 27
4 3 Bolton 17 7 10 1.8 0.8 11 5 1 31 13 38
5 6 Huddersfield 17 7 10 1.9 0.9 10 5 2 33 16 35
6 9 Wycombe 18 8 10 2.0 0.9 11 3 4 36 16 36
7 11 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 7 3 7 30 22 24
8 17 Burton 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 7 3 7 21 22 24
9 20 Blackpool 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 7 4 6 25 25 25
10 23 Rotherham 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
11 5 Stockport 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 9 4 4 26 21 31
12 16 Mansfield 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 6 5 6 24 18 23
13 18 Doncaster 16 7 9 1.3 1.6 6 4 6 21 25 22
14 21 Leyton Orient 17 8 9 1.5 1.4 6 5 6 25 23 23
15 4 Bradford 17 9 8 1.5 0.7 13 2 2 26 12 41
16 7 Reading 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 6 3 26 20 33
17 10 Luton 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 9 5 3 25 15 32
18 12 Plymouth 17 9 8 1.3 1.5 6 3 8 22 26 21
19 15 Exeter 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 7 4 5 22 18 25
20 22 Northampton 18 11 7 1.1 1.1 6 4 8 19 19 22
21 24 Port Vale 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 2 6 8 15 21 12
22 14 AFC Wimbledon 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 6 3 6 16 13 21
23 8 Stevenage 16 12 4 1.2 0.6 9 6 1 19 9 33
24 19 Wigan 16 13 3 0.9 0.8 7 3 6 15 12 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 AFC Wimbledon 18 6 12 1.4 1.9 6 4 8 25 35 22
2 21 Leyton Orient 16 4 12 1.2 2.1 4 1 11 19 33 13
3 4 Bradford 17 6 11 1.0 1.5 4 5 8 17 26 17
4 13 Barnsley 16 5 11 1.3 1.8 4 5 7 21 29 17
5 5 Stockport 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 7 4 6 21 22 25
6 6 Huddersfield 18 8 10 1.2 1.7 5 2 11 22 30 17
7 8 Stevenage 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 5 3 9 18 26 18
8 17 Burton 17 7 10 1.0 1.6 3 6 8 17 27 15
9 11 Peterboro 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 7 1 10 20 27 22
10 12 Plymouth 17 8 9 1.6 1.4 8 1 8 27 24 25
11 18 Doncaster 17 8 9 0.9 1.8 5 2 10 15 30 17
12 1 Cardiff 17 9 8 1.5 1.1 8 5 4 26 18 29
13 7 Reading 16 8 8 1.5 1.5 4 6 6 24 24 18
14 10 Luton 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 4 3 10 18 26 15
15 19 Wigan 17 9 8 1.2 2.0 2 7 8 20 34 13
16 20 Blackpool 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 3 3 11 15 29 12
17 22 Northampton 17 9 8 0.7 1.6 3 4 10 12 28 13
18 23 Rotherham 16 8 8 0.8 1.4 3 2 11 13 23 11
19 2 Lincoln 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 8 4 4 23 16 28
20 15 Exeter 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 4 4 9 16 21 16
21 9 Wycombe 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 2 8 6 13 20 14
22 16 Mansfield 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 4 5 6 15 19 17
23 24 Port Vale 16 10 6 0.7 1.4 4 3 9 11 23 15
24 3 Bolton 18 13 5 1.1 1.2 5 8 5 19 21 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51