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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: C Brook

AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Luton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.00 fair 2.35
Draw 3.20 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 2.15 fair 3.17
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AFC Wimbledon Luton
6 Shots 23
0 Shots on target 8
8 Corners 3
11 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (477 league matches this season so far).
Result AFC Wimbledon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
AFC WimbledonDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.23scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 49:59
Luton before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.35scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 54:50
AFC Wimbledon all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.35
1.48 Goals conceded 1.25
2.70 Total goals 2.60
10.78 Shots 12.33
3.23 Shots on target 3.78
11.60 Shots faced 9.95
4.65 Corners 6.00
4.93 Corners against 4.25
12.65 Fouls 12.00
1.40 Yellow cards 1.65
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

35% Wins 40%
20% Draws 25%
45% Losses 35%
95% Over 0.5 goals 98%
68% Over 1.5 goals 73%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 28%
20% Over 4.5 goals 13%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 53%
18% Clean sheets 28%
38% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 35%
50% Draws 40%
23% Losses 25%
68% Over 0.5 goals 70%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon all matches
Luton all matches
AFC Wimbledon before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.26scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 24:19
Luton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.11scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:28
AFC Wimbledon at home away Luton

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.11
1.00 Goals conceded 1.47
2.26 Total goals 2.58
12.05 Shots 10.05
3.63 Shots on target 2.79
10.63 Shots faced 11.63
5.37 Corners 5.11
4.47 Corners against 4.11
12.16 Fouls 12.58
1.32 Yellow cards 2.00
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

42% Wins 26%
21% Draws 21%
37% Losses 53%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
58% Over 1.5 goals 74%
37% Over 2.5 goals 47%
21% Over 3.5 goals 26%
16% Over 4.5 goals 11%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 47%
26% Clean sheets 21%
37% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 21%
42% Draws 42%
16% Losses 37%
63% Over 0.5 goals 63%
21% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03
28.03.26 Stockport – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.805.25 1.90 1.95
21.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.20 1.75 2.05
17.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Leyton Orient 2–4 (2–1) 2.253.253.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.26 Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
11.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Blackpool 4–1 (1–0) 2.103.253.25 2.15 1.67
08.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 2.05 1.75
28.02.26 Mansfield – AFC Wimbledon 2–2 (2–1) 1.963.203.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 AFC Wimbledon – Bradford 3–1 (2–0) 3.103.252.25 2.15 1.67
17.02.26 Cardiff – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (1–1) 1.394.507.00 1.73 2.08

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Cardiff – Luton 3–1 (3–1) 1.713.504.00 1.85 2.00

AFC Wimbledon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.20 1.75 2.05
17.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Leyton Orient 2–4 (2–1) 2.253.253.00 2.10 1.70
11.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Blackpool 4–1 (1–0) 2.103.253.25 2.15 1.67
08.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 AFC Wimbledon – Bradford 3–1 (2–0) 3.103.252.25 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 AFC Wimbledon – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 2.573.302.50 2.10 1.70
31.01.26 AFC Wimbledon – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.86 2.08 1.73
17.01.26 AFC Wimbledon – Doncaster 0–1 (0–0) 2.573.252.55 2.08 1.73
29.12.25 AFC Wimbledon – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.202.95 2.35 1.57
26.12.25 AFC Wimbledon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.822.752.65 2.88 1.40

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Cardiff – Luton 3–1 (3–1) 1.713.504.00 1.85 2.00
27.01.26 Huddersfield – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.10 2.05 1.75
24.01.26 Plymouth – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.95 1.85
01.01.26 Exeter – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.601.96 2.10 1.70
18.12.25 Reading – Luton 3–2 (1–0) 2.653.402.40 1.98 1.88
09.12.25 Leyton Orient – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.573.252.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AFC Wimbledon winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.08.25E2 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 40 26 9 5 75 34 +41 87
2 Cardiff 39 23 8 8 73 41 +32 77
3 Bolton 40 18 15 7 57 40 +17 69
4 Bradford 40 20 8 12 50 44 +6 68
5 Stockport 39 19 9 11 57 48 +9 66
6 Reading 41 16 14 11 61 52 +9 62
7 Stevenage 39 17 10 12 41 38 +3 61
8 Wycombe 41 16 11 14 59 46 +13 59
9 Plymouth 40 18 5 17 61 56 +5 59
10 Huddersfield 40 16 10 14 60 52 +8 58
11 Luton 40 16 10 14 54 50 +4 58
12 Mansfield 38 13 13 12 49 41 +8 52
13 Barnsley 38 13 12 13 60 61 -1 51
14 Peterboro 39 15 5 19 58 54 +4 50
15 Leyton Orient 40 14 8 18 55 62 -7 50
16 AFC Wimbledon 40 14 8 18 49 59 -10 50
17 Doncaster 40 14 8 18 42 61 -19 50
18 Blackpool 41 13 9 19 48 63 -15 48
19 Burton 41 12 11 18 45 56 -11 47
20 Wigan 40 11 13 16 41 54 -13 46
21 Exeter 41 11 10 20 42 53 -11 43
22 Rotherham 39 9 10 20 35 58 -23 37
23 Northampton 40 9 8 23 33 57 -24 35
24 Port Vale 38 7 10 21 29 54 -25 31
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 21 16 4 1 47 16 +31 52
2 Bradford 20 15 3 2 30 14 +16 48
3 Cardiff 20 14 2 4 42 22 +20 44
4 Bolton 19 12 6 1 34 15 +19 42
5 Huddersfield 20 11 7 2 37 19 +18 40
6 Stockport 20 12 4 4 34 22 +12 40
7 Wycombe 20 12 3 5 41 18 +23 39
8 Luton 21 11 6 4 33 22 +11 39
9 Stevenage 19 11 6 2 22 11 +11 39
10 Reading 20 10 7 3 31 22 +9 37
11 Blackpool 21 10 5 6 31 28 +3 35
12 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 36 29 +7 32
13 Wigan 20 9 4 7 19 15 +4 31
14 Mansfield 20 8 6 6 31 21 +10 30
15 Plymouth 21 9 3 9 29 30 -1 30
16 Leyton Orient 19 8 5 6 29 24 +5 29
17 Doncaster 20 8 5 7 25 29 -4 29
18 AFC Wimbledon 19 8 4 7 24 19 +5 28
19 Burton 21 8 4 9 25 27 -2 28
20 Peterboro 18 8 3 7 35 22 +13 27
21 Exeter 20 7 6 7 23 24 -1 27
22 Rotherham 20 6 8 6 22 26 -4 26
23 Northampton 19 6 4 9 19 21 -2 22
24 Port Vale 19 3 7 9 16 23 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 19 10 5 4 28 18 +10 35
2 Cardiff 19 9 6 4 31 19 +12 33
3 Plymouth 19 9 2 8 32 26 +6 29
4 Bolton 21 6 9 6 23 25 -2 27
5 Stockport 19 7 5 7 23 26 -3 26
6 Reading 21 6 7 8 30 30 0 25
7 Peterboro 21 7 2 12 23 32 -9 23
8 Mansfield 18 5 7 6 18 20 -2 22
9 Stevenage 20 6 4 10 19 27 -8 22
10 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 4 11 25 40 -15 22
11 Leyton Orient 21 6 3 12 26 38 -12 21
12 Doncaster 20 6 3 11 17 32 -15 21
13 Bradford 20 5 5 10 20 30 -10 20
14 Wycombe 21 4 8 9 18 28 -10 20
15 Luton 19 5 4 10 21 28 -7 19
16 Barnsley 18 4 7 7 24 32 -8 19
17 Burton 20 4 7 9 20 29 -9 19
18 Huddersfield 20 5 3 12 23 33 -10 18
19 Exeter 21 4 4 13 19 29 -10 16
20 Wigan 20 2 9 9 22 39 -17 15
21 Port Vale 19 4 3 12 13 31 -18 15
22 Blackpool 20 3 4 13 17 35 -18 13
23 Northampton 21 3 4 14 14 36 -22 13
24 Rotherham 19 3 2 14 13 32 -19 11

AFC Wimbledon   Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leyton Orient 40 15 25 1.4 1.6 14 8 18 55 62 50
2 13 Barnsley 38 14 24 1.6 1.6 13 12 13 60 61 51
3 5 Stockport 39 16 23 1.5 1.2 19 9 11 57 48 66
4 2 Cardiff 39 17 22 1.9 1.1 23 8 8 73 41 77
5 9 Plymouth 40 18 22 1.5 1.4 18 5 17 61 56 59
6 10 Huddersfield 40 18 22 1.5 1.3 16 10 14 60 52 58
7 14 Peterboro 39 17 22 1.5 1.4 15 5 19 58 54 50
8 19 Burton 41 19 22 1.1 1.4 12 11 18 45 56 47
9 1 Lincoln 40 19 21 1.9 0.8 26 9 5 75 34 87
10 4 Bradford 40 19 21 1.2 1.1 20 8 12 50 44 68
11 18 Blackpool 41 20 21 1.2 1.5 13 9 19 48 63 48
12 22 Rotherham 39 18 21 0.9 1.5 9 10 20 35 58 37
13 6 Reading 41 21 20 1.5 1.3 16 14 11 61 52 62
14 8 Wycombe 41 21 20 1.4 1.1 16 11 14 59 46 59
15 11 Luton 40 20 20 1.4 1.2 16 10 14 54 50 58
16 16 AFC Wimbledon 40 20 20 1.2 1.5 14 8 18 49 59 50
17 17 Doncaster 40 20 20 1.1 1.5 14 8 18 42 61 50
18 3 Bolton 40 22 18 1.4 1.0 18 15 7 57 40 69
19 12 Mansfield 38 21 17 1.3 1.1 13 13 12 49 41 52
20 21 Exeter 41 24 17 1.0 1.3 11 10 20 42 53 43
21 23 Northampton 40 23 17 0.8 1.4 9 8 23 33 57 35
22 7 Stevenage 39 24 15 1.1 1.0 17 10 12 41 38 61
23 24 Port Vale 38 23 15 0.8 1.4 7 10 21 29 54 31
24 20 Wigan 40 27 13 1.0 1.4 11 13 16 41 54 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lincoln 21 8 13 2.2 0.8 16 4 1 47 16 52
2 2 Cardiff 20 7 13 2.1 1.1 14 2 4 42 22 44
3 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.7 1.1 12 4 4 34 22 40
4 8 Wycombe 20 8 12 2.0 0.9 12 3 5 41 18 39
5 13 Barnsley 20 8 12 1.8 1.4 9 5 6 36 29 32
6 19 Burton 21 9 12 1.2 1.3 8 4 9 25 27 28
7 3 Bolton 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 12 6 1 34 15 42
8 9 Plymouth 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 9 3 9 29 30 30
9 10 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.9 0.9 11 7 2 37 19 40
10 11 Luton 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 11 6 4 33 22 39
11 12 Mansfield 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 8 6 6 31 21 30
12 14 Peterboro 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 8 3 7 35 22 27
13 18 Blackpool 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 10 5 6 31 28 35
14 22 Rotherham 20 9 11 1.1 1.3 6 8 6 22 26 26
15 6 Reading 20 10 10 1.6 1.1 10 7 3 31 22 37
16 15 Leyton Orient 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 8 5 6 29 24 29
17 17 Doncaster 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 8 5 7 25 29 29
18 4 Bradford 20 11 9 1.5 0.7 15 3 2 30 14 48
19 21 Exeter 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 7 23 24 27
20 16 AFC Wimbledon 19 12 7 1.3 1.0 8 4 7 24 19 28
21 23 Northampton 19 12 7 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 21 22
22 24 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.8 1.2 3 7 9 16 23 16
23 7 Stevenage 19 14 5 1.2 0.6 11 6 2 22 11 39
24 20 Wigan 20 16 4 0.9 0.8 9 4 7 19 15 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leyton Orient 21 6 15 1.2 1.8 6 3 12 26 38 21
2 16 AFC Wimbledon 21 8 13 1.2 1.9 6 4 11 25 40 22
3 4 Bradford 20 8 12 1.0 1.5 5 5 10 20 30 20
4 13 Barnsley 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 4 7 7 24 32 19
5 5 Stockport 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 7 5 7 23 26 26
6 9 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.7 1.4 9 2 8 32 26 29
7 10 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.1 1.6 5 3 12 23 33 18
8 14 Peterboro 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 7 2 12 23 32 23
9 6 Reading 21 11 10 1.4 1.4 6 7 8 30 30 25
10 7 Stevenage 20 10 10 0.9 1.4 6 4 10 19 27 22
11 17 Doncaster 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 6 3 11 17 32 21
12 18 Blackpool 20 10 10 0.8 1.8 3 4 13 17 35 13
13 19 Burton 20 10 10 1.0 1.4 4 7 9 20 29 19
14 22 Rotherham 19 9 10 0.7 1.7 3 2 14 13 32 11
15 23 Northampton 21 11 10 0.7 1.7 3 4 14 14 36 13
16 2 Cardiff 19 10 9 1.6 1.0 9 6 4 31 19 33
17 11 Luton 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 10 21 28 19
18 20 Wigan 20 11 9 1.1 1.9 2 9 9 22 39 15
19 21 Exeter 21 12 9 0.9 1.4 4 4 13 19 29 16
20 1 Lincoln 19 11 8 1.5 0.9 10 5 4 28 18 35
21 8 Wycombe 21 13 8 0.9 1.3 4 8 9 18 28 20
22 24 Port Vale 19 11 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 12 13 31 15
23 3 Bolton 21 14 7 1.1 1.2 6 9 6 23 25 27
24 12 Mansfield 18 12 6 1.0 1.1 5 7 6 18 20 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51