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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: A Chilowicz

Luton 3–2 Exeter

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.08
Draw 3.80 fair 3.83
Away 5.00 fair 3.86
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Exeter
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
13 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (436 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 12.2% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.30scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 48:46
Exeter before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.08scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 40:47
Luton all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.08
1.24 Goals conceded 1.27
2.54 Total goals 2.35
12.08 Shots 10.49
3.59 Shots on target 3.35
10.00 Shots faced 12.54
5.89 Corners 4.76
4.27 Corners against 5.35
11.81 Fouls 12.05
1.62 Yellow cards 1.92
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

38% Wins 30%
24% Draws 24%
38% Losses 46%
97% Over 0.5 goals 95%
70% Over 1.5 goals 62%
49% Over 2.5 goals 43%
27% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
49% Both teams scored 41%
30% Clean sheets 30%
24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 22%
43% Draws 35%
27% Losses 43%
68% Over 0.5 goals 73%
32% Over 1.5 goals 24%
14% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Exeter all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:18
Exeter before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.94scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:23
Luton at home away Exeter

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.94
1.00 Goals conceded 1.28
2.50 Total goals 2.22
14.22 Shots 8.61
4.44 Shots on target 2.61
8.28 Shots faced 13.89
6.72 Corners 3.83
4.44 Corners against 6.33
11.00 Fouls 11.72
1.22 Yellow cards 2.22
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

50% Wins 22%
28% Draws 22%
22% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 44%
28% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 44%
39% Clean sheets 22%
17% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 22%
44% Draws 39%
17% Losses 39%
72% Over 0.5 goals 72%
33% Over 1.5 goals 28%
17% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Cardiff – Luton 3–1 (3–1) 1.713.504.00 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Luton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.204.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Luton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.00 1.95 1.90
27.01.26 Huddersfield – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.10 2.05 1.75

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Exeter – Cardiff 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.601.76 1.80 2.00
10.03.26 Exeter – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 4.103.601.76 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Barnsley – Exeter 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.753.50 1.70 2.10
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Exeter – Bolton 1–5 (0–1) 3.253.402.10 1.95 1.85
21.02.26 Peterboro – Exeter 3–3 (1–0) 2.153.403.00 1.75 2.05
17.02.26 Exeter – Wycombe 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.20 2.08 1.73
14.02.26 Exeter – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.254.00 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 Mansfield – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.25 2.00 1.80
31.01.26 Exeter – Rotherham 0–4 (0–1) 1.863.503.90 2.10 1.70

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Luton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.204.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Luton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.00 1.95 1.90
17.01.26 Luton – Lincoln 2–2 (2–2) 2.353.002.75 2.15 1.67
10.01.26 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53
29.12.25 Luton – Leyton Orient 3–0 (3–0) 1.663.504.75 1.95 1.85
26.12.25 Luton – Wycombe 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.05 2.08 1.73
13.12.25 Luton – Port Vale 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.604.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Luton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.65 1.98 1.88

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.26 Barnsley – Exeter 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.753.50 1.70 2.10
21.02.26 Peterboro – Exeter 3–3 (1–0) 2.153.403.00 1.75 2.05
07.02.26 Mansfield – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.25 2.00 1.80
27.01.26 Reading – Exeter 2–2 (1–1) 2.153.503.00 1.85 1.95
24.01.26 Port Vale – Exeter 1–3 (0–1) 2.353.203.00 2.15 1.67
04.01.26 Huddersfield – Exeter 2–2 (2–1) 1.623.505.25 1.95 1.85
29.12.25 AFC Wimbledon – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.202.95 2.35 1.57
26.12.25 Cardiff – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.514.005.75 1.73 2.08
13.12.25 Bolton – Exeter 2–1 (0–1) 1.414.506.25 1.67 2.15
29.11.25 Bradford – Exeter 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.705.00 1.85 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsExeter wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26E2 Exeter – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.601.96 2.10 1.70

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 37 24 8 5 69 32 +37 80
2 Cardiff 37 23 7 7 73 39 +34 76
3 Bolton 37 17 14 6 55 38 +17 65
4 Bradford 37 19 7 11 47 41 +6 64
5 Stevenage 36 16 9 11 40 37 +3 57
6 Huddersfield 37 16 8 13 56 46 +10 56
7 Stockport 35 16 8 11 48 46 +2 56
8 Reading 37 14 13 10 55 49 +6 55
9 Wycombe 37 14 11 12 53 41 +12 53
10 Plymouth 37 16 5 16 56 53 +3 53
11 Luton 37 14 9 14 48 46 +2 51
12 Barnsley 35 13 10 12 58 58 0 49
13 AFC Wimbledon 36 14 7 15 46 50 -4 49
14 Peterboro 36 14 4 18 51 51 0 46
15 Mansfield 35 11 12 12 42 39 +3 45
16 Burton 37 11 10 16 41 51 -10 43
17 Doncaster 36 12 7 17 40 59 -19 43
18 Exeter 37 11 9 17 40 47 -7 42
19 Leyton Orient 36 12 6 18 49 60 -11 42
20 Wigan 36 10 11 15 38 50 -12 41
21 Blackpool 37 10 8 19 43 61 -18 38
22 Rotherham 36 9 9 18 35 50 -15 36
23 Northampton 37 9 8 20 31 50 -19 35
24 Port Vale 34 6 10 18 26 46 -20 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 19 14 4 1 43 16 +27 46
2 Bradford 18 14 2 2 28 13 +15 44
3 Cardiff 18 14 1 3 42 20 +22 43
4 Bolton 18 12 5 1 34 15 +19 41
5 Huddersfield 18 11 5 2 34 16 +18 38
6 Wycombe 19 11 3 5 37 18 +19 36
7 Stevenage 18 10 6 2 21 11 +10 36
8 Reading 19 9 7 3 28 22 +6 34
9 Luton 18 9 5 4 27 18 +9 32
10 Barnsley 18 9 4 5 35 27 +8 31
11 Stockport 17 9 4 4 26 21 +5 31
12 Mansfield 19 7 6 6 27 20 +7 27
13 AFC Wimbledon 17 8 3 6 21 14 +7 27
14 Wigan 18 8 3 7 17 15 +2 27
15 Leyton Orient 18 7 5 6 27 24 +3 26
16 Blackpool 18 7 5 6 26 26 0 26
17 Exeter 19 7 5 7 23 24 -1 26
18 Doncaster 18 7 5 6 24 27 -3 26
19 Rotherham 19 6 7 6 22 26 -4 25
20 Peterboro 17 7 3 7 30 22 +8 24
21 Burton 18 7 3 8 21 23 -2 24
22 Plymouth 18 7 3 8 24 27 -3 24
23 Northampton 19 6 4 9 19 21 -2 22
24 Port Vale 18 2 7 9 15 23 -8 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 18 10 4 4 26 16 +10 34
2 Cardiff 19 9 6 4 31 19 +12 33
3 Plymouth 19 9 2 8 32 26 +6 29
4 Stockport 18 7 4 7 22 25 -3 25
5 Bolton 19 5 9 5 21 23 -2 24
6 Peterboro 19 7 1 11 21 29 -8 22
7 AFC Wimbledon 19 6 4 9 25 36 -11 22
8 Reading 18 5 6 7 27 27 0 21
9 Stevenage 18 6 3 9 19 26 -7 21
10 Bradford 19 5 5 9 19 28 -9 20
11 Luton 19 5 4 10 21 28 -7 19
12 Burton 19 4 7 8 20 28 -8 19
13 Mansfield 16 4 6 6 15 19 -4 18
14 Barnsley 17 4 6 7 23 31 -8 18
15 Huddersfield 19 5 3 11 22 30 -8 18
16 Wycombe 18 3 8 7 16 23 -7 17
17 Doncaster 18 5 2 11 16 32 -16 17
18 Exeter 18 4 4 10 17 23 -6 16
19 Leyton Orient 18 5 1 12 22 36 -14 16
20 Port Vale 16 4 3 9 11 23 -12 15
21 Wigan 18 2 8 8 21 35 -14 14
22 Northampton 18 3 4 11 12 29 -17 13
23 Blackpool 19 3 3 13 17 35 -18 12
24 Rotherham 17 3 2 12 13 24 -11 11

Luton   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Barnsley 35 11 24 1.7 1.7 13 10 12 58 58 49
2 19 Leyton Orient 36 12 24 1.4 1.7 12 6 18 49 60 42
3 2 Cardiff 37 15 22 2.0 1.1 23 7 7 73 39 76
4 4 Bradford 37 17 20 1.3 1.1 19 7 11 47 41 64
5 6 Huddersfield 37 17 20 1.5 1.2 16 8 13 56 46 56
6 7 Stockport 35 15 20 1.4 1.3 16 8 11 48 46 56
7 10 Plymouth 37 17 20 1.5 1.4 16 5 16 56 53 53
8 14 Peterboro 36 16 20 1.4 1.4 14 4 18 51 51 46
9 16 Burton 37 17 20 1.1 1.4 11 10 16 41 51 43
10 17 Doncaster 36 16 20 1.1 1.6 12 7 17 40 59 43
11 21 Blackpool 37 17 20 1.2 1.6 10 8 19 43 61 38
12 1 Lincoln 37 18 19 1.9 0.9 24 8 5 69 32 80
13 22 Rotherham 36 17 19 1.0 1.4 9 9 18 35 50 36
14 8 Reading 37 19 18 1.5 1.3 14 13 10 55 49 55
15 9 Wycombe 37 19 18 1.4 1.1 14 11 12 53 41 53
16 11 Luton 37 19 18 1.3 1.2 14 9 14 48 46 51
17 13 AFC Wimbledon 36 18 18 1.3 1.4 14 7 15 46 50 49
18 3 Bolton 37 20 17 1.5 1.0 17 14 6 55 38 65
19 15 Mansfield 35 19 16 1.2 1.1 11 12 12 42 39 45
20 18 Exeter 37 21 16 1.1 1.3 11 9 17 40 47 42
21 5 Stevenage 36 21 15 1.1 1.0 16 9 11 40 37 57
22 23 Northampton 37 22 15 0.8 1.4 9 8 20 31 50 35
23 24 Port Vale 34 21 13 0.8 1.4 6 10 18 26 46 28
24 20 Wigan 36 24 12 1.1 1.4 10 11 15 38 50 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cardiff 18 5 13 2.3 1.1 14 1 3 42 20 43
2 1 Lincoln 19 7 12 2.3 0.8 14 4 1 43 16 46
3 12 Barnsley 18 6 12 1.9 1.5 9 4 5 35 27 31
4 3 Bolton 18 7 11 1.9 0.8 12 5 1 34 15 41
5 9 Wycombe 19 8 11 1.9 0.9 11 3 5 37 18 36
6 22 Rotherham 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 7 6 22 26 25
7 6 Huddersfield 18 8 10 1.9 0.9 11 5 2 34 16 38
8 14 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 7 3 7 30 22 24
9 15 Mansfield 19 9 10 1.4 1.1 7 6 6 27 20 27
10 16 Burton 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 7 3 8 21 23 24
11 17 Doncaster 18 8 10 1.3 1.5 7 5 6 24 27 26
12 19 Leyton Orient 18 8 10 1.5 1.3 7 5 6 27 24 26
13 21 Blackpool 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 7 5 6 26 26 26
14 4 Bradford 18 9 9 1.6 0.7 14 2 2 28 13 44
15 7 Stockport 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 9 4 4 26 21 31
16 8 Reading 19 10 9 1.5 1.2 9 7 3 28 22 34
17 10 Plymouth 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 7 3 8 24 27 24
18 11 Luton 18 9 9 1.5 1.0 9 5 4 27 18 32
19 18 Exeter 19 11 8 1.2 1.3 7 5 7 23 24 26
20 23 Northampton 19 12 7 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 21 22
21 24 Port Vale 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 2 7 9 15 23 13
22 13 AFC Wimbledon 17 11 6 1.2 0.8 8 3 6 21 14 27
23 5 Stevenage 18 13 5 1.2 0.6 10 6 2 21 11 36
24 20 Wigan 18 14 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 7 17 15 27
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leyton Orient 18 4 14 1.2 2.0 5 1 12 22 36 16
2 12 Barnsley 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 4 6 7 23 31 18
3 13 AFC Wimbledon 19 7 12 1.3 1.9 6 4 9 25 36 22
4 4 Bradford 19 8 11 1.0 1.5 5 5 9 19 28 20
5 7 Stockport 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 7 4 7 22 25 25
6 10 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.7 1.4 9 2 8 32 26 29
7 5 Stevenage 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 6 3 9 19 26 21
8 6 Huddersfield 19 9 10 1.2 1.6 5 3 11 22 30 18
9 14 Peterboro 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 7 1 11 21 29 22
10 16 Burton 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 7 8 20 28 19
11 17 Doncaster 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 5 2 11 16 32 17
12 21 Blackpool 19 9 10 0.9 1.8 3 3 13 17 35 12
13 2 Cardiff 19 10 9 1.6 1.0 9 6 4 31 19 33
14 8 Reading 18 9 9 1.5 1.5 5 6 7 27 27 21
15 11 Luton 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 10 21 28 19
16 18 Exeter 18 10 8 0.9 1.3 4 4 10 17 23 16
17 20 Wigan 18 10 8 1.2 1.9 2 8 8 21 35 14
18 22 Rotherham 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 3 2 12 13 24 11
19 23 Northampton 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 3 4 11 12 29 13
20 1 Lincoln 18 11 7 1.4 0.9 10 4 4 26 16 34
21 9 Wycombe 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 3 8 7 16 23 17
22 3 Bolton 19 13 6 1.1 1.2 5 9 5 21 23 24
23 15 Mansfield 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 4 6 6 15 19 18
24 24 Port Vale 16 10 6 0.7 1.4 4 3 9 11 23 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40