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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: O Mackey

Luton 2–3 Reading

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.76 fair 2.23
Draw 3.60 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 4.33 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Reading
19 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 4
11 Fouls 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (408 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.26scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 43:41
Reading before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.47scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 50:44
Luton all matches all matches Reading

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.47
1.21 Goals conceded 1.29
2.47 Total goals 2.76
12.03 Shots 11.38
3.71 Shots on target 3.88
9.65 Shots faced 12.18
5.94 Corners 4.03
4.29 Corners against 5.21
11.91 Fouls 11.38
1.62 Yellow cards 2.21
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 38%
24% Draws 35%
38% Losses 26%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 88%
47% Over 2.5 goals 47%
26% Over 3.5 goals 26%
9% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 71%
32% Clean sheets 21%
26% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 35%
44% Draws 44%
29% Losses 21%
65% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 26%
15% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Reading all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.47scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:15
Reading before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:24
Luton at home away Reading

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded 1.50
2.35 Total goals 3.00
13.94 Shots 11.31
4.59 Shots on target 3.94
8.18 Shots faced 13.00
6.53 Corners 4.38
4.47 Corners against 5.00
11.00 Fouls 12.38
1.24 Yellow cards 2.13
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

53% Wins 25%
29% Draws 38%
18% Losses 38%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
65% Over 1.5 goals 100%
47% Over 2.5 goals 50%
24% Over 3.5 goals 31%
6% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 75%
41% Clean sheets 13%
18% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 38%
41% Draws 44%
18% Losses 19%
71% Over 0.5 goals 75%
29% Over 1.5 goals 31%
18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Cardiff – Luton 3–1 (3–1) 1.713.504.00 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Luton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.204.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Luton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.00 1.95 1.90
27.01.26 Huddersfield – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.10 2.05 1.75
24.01.26 Plymouth – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.95 1.85
17.01.26 Luton – Lincoln 2–2 (2–2) 2.353.002.75 2.15 1.67
10.01.26 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Reading – Bradford 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.253.00 2.00 1.80
21.02.26 Port Vale – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.302.32 2.05 1.80
17.02.26 Reading – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.502.10 1.93 1.93
14.02.26 Reading – Wycombe 3–2 (2–0) 2.703.252.30 1.98 1.88
10.02.26 Wigan – Reading 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.202.82 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 AFC Wimbledon – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 2.573.302.50 2.10 1.70
31.01.26 Northampton – Reading 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.302.20 2.10 1.70
27.01.26 Reading – Exeter 2–2 (1–1) 2.153.503.00 1.85 1.95
24.01.26 Reading – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.602.82 1.73 2.08
17.01.26 Leyton Orient – Reading 3–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.70

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Luton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.204.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Luton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.00 1.95 1.90
17.01.26 Luton – Lincoln 2–2 (2–2) 2.353.002.75 2.15 1.67
10.01.26 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53
29.12.25 Luton – Leyton Orient 3–0 (3–0) 1.663.504.75 1.95 1.85
26.12.25 Luton – Wycombe 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.05 2.08 1.73
13.12.25 Luton – Port Vale 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.604.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Luton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.65 1.98 1.88
25.11.25 Luton – Huddersfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 2.00 1.85

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Port Vale – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.302.32 2.05 1.80
10.02.26 Wigan – Reading 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.202.82 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 AFC Wimbledon – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 2.573.302.50 2.10 1.70
31.01.26 Northampton – Reading 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.302.20 2.10 1.70
17.01.26 Leyton Orient – Reading 3–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.70
29.12.25 Peterboro – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 2.323.402.85 1.85 1.95
26.12.25 Plymouth – Reading 1–4 (0–3) 2.353.502.57 1.95 1.85
13.12.25 Bradford – Reading 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.80 2.00
29.11.25 Blackpool – Reading 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.402.55 2.00 1.80
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsReading wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.25E2 Reading – Luton 3–2 (1–0) 2.653.402.40 1.98 1.88
19.04.23E1 Reading – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
01.11.22E1 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
07.05.22E1 Luton – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.66 2.20
19.01.22E1 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 35 22 8 5 65 31 +34 74
2 Cardiff 35 22 6 7 68 38 +30 72
3 Bolton 35 16 13 6 50 34 +16 61
4 Bradford 34 17 7 10 43 38 +5 58
5 Stockport 34 16 8 10 47 43 +4 56
6 Huddersfield 36 16 7 13 56 46 +10 55
7 Wycombe 35 14 11 10 50 36 +14 53
8 Reading 34 13 12 9 50 44 +6 51
9 Stevenage 33 14 9 10 37 35 +2 51
10 Luton 34 13 8 13 43 41 +2 47
11 Peterboro 35 14 4 17 50 49 +1 46
12 Plymouth 34 14 4 16 49 50 -1 46
13 Barnsley 32 12 8 12 53 54 -1 44
14 AFC Wimbledon 33 12 7 14 41 48 -7 43
15 Exeter 34 11 9 14 39 40 -1 42
16 Mansfield 33 10 11 12 39 37 +2 41
17 Burton 35 10 10 15 39 50 -11 40
18 Doncaster 33 11 6 16 36 55 -19 39
19 Wigan 33 9 10 14 35 46 -11 37
20 Blackpool 34 10 7 17 40 54 -14 37
21 Leyton Orient 33 10 6 17 44 56 -12 36
22 Rotherham 35 9 8 18 33 48 -15 35
23 Northampton 35 9 8 18 31 47 -16 35
24 Port Vale 32 6 9 17 26 44 -18 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 18 13 4 1 40 15 +25 43
2 Cardiff 18 14 1 3 42 20 +22 43
3 Bradford 17 13 2 2 26 12 +14 41
4 Huddersfield 18 11 5 2 34 16 +18 38
5 Bolton 17 11 5 1 31 13 +18 38
6 Wycombe 18 11 3 4 36 16 +20 36
7 Stevenage 16 9 6 1 19 9 +10 33
8 Reading 18 9 6 3 26 20 +6 33
9 Luton 17 9 5 3 25 15 +10 32
10 Stockport 17 9 4 4 26 21 +5 31
11 Barnsley 16 8 3 5 32 25 +7 27
12 Exeter 17 7 5 5 23 19 +4 26
13 Blackpool 17 7 4 6 25 25 0 25
14 Peterboro 17 7 3 7 30 22 +8 24
15 Wigan 16 7 3 6 15 12 +3 24
16 Burton 17 7 3 7 21 22 -1 24
17 Rotherham 18 6 6 6 20 24 -4 24
18 Mansfield 17 6 5 6 24 18 +6 23
19 Leyton Orient 17 6 5 6 25 23 +2 23
20 Northampton 18 6 4 8 19 19 0 22
21 Doncaster 16 6 4 6 21 25 -4 22
22 AFC Wimbledon 15 6 3 6 16 13 +3 21
23 Plymouth 17 6 3 8 22 26 -4 21
24 Port Vale 16 2 6 8 15 21 -6 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 17 9 4 4 25 16 +9 31
2 Cardiff 17 8 5 4 26 18 +8 29
3 Plymouth 17 8 1 8 27 24 +3 25
4 Stockport 17 7 4 6 21 22 -1 25
5 Bolton 18 5 8 5 19 21 -2 23
6 Peterboro 18 7 1 10 20 27 -7 22
7 AFC Wimbledon 18 6 4 8 25 35 -10 22
8 Reading 16 4 6 6 24 24 0 18
9 Mansfield 16 4 6 6 15 19 -4 18
10 Stevenage 17 5 3 9 18 26 -8 18
11 Wycombe 17 3 8 6 14 20 -6 17
12 Huddersfield 18 5 2 11 22 30 -8 17
13 Barnsley 16 4 5 7 21 29 -8 17
14 Bradford 17 4 5 8 17 26 -9 17
15 Doncaster 17 5 2 10 15 30 -15 17
16 Exeter 17 4 4 9 16 21 -5 16
17 Burton 18 3 7 8 18 28 -10 16
18 Luton 17 4 3 10 18 26 -8 15
19 Port Vale 16 4 3 9 11 23 -12 15
20 Wigan 17 2 7 8 20 34 -14 13
21 Leyton Orient 16 4 1 11 19 33 -14 13
22 Northampton 17 3 4 10 12 28 -16 13
23 Blackpool 17 3 3 11 15 29 -14 12
24 Rotherham 17 3 2 12 13 24 -11 11

Luton   Reading

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Barnsley 32 10 22 1.7 1.7 12 8 12 53 54 44
2 2 Cardiff 35 14 21 1.9 1.1 22 6 7 68 38 72
3 21 Leyton Orient 33 12 21 1.3 1.7 10 6 17 44 56 36
4 6 Huddersfield 36 16 20 1.6 1.3 16 7 13 56 46 55
5 17 Burton 35 15 20 1.1 1.4 10 10 15 39 50 40
6 4 Bradford 34 15 19 1.3 1.1 17 7 10 43 38 58
7 5 Stockport 34 15 19 1.4 1.3 16 8 10 47 43 56
8 11 Peterboro 35 16 19 1.4 1.4 14 4 17 50 49 46
9 1 Lincoln 35 17 18 1.9 0.9 22 8 5 65 31 74
10 18 Doncaster 33 15 18 1.1 1.7 11 6 16 36 55 39
11 20 Blackpool 34 16 18 1.2 1.6 10 7 17 40 54 37
12 22 Rotherham 35 17 18 0.9 1.4 9 8 18 33 48 35
13 12 Plymouth 34 17 17 1.4 1.5 14 4 16 49 50 46
14 14 AFC Wimbledon 33 16 17 1.2 1.5 12 7 14 41 48 43
15 7 Wycombe 35 19 16 1.4 1.0 14 11 10 50 36 53
16 8 Reading 34 18 16 1.5 1.3 13 12 9 50 44 51
17 10 Luton 34 18 16 1.3 1.2 13 8 13 43 41 47
18 3 Bolton 35 20 15 1.4 1.0 16 13 6 50 34 61
19 16 Mansfield 33 18 15 1.2 1.1 10 11 12 39 37 41
20 23 Northampton 35 20 15 0.9 1.3 9 8 18 31 47 35
21 9 Stevenage 33 19 14 1.1 1.1 14 9 10 37 35 51
22 15 Exeter 34 20 14 1.1 1.2 11 9 14 39 40 42
23 24 Port Vale 32 19 13 0.8 1.4 6 9 17 26 44 27
24 19 Wigan 33 22 11 1.1 1.4 9 10 14 35 46 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cardiff 18 5 13 2.3 1.1 14 1 3 42 20 43
2 1 Lincoln 18 7 11 2.2 0.8 13 4 1 40 15 43
3 13 Barnsley 16 5 11 2.0 1.6 8 3 5 32 25 27
4 3 Bolton 17 7 10 1.8 0.8 11 5 1 31 13 38
5 6 Huddersfield 18 8 10 1.9 0.9 11 5 2 34 16 38
6 7 Wycombe 18 8 10 2.0 0.9 11 3 4 36 16 36
7 11 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 7 3 7 30 22 24
8 17 Burton 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 7 3 7 21 22 24
9 20 Blackpool 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 7 4 6 25 25 25
10 22 Rotherham 18 8 10 1.1 1.3 6 6 6 20 24 24
11 5 Stockport 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 9 4 4 26 21 31
12 16 Mansfield 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 6 5 6 24 18 23
13 18 Doncaster 16 7 9 1.3 1.6 6 4 6 21 25 22
14 21 Leyton Orient 17 8 9 1.5 1.4 6 5 6 25 23 23
15 4 Bradford 17 9 8 1.5 0.7 13 2 2 26 12 41
16 8 Reading 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 6 3 26 20 33
17 10 Luton 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 9 5 3 25 15 32
18 12 Plymouth 17 9 8 1.3 1.5 6 3 8 22 26 21
19 15 Exeter 17 10 7 1.4 1.1 7 5 5 23 19 26
20 23 Northampton 18 11 7 1.1 1.1 6 4 8 19 19 22
21 24 Port Vale 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 2 6 8 15 21 12
22 14 AFC Wimbledon 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 6 3 6 16 13 21
23 9 Stevenage 16 12 4 1.2 0.6 9 6 1 19 9 33
24 19 Wigan 16 13 3 0.9 0.8 7 3 6 15 12 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 AFC Wimbledon 18 6 12 1.4 1.9 6 4 8 25 35 22
2 21 Leyton Orient 16 4 12 1.2 2.1 4 1 11 19 33 13
3 4 Bradford 17 6 11 1.0 1.5 4 5 8 17 26 17
4 13 Barnsley 16 5 11 1.3 1.8 4 5 7 21 29 17
5 5 Stockport 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 7 4 6 21 22 25
6 6 Huddersfield 18 8 10 1.2 1.7 5 2 11 22 30 17
7 9 Stevenage 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 5 3 9 18 26 18
8 17 Burton 18 8 10 1.0 1.6 3 7 8 18 28 16
9 11 Peterboro 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 7 1 10 20 27 22
10 12 Plymouth 17 8 9 1.6 1.4 8 1 8 27 24 25
11 18 Doncaster 17 8 9 0.9 1.8 5 2 10 15 30 17
12 2 Cardiff 17 9 8 1.5 1.1 8 5 4 26 18 29
13 8 Reading 16 8 8 1.5 1.5 4 6 6 24 24 18
14 10 Luton 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 4 3 10 18 26 15
15 19 Wigan 17 9 8 1.2 2.0 2 7 8 20 34 13
16 20 Blackpool 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 3 3 11 15 29 12
17 22 Rotherham 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 3 2 12 13 24 11
18 23 Northampton 17 9 8 0.7 1.6 3 4 10 12 28 13
19 1 Lincoln 17 10 7 1.5 0.9 9 4 4 25 16 31
20 15 Exeter 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 4 4 9 16 21 16
21 7 Wycombe 17 11 6 0.8 1.2 3 8 6 14 20 17
22 16 Mansfield 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 4 6 6 15 19 18
23 24 Port Vale 16 10 6 0.7 1.4 4 3 9 11 23 15
24 3 Bolton 18 13 5 1.1 1.2 5 8 5 19 21 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40