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England League One · ·Referee: M Woods

Burton 1–0 AFC Wimbledon

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.76 fair 2.19
Draw 3.50 fair 3.97
Away 4.50 fair 3.42
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton AFC Wimbledon
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 2
9 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (492 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawAFC Wimbledon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.07scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 45:56
AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.20scored / match
1.51conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 49:62
Burton all matches all matches AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.20
1.33 Goals conceded 1.51
2.40 Total goals 2.71
11.07 Shots 10.66
3.40 Shots on target 3.15
12.07 Shots faced 11.88
5.38 Corners 4.73
5.36 Corners against 4.88
10.95 Fouls 12.61
1.62 Yellow cards 1.39
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

29% Wins 34%
29% Draws 20%
43% Losses 46%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
69% Over 1.5 goals 68%
52% Over 2.5 goals 51%
21% Over 3.5 goals 29%
5% Over 4.5 goals 20%
2% Over 5.5 goals 7%
45% Both teams scored 49%
26% Clean sheets 17%
38% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 27%
43% Draws 49%
31% Losses 24%
64% Over 0.5 goals 68%
29% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
AFC Wimbledon all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.19scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 25:27
AFC Wimbledon before this match, away
1.05points / match
1.19scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 25:40
Burton at home away AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.19
1.29 Goals conceded 1.90
2.48 Total goals 3.10
11.86 Shots 9.62
3.81 Shots on target 2.86
11.38 Shots faced 12.48
6.10 Corners 4.00
4.57 Corners against 5.33
10.43 Fouls 13.10
1.43 Yellow cards 1.48
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

38% Wins 29%
19% Draws 19%
43% Losses 52%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 76%
57% Over 2.5 goals 62%
24% Over 3.5 goals 38%
5% Over 4.5 goals 24%
5% Over 5.5 goals 10%
38% Both teams scored 52%
29% Clean sheets 10%
43% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 14%
43% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
67% Over 0.5 goals 71%
33% Over 1.5 goals 43%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
AFC Wimbledon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Burton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 2.823.302.32 2.20 1.65
17.03.26 Burton – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.98 1.88
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90
24.02.26 Burton – Stockport 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 2.05 1.75

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
03.04.26 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03
28.03.26 Stockport – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.805.25 1.90 1.95
21.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.20 1.75 2.05
17.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Leyton Orient 2–4 (2–1) 2.253.253.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.26 Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
11.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Blackpool 4–1 (1–0) 2.103.253.25 2.15 1.67
08.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 2.05 1.75
28.02.26 Mansfield – AFC Wimbledon 2–2 (2–1) 1.963.203.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 AFC Wimbledon – Bradford 3–1 (2–0) 3.103.252.25 2.15 1.67

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Burton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 2.823.302.32 2.20 1.65
17.03.26 Burton – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
24.02.26 Burton – Stockport 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Burton – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.20 2.08 1.73
03.02.26 Burton – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
31.01.26 Burton – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 4.333.701.71 1.85 2.00
17.01.26 Burton – Huddersfield 3–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.86 1.98 1.88
29.12.25 Burton – Wigan 0–2 (0–0) 2.573.202.55 2.25 1.62

AFC Wimbledon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03
28.03.26 Stockport – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.805.25 1.90 1.95
14.03.26 Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
28.02.26 Mansfield – AFC Wimbledon 2–2 (2–1) 1.963.203.75 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Cardiff – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (1–1) 1.394.507.00 1.73 2.08
14.02.26 Barnsley – AFC Wimbledon 3–3 (2–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Port Vale – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.003.40 2.50 1.50
24.01.26 Rotherham – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.102.70 2.35 1.57
04.01.26 Wycombe – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (1–0) 1.793.304.50 2.15 1.67
01.01.26 Leyton Orient – AFC Wimbledon 1–3 (1–1) 1.863.304.00 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsAFC Wimbledon wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
0%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25E2 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.20 2.20 1.65
22.01.22E2 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.85 2.00
02.10.21E2 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.25 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 42 28 9 5 79 36 +43 93
2 Cardiff 41 24 9 8 76 42 +34 81
3 Bradford 41 21 8 12 52 45 +7 71
4 Bolton 42 18 16 8 59 44 +15 70
5 Stockport 40 19 10 11 59 50 +9 67
6 Stevenage 40 18 10 12 42 38 +4 64
7 Plymouth 42 19 6 17 66 58 +8 63
8 Reading 42 16 14 12 62 54 +8 62
9 Huddersfield 41 17 10 14 62 53 +9 61
10 Luton 41 17 10 14 57 50 +7 61
11 Wycombe 42 16 11 15 60 48 +12 59
12 Mansfield 39 13 14 12 49 41 +8 53
13 Peterboro 40 15 6 19 59 55 +4 51
14 Barnsley 39 13 12 14 60 64 -4 51
15 Leyton Orient 42 14 8 20 57 66 -9 50
16 AFC Wimbledon 41 14 8 19 49 62 -13 50
17 Doncaster 41 14 8 19 42 64 -22 50
18 Wigan 41 12 13 16 44 55 -11 49
19 Burton 42 12 12 18 45 56 -11 48
20 Blackpool 42 13 9 20 48 64 -16 48
21 Exeter 43 12 11 20 47 55 -8 47
22 Rotherham 40 9 10 21 35 59 -24 37
23 Northampton 41 9 8 24 34 60 -26 35
24 Port Vale 39 8 10 21 30 54 -24 34
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 22 17 4 1 49 17 +32 55
2 Bradford 20 15 3 2 30 14 +16 48
3 Cardiff 21 15 2 4 44 22 +22 47
4 Bolton 20 12 7 1 36 17 +19 43
5 Stevenage 20 12 6 2 23 11 +12 42
6 Huddersfield 20 11 7 2 37 19 +18 40
7 Stockport 20 12 4 4 34 22 +12 40
8 Wycombe 21 12 3 6 42 20 +22 39
9 Luton 21 11 6 4 33 22 +11 39
10 Reading 21 10 7 4 32 24 +8 37
11 Blackpool 21 10 5 6 31 28 +3 35
12 Barnsley 21 9 5 7 36 32 +4 32
13 Mansfield 21 8 7 6 31 21 +10 31
14 Wigan 20 9 4 7 19 15 +4 31
15 Plymouth 22 9 4 9 31 32 -1 31
16 Exeter 21 8 6 7 26 24 +2 30
17 Leyton Orient 20 8 5 7 30 26 +4 29
18 Doncaster 20 8 5 7 25 29 -4 29
19 Peterboro 19 8 4 7 36 23 +13 28
20 AFC Wimbledon 20 8 4 8 24 22 +2 28
21 Burton 21 8 4 9 25 27 -2 28
22 Rotherham 20 6 8 6 22 26 -4 26
23 Northampton 20 6 4 10 20 24 -4 22
24 Port Vale 20 4 7 9 17 23 -6 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 20 11 5 4 30 19 +11 38
2 Cardiff 20 9 7 4 32 20 +12 34
3 Plymouth 20 10 2 8 35 26 +9 32
4 Stockport 20 7 6 7 25 28 -3 27
5 Bolton 22 6 9 7 23 27 -4 27
6 Reading 21 6 7 8 30 30 0 25
7 Peterboro 21 7 2 12 23 32 -9 23
8 Bradford 21 6 5 10 22 31 -9 23
9 Mansfield 18 5 7 6 18 20 -2 22
10 Luton 20 6 4 10 24 28 -4 22
11 Stevenage 20 6 4 10 19 27 -8 22
12 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 4 11 25 40 -15 22
13 Huddersfield 21 6 3 12 25 34 -9 21
14 Leyton Orient 22 6 3 13 27 40 -13 21
15 Doncaster 21 6 3 12 17 35 -18 21
16 Burton 21 4 8 9 20 29 -9 20
17 Wycombe 21 4 8 9 18 28 -10 20
18 Barnsley 18 4 7 7 24 32 -8 19
19 Wigan 21 3 9 9 25 40 -15 18
20 Exeter 22 4 5 13 21 31 -10 17
21 Port Vale 19 4 3 12 13 31 -18 15
22 Blackpool 21 3 4 14 17 36 -19 13
23 Northampton 21 3 4 14 14 36 -22 13
24 Rotherham 20 3 2 15 13 33 -20 11

Burton   AFC Wimbledon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leyton Orient 42 15 27 1.4 1.6 14 8 20 57 66 50
2 14 Barnsley 39 14 25 1.5 1.6 13 12 14 60 64 51
3 5 Stockport 40 16 24 1.5 1.2 19 10 11 59 50 67
4 7 Plymouth 42 18 24 1.6 1.4 19 6 17 66 58 63
5 1 Lincoln 42 19 23 1.9 0.9 28 9 5 79 36 93
6 9 Huddersfield 41 18 23 1.5 1.3 17 10 14 62 53 61
7 2 Cardiff 41 19 22 1.9 1.0 24 9 8 76 42 81
8 3 Bradford 41 19 22 1.3 1.1 21 8 12 52 45 71
9 13 Peterboro 40 18 22 1.5 1.4 15 6 19 59 55 51
10 19 Burton 42 20 22 1.1 1.3 12 12 18 45 56 48
11 8 Reading 42 21 21 1.5 1.3 16 14 12 62 54 62
12 10 Luton 41 20 21 1.4 1.2 17 10 14 57 50 61
13 11 Wycombe 42 21 21 1.4 1.1 16 11 15 60 48 59
14 16 AFC Wimbledon 41 20 21 1.2 1.5 14 8 19 49 62 50
15 17 Doncaster 41 20 21 1.0 1.6 14 8 19 42 64 50
16 20 Blackpool 42 21 21 1.1 1.5 13 9 20 48 64 48
17 22 Rotherham 40 19 21 0.9 1.5 9 10 21 35 59 37
18 4 Bolton 42 23 19 1.4 1.0 18 16 8 59 44 70
19 21 Exeter 43 24 19 1.1 1.3 12 11 20 47 55 47
20 23 Northampton 41 23 18 0.8 1.5 9 8 24 34 60 35
21 12 Mansfield 39 22 17 1.3 1.1 13 14 12 49 41 53
22 6 Stevenage 40 25 15 1.1 0.9 18 10 12 42 38 64
23 24 Port Vale 39 24 15 0.8 1.4 8 10 21 30 54 34
24 18 Wigan 41 27 14 1.1 1.3 12 13 16 44 55 49
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lincoln 22 8 14 2.2 0.8 17 4 1 49 17 55
2 2 Cardiff 21 8 13 2.1 1.0 15 2 4 44 22 47
3 11 Wycombe 21 8 13 2.0 1.0 12 3 6 42 20 39
4 14 Barnsley 21 8 13 1.7 1.5 9 5 7 36 32 32
5 4 Bolton 20 8 12 1.8 0.8 12 7 1 36 17 43
6 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.7 1.1 12 4 4 34 22 40
7 7 Plymouth 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 9 31 32 31
8 19 Burton 21 9 12 1.2 1.3 8 4 9 25 27 28
9 8 Reading 21 10 11 1.5 1.1 10 7 4 32 24 37
10 9 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.9 0.9 11 7 2 37 19 40
11 10 Luton 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 11 6 4 33 22 39
12 12 Mansfield 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 8 7 6 31 21 31
13 13 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.9 1.2 8 4 7 36 23 28
14 15 Leyton Orient 20 9 11 1.5 1.3 8 5 7 30 26 29
15 20 Blackpool 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 10 5 6 31 28 35
16 22 Rotherham 20 9 11 1.1 1.3 6 8 6 22 26 26
17 17 Doncaster 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 8 5 7 25 29 29
18 3 Bradford 20 11 9 1.5 0.7 15 3 2 30 14 48
19 21 Exeter 21 12 9 1.2 1.1 8 6 7 26 24 30
20 16 AFC Wimbledon 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 8 4 8 24 22 28
21 23 Northampton 20 12 8 1.0 1.2 6 4 10 20 24 22
22 24 Port Vale 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 4 7 9 17 23 19
23 6 Stevenage 20 15 5 1.1 0.6 12 6 2 23 11 42
24 18 Wigan 20 16 4 0.9 0.8 9 4 7 19 15 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leyton Orient 22 6 16 1.2 1.8 6 3 13 27 40 21
2 3 Bradford 21 8 13 1.0 1.5 6 5 10 22 31 23
3 16 AFC Wimbledon 21 8 13 1.2 1.9 6 4 11 25 40 22
4 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 7 25 28 27
5 7 Plymouth 20 8 12 1.8 1.3 10 2 8 35 26 32
6 9 Huddersfield 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 6 3 12 25 34 21
7 14 Barnsley 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 4 7 7 24 32 19
8 13 Peterboro 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 7 2 12 23 32 23
9 17 Doncaster 21 10 11 0.8 1.7 6 3 12 17 35 21
10 6 Stevenage 20 10 10 0.9 1.4 6 4 10 19 27 22
11 8 Reading 21 11 10 1.4 1.4 6 7 8 30 30 25
12 10 Luton 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 6 4 10 24 28 22
13 18 Wigan 21 11 10 1.2 1.9 3 9 9 25 40 18
14 19 Burton 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 4 8 9 20 29 20
15 20 Blackpool 21 11 10 0.8 1.7 3 4 14 17 36 13
16 21 Exeter 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 4 5 13 21 31 17
17 22 Rotherham 20 10 10 0.7 1.6 3 2 15 13 33 11
18 23 Northampton 21 11 10 0.7 1.7 3 4 14 14 36 13
19 1 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.5 0.9 11 5 4 30 19 38
20 2 Cardiff 20 11 9 1.6 1.0 9 7 4 32 20 34
21 11 Wycombe 21 13 8 0.9 1.3 4 8 9 18 28 20
22 24 Port Vale 19 11 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 12 13 31 15
23 4 Bolton 22 15 7 1.0 1.2 6 9 7 23 27 27
24 12 Mansfield 18 12 6 1.0 1.1 5 7 6 18 20 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40