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England League One · ·Referee: D Brown

Burton 4–1 AFC Wimbledon

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.15
Draw 3.25 fair 4.01
Away 4.00 fair 3.51
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton AFC Wimbledon
10 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 4
0.93 Expected goals (xG) 1.43
4 Corners 7
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (42 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawAFC Wimbledon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:4
AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:3
Burton all matches all matches AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.33
1.33 Goals conceded 1.00
2.67 Total goals 1.33
0.59 xG created 0.49
1.30 xG allowed 1.64
8.33 Shots 9.00
3.00 Shots on target 1.67
12.67 Shots faced 12.67
2.00 Corners 5.67
4.00 Corners against 6.67
18.33 Fouls 12.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 33%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 67%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
AFC Wimbledon all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
AFC Wimbledon before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:3
Burton at home away AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
2.00 Total goals 3.00
0.94 xG created 0.44
0.52 xG allowed 1.04
10.00 Shots 10.00
2.00 Shots on target 1.00
5.00 Shots faced 10.00
2.00 Corners 5.00
0.00 Corners against 4.00
14.00 Fouls 7.00
0.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
AFC Wimbledon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
25.04.26 Burton – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.80 2.00
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
11.04.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 AFC Wimbledon – Wigan 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.202.20 2.08 1.73
22.08.26 AFC Wimbledon – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.57 2.05 1.75
15.08.26 Huddersfield – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.755.25 1.73 2.08
02.05.26 AFC Wimbledon – Huddersfield 0–4 (0–1) 2.653.752.25 1.75 2.05
25.04.26 Wigan – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
18.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Plymouth 1–3 (0–1) 3.903.801.76 1.67 2.15
15.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Stockport 0–2 (0–0) 3.503.751.86 1.93 1.93
11.04.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
03.04.26 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
25.04.26 Burton – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.80 2.00
11.04.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Burton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 2.823.302.32 2.20 1.65
17.03.26 Burton – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
24.02.26 Burton – Stockport 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Burton – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.20 2.08 1.73
03.02.26 Burton – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88

AFC Wimbledon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Huddersfield – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.755.25 1.73 2.08
25.04.26 Wigan – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
11.04.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
03.04.26 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03
28.03.26 Stockport – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.805.25 1.90 1.95
14.03.26 Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
28.02.26 Mansfield – AFC Wimbledon 2–2 (2–1) 1.963.203.75 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Cardiff – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (1–1) 1.394.507.00 1.73 2.08
14.02.26 Barnsley – AFC Wimbledon 3–3 (2–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Port Vale – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.003.40 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsAFC Wimbledon wins
4matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26E2 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
25.10.25E2 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.20 2.20 1.65
22.01.22E2 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.85 2.00
02.10.21E2 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.25 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
2 Sheffield Weds 4 3 0 1 11 5 +6 9
3 Blackpool 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
4 Cambridge 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
5 Stockport 3 2 0 1 9 4 +5 6
6 Leyton Orient 4 2 0 2 9 5 +4 6
7 Mansfield 3 2 0 1 8 5 +3 6
8 Notts County 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
9 Bradford 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
10 Leicester 4 1 2 1 4 3 +1 5
11 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
12 Burton 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
13 Oxford 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
14 Luton 3 1 1 1 8 10 -2 4
15 Plymouth 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
16 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 1 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 2 7 -5 4
18 Bromley 4 1 1 2 4 13 -9 4
19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
20 Doncaster 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
21 Stevenage 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
22 Wycombe 4 0 2 2 4 9 -5 2
23 Reading 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
24 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
2 Mansfield 2 2 0 0 7 3 +4 6
3 Blackpool 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
4 Notts County 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
5 Peterboro 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
7 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 7 3 +4 3
8 Stockport 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
9 Bradford 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
10 Leicester 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
11 Cambridge 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
12 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
13 Doncaster 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
14 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
15 Luton 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
16 Oxford 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
17 Burton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Stevenage 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Wycombe 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
20 Bromley 2 0 1 1 1 6 -5 1
21 Reading 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 0
22 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Wigan 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
24 Leyton Orient 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 2 2 0 0 7 0 +7 6
2 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
3 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
4 Cambridge 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
5 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
6 Stockport 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
7 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Burton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
9 Oxford 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
10 Bradford 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
11 Luton 2 1 0 1 6 8 -2 3
12 Bromley 2 1 0 1 3 7 -4 3
13 Notts County 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Leicester 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
15 Stevenage 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
16 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
17 Reading 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
18 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
20 Wycombe 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
21 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Wigan 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

Burton   AFC Wimbledon

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Huddersfield 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
2 2 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 2.8 1.2 3 0 1 11 5 9
3 4 Cambridge 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
4 5 Stockport 3 0 3 3.0 1.3 2 0 1 9 4 6
5 6 Leyton Orient 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 0 2 9 5 6
6 7 Mansfield 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 2 0 1 8 5 6
7 13 Oxford 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
8 14 Luton 3 0 3 2.7 3.3 1 1 1 8 10 4
9 3 Blackpool 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
10 8 Notts County 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
11 12 Burton 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
12 17 Peterboro 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 1 1 2 2 7 4
13 18 Bromley 4 2 2 1.0 3.2 1 1 2 4 13 4
14 20 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
15 21 Stevenage 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
16 22 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.0 2.2 0 2 2 4 9 2
17 9 Bradford 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
18 10 Leicester 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 2 1 4 3 5
19 11 Barnsley 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
20 15 Plymouth 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
21 16 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 1 1 1 1 3 4
22 19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
23 23 Reading 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
24 24 Wigan 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Huddersfield 2 0 2 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
2 4 Cambridge 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
3 5 Stockport 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
4 6 Leyton Orient 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
5 7 Mansfield 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 2 0 0 7 3 6
6 21 Stevenage 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
7 2 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 3.5 1.5 1 0 1 7 3 3
8 3 Blackpool 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
9 8 Notts County 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
10 9 Bradford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
11 10 Leicester 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
12 13 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
13 14 Luton 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
14 15 Plymouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
15 17 Peterboro 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
16 18 Bromley 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 1 1 1 6 1
17 22 Wycombe 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 23 Reading 1 0 1 3.0 4.0 0 0 1 3 4 0
19 11 Barnsley 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 12 Burton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
21 16 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
22 19 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
23 20 Doncaster 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
24 24 Wigan 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
2 12 Burton 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
3 13 Oxford 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
4 14 Luton 2 0 2 3.0 4.0 1 0 1 6 8 3
5 20 Doncaster 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
6 1 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
7 3 Blackpool 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
8 4 Cambridge 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
9 5 Stockport 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
10 6 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 3.5 0.0 2 0 0 7 0 6
11 7 Mansfield 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
12 8 Notts County 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
13 11 Barnsley 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
14 16 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
15 17 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
16 18 Bromley 2 1 1 1.5 3.5 1 0 1 3 7 3
17 19 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
18 22 Wycombe 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
19 24 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
20 9 Bradford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
21 10 Leicester 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
22 15 Plymouth 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
23 21 Stevenage 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
24 23 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51