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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Mather

Plymouth 0–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.57 fair 2.08
Draw 4.00 fair 4.35
Away ✓ 5.00 fair 3.46
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Plymouth Burton
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
2.50 Expected goals (xG) 0.94
3 Corners 4
11 Fouls 4
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (83 league matches this season so far).
Result Plymouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
PlymouthDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Plymouth before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
2.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:10
Burton before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.71scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:12
Plymouth all matches all matches Burton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.71
1.43 Goals conceded 1.71
3.43 Total goals 3.43
1.44 xG created 0.90
1.47 xG allowed 1.30
14.57 Shots 9.57
5.14 Shots on target 3.14
12.43 Shots faced 12.86
6.00 Corners 3.00
5.29 Corners against 4.71
12.71 Fouls 14.71
1.29 Yellow cards 1.57
0.86 1st-half goals scored 1.14
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

57% Wins 29%
14% Draws 43%
29% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
57% Over 2.5 goals 86%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 86%
29% Clean sheets 0%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 57%
14% Draws 43%
29% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth all matches
Burton all matches
Plymouth before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:3
Burton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:6
Plymouth at home away Burton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
3.00 Total goals 3.00
1.05 xG created 0.43
1.21 xG allowed 1.55
12.00 Shots 8.00
3.67 Shots on target 3.00
9.33 Shots faced 14.67
5.67 Corners 3.00
5.67 Corners against 4.67
13.33 Fouls 19.00
1.67 Yellow cards 2.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

67% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
67% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 67%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Blackpool – Plymouth 2–4 (1–1) 2.573.402.45 1.62 2.25
12.09.26 Plymouth – Barnsley 3–0 (2–0) 1.574.005.00 1.50 2.50
05.09.26 Doncaster – Plymouth 2–3 (0–1) 2.353.402.70 1.75 2.05
01.09.26 Leicester – Plymouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.863.603.60 1.65 2.20
29.08.26 Plymouth – Bradford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Wycombe – Plymouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.302.70 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Plymouth – Stockport 1–3 (0–2) 2.053.503.20 1.70 2.10
02.05.26 Northampton – Plymouth 2–3 (2–2) 5.755.501.37 1.53 2.40
25.04.26 Plymouth – Port Vale 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.67 2.15
21.04.26 Bradford – Plymouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.55 1.93 1.93

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Burton – Mansfield 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
12.09.26 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 1.793.504.20 1.88 1.98
05.09.26 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 2.653.252.45 2.08 1.73
02.09.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (2–1) 1.913.254.00 2.05 1.75
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
25.04.26 Burton – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.80 2.00
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10

Plymouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Plymouth – Barnsley 3–0 (2–0) 1.574.005.00 1.50 2.50
29.08.26 Plymouth – Bradford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.20 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Plymouth – Stockport 1–3 (0–2) 2.053.503.20 1.70 2.10
25.04.26 Plymouth – Port Vale 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.67 2.15
11.04.26 Plymouth – Exeter 2–2 (0–0) 1.534.005.50 1.62 2.25
03.04.26 Plymouth – Bolton 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.502.82 1.65 2.20
21.03.26 Plymouth – Huddersfield 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.20 1.85 2.00
17.03.26 Plymouth – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.253.90 2.25 1.62
07.03.26 Plymouth – Doncaster 2–1 (1–1) 1.863.603.70 1.70 2.10
21.02.26 Plymouth – Cardiff 5–2 (3–2) 2.853.602.20 1.75 2.05

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 1.793.504.20 1.88 1.98
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Plymouth winsDrawsBurton wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26E2 Plymouth – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.25 1.90 1.90
27.09.25E2 Burton – Plymouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.302.55 1.88 1.98
29.04.23E2 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
19.11.22E2 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
09.04.22E2 Burton – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83
09.10.21E2 Plymouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 7 5 0 2 7 4 +3 15
2 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 13 6 +7 14
3 Plymouth 7 4 1 2 14 10 +4 13
4 Huddersfield 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12
5 Cambridge 7 3 3 1 12 10 +2 12
6 Oxford 6 3 2 1 13 7 +6 11
7 AFC Wimbledon 7 3 2 2 5 7 -2 11
8 Reading 6 3 1 2 14 7 +7 10
9 Stockport 7 3 1 3 16 10 +6 10
10 Leyton Orient 7 3 1 3 13 9 +4 10
11 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11 8 +3 9
12 Burton 7 2 3 2 12 12 0 9
13 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
14 Wycombe 7 2 3 2 11 14 -3 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13 13 0 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12 14 -2 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7 12 -5 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8 18 -10 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7 9 -2 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8 10 -2 6
23 Peterboro 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 4 3 0 1 13 5 +8 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
3 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
4 Mansfield 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
5 Burton 4 1 3 0 9 6 +3 6
6 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 6 3 +3 6
7 Bradford 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
8 Cambridge 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
9 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 3 +4 5
10 Oxford 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
11 Blackpool 4 1 2 1 9 7 +2 5
12 Luton 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
13 Stevenage 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
14 Notts County 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
15 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
16 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
17 Bromley 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
18 Stockport 3 1 0 2 9 7 +2 3
19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
20 Leyton Orient 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
21 Leicester 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
22 Wigan 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
23 Wycombe 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
24 Doncaster 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
2 Bradford 4 3 0 1 3 2 +1 9
3 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
4 Stockport 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
5 Plymouth 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
6 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 6 8 -2 7
7 Oxford 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
8 Cambridge 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
9 Leicester 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
10 Stevenage 4 1 2 1 6 3 +3 5
11 Huddersfield 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
12 Doncaster 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
13 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
14 Bromley 3 1 1 1 5 9 -4 4
15 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
16 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
17 Notts County 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
18 Luton 3 1 0 2 7 10 -3 3
19 Burton 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
20 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
21 Reading 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
22 Wigan 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
23 Peterboro 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
24 Mansfield 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1

Plymouth   Burton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Burton 7 1 6 1.7 1.7 2 3 2 12 12 9
2 15 Blackpool 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 2 2 3 13 13 8
3 5 Cambridge 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 3 3 1 12 10 12
4 6 Oxford 6 1 5 2.2 1.2 3 2 1 13 7 11
5 9 Stockport 7 2 5 2.3 1.4 3 1 3 16 10 10
6 17 Mansfield 7 2 5 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
7 2 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 2 1 13 6 14
8 3 Plymouth 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 4 1 2 14 10 13
9 4 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12
10 8 Reading 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 3 1 2 14 7 10
11 10 Leyton Orient 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 3 1 3 13 9 10
12 11 Stevenage 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 2 3 2 11 8 9
13 14 Wycombe 7 3 4 1.6 2.0 2 3 2 11 14 9
14 16 Luton 7 3 4 1.7 2.0 2 2 3 12 14 8
15 18 Barnsley 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 3 7 12 8
16 19 Bromley 7 3 4 1.1 2.6 2 2 3 8 18 8
17 13 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
18 21 Doncaster 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 1 3 3 8 9 6
19 22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 0 6 1 8 10 6
20 23 Peterboro 7 4 3 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
21 24 Wigan 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
22 7 AFC Wimbledon 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 3 2 2 5 7 11
23 20 Notts County 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 1 4 2 7 9 7
24 1 Bradford 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 5 0 2 7 4 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Cambridge 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
2 8 Reading 4 1 3 3.2 1.2 3 0 1 13 5 9
3 9 Stockport 3 0 3 3.0 2.3 1 0 2 9 7 3
4 10 Leyton Orient 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
5 11 Stevenage 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
6 12 Burton 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 1 3 0 9 6 6
7 15 Blackpool 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 1 2 1 9 7 5
8 3 Plymouth 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 1 6 3 6
9 4 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
10 6 Oxford 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
11 13 Leicester 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
12 14 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
13 17 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
14 18 Barnsley 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
15 19 Bromley 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
16 23 Peterboro 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
17 24 Wigan 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
18 1 Bradford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
19 2 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 1 2 1 7 3 5
20 16 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
21 20 Notts County 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
22 21 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 7 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
24 22 Milton Keynes Dons 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 0 6 3 9
2 6 Oxford 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
3 12 Burton 3 0 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
4 15 Blackpool 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
5 16 Luton 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 1 0 2 7 10 3
6 17 Mansfield 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
7 22 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
8 3 Plymouth 4 2 2 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7
9 4 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
10 5 Cambridge 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
11 7 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
12 9 Stockport 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
13 14 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 1 1 6 8 7
14 18 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
15 19 Bromley 3 1 2 1.7 3.0 1 1 1 5 9 4
16 21 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
17 8 Reading 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
18 10 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
19 11 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 2 1 6 3 5
20 13 Leicester 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
21 20 Notts County 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 3 1 4 6 3
22 23 Peterboro 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
23 24 Wigan 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
24 1 Bradford 4 4 0 0.8 0.5 3 0 1 3 2 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06