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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: W Davis

Oxford 3–0 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.79 fair 2.29
Draw 3.50 fair 4.30
Away 4.20 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.62
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Burton
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
1.28 Expected goals (xG) 0.47
2 Corners 5
14 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (62 league matches this season so far).
Result Oxford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:6
Burton before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
2.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:7
Oxford all matches all matches Burton

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.40
3.75 Total goals 3.40
1.42 xG created 1.00
1.85 xG allowed 1.25
11.50 Shots 9.60
4.25 Shots on target 3.40
19.00 Shots faced 13.40
4.75 Corners 2.40
7.50 Corners against 5.20
16.25 Fouls 15.00
2.25 Yellow cards 1.80
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
25% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 80%
75% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 60%
50% Draws 40%
25% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 80%
25% Over 1.5 goals 60%
25% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Burton all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
1.00points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:2
Burton before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Oxford at home away Burton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.50
2.00 Goals conceded 1.50
4.00 Total goals 3.00
1.14 xG created 0.41
1.76 xG allowed 1.69
17.00 Shots 7.50
4.00 Shots on target 3.50
24.00 Shots faced 16.50
8.00 Corners 2.00
9.00 Corners against 6.00
14.00 Fouls 20.50
2.00 Yellow cards 3.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.50
2.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Leicester – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 1.623.754.75 1.80 2.00
01.09.26 Huddersfield – Oxford 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.70 2.10
22.08.26 Stevenage – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 2.323.202.85 2.10 1.70
15.08.26 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.303.30 2.10 1.70
02.05.26E1 Millwall – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.257.50 1.62 2.30
25.04.26E1 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 4–1 (2–0) 1.414.756.25 1.91 1.91
21.04.26E1 Oxford – Wrexham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.203.00 2.20 1.67
18.04.26E1 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26E1 Oxford – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.73
06.04.26E1 Portsmouth – Oxford 2–2 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.20 1.67

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 2.653.252.45 2.08 1.73
02.09.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (2–1) 1.913.254.00 2.05 1.75
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
25.04.26 Burton – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.80 2.00
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
11.04.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 2.05 1.75
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.303.30 2.10 1.70
25.04.26E1 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 4–1 (2–0) 1.414.756.25 1.91 1.91
21.04.26E1 Oxford – Wrexham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.203.00 2.20 1.67
11.04.26E1 Oxford – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.73
03.04.26E1 Oxford – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.202.85 2.10 1.73
14.03.26E1 Oxford – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.25 2.20 1.67
11.03.26E1 Oxford – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.102.65 2.30 1.62
28.02.26E1 Oxford – West Brom 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.202.25 2.20 1.67
10.02.26E1 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67
31.01.26E1 Oxford – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.402.05 2.10 1.73

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsBurton wins
6matches
3.50goals / match
83%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24E2 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
16.12.23E2 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
28.01.23E2 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05
03.09.22E2 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
05.03.22E2 Oxford – Burton 4–1 (4–1) 1.704.004.75 1.72 2.07
23.10.21E2 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 5 4 0 1 13 6 +7 12
2 Bradford 6 4 0 2 6 4 +2 12
3 Huddersfield 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
4 Stockport 5 3 0 2 13 6 +7 9
5 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 11 7 +4 9
6 Burton 5 2 2 1 10 7 +3 8
7 Cambridge 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8
8 Luton 6 2 2 2 12 13 -1 8
9 Reading 4 2 1 1 11 5 +6 7
10 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 12 9 +3 7
11 Oxford 4 2 1 1 9 6 +3 7
12 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 9 7 +2 7
13 Notts County 6 1 4 1 7 7 0 7
14 Plymouth 5 2 1 2 7 8 -1 7
15 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
16 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
17 Mansfield 5 2 0 3 8 11 -3 6
18 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 10 14 -4 6
19 Leicester 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 0 4 1 7 9 -2 4
21 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 3 9 -6 4
22 Bromley 5 1 1 3 4 15 -11 4
23 Doncaster 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3
24 Wigan 5 1 0 4 5 11 -6 3
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Reading 3 2 0 1 11 5 +6 6
3 Mansfield 2 2 0 0 7 3 +4 6
4 Bradford 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
5 Burton 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
6 Luton 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5
7 Blackpool 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
8 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
9 Stevenage 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
10 Notts County 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
11 Peterboro 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
12 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 7 3 +4 3
13 Stockport 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
14 Cambridge 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
15 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Leicester 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
17 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
18 Wigan 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
19 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
20 Wycombe 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
21 Doncaster 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Oxford 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
23 Bromley 3 0 1 2 1 8 -7 1
24 Leyton Orient 3 0 0 3 4 8 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
2 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
3 Stockport 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
4 Oxford 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
5 Bradford 3 2 0 1 2 2 0 6
6 Stevenage 3 1 2 0 6 2 +4 5
7 Cambridge 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
8 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
9 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
10 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
11 Wycombe 3 1 1 1 5 8 -3 4
12 Notts County 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
13 Burton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
15 Luton 3 1 0 2 7 10 -3 3
16 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
17 Bromley 2 1 0 1 3 7 -4 3
18 Leicester 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 2 1 6 8 -2 2
20 Reading 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
21 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
22 Wigan 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
23 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
24 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0

Oxford   Burton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 2.6 1.2 4 0 1 13 6 12
2 4 Stockport 5 1 4 2.6 1.2 3 0 2 13 6 9
3 5 Stevenage 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 2 3 1 11 7 9
4 6 Burton 5 1 4 2.0 1.4 2 2 1 10 7 8
5 7 Cambridge 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8
6 8 Luton 6 2 4 2.0 2.2 2 2 2 12 13 8
7 10 Leyton Orient 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 2 1 3 12 9 7
8 11 Oxford 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 2 1 1 9 6 7
9 12 Blackpool 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 1 2 9 7 7
10 17 Mansfield 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 2 0 3 8 11 6
11 18 Wycombe 6 2 4 1.7 2.3 1 3 2 10 14 6
12 3 Huddersfield 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
13 9 Reading 4 1 3 2.8 1.2 2 1 1 11 5 7
14 15 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
15 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 0 4 1 7 9 4
16 21 Peterboro 5 2 3 0.6 1.8 1 1 3 3 9 4
17 23 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3
18 24 Wigan 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 4 5 11 3
19 13 Notts County 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 1 4 1 7 7 7
20 14 Plymouth 5 3 2 1.4 1.6 2 1 2 7 8 7
21 16 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
22 19 Leicester 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
23 22 Bromley 5 3 2 0.8 3.0 1 1 3 4 15 4
24 2 Bradford 6 5 1 1.0 0.7 4 0 2 6 4 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stevenage 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
2 9 Reading 3 0 3 3.7 1.7 2 0 1 11 5 6
3 10 Leyton Orient 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 0 3 4 8 0
4 3 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
5 4 Stockport 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
6 6 Burton 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
7 7 Cambridge 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
8 15 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
9 17 Mansfield 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 2 0 0 7 3 6
10 18 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
11 19 Leicester 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
12 21 Peterboro 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
13 24 Wigan 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
14 1 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 3.5 1.5 1 0 1 7 3 3
15 2 Bradford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
16 8 Luton 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5
17 11 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
18 12 Blackpool 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
19 13 Notts County 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
20 14 Plymouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
21 22 Bromley 3 2 1 0.3 2.7 0 1 2 1 8 1
22 23 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 16 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
24 20 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 0 6 3 9
2 8 Luton 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 1 0 2 7 10 3
3 11 Oxford 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
4 12 Blackpool 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
5 20 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 2.0 2.7 0 2 1 6 8 2
6 4 Stockport 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
7 6 Burton 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
8 7 Cambridge 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
9 16 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
10 17 Mansfield 3 1 2 0.3 2.7 0 0 3 1 8 0
11 18 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 1 1 1 5 8 4
12 23 Doncaster 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
13 3 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
14 5 Stevenage 3 2 1 2.0 0.7 1 2 0 6 2 5
15 10 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
16 13 Notts County 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
17 14 Plymouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
18 15 Barnsley 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
19 21 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
20 22 Bromley 2 1 1 1.5 3.5 1 0 1 3 7 3
21 24 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
22 2 Bradford 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 2 0 1 2 2 6
23 9 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 19 Leicester 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51