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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: W Finnie

Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.01 fair 1.95
Draw 3.40 fair 4.25
Away ✓ 3.40 fair 3.96
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stevenage Milton Keynes Dons
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
0.45 Expected goals (xG) 1.90
7 Corners 9
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (128 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
StevenageDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.5%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:10
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.10scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:18
Stevenage all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.10
1.00 Goals conceded 1.80
2.50 Total goals 2.90
1.15 xG created 1.34
0.97 xG allowed 1.69
11.80 Shots 13.80
4.10 Shots on target 3.30
10.90 Shots faced 16.20
3.80 Corners 4.90
5.50 Corners against 5.80
12.80 Fouls 13.00
1.60 Yellow cards 1.60
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 10%
30% Draws 60%
30% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
70% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
10% Over 5.5 goals 20%
50% Both teams scored 70%
30% Clean sheets 20%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 30%
80% Draws 30%
0% Losses 40%
30% Over 0.5 goals 70%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Stevenage before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:5
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
0.60points / match
1.20scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:10
Stevenage at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.20
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.80 Total goals 3.20
1.22 xG created 1.63
0.77 xG allowed 1.27
12.80 Shots 16.00
4.80 Shots on target 4.00
10.60 Shots faced 13.00
4.80 Corners 5.80
6.20 Corners against 5.00
12.80 Fouls 16.00
1.40 Yellow cards 2.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

60% Wins 0%
20% Draws 60%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 60%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
60% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
40% Over 0.5 goals 60%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Stevenage – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 2.503.402.50 1.90 1.95
17.10.26 Bradford – Stevenage 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.10.26 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.50 2.15 1.67
19.09.26 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.10 2.15 1.67
10.09.26 Stevenage – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.20 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Barnsley – Stevenage 1–5 (1–1) 2.053.303.40 1.98 1.88
01.09.26 Peterboro – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.102.82 2.00 1.85
29.08.26 Stevenage – Doncaster 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.203.30 2.10 1.70
22.08.26 Stevenage – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 2.323.202.85 2.10 1.70
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Blackpool – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.65 1.62 2.25
17.10.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.502.10 1.70 2.10
10.10.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Reading 1–5 (0–1) 2.653.502.40 1.67 2.15
17.09.26 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.85 1.95
12.09.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 1.963.753.30 1.53 2.40
05.09.26 Wycombe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (2–0) 2.253.402.82 1.75 2.05
02.09.26 Wigan – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.252.85 2.03 1.83
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.302.50 1.90 1.95
15.08.26 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.303.30 2.10 1.70

Stevenage at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Stevenage – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 2.503.402.50 1.90 1.95
10.10.26 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.50 2.15 1.67
10.09.26 Stevenage – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.20 2.00 1.80
29.08.26 Stevenage – Doncaster 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.203.30 2.10 1.70
22.08.26 Stevenage – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 2.323.202.85 2.10 1.70
02.05.26 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (0–0) 1.514.005.75 2.25 1.62
21.04.26 Stevenage – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.50 2.15 1.67
18.04.26 Stevenage – Lincoln 2–2 (2–1) 2.853.002.45 2.40 1.53
06.04.26 Stevenage – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.793.104.33 2.25 1.62
21.03.26 Stevenage – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.204.20 2.35 1.57

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.26 Blackpool – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.65 1.62 2.25
17.09.26 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.85 1.95
05.09.26 Wycombe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (2–0) 2.253.402.82 1.75 2.05
02.09.26 Wigan – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.252.85 2.03 1.83
15.08.26 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.303.30 2.10 1.70
02.05.26E3 Fleetwood Town – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.801.79 1.93 1.93
18.04.26E3 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (0–2) 3.603.401.96 1.85 1.95
06.04.26E3 Oldham – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.50 2.08 1.73
28.03.26E3 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.30 2.00 1.85
14.03.26E3 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.25 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 12 7 4 1 24 11 +13 25
2 Stockport 11 7 1 3 23 11 +12 22
3 Bradford 11 6 3 2 10 5 +5 21
4 Cambridge 11 5 5 1 18 14 +4 20
5 Plymouth 12 6 1 5 18 17 +1 19
6 Reading 11 5 3 3 23 12 +11 18
7 Sheffield Weds 10 5 3 2 20 10 +10 18
8 Oxford 9 5 3 1 18 10 +8 18
9 Luton 11 5 2 4 21 19 +2 17
10 Stevenage 10 4 3 3 15 10 +5 15
11 Mansfield 10 4 3 3 16 15 +1 15
12 Leicester 11 4 3 4 17 17 0 15
13 Leyton Orient 11 4 2 5 15 12 +3 14
14 Burton 12 3 5 4 16 18 -2 14
15 Wycombe 11 3 5 3 18 22 -4 14
16 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 3 5 7 18 -11 12
17 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 15 16 -1 11
18 Notts County 10 2 4 4 10 13 -3 10
19 Doncaster 10 2 3 5 10 13 -3 9
20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 1 6 3 11 18 -7 9
21 Peterboro 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
22 Barnsley 10 2 2 6 10 19 -9 8
23 Bromley 10 2 2 6 9 25 -16 8
24 Wigan 11 2 1 8 8 17 -9 7
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14
2 Reading 6 4 1 1 15 6 +9 13
3 Stockport 6 4 0 2 14 8 +6 12
4 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
5 Luton 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
6 Cambridge 6 3 2 1 10 8 +2 11
7 Stevenage 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
8 Bradford 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
9 Plymouth 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9
10 Sheffield Weds 5 2 2 1 12 3 +9 8
11 Blackpool 5 2 2 1 11 7 +4 8
12 Oxford 4 2 2 0 8 4 +4 8
13 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 2 1 2 3 -1 8
14 Burton 6 1 4 1 10 9 +1 7
15 Notts County 5 2 1 2 6 5 +1 7
16 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 10 12 -2 6
17 Leyton Orient 6 2 0 4 7 10 -3 6
18 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
19 Leicester 5 2 0 3 6 10 -4 6
20 Wigan 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6
21 Peterboro 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
22 Doncaster 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
23 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
24 Bromley 5 1 1 3 3 13 -10 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
2 Bradford 6 3 2 1 4 3 +1 11
3 Stockport 5 3 1 1 9 3 +6 10
4 Oxford 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
5 Sheffield Weds 5 3 1 1 8 7 +1 10
6 Plymouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
7 Leicester 6 2 3 1 11 7 +4 9
8 Cambridge 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
9 Leyton Orient 5 2 2 1 8 2 +6 8
10 Wycombe 5 2 2 1 8 10 -2 8
11 Burton 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7
12 Luton 5 2 0 3 12 13 -1 6
13 Reading 5 1 2 2 8 6 +2 5
14 Stevenage 5 1 2 2 6 5 +1 5
15 Doncaster 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
16 Mansfield 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
17 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
18 Bromley 5 1 1 3 6 12 -6 4
19 Peterboro 6 1 1 4 5 13 -8 4
20 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 1 4 5 15 -10 4
21 Milton Keynes Dons 5 0 3 2 6 10 -4 3
22 Notts County 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
23 Blackpool 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
24 Wigan 6 0 1 5 4 9 -5 1

Stevenage   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Huddersfield 12 4 8 2.0 0.9 7 4 1 24 11 25
2 9 Luton 11 3 8 1.9 1.7 5 2 4 21 19 17
3 14 Burton 12 4 8 1.3 1.5 3 5 4 16 18 14
4 4 Cambridge 11 4 7 1.6 1.3 5 5 1 18 14 20
5 8 Oxford 9 2 7 2.0 1.1 5 3 1 18 10 18
6 11 Mansfield 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 3 3 16 15 15
7 12 Leicester 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 17 17 15
8 15 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.6 2.0 3 5 3 18 22 14
9 22 Barnsley 10 3 7 1.0 1.9 2 2 6 10 19 8
10 2 Stockport 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 7 1 3 23 11 22
11 5 Plymouth 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 6 1 5 18 17 19
12 6 Reading 11 5 6 2.1 1.1 5 3 3 23 12 18
13 7 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 5 3 2 20 10 18
14 17 Blackpool 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 3 2 5 15 16 11
15 21 Peterboro 11 5 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 6 10 20 9
16 23 Bromley 10 4 6 0.9 2.5 2 2 6 9 25 8
17 10 Stevenage 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 4 3 3 15 10 15
18 16 AFC Wimbledon 11 6 5 0.6 1.6 3 3 5 7 18 12
19 20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 1 6 3 11 18 9
20 24 Wigan 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 1 8 8 17 7
21 13 Leyton Orient 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 5 15 12 14
22 19 Doncaster 10 6 4 1.0 1.3 2 3 5 10 13 9
23 18 Notts County 10 7 3 1.0 1.3 2 4 4 10 13 10
24 3 Bradford 11 10 1 0.9 0.5 6 3 2 10 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Huddersfield 6 1 5 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14
2 2 Stockport 6 2 4 2.3 1.3 4 0 2 14 8 12
3 4 Cambridge 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 2 1 10 8 11
4 10 Stevenage 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
5 12 Leicester 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 3 6 10 6
6 14 Burton 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 1 4 1 10 9 7
7 15 Wycombe 6 2 4 1.7 2.0 1 3 2 10 12 6
8 5 Plymouth 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 0 3 8 7 9
9 6 Reading 6 3 3 2.5 1.0 4 1 1 15 6 13
10 8 Oxford 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 0 8 4 8
11 9 Luton 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
12 11 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
13 13 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 0 4 7 10 6
14 17 Blackpool 5 2 3 2.2 1.4 2 2 1 11 7 8
15 21 Peterboro 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
16 22 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
17 23 Bromley 5 2 3 0.6 2.6 1 1 3 3 13 4
18 7 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 2.4 0.6 2 2 1 12 3 8
19 18 Notts County 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 2 6 5 7
20 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
21 24 Wigan 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 2 0 3 4 8 6
22 3 Bradford 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
23 16 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 1 0.4 0.6 2 2 1 2 3 8
24 19 Doncaster 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Luton 5 0 5 2.4 2.6 2 0 3 12 13 6
2 7 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 3 1 1 8 7 10
3 8 Oxford 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
4 11 Mansfield 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
5 14 Burton 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7
6 16 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 0.8 2.5 1 1 4 5 15 4
7 22 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
8 1 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
9 4 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
10 5 Plymouth 6 3 3 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
11 6 Reading 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 1 2 2 8 6 5
12 12 Leicester 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 2 3 1 11 7 9
13 15 Wycombe 5 2 3 1.6 2.0 2 2 1 8 10 8
14 17 Blackpool 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
15 19 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
16 20 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 0 3 2 6 10 3
17 21 Peterboro 6 3 3 0.8 2.2 1 1 4 5 13 4
18 23 Bromley 5 2 3 1.2 2.4 1 1 3 6 12 4
19 24 Wigan 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 1 5 4 9 1
20 2 Stockport 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 3 1 1 9 3 10
21 10 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 2 6 5 5
22 13 Leyton Orient 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 2 2 1 8 2 8
23 18 Notts County 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
24 3 Bradford 6 6 0 0.7 0.5 3 2 1 4 3 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51