Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 3.10 fair 2.73
Draw 3.50 fair 4.34
Away 2.10 fair 2.48
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.77
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Luton
11 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 5
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
5 Corners 6
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (103 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.69
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.13scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:15
Luton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
2.00scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:15
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 2.00
1.88 Goals conceded 1.88
3.00 Total goals 3.88
1.38 xG created 1.63
1.84 xG allowed 1.14
14.00 Shots 13.38
3.38 Shots on target 4.63
16.00 Shots faced 11.75
5.00 Corners 6.25
6.25 Corners against 3.88
12.50 Fouls 12.25
1.50 Yellow cards 2.13
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

0% Wins 38%
75% Draws 25%
25% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 38%
25% Over 5.5 goals 25%
75% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%
25% Draws 38%
50% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 63%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Luton all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
0.75points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:7
Luton before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.75scored / match
2.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 11:11
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Luton

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 2.75
1.75 Goals conceded 2.75
2.50 Total goals 5.50
0.95 xG created 1.67
2.26 xG allowed 1.66
11.75 Shots 12.00
2.50 Shots on target 4.50
18.00 Shots faced 16.25
3.75 Corners 4.75
6.75 Corners against 3.75
9.75 Fouls 12.50
1.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
75% Draws 0%
25% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 100%
25% Over 3.5 goals 75%
25% Over 4.5 goals 75%
25% Over 5.5 goals 50%
75% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 0%
50% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Reading 1–5 (0–1) 2.653.502.40 1.67 2.15
17.09.26 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.85 1.95
12.09.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 1.963.753.30 1.53 2.40
05.09.26 Wycombe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (2–0) 2.253.402.82 1.75 2.05
02.09.26 Wigan – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.252.85 2.03 1.83
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.302.50 1.90 1.95
15.08.26 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.303.30 2.10 1.70
02.05.26E3 Fleetwood Town – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.801.79 1.93 1.93
25.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 3–0 (2–0) 1.374.507.50 1.73 2.08

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–4 (0–2) 2.573.402.45 1.67 2.15
19.09.26 Luton – Bradford 0–1 (0–1) 2.013.303.50 1.90 1.95
10.09.26 Stevenage – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.20 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Luton – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.004.50 1.60 2.30
02.09.26 Luton – Stockport 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
30.08.26 Mansfield – Luton 5–2 (3–0) 2.853.402.25 1.65 2.20
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
25.04.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Reading 1–5 (0–1) 2.653.502.40 1.67 2.15
12.09.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 1.963.753.30 1.53 2.40
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.302.50 1.90 1.95
25.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 3–0 (2–0) 1.374.507.50 1.73 2.08
11.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley 2–1 (2–0) 1.713.504.75 1.90 1.90
03.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 1.374.507.50 1.70 2.10
21.03.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Barnet 1–3 (1–1) 1.863.403.90 1.90 1.95
18.03.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Colchester 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.604.75 2.08 1.73
07.03.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 4–1 (2–1) 1.334.508.00 1.67 2.15

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–4 (0–2) 2.573.402.45 1.67 2.15
10.09.26 Stevenage – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.20 2.00 1.80
30.08.26 Mansfield – Luton 5–2 (3–0) 2.853.402.25 1.65 2.20
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
21.04.26 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 5.253.901.56 1.67 2.15
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18 12 +6 19
2 Bradford 9 5 2 2 8 5 +3 17
3 Stockport 9 5 1 3 20 11 +9 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16 9 +7 16
5 Cambridge 9 4 4 1 14 11 +3 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22 11 +11 15
7 Oxford 8 4 3 1 16 9 +7 15
8 Sheffield Weds 8 4 3 1 15 8 +7 15
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12 8 +4 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14 16 -2 12
11 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 13 15 -2 12
12 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7 10 -3 12
13 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13 11 +2 11
14 Luton 8 3 2 3 16 15 +1 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14 20 -6 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9 9 0 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10 14 -4 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13 14 -1 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8 15 -7 8
20 Peterboro 9 2 2 5 7 14 -7 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9 20 -11 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8 11 -3 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9 15 -6 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5 13 -8 4
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
2 Reading 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10
3 Cambridge 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
4 Stockport 5 3 0 2 13 8 +5 9
5 Plymouth 5 3 0 2 8 5 +3 9
6 Huddersfield 4 2 2 0 9 4 +5 8
7 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
8 Bradford 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7
9 Stevenage 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
10 Burton 5 1 3 1 10 9 +1 6
11 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 3 +4 5
12 Oxford 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
13 Blackpool 4 1 2 1 9 7 +2 5
14 Luton 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
15 Doncaster 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
16 Notts County 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
17 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
18 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
19 Bromley 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
20 Wycombe 5 0 3 2 8 12 -4 3
21 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 3 1 3 7 -4 3
22 Leyton Orient 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
23 Leicester 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
24 Wigan 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
2 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 10 7 +3 10
3 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 0 8 5 +3 10
4 Bradford 5 3 1 1 4 3 +1 10
5 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 0 8 1 +7 8
6 Huddersfield 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
7 Stockport 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
8 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 6 8 -2 7
9 Cambridge 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
10 Leicester 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
11 Luton 4 2 0 2 11 11 0 6
12 Burton 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
13 Reading 4 1 2 1 8 5 +3 5
14 Stevenage 4 1 2 1 6 3 +3 5
15 Doncaster 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
16 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
17 Bromley 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4
18 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
19 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
20 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
21 Notts County 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
22 Blackpool 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
23 Wigan 4 0 1 3 2 5 -3 1
24 Mansfield 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1

Milton Keynes Dons   Luton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Burton 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 3 3 4 14 16 12
2 3 Stockport 9 3 6 2.2 1.2 5 1 3 20 11 16
3 4 Huddersfield 9 3 6 1.8 1.0 4 4 1 16 9 16
4 6 Reading 9 3 6 2.4 1.2 4 3 2 22 11 15
5 7 Oxford 8 2 6 2.0 1.1 4 3 1 16 9 15
6 11 Mansfield 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 3 3 3 13 15 12
7 15 Wycombe 9 3 6 1.6 2.2 2 4 3 14 20 10
8 18 Blackpool 8 2 6 1.6 1.8 2 2 4 13 14 8
9 1 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.8 1.2 6 1 3 18 12 19
10 5 Cambridge 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 4 4 1 14 11 16
11 8 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 1.9 1.0 4 3 1 15 8 15
12 14 Luton 8 3 5 2.0 1.9 3 2 3 16 15 11
13 19 Barnsley 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 4 8 15 8
14 21 Bromley 8 3 5 1.1 2.5 2 2 4 9 20 8
15 9 Stevenage 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 3 3 2 12 8 12
16 13 Leyton Orient 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 3 2 4 13 11 11
17 17 Leicester 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 2 3 3 10 14 9
18 20 Peterboro 9 5 4 0.8 1.6 2 2 5 7 14 8
19 23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 0 6 2 9 15 6
20 12 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 3 3 3 7 10 12
21 16 Doncaster 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 3 9 9 9
22 22 Notts County 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 4 3 8 11 7
23 24 Wigan 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 6 5 13 4
24 2 Bradford 9 8 1 0.9 0.6 5 2 2 8 5 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stockport 5 1 4 2.6 1.6 3 0 2 13 8 9
2 10 Burton 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 1 3 1 10 9 6
3 15 Wycombe 5 1 4 1.6 2.4 0 3 2 8 12 3
4 1 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 0 2 8 5 9
5 4 Huddersfield 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 2 2 0 9 4 8
6 5 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
7 6 Reading 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10
8 9 Stevenage 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
9 11 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
10 13 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
11 17 Leicester 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
12 18 Blackpool 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 1 2 1 9 7 5
13 7 Oxford 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
14 19 Barnsley 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
15 20 Peterboro 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
16 21 Bromley 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
17 22 Notts County 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
18 24 Wigan 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
19 2 Bradford 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7
20 8 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 1 2 1 7 3 5
21 14 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 16 Doncaster 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
23 23 Milton Keynes Dons 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 3 1 3 7 3
24 12 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
2 8 Sheffield Weds 4 0 4 2.0 1.2 3 1 0 8 5 10
3 14 Luton 4 0 4 2.8 2.8 2 0 2 11 11 6
4 4 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
5 6 Reading 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 1 2 1 8 5 5
6 10 Burton 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
7 11 Mansfield 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
8 12 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
9 18 Blackpool 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
10 19 Barnsley 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
11 21 Bromley 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4
12 23 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
13 1 Plymouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.4 3 1 1 10 7 10
14 3 Stockport 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
15 5 Cambridge 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
16 15 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 1 1 6 8 7
17 16 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
18 20 Peterboro 5 3 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
19 9 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 2 1 6 3 5
20 13 Leyton Orient 4 3 1 2.0 0.2 2 2 0 8 1 8
21 17 Leicester 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
22 22 Notts County 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 3 1 4 6 3
23 24 Wigan 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 1 3 2 5 1
24 2 Bradford 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 3 1 1 4 3 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51