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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Toner

Stevenage 2–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.15
Draw 3.40 fair 4.49
Away 2.20 fair 3.19
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stevenage Luton
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
1.28 Expected goals (xG) 0.83
2 Corners 4
15 Fouls 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (59 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 1.88 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
StevenageDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.5% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:6
Luton before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
2.20scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:11
Stevenage all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 2.20
1.20 Goals conceded 2.20
3.00 Total goals 4.40
0.88 xG created 1.70
1.11 xG allowed 1.07
9.80 Shots 13.60
4.00 Shots on target 5.00
12.00 Shots faced 12.40
4.20 Corners 5.20
5.40 Corners against 4.40
13.40 Fouls 11.00
1.00 Yellow cards 2.40
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
20% Over 5.5 goals 40%
80% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 60%
0% Losses 40%
20% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 80%
0% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage all matches
Luton all matches
Stevenage before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:4
Luton before this match, away
1.50points / match
3.00scored / match
4.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:8
Stevenage at home away Luton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 3.00
2.00 Goals conceded 4.00
3.50 Total goals 7.00
0.73 xG created 1.47
0.95 xG allowed 1.57
11.50 Shots 12.00
4.00 Shots on target 4.50
12.00 Shots faced 19.00
7.50 Corners 4.50
7.50 Corners against 4.50
15.50 Fouls 12.00
0.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 3.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 100%
0% Over 5.5 goals 100%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Barnsley – Stevenage 1–5 (1–1) 2.053.303.40 1.98 1.88
01.09.26 Peterboro – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.102.82 2.00 1.85
29.08.26 Stevenage – Doncaster 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.203.30 2.10 1.70
22.08.26 Stevenage – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 2.323.202.85 2.10 1.70
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
02.05.26 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (0–0) 1.514.005.75 2.25 1.62
25.04.26 Doncaster – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.30 2.15 1.67
21.04.26 Stevenage – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.50 2.15 1.67
18.04.26 Stevenage – Lincoln 2–2 (2–1) 2.853.002.45 2.40 1.53
14.04.26 Bolton – Stevenage 5–1 (2–0) 1.813.604.00 2.08 1.73

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Luton – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.004.50 1.60 2.30
02.09.26 Luton – Stockport 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
30.08.26 Mansfield – Luton 5–2 (3–0) 2.853.402.25 1.65 2.20
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
25.04.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50
21.04.26 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 5.253.901.56 1.67 2.15
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
15.04.26 Luton – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.60 2.30

Stevenage at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Stevenage – Doncaster 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.203.30 2.10 1.70
22.08.26 Stevenage – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 2.323.202.85 2.10 1.70
02.05.26 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (0–0) 1.514.005.75 2.25 1.62
21.04.26 Stevenage – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.50 2.15 1.67
18.04.26 Stevenage – Lincoln 2–2 (2–1) 2.853.002.45 2.40 1.53
06.04.26 Stevenage – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.793.104.33 2.25 1.62
21.03.26 Stevenage – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.204.20 2.35 1.57
14.03.26 Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
10.03.26 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 1–2 (1–1) 1.863.304.10 2.60 1.48
28.02.26 Stevenage – Stockport 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.102.65 2.50 1.50

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Mansfield – Luton 5–2 (3–0) 2.853.402.25 1.65 2.20
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
21.04.26 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 5.253.901.56 1.67 2.15
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stevenage winsDrawsLuton wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26E2 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53
04.10.25E2 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 5 4 0 1 13 6 +7 12
2 Huddersfield 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
3 Stockport 5 3 0 2 13 6 +7 9
4 Bradford 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
5 Burton 5 2 2 1 10 7 +3 8
6 Cambridge 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8
7 Luton 5 2 2 1 11 11 0 8
8 Reading 4 2 1 1 11 5 +6 7
9 Leyton Orient 5 2 1 2 10 6 +4 7
10 Oxford 4 2 1 1 9 6 +3 7
11 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 9 7 +2 7
12 Notts County 5 1 4 0 7 6 +1 7
13 Plymouth 5 2 1 2 7 8 -1 7
14 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
15 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
16 Stevenage 5 1 3 1 9 6 +3 6
17 Mansfield 5 2 0 3 8 11 -3 6
18 Leicester 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
19 Milton Keynes Dons 5 0 4 1 7 9 -2 4
20 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 3 9 -6 4
21 Bromley 5 1 1 3 4 15 -11 4
22 Doncaster 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3
23 Wycombe 5 0 3 2 7 12 -5 3
24 Wigan 5 1 0 4 5 11 -6 3
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Reading 3 2 0 1 11 5 +6 6
3 Mansfield 2 2 0 0 7 3 +4 6
4 Bradford 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
5 Burton 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
6 Luton 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5
7 Blackpool 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
8 Notts County 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
10 Peterboro 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
11 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 7 3 +4 3
12 Stockport 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
13 Cambridge 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
14 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
15 Leicester 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
16 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
17 Wigan 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
18 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
19 Wycombe 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
20 Doncaster 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
21 Oxford 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
22 Stevenage 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
23 Bromley 3 0 1 2 1 8 -7 1
24 Leyton Orient 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
2 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
3 Stockport 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
4 Oxford 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
5 Stevenage 3 1 2 0 6 2 +4 5
6 Cambridge 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
7 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
8 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
10 Notts County 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
11 Burton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
12 Bradford 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
13 Luton 2 1 0 1 6 8 -2 3
14 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
15 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
16 Bromley 2 1 0 1 3 7 -4 3
17 Leicester 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
18 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 2 1 6 8 -2 2
19 Reading 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
20 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
21 Wycombe 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
22 Wigan 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
23 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
24 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0

Stevenage   Luton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 2.6 1.2 4 0 1 13 6 12
2 3 Stockport 5 1 4 2.6 1.2 3 0 2 13 6 9
3 5 Burton 5 1 4 2.0 1.4 2 2 1 10 7 8
4 6 Cambridge 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8
5 10 Oxford 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 2 1 1 9 6 7
6 11 Blackpool 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 1 2 9 7 7
7 17 Mansfield 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 2 0 3 8 11 6
8 2 Huddersfield 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
9 7 Luton 5 2 3 2.2 2.2 2 2 1 11 11 8
10 8 Reading 4 1 3 2.8 1.2 2 1 1 11 5 7
11 9 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 2.0 1.2 2 1 2 10 6 7
12 14 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
13 16 Stevenage 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 1 3 1 9 6 6
14 19 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 0 4 1 7 9 4
15 20 Peterboro 5 2 3 0.6 1.8 1 1 3 3 9 4
16 22 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3
17 23 Wycombe 5 2 3 1.4 2.4 0 3 2 7 12 3
18 24 Wigan 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 4 5 11 3
19 12 Notts County 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 1 4 0 7 6 7
20 13 Plymouth 5 3 2 1.4 1.6 2 1 2 7 8 7
21 15 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
22 18 Leicester 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
23 21 Bromley 5 3 2 0.8 3.0 1 1 3 4 15 4
24 4 Bradford 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Reading 3 0 3 3.7 1.7 2 0 1 11 5 6
2 2 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
3 3 Stockport 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
4 5 Burton 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
5 6 Cambridge 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
6 9 Leyton Orient 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
7 14 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
8 16 Stevenage 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
9 17 Mansfield 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 2 0 0 7 3 6
10 18 Leicester 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
11 20 Peterboro 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
12 23 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
13 24 Wigan 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
14 1 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 3.5 1.5 1 0 1 7 3 3
15 4 Bradford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
16 7 Luton 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5
17 10 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
18 11 Blackpool 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
19 12 Notts County 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
20 13 Plymouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
21 21 Bromley 3 2 1 0.3 2.7 0 1 2 1 8 1
22 22 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 15 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
24 19 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 0 6 3 9
2 10 Oxford 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
3 11 Blackpool 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
4 19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 2.0 2.7 0 2 1 6 8 2
5 3 Stockport 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
6 5 Burton 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
7 6 Cambridge 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
8 7 Luton 2 0 2 3.0 4.0 1 0 1 6 8 3
9 15 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
10 17 Mansfield 3 1 2 0.3 2.7 0 0 3 1 8 0
11 22 Doncaster 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
12 2 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
13 9 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
14 12 Notts County 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
15 13 Plymouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
16 14 Barnsley 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
17 16 Stevenage 3 2 1 2.0 0.7 1 2 0 6 2 5
18 20 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
19 21 Bromley 2 1 1 1.5 3.5 1 0 1 3 7 3
20 23 Wycombe 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
21 24 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
22 4 Bradford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
23 8 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
24 18 Leicester 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51