Swindon 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons – England League Two, 14 Mar 2026

Match facts

Swindon Milton Keynes Dons

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 6

6 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (430 league matches this season so far).

Result Milton Keynes Dons to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.63

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.61

Home / Draw / Away

34% 24% 42%

SwindonDrawMilton Keynes Dons

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.75points / match

1.64scored / match

1.19conceded / match

19 6 11

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 59:43

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches

1.89points / match

2.00scored / match

1.00conceded / match

19 11 6

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 72:36

Swindon all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 2.00

1.19 Goals conceded 1.00

2.83 Total goals 3.00

12.33 Shots 12.00

4.83 Shots on target 4.69

12.19 Shots faced 10.36

5.42 Corners 4.58

5.44 Corners against 4.17

10.72 Fouls 12.64

1.83 Yellow cards 1.94

0.78 1st-half goals scored 1.14

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

53% Wins 53%

17% Draws 31%

31% Losses 17%

97% Over 0.5 goals 94%

83% Over 1.5 goals 81%

64% Over 2.5 goals 56%

31% Over 3.5 goals 42%

8% Over 4.5 goals 22%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

58% Both teams scored 61%

31% Clean sheets 33%

14% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 61%

50% Draws 22%

22% Losses 17%

72% Over 0.5 goals 83%

44% Over 1.5 goals 44%

17% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

W

3

W

2

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

5

1

W

1

W

2

D

3

2

W

1

W

D

2

W

1

D

4

1

W

5

1

W

Swindon before this match, at home

1.89points / match

1.72scored / match

1.06conceded / match

10 4 4

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:19

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away

1.83points / match

2.11scored / match

1.11conceded / match

9 6 3

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 38:20

Swindon at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 2.11

1.06 Goals conceded 1.11

2.78 Total goals 3.22

12.56 Shots 11.56

4.56 Shots on target 4.61

11.06 Shots faced 10.11

6.00 Corners 4.50

5.22 Corners against 4.61

10.50 Fouls 13.28

1.78 Yellow cards 1.94

0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.22

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

56% Wins 50%

22% Draws 33%

22% Losses 17%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

83% Over 1.5 goals 94%

56% Over 2.5 goals 61%

33% Over 3.5 goals 44%

11% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 67%

33% Clean sheets 28%

17% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 56%

61% Draws 28%

17% Losses 17%

61% Over 0.5 goals 83%

39% Over 1.5 goals 56%

17% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

2

D

1

L

1

W

2

W

2

3

L

3

1

W

3

W

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

Milton Keynes Dons away

2

D

2

3

L

4

W

1

L

2

W

2

D

3

2

W

2

W

1

D

5

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Crawley Town – Swindon	2–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.50	2.15	1.73	2.08
28.02.26	Swindon – Bristol Rvs	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.50	3.70	1.85	1.95
21.02.26	Swindon – Crewe	1–2 (0–1)	1.96	3.50	3.40	1.80	2.00
17.02.26	Barnet – Swindon	1–2 (1–0)	1.68	3.90	4.33	1.75	2.05
14.02.26	Shrewsbury – Swindon	3–1 (1–1)	2.75	3.25	2.25	1.90	1.90
11.02.26	Swindon – Newport County	2–0 (0–0)	1.51	3.90	5.75	1.67	2.15
07.02.26	Swindon – Oldham	3–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.50	3.20	1.90	1.90
03.02.26	Harrogate – Swindon	0–1 (0–0)	4.10	3.60	1.76	1.70	2.10
31.01.26	Swindon – Barrow	3–1 (1–1)	1.68	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
27.01.26	Notts County – Swindon	2–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.25	3.40	2.05	1.75

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons	1–5 (0–3)	3.30	3.25	2.10	2.10	1.70
07.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate	4–1 (2–1)	1.33	4.50	8.00	1.67	2.15
28.02.26	Cambridge – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.10	2.35	1.57
23.02.26	Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons	0–2 (0–1)	2.85	3.20	2.25	2.10	1.70
17.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons – Crawley Town	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.00	5.25	1.70	2.10
14.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County	1–0 (1–0)	1.27	4.75	8.00	1.62	2.25
07.02.26	Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons	2–3 (1–2)	4.20	3.70	1.71	2.05	1.75
31.01.26	Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.50	2.45	1.90	1.90
27.01.26	Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs	1–0 (1–0)	1.53	3.90	5.75	1.95	1.90
24.01.26	Milton Keynes Dons – Shrewsbury	5–1 (3–0)	1.49	3.90	6.25	1.98	1.88

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Swindon – Bristol Rvs	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.50	3.70	1.85	1.95
21.02.26	Swindon – Crewe	1–2 (0–1)	1.96	3.50	3.40	1.80	2.00
11.02.26	Swindon – Newport County	2–0 (0–0)	1.51	3.90	5.75	1.67	2.15
07.02.26	Swindon – Oldham	3–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.50	3.20	1.90	1.90
31.01.26	Swindon – Barrow	3–1 (1–1)	1.68	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
17.01.26	Swindon – Salford	2–3 (1–2)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.80	2.00
01.01.26	Swindon – Gillingham	2–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
20.12.25	Swindon – Crawley Town	1–0 (0–0)	1.68	3.90	4.20	1.57	2.35
09.12.25	Swindon – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–0)	1.39	4.33	7.00	1.62	2.25
22.11.25	Swindon – Grimsby	2–2 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	2.95	1.83	2.03

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons	1–5 (0–3)	3.30	3.25	2.10	2.10	1.70
28.02.26	Cambridge – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.10	2.35	1.57
23.02.26	Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons	0–2 (0–1)	2.85	3.20	2.25	2.10	1.70
07.02.26	Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons	2–3 (1–2)	4.20	3.70	1.71	2.05	1.75
31.01.26	Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.50	2.45	1.90	1.90
17.01.26	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	0–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.40	2.15	2.20	1.65
01.01.26	Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	2.70	2.05	1.75
20.12.25	Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons	0–4 (0–3)	5.00	3.90	1.61	1.85	1.95
09.12.25	Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons	3–2 (2–2)	2.75	3.20	2.40	2.05	1.75
22.11.25	Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.25	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4

Swindon winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins

5matches

2.60goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25E3	Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.80	2.00
03.05.25E3	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	0–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.90	4.20	1.57	2.35
09.11.24E3	Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon	3–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.70	1.88	1.98
17.02.24E3	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
28.10.23E3	Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon	3–2 (1–0)	2.45	3.75	2.70	1.60	2.30

England League Two table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bromley	36	19	13	4	59	36	+23	70
2	Milton Keynes Dons	36	19	11	6	72	36	+36	68
3	Cambridge	35	18	11	6	50	28	+22	65
4	Notts County	36	19	7	10	56	37	+19	64
5	Salford	37	20	4	13	51	46	+5	64
6	Swindon	36	19	6	11	59	43	+16	63
7	Chesterfield	37	15	14	8	60	49	+11	59
8	Grimsby	35	15	11	9	50	39	+11	56
9	Crewe	36	16	8	12	53	43	+10	56
10	Colchester	36	14	11	11	50	39	+11	53
11	Barnet	36	14	11	11	44	39	+5	53
12	Walsall	36	15	8	13	43	40	+3	53
13	Fleetwood Town	36	13	11	12	47	45	+2	50
14	Oldham	34	12	13	9	39	31	+8	49
15	Accrington	35	13	8	14	38	37	+1	47
16	Gillingham	35	11	12	12	43	47	-4	45
17	Shrewsbury	36	11	8	17	37	56	-19	41
18	Cheltenham	35	10	8	17	38	59	-21	38
19	Bristol Rvs	36	11	4	21	37	58	-21	37
20	Tranmere	36	9	8	19	48	65	-17	35
21	Crawley Town	37	6	12	19	35	58	-23	30
22	Barrow	35	7	7	21	35	55	-20	28
23	Newport County	36	7	7	22	36	63	-27	28
24	Harrogate	37	6	9	22	26	57	-31	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cambridge	17	11	5	1	28	12	+16	38
2	Bromley	18	10	8	0	34	19	+15	38
3	Notts County	19	11	3	5	35	19	+16	36
4	Milton Keynes Dons	18	10	5	3	34	16	+18	35
5	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31	19	+12	34
6	Crewe	18	10	4	4	30	21	+9	34
7	Salford	18	10	3	5	26	22	+4	33
8	Chesterfield	18	8	7	3	32	19	+13	31
9	Colchester	18	8	5	5	28	17	+11	29
10	Grimsby	18	8	5	5	27	17	+10	29
11	Accrington	18	8	4	6	21	17	+4	28
12	Fleetwood Town	18	7	6	5	29	27	+2	27
13	Barnet	18	7	5	6	25	21	+4	26
14	Shrewsbury	18	7	5	6	18	19	-1	26
15	Oldham	17	6	7	4	20	15	+5	25
16	Gillingham	18	6	7	5	24	28	-4	25
17	Walsall	18	7	3	8	19	21	-2	24
18	Cheltenham	17	7	2	8	21	23	-2	23
19	Bristol Rvs	18	7	1	10	20	27	-7	22
20	Crawley Town	18	4	7	7	23	25	-2	19
21	Tranmere	18	4	5	9	20	29	-9	17
22	Newport County	18	3	4	11	18	31	-13	13
23	Barrow	17	3	3	11	11	25	-14	12
24	Harrogate	19	3	3	13	12	31	-19	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Milton Keynes Dons	18	9	6	3	38	20	+18	33
2	Bromley	18	9	5	4	25	17	+8	32
3	Salford	19	10	1	8	25	24	+1	31
4	Walsall	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Swindon	18	9	2	7	28	24	+4	29
6	Notts County	17	8	4	5	21	18	+3	28
7	Chesterfield	19	7	7	5	28	30	-2	28
8	Cambridge	18	7	6	5	22	16	+6	27
9	Grimsby	17	7	6	4	23	22	+1	27
10	Barnet	18	7	6	5	19	18	+1	27
11	Oldham	17	6	6	5	19	16	+3	24
12	Colchester	18	6	6	6	22	22	0	24
13	Fleetwood Town	18	6	5	7	18	18	0	23
14	Crewe	18	6	4	8	23	22	+1	22
15	Gillingham	17	5	5	7	19	19	0	20
16	Accrington	17	5	4	8	17	20	-3	19
17	Tranmere	18	5	3	10	28	36	-8	18
18	Barrow	18	4	4	10	24	30	-6	16
19	Harrogate	18	3	6	9	14	26	-12	15
20	Newport County	18	4	3	11	18	32	-14	15
21	Bristol Rvs	18	4	3	11	17	31	-14	15
22	Shrewsbury	18	4	3	11	19	37	-18	15
23	Cheltenham	18	3	6	9	17	36	-19	15
24	Crawley Town	19	2	5	12	12	33	-21	11

Swindon Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Swindon	36	13	23	1.6	1.2	19	6	11	59	43	63
2	20	Tranmere	36	15	21	1.3	1.8	9	8	19	48	65	35
3	22	Barrow	35	14	21	1.0	1.6	7	7	21	35	55	28
4	2	Milton Keynes Dons	36	16	20	2.0	1.0	19	11	6	72	36	68
5	23	Newport County	36	16	20	1.0	1.8	7	7	22	36	63	28
6	1	Bromley	36	17	19	1.6	1.0	19	13	4	59	36	70
7	4	Notts County	36	17	19	1.6	1.0	19	7	10	56	37	64
8	9	Crewe	36	17	19	1.5	1.2	16	8	12	53	43	56
9	19	Bristol Rvs	36	17	19	1.0	1.6	11	4	21	37	58	37
10	7	Chesterfield	37	19	18	1.6	1.3	15	14	8	60	49	59
11	13	Fleetwood Town	36	18	18	1.3	1.2	13	11	12	47	45	50
12	17	Shrewsbury	36	18	18	1.0	1.6	11	8	17	37	56	41
13	21	Crawley Town	37	19	18	0.9	1.6	6	12	19	35	58	30
14	5	Salford	37	20	17	1.4	1.2	20	4	13	51	46	64
15	18	Cheltenham	35	19	16	1.1	1.7	10	8	17	38	59	38
16	8	Grimsby	35	20	15	1.4	1.1	15	11	9	50	39	56
17	12	Walsall	36	21	15	1.2	1.1	15	8	13	43	40	53
18	16	Gillingham	35	20	15	1.2	1.3	11	12	12	43	47	45
19	11	Barnet	36	22	14	1.2	1.1	14	11	11	44	39	53
20	14	Oldham	34	20	14	1.1	0.9	12	13	9	39	31	49
21	3	Cambridge	35	23	12	1.4	0.8	18	11	6	50	28	65
22	10	Colchester	36	24	12	1.4	1.1	14	11	11	50	39	53
23	24	Harrogate	37	25	12	0.7	1.5	6	9	22	26	57	27
24	15	Accrington	35	24	11	1.1	1.1	13	8	14	38	37	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Fleetwood Town	18	6	12	1.6	1.5	7	6	5	29	27	27
2	1	Bromley	18	7	11	1.9	1.1	10	8	0	34	19	38
3	4	Notts County	19	8	11	1.8	1.0	11	3	5	35	19	36
4	6	Swindon	18	8	10	1.7	1.1	10	4	4	31	19	34
5	9	Crewe	18	8	10	1.7	1.2	10	4	4	30	21	34
6	19	Bristol Rvs	18	8	10	1.1	1.5	7	1	10	20	27	22
7	2	Milton Keynes Dons	18	9	9	1.9	0.9	10	5	3	34	16	35
8	7	Chesterfield	18	9	9	1.8	1.1	8	7	3	32	19	31
9	11	Barnet	18	9	9	1.4	1.2	7	5	6	25	21	26
10	16	Gillingham	18	9	9	1.3	1.6	6	7	5	24	28	25
11	21	Crawley Town	18	9	9	1.3	1.4	4	7	7	23	25	19
12	23	Newport County	18	9	9	1.0	1.7	3	4	11	18	31	13
13	5	Salford	18	10	8	1.4	1.2	10	3	5	26	22	33
14	8	Grimsby	18	10	8	1.5	0.9	8	5	5	27	17	29
15	12	Walsall	18	10	8	1.1	1.2	7	3	8	19	21	24
16	18	Cheltenham	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	7	2	8	21	23	23
17	20	Tranmere	18	10	8	1.1	1.6	4	5	9	20	29	17
18	24	Harrogate	19	11	8	0.6	1.6	3	3	13	12	31	12
19	17	Shrewsbury	18	11	7	1.0	1.1	7	5	6	18	19	26
20	22	Barrow	17	10	7	0.6	1.5	3	3	11	11	25	12
21	3	Cambridge	17	11	6	1.6	0.7	11	5	1	28	12	38
22	10	Colchester	18	12	6	1.6	0.9	8	5	5	28	17	29
23	14	Oldham	17	11	6	1.2	0.9	6	7	4	20	15	25
24	15	Accrington	18	13	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	6	21	17	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Barrow	18	4	14	1.3	1.7	4	4	10	24	30	16
2	6	Swindon	18	5	13	1.6	1.3	9	2	7	28	24	29
3	20	Tranmere	18	5	13	1.6	2.0	5	3	10	28	36	18
4	2	Milton Keynes Dons	18	7	11	2.1	1.1	9	6	3	38	20	33
5	17	Shrewsbury	18	7	11	1.1	2.1	4	3	11	19	37	15
6	23	Newport County	18	7	11	1.0	1.8	4	3	11	18	32	15
7	5	Salford	19	10	9	1.3	1.3	10	1	8	25	24	31
8	7	Chesterfield	19	10	9	1.5	1.6	7	7	5	28	30	28
9	9	Crewe	18	9	9	1.3	1.2	6	4	8	23	22	22
10	19	Bristol Rvs	18	9	9	0.9	1.7	4	3	11	17	31	15
11	21	Crawley Town	19	10	9	0.6	1.7	2	5	12	12	33	11
12	1	Bromley	18	10	8	1.4	0.9	9	5	4	25	17	32
13	4	Notts County	17	9	8	1.2	1.1	8	4	5	21	18	28
14	14	Oldham	17	9	8	1.1	0.9	6	6	5	19	16	24
15	18	Cheltenham	18	10	8	0.9	2.0	3	6	9	17	36	15
16	8	Grimsby	17	10	7	1.4	1.3	7	6	4	23	22	27
17	12	Walsall	18	11	7	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
18	3	Cambridge	18	12	6	1.2	0.9	7	6	5	22	16	27
19	10	Colchester	18	12	6	1.2	1.2	6	6	6	22	22	24
20	13	Fleetwood Town	18	12	6	1.0	1.0	6	5	7	18	18	23
21	15	Accrington	17	11	6	1.0	1.2	5	4	8	17	20	19
22	16	Gillingham	17	11	6	1.1	1.1	5	5	7	19	19	20
23	11	Barnet	18	13	5	1.1	1.0	7	6	5	19	18	27
24	24	Harrogate	18	14	4	0.8	1.4	3	6	9	14	26	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.