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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: D Rock

Swindon 2–0 Newport County

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 1.71
Draw 3.75 fair 5.18
Away 4.75 fair 4.50
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 3.66
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Newport County
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 5
12 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (143 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 2.36 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawNewport County
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 1–1 7.7% 3–1 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
2.45scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 27:18
Newport County before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.75scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:24
Swindon all matches all matches Newport County

Per match

2.45 Goals scored 1.75
1.64 Goals conceded 2.00
4.09 Total goals 3.75
14.27 Shots 12.25
5.36 Shots on target 4.50
14.09 Shots faced 11.83
5.45 Corners 4.17
4.91 Corners against 5.08
9.73 Fouls 10.58
2.36 Yellow cards 1.67
1.09 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

45% Wins 33%
36% Draws 17%
18% Losses 50%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 100%
73% Over 2.5 goals 92%
55% Over 3.5 goals 50%
27% Over 4.5 goals 25%
27% Over 5.5 goals 8%
64% Both teams scored 75%
27% Clean sheets 17%
18% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 25%
27% Draws 33%
18% Losses 42%
82% Over 0.5 goals 92%
36% Over 1.5 goals 67%
27% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Newport County all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
2.60points / match
3.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 17:6
Newport County before this match, away
0.60points / match
1.40scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:13
Swindon at home away Newport County

Per match

3.40 Goals scored 1.40
1.20 Goals conceded 2.60
4.60 Total goals 4.00
14.40 Shots 13.00
6.40 Shots on target 5.00
12.60 Shots faced 12.20
6.00 Corners 3.80
4.00 Corners against 4.20
7.40 Fouls 10.60
1.80 Yellow cards 1.20
1.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
20% Draws 0%
0% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 100%
60% Over 3.5 goals 40%
40% Over 4.5 goals 40%
40% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 20%
0% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Newport County away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Newport County – Harrogate 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.93 1.93
03.10.23 Newport County – Colchester 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.603.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Salford – Newport County 2–1 (2–1) 2.253.603.00 1.83 2.03
23.09.23 Newport County – Bradford 1–4 (1–3) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Newport County – Barrow 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.03 1.83
09.09.23 Crawley Town – Newport County 4–1 (1–1) 3.203.302.30 1.88 1.98
02.09.23 Newport County – AFC Wimbledon 2–2 (1–2) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.80
26.08.23 Newport County – Sutton 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.403.90 2.05 1.75
19.08.23 Forest Green – Newport County 0–3 (0–2) 2.633.302.75 2.00 1.85
15.08.23 Crewe – Newport County 4–2 (1–1) 3.203.302.30 2.00 1.85

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Swindon – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.15 2.15 1.67
18.04.23 Swindon – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
15.04.23 Swindon – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
07.04.23 Swindon – Mansfield 2–4 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85

Newport County away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Salford – Newport County 2–1 (2–1) 2.253.603.00 1.83 2.03
09.09.23 Crawley Town – Newport County 4–1 (1–1) 3.203.302.30 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Forest Green – Newport County 0–3 (0–2) 2.633.302.75 2.00 1.85
15.08.23 Crewe – Newport County 4–2 (1–1) 3.203.302.30 2.00 1.85
05.08.23 Accrington – Newport County 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 2.10 1.70
29.04.23 Gillingham – Newport County 1–2 (1–1) 2.383.303.00 2.30 1.60
22.04.23 Doncaster – Newport County 1–3 (1–0) 3.303.302.25 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Stockport – Newport County 4–0 (2–0) 1.733.505.50 2.10 1.70
01.04.23 Colchester – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.75 2.25 1.62
18.03.23 Tranmere – Newport County 1–3 (0–2) 2.753.002.80 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsNewport County wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23E3 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80
04.10.22E3 Swindon – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.90 1.95
09.04.22E3 Swindon – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.07 1.72
20.11.21E3 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 13 7 3 3 28 25 +3 24
2 Mansfield 13 5 8 0 21 10 +11 23
3 Stockport 12 7 2 3 23 13 +10 23
4 Gillingham 12 7 1 4 11 12 -1 22
5 AFC Wimbledon 12 5 6 1 20 10 +10 21
6 Crewe 12 5 5 2 28 21 +7 20
7 Wrexham 12 5 5 2 24 23 +1 20
8 Crawley Town 12 6 2 4 20 20 0 20
9 Swindon 11 5 4 2 27 18 +9 19
10 Morecambe 11 5 3 3 15 13 +2 18
11 Accrington 12 5 2 5 17 18 -1 17
12 Barrow 11 4 4 3 13 12 +1 16
13 Salford 12 5 1 6 19 19 0 16
14 Bradford 12 4 4 4 13 14 -1 16
15 Harrogate 12 5 1 6 11 13 -2 16
16 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 3 5 17 18 -1 15
17 Walsall 12 4 3 5 15 21 -6 15
18 Grimsby 12 3 5 4 16 17 -1 14
19 Newport County 12 4 2 6 21 24 -3 14
20 Doncaster 12 3 2 7 13 20 -7 11
21 Colchester 11 3 1 7 17 20 -3 10
22 Tranmere 12 3 1 8 17 22 -5 10
23 Sutton 12 2 1 9 16 26 -10 7
24 Forest Green 12 2 1 9 11 24 -13 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Crawley Town 7 5 0 2 13 6 +7 15
2 Notts County 6 5 0 1 16 12 +4 15
3 Stockport 7 4 2 1 13 5 +8 14
4 Crewe 6 4 2 0 15 8 +7 14
5 Swindon 5 4 1 0 17 6 +11 13
6 Accrington 7 4 1 2 13 10 +3 13
7 Gillingham 6 4 1 1 7 6 +1 13
8 Morecambe 6 3 3 0 9 4 +5 12
9 Mansfield 6 3 3 0 7 2 +5 12
10 Wrexham 6 3 2 1 20 16 +4 11
11 Grimsby 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
12 Newport County 7 3 2 2 14 11 +3 11
13 Bradford 6 3 2 1 7 6 +1 11
14 Tranmere 7 3 1 3 13 10 +3 10
15 Barrow 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
16 Doncaster 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
17 Walsall 5 2 2 1 5 5 0 8
18 Sutton 7 2 1 4 10 9 +1 7
19 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
20 Salford 6 2 1 3 9 10 -1 7
21 Colchester 6 2 1 3 11 13 -2 7
22 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 3 1 9 7 +2 6
23 Harrogate 5 2 0 3 5 5 0 6
24 Forest Green 6 0 0 6 4 15 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 7 4 3 0 11 3 +8 15
2 Mansfield 7 2 5 0 14 8 +6 11
3 Harrogate 7 3 1 3 6 8 -2 10
4 Stockport 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
5 Salford 6 3 0 3 10 9 +1 9
6 Notts County 7 2 3 2 12 13 -1 9
7 Gillingham 6 3 0 3 4 6 -2 9
8 Wrexham 6 2 3 1 4 7 -3 9
9 Milton Keynes Dons 7 2 2 3 12 13 -1 8
10 Barrow 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
11 Forest Green 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
12 Walsall 7 2 1 4 10 16 -6 7
13 Crewe 6 1 3 2 13 13 0 6
14 Swindon 6 1 3 2 10 12 -2 6
15 Morecambe 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
16 Bradford 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Crawley Town 5 1 2 2 7 14 -7 5
18 Accrington 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
19 Colchester 5 1 0 4 6 7 -1 3
20 Grimsby 6 0 3 3 7 12 -5 3
21 Newport County 5 1 0 4 7 13 -6 3
22 Doncaster 6 1 0 5 6 13 -7 3
23 Tranmere 5 0 0 5 4 12 -8 0
24 Sutton 5 0 0 5 6 17 -11 0

Swindon   Newport County

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Newport County 12 1 11 1.8 2.0 4 2 6 21 24 14
2 6 Crewe 12 2 10 2.3 1.8 5 5 2 28 21 20
3 1 Notts County 13 4 9 2.2 1.9 7 3 3 28 25 24
4 9 Swindon 11 3 8 2.5 1.6 5 4 2 27 18 19
5 11 Accrington 12 4 8 1.4 1.5 5 2 5 17 18 17
6 17 Walsall 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 4 3 5 15 21 15
7 20 Doncaster 12 4 8 1.1 1.7 3 2 7 13 20 11
8 22 Tranmere 12 4 8 1.4 1.8 3 1 8 17 22 10
9 23 Sutton 12 4 8 1.3 2.2 2 1 9 16 26 7
10 3 Stockport 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 7 2 3 23 13 23
11 7 Wrexham 12 5 7 2.0 1.9 5 5 2 24 23 20
12 8 Crawley Town 12 5 7 1.7 1.7 6 2 4 20 20 20
13 10 Morecambe 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 3 3 15 13 18
14 16 Milton Keynes Dons 12 5 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 5 17 18 15
15 21 Colchester 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 1 7 17 20 10
16 24 Forest Green 12 5 7 0.9 2.0 2 1 9 11 24 7
17 2 Mansfield 13 7 6 1.6 0.8 5 8 0 21 10 23
18 5 AFC Wimbledon 12 6 6 1.7 0.8 5 6 1 20 10 21
19 13 Salford 12 6 6 1.6 1.6 5 1 6 19 19 16
20 18 Grimsby 12 6 6 1.3 1.4 3 5 4 16 17 14
21 14 Bradford 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 4 4 4 13 14 16
22 4 Gillingham 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 7 1 4 11 12 22
23 12 Barrow 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 4 4 3 13 12 16
24 15 Harrogate 12 8 4 0.9 1.1 5 1 6 11 13 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Notts County 6 0 6 2.7 2.0 5 0 1 16 12 15
2 7 Wrexham 6 0 6 3.3 2.7 3 2 1 20 16 11
3 11 Accrington 7 1 6 1.9 1.4 4 1 2 13 10 13
4 19 Newport County 7 1 6 2.0 1.6 3 2 2 14 11 11
5 6 Crewe 6 1 5 2.5 1.3 4 2 0 15 8 14
6 22 Tranmere 7 2 5 1.9 1.4 3 1 3 13 10 10
7 24 Forest Green 6 1 5 0.7 2.5 0 0 6 4 15 0
8 8 Crawley Town 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 5 0 2 13 6 15
9 9 Swindon 5 1 4 3.4 1.2 4 1 0 17 6 13
10 13 Salford 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 1 3 9 10 7
11 4 Gillingham 6 3 3 1.2 1.0 4 1 1 7 6 13
12 5 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 1 3 1 9 7 6
13 10 Morecambe 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 3 3 0 9 4 12
14 20 Doncaster 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
15 21 Colchester 6 3 3 1.8 2.2 2 1 3 11 13 7
16 23 Sutton 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 1 4 10 9 7
17 2 Mansfield 6 4 2 1.2 0.3 3 3 0 7 2 12
18 3 Stockport 7 5 2 1.9 0.7 4 2 1 13 5 14
19 12 Barrow 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
20 14 Bradford 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 2 1 7 6 11
21 16 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
22 17 Walsall 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 1 5 5 8
23 18 Grimsby 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
24 15 Harrogate 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 3 5 5 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Walsall 7 1 6 1.4 2.3 2 1 4 10 16 7
2 3 Stockport 5 0 5 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
3 6 Crewe 6 1 5 2.2 2.2 1 3 2 13 13 6
4 16 Milton Keynes Dons 7 2 5 1.7 1.9 2 2 3 12 13 8
5 19 Newport County 5 0 5 1.4 2.6 1 0 4 7 13 3
6 20 Doncaster 6 1 5 1.0 2.2 1 0 5 6 13 3
7 23 Sutton 5 0 5 1.2 3.4 0 0 5 6 17 0
8 2 Mansfield 7 3 4 2.0 1.1 2 5 0 14 8 11
9 9 Swindon 6 2 4 1.7 2.0 1 3 2 10 12 6
10 10 Morecambe 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
11 18 Grimsby 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 3 3 7 12 3
12 21 Colchester 5 1 4 1.2 1.4 1 0 4 6 7 3
13 1 Notts County 7 4 3 1.7 1.9 2 3 2 12 13 9
14 5 AFC Wimbledon 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 4 3 0 11 3 15
15 8 Crawley Town 5 2 3 1.4 2.8 1 2 2 7 14 5
16 14 Bradford 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
17 15 Harrogate 7 4 3 0.9 1.1 3 1 3 6 8 10
18 22 Tranmere 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 0 5 4 12 0
19 11 Accrington 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
20 12 Barrow 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
21 13 Salford 6 4 2 1.7 1.5 3 0 3 10 9 9
22 24 Forest Green 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
23 4 Gillingham 6 5 1 0.7 1.0 3 0 3 4 6 9
24 7 Wrexham 6 5 1 0.7 1.2 2 3 1 4 7 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51