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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: R Joyce

Milton Keynes Dons 3–2 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.45 fair 2.35
Draw 3.75 fair 4.36
Away 2.70 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Swindon
10 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 0
13 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (176 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.74 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.53scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:22
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
2.21scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 31:21
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 2.21
1.47 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 3.71
14.67 Shots 14.79
4.47 Shots on target 5.64
13.00 Shots faced 13.79
4.73 Corners 6.00
5.87 Corners against 5.07
10.00 Fouls 9.36
2.07 Yellow cards 2.00
0.87 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

33% Wins 43%
27% Draws 36%
40% Losses 21%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 79%
60% Over 2.5 goals 64%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
20% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 21%
73% Both teams scored 57%
13% Clean sheets 29%
20% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 50%
20% Draws 29%
40% Losses 21%
87% Over 0.5 goals 86%
47% Over 1.5 goals 36%
27% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Swindon all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:8
Swindon before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.71scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:14
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Swindon

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.71
1.14 Goals conceded 2.00
2.71 Total goals 3.71
15.29 Shots 14.29
4.71 Shots on target 4.86
11.43 Shots faced 15.29
4.71 Corners 5.86
5.86 Corners against 5.14
10.86 Fouls 10.86
1.86 Yellow cards 2.57
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%
29% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 57%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 71%
14% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 14%
14% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Bradford 4–1 (2–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.73 2.08
14.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow 2–2 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
07.10.23 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Sutton – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.83 2.03
16.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Stockport 1–2 (1–2) 2.903.752.25 1.80 2.00
09.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.60 2.30
02.09.23 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.75 2.05

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.23 Swindon – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.50 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
14.10.23 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Bradford 4–1 (2–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.75
14.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow 2–2 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
30.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.85 2.00
16.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Stockport 1–2 (1–2) 2.903.752.25 1.80 2.00
09.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.60 2.30
26.08.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster 2–1 (2–0) 1.673.805.00 1.90 1.95
12.08.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.75 2.05 1.75
29.04.23E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Barnsley 4–4 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 2.02 1.82
18.04.23E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.02 1.83
15.04.23E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.60

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
22.04.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–5 (1–3) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
10.04.23 Tranmere – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.90 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 15 10 2 3 31 16 +15 32
2 Notts County 15 9 3 3 33 26 +7 30
3 Wrexham 15 7 6 2 30 27 +3 27
4 Mansfield 14 6 8 0 25 11 +14 26
5 Crewe 15 7 5 3 34 25 +9 26
6 Accrington 15 8 2 5 24 20 +4 26
7 Gillingham 15 8 1 6 14 18 -4 25
8 Morecambe 13 7 3 3 19 15 +4 24
9 Swindon 14 6 5 3 31 21 +10 23
10 AFC Wimbledon 15 5 7 3 22 15 +7 22
11 Barrow 14 5 6 3 17 14 +3 21
12 Crawley Town 14 6 3 5 23 25 -2 21
13 Salford 15 6 2 7 26 24 +2 20
14 Walsall 15 5 5 5 23 26 -3 20
15 Bradford 15 5 5 5 16 19 -3 20
16 Milton Keynes Dons 15 5 4 6 23 22 +1 19
17 Harrogate 15 6 1 8 15 21 -6 19
18 Doncaster 15 5 2 8 19 25 -6 17
19 Newport County 15 4 3 8 24 32 -8 15
20 Grimsby 15 3 5 7 20 25 -5 14
21 Colchester 14 4 1 9 21 29 -8 13
22 Tranmere 15 3 1 11 18 27 -9 10
23 Forest Green 14 3 1 10 16 26 -10 10
24 Sutton 15 2 1 12 20 35 -15 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 7 6 0 1 19 12 +7 18
2 Stockport 8 5 2 1 16 7 +9 17
3 Crewe 8 5 2 1 17 10 +7 17
4 Wrexham 8 5 2 1 25 19 +6 17
5 Swindon 7 5 1 1 19 7 +12 16
6 Accrington 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
7 Morecambe 7 4 3 0 10 4 +6 15
8 Crawley Town 8 5 0 3 15 10 +5 15
9 Gillingham 7 4 1 2 8 8 0 13
10 Mansfield 6 3 3 0 7 2 +5 12
11 Newport County 8 3 3 2 17 14 +3 12
12 Walsall 7 3 3 1 10 7 +3 12
13 Bradford 7 3 3 1 8 7 +1 12
14 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11
15 Grimsby 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
16 Doncaster 8 3 2 3 11 11 0 11
17 Tranmere 8 3 1 4 14 12 +2 10
18 Barrow 5 2 3 0 7 5 +2 9
19 Salford 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
20 Sutton 8 2 1 5 12 12 0 7
21 Colchester 7 2 1 4 12 15 -3 7
22 AFC Wimbledon 7 1 3 3 11 12 -1 6
23 Harrogate 7 2 0 5 7 12 -5 6
24 Forest Green 8 1 0 7 9 17 -8 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 4 0 11 3 +8 16
2 Stockport 7 5 0 2 15 9 +6 15
3 Mansfield 8 3 5 0 18 9 +9 14
4 Harrogate 8 4 1 3 8 9 -1 13
5 Salford 8 4 0 4 15 12 +3 12
6 Barrow 9 3 3 3 10 9 +1 12
7 Notts County 8 3 3 2 14 14 0 12
8 Gillingham 8 4 0 4 6 10 -4 12
9 Accrington 7 3 1 3 10 10 0 10
10 Wrexham 7 2 4 1 5 8 -3 10
11 Crewe 7 2 3 2 17 15 +2 9
12 Morecambe 6 3 0 3 9 11 -2 9
13 Milton Keynes Dons 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
14 Bradford 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
15 Walsall 8 2 2 4 13 19 -6 8
16 Swindon 7 1 4 2 12 14 -2 7
17 Forest Green 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
18 Colchester 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6
19 Doncaster 7 2 0 5 8 14 -6 6
20 Crawley Town 6 1 3 2 8 15 -7 6
21 Grimsby 7 0 3 4 9 15 -6 3
22 Newport County 7 1 0 6 7 18 -11 3
23 Tranmere 7 0 0 7 4 15 -11 0
24 Sutton 7 0 0 7 8 23 -15 0

Milton Keynes Dons   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Newport County 15 2 13 1.6 2.1 4 3 8 24 32 15
2 2 Notts County 15 4 11 2.2 1.7 9 3 3 33 26 30
3 5 Crewe 15 4 11 2.3 1.7 7 5 3 34 25 26
4 18 Doncaster 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 5 2 8 19 25 17
5 24 Sutton 15 4 11 1.3 2.3 2 1 12 20 35 7
6 14 Walsall 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 5 5 5 23 26 20
7 21 Colchester 14 4 10 1.5 2.1 4 1 9 21 29 13
8 1 Stockport 15 6 9 2.1 1.1 10 2 3 31 16 32
9 3 Wrexham 15 6 9 2.0 1.8 7 6 2 30 27 27
10 6 Accrington 15 6 9 1.6 1.3 8 2 5 24 20 26
11 9 Swindon 14 5 9 2.2 1.5 6 5 3 31 21 23
12 13 Salford 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 6 2 7 26 24 20
13 16 Milton Keynes Dons 15 6 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 6 23 22 19
14 22 Tranmere 15 6 9 1.2 1.8 3 1 11 18 27 10
15 8 Morecambe 13 5 8 1.5 1.2 7 3 3 19 15 24
16 12 Crawley Town 14 6 8 1.6 1.8 6 3 5 23 25 21
17 20 Grimsby 15 7 8 1.3 1.7 3 5 7 20 25 14
18 23 Forest Green 14 6 8 1.1 1.9 3 1 10 16 26 10
19 4 Mansfield 14 7 7 1.8 0.8 6 8 0 25 11 26
20 10 AFC Wimbledon 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 5 7 3 22 15 22
21 17 Harrogate 15 8 7 1.0 1.4 6 1 8 15 21 19
22 7 Gillingham 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 8 1 6 14 18 25
23 15 Bradford 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 5 16 19 20
24 11 Barrow 14 9 5 1.2 1.0 5 6 3 17 14 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wrexham 8 0 8 3.1 2.4 5 2 1 25 19 17
2 2 Notts County 7 0 7 2.7 1.7 6 0 1 19 12 18
3 19 Newport County 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 3 3 2 17 14 12
4 6 Accrington 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
5 22 Tranmere 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 3 1 4 14 12 10
6 23 Forest Green 8 2 6 1.1 2.1 1 0 7 9 17 3
7 5 Crewe 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 5 2 1 17 10 17
8 12 Crawley Town 8 3 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 3 15 10 15
9 13 Salford 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
10 18 Doncaster 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 3 11 11 11
11 7 Gillingham 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 4 1 2 8 8 13
12 9 Swindon 7 3 4 2.7 1.0 5 1 1 19 7 16
13 10 AFC Wimbledon 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 1 3 3 11 12 6
14 16 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11
15 21 Colchester 7 3 4 1.7 2.1 2 1 4 12 15 7
16 24 Sutton 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 5 12 12 7
17 1 Stockport 8 5 3 2.0 0.9 5 2 1 16 7 17
18 8 Morecambe 7 4 3 1.4 0.6 4 3 0 10 4 15
19 14 Walsall 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 3 3 1 10 7 12
20 17 Harrogate 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 2 0 5 7 12 6
21 20 Grimsby 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
22 4 Mansfield 6 4 2 1.2 0.3 3 3 0 7 2 12
23 11 Barrow 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 3 0 7 5 9
24 15 Bradford 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 3 3 1 8 7 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Walsall 8 1 7 1.6 2.4 2 2 4 13 19 8
2 24 Sutton 7 0 7 1.1 3.3 0 0 7 8 23 0
3 1 Stockport 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 5 0 2 15 9 15
4 5 Crewe 7 1 6 2.4 2.1 2 3 2 17 15 9
5 18 Doncaster 7 1 6 1.1 2.0 2 0 5 8 14 6
6 19 Newport County 7 1 6 1.0 2.6 1 0 6 7 18 3
7 21 Colchester 7 1 6 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6
8 4 Mansfield 8 3 5 2.2 1.1 3 5 0 18 9 14
9 8 Morecambe 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 3 0 3 9 11 9
10 9 Swindon 7 2 5 1.7 2.0 1 4 2 12 14 7
11 16 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
12 20 Grimsby 7 2 5 1.3 2.1 0 3 4 9 15 3
13 2 Notts County 8 4 4 1.8 1.8 3 3 2 14 14 12
14 13 Salford 8 4 4 1.9 1.5 4 0 4 15 12 12
15 15 Bradford 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
16 17 Harrogate 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 4 1 3 8 9 13
17 6 Accrington 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 1 3 10 10 10
18 10 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 3 1.4 0.4 4 4 0 11 3 16
19 11 Barrow 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 3 3 10 9 12
20 12 Crawley Town 6 3 3 1.3 2.5 1 3 2 8 15 6
21 22 Tranmere 7 4 3 0.6 2.1 0 0 7 4 15 0
22 7 Gillingham 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 4 0 4 6 10 12
23 23 Forest Green 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
24 3 Wrexham 7 6 1 0.7 1.1 2 4 1 5 8 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51