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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Gill

Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.17
Draw 3.50 fair 3.92
Away 3.70 fair 3.52
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Swindon
19 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 5
8 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:16
Swindon before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.07scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:20
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.07
1.14 Goals conceded 1.43
2.64 Total goals 2.50
11.57 Shots 10.93
4.71 Shots on target 2.71
11.43 Shots faced 11.79
3.93 Corners 4.43
3.79 Corners against 5.07
10.79 Fouls 9.86
1.71 Yellow cards 1.79
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%
21% Draws 43%
36% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
79% Over 1.5 goals 86%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 64%
14% Clean sheets 21%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 14%
21% Draws 36%
29% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
36% Over 1.5 goals 29%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Swindon all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.29scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:6
Swindon before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.14scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Swindon

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.14
0.86 Goals conceded 1.29
2.14 Total goals 2.43
10.29 Shots 10.14
4.00 Shots on target 2.57
9.71 Shots faced 13.43
4.29 Corners 3.86
3.57 Corners against 5.57
10.14 Fouls 10.86
2.00 Yellow cards 2.43
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%
29% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
0% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 86%
29% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 14%
14% Draws 29%
14% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 14%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.502.15 1.70 2.10
21.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.402.88 1.75 2.05
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
07.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.10 1.83 2.03

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 Swindon – Newport County 4–0 (4–0) 1.733.804.33 1.65 2.20
07.09.24 Barrow – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.95 1.90

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.402.88 1.75 2.05
07.09.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.10 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Bradford 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.503.20 1.70 2.10
27.04.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Sutton 4–4 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Mansfield 1–4 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.67 2.15
29.03.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 5–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.75 2.05

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95
07.09.24 Barrow – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.95 1.90
24.08.24 Crewe – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.653.905.00 1.57 2.35
20.04.24 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
16.04.24 Walsall – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
06.04.24 Barrow – Swindon 0–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons winsDrawsSwindon wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24E3 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
28.10.23E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 14 9 3 2 23 15 +8 30
2 Walsall 13 8 2 3 26 14 +12 26
3 Notts County 14 7 5 2 22 12 +10 26
4 Doncaster 14 8 2 4 20 16 +4 26
5 Crewe 13 7 3 3 16 12 +4 24
6 Chesterfield 14 5 7 2 28 15 +13 22
7 Bradford 14 6 4 4 20 15 +5 22
8 Milton Keynes Dons 14 6 3 5 21 16 +5 21
9 Barrow 14 6 3 5 15 11 +4 21
10 Grimsby 14 7 0 7 18 25 -7 21
11 Gillingham 14 6 2 6 15 12 +3 20
12 Salford 15 5 5 5 14 17 -3 20
13 AFC Wimbledon 11 6 1 4 18 9 +9 19
14 Newport County 14 6 1 7 18 24 -6 19
15 Fleetwood Town 13 4 6 3 19 15 +4 18
16 Cheltenham 14 5 2 7 18 21 -3 17
17 Harrogate 15 4 3 8 12 21 -9 15
18 Bromley 13 3 5 5 15 17 -2 14
19 Tranmere 13 3 5 5 8 16 -8 14
20 Accrington 13 3 4 6 15 22 -7 13
21 Colchester 13 2 6 5 16 20 -4 12
22 Swindon 14 2 6 6 15 20 -5 12
23 Carlisle 15 3 2 10 13 28 -15 11
24 Morecambe 15 2 4 9 14 26 -12 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 5 5 0 0 15 2 +13 15
2 Walsall 6 5 0 1 14 9 +5 15
3 Barrow 7 4 2 1 11 4 +7 14
4 Bradford 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
5 Port Vale 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
6 Crewe 7 4 2 1 10 7 +3 14
7 Notts County 7 4 1 2 10 5 +5 13
8 Doncaster 7 4 1 2 8 6 +2 13
9 Newport County 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13
10 Gillingham 7 4 0 3 11 6 +5 12
11 Salford 8 4 0 4 7 9 -2 12
12 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 2 2 9 6 +3 11
13 Accrington 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
14 Cheltenham 7 3 1 3 9 10 -1 10
15 Chesterfield 7 1 6 0 10 9 +1 9
16 Harrogate 8 3 0 5 7 12 -5 9
17 Grimsby 7 3 0 4 9 15 -6 9
18 Colchester 7 2 2 3 8 6 +2 8
19 Fleetwood Town 6 1 4 1 5 5 0 7
20 Bromley 7 1 3 3 10 12 -2 6
21 Tranmere 6 1 3 2 2 4 -2 6
22 Swindon 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5
23 Carlisle 7 1 1 5 7 12 -5 4
24 Morecambe 7 0 3 4 8 15 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 7 5 1 1 11 7 +4 16
2 Chesterfield 7 4 1 2 18 6 +12 13
3 Notts County 7 3 4 0 12 7 +5 13
4 Doncaster 7 4 1 2 12 10 +2 13
5 Grimsby 7 4 0 3 9 10 -1 12
6 Walsall 7 3 2 2 12 5 +7 11
7 Fleetwood Town 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
8 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
9 Crewe 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
10 Bradford 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
11 Bromley 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
12 Salford 7 1 5 1 7 8 -1 8
13 Gillingham 7 2 2 3 4 6 -2 8
14 Tranmere 7 2 2 3 6 12 -6 8
15 Swindon 7 1 4 2 8 9 -1 7
16 Cheltenham 7 2 1 4 9 11 -2 7
17 Barrow 7 2 1 4 4 7 -3 7
18 Morecambe 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
19 Carlisle 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7
20 Harrogate 7 1 3 3 5 9 -4 6
21 Newport County 7 2 0 5 6 13 -7 6
22 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
23 Colchester 6 0 4 2 8 14 -6 4
24 Accrington 6 1 0 5 6 14 -8 3

Milton Keynes Dons   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Grimsby 14 4 10 1.3 1.8 7 0 7 18 25 21
2 7 Bradford 14 5 9 1.4 1.1 6 4 4 20 15 22
3 14 Newport County 14 5 9 1.3 1.7 6 1 7 18 24 19
4 2 Walsall 13 5 8 2.0 1.1 8 2 3 26 14 26
5 6 Chesterfield 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 5 7 2 28 15 22
6 16 Cheltenham 14 6 8 1.3 1.5 5 2 7 18 21 17
7 20 Accrington 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 3 4 6 15 22 13
8 23 Carlisle 15 7 8 0.9 1.9 3 2 10 13 28 11
9 1 Port Vale 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 9 3 2 23 15 30
10 4 Doncaster 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 8 2 4 20 16 26
11 8 Milton Keynes Dons 14 7 7 1.5 1.1 6 3 5 21 16 21
12 22 Swindon 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 2 6 6 15 20 12
13 24 Morecambe 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 9 14 26 10
14 12 Salford 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 5 5 14 17 20
15 15 Fleetwood Town 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 4 6 3 19 15 18
16 21 Colchester 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 2 6 5 16 20 12
17 3 Notts County 14 9 5 1.6 0.9 7 5 2 22 12 26
18 5 Crewe 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 7 3 3 16 12 24
19 13 AFC Wimbledon 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 1 4 18 9 19
20 17 Harrogate 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 8 12 21 15
21 18 Bromley 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 3 5 5 15 17 14
22 19 Tranmere 13 8 5 0.6 1.2 3 5 5 8 16 14
23 11 Gillingham 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 6 2 6 15 12 20
24 9 Barrow 14 11 3 1.1 0.8 6 3 5 15 11 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Grimsby 7 1 6 1.3 2.1 3 0 4 9 15 9
2 14 Newport County 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13
3 2 Walsall 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 5 0 1 14 9 15
4 7 Bradford 7 2 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
5 1 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
6 13 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 4 3.0 0.4 5 0 0 15 2 15
7 18 Bromley 7 3 4 1.4 1.7 1 3 3 10 12 6
8 22 Swindon 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5
9 5 Crewe 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 2 1 10 7 14
10 6 Chesterfield 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 1 6 0 10 9 9
11 8 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 3 2 2 9 6 11
12 11 Gillingham 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 0 3 11 6 12
13 12 Salford 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 4 0 4 7 9 12
14 16 Cheltenham 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 3 1 3 9 10 10
15 17 Harrogate 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 3 0 5 7 12 9
16 20 Accrington 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
17 21 Colchester 7 4 3 1.1 0.9 2 2 3 8 6 8
18 23 Carlisle 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 1 1 5 7 12 4
19 24 Morecambe 7 4 3 1.1 2.1 0 3 4 8 15 3
20 3 Notts County 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 4 1 2 10 5 13
21 4 Doncaster 7 5 2 1.1 0.9 4 1 2 8 6 13
22 9 Barrow 7 5 2 1.6 0.6 4 2 1 11 4 14
23 15 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 1 4 1 5 5 7
24 19 Tranmere 6 6 0 0.3 0.7 1 3 2 2 4 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Doncaster 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 1 2 12 10 13
2 6 Chesterfield 7 2 5 2.6 0.9 4 1 2 18 6 13
3 16 Cheltenham 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 2 1 4 9 11 7
4 19 Tranmere 7 2 5 0.9 1.7 2 2 3 6 12 8
5 20 Accrington 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 0 5 6 14 3
6 23 Carlisle 8 3 5 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7
7 7 Bradford 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
8 8 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
9 10 Grimsby 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 4 0 3 9 10 12
10 15 Fleetwood Town 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
11 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
12 1 Port Vale 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 5 1 1 11 7 16
13 2 Walsall 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 3 2 2 12 5 11
14 3 Notts County 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 3 4 0 12 7 13
15 12 Salford 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 1 5 1 7 8 8
16 14 Newport County 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 2 0 5 6 13 6
17 21 Colchester 6 3 3 1.3 2.3 0 4 2 8 14 4
18 22 Swindon 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 1 4 2 8 9 7
19 5 Crewe 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
20 17 Harrogate 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 3 5 9 6
21 9 Barrow 7 6 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 4 4 7 7
22 11 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.6 0.9 2 2 3 4 6 8
23 13 AFC Wimbledon 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4
24 18 Bromley 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51