Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: M Barlow

Newport County 6–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 5.25 fair 2.92
Draw 3.60 fair 3.99
Away 1.67 fair 2.46
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newport County Milton Keynes Dons
16 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 9
9 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
Newport CountyDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 8.8% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newport County before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.11scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:28
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 30:20
Newport County all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.67
1.47 Goals conceded 1.11
2.58 Total goals 2.78
9.00 Shots 11.78
2.84 Shots on target 5.22
15.68 Shots faced 10.89
2.68 Corners 4.11
6.16 Corners against 3.78
11.58 Fouls 10.28
2.16 Yellow cards 1.50
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

32% Wins 50%
26% Draws 17%
42% Losses 33%
79% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 78%
58% Over 2.5 goals 56%
42% Over 3.5 goals 28%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 56%
32% Clean sheets 17%
42% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 44%
32% Draws 28%
47% Losses 28%
79% Over 0.5 goals 83%
37% Over 1.5 goals 44%
21% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Newport County before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:11
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.71scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:10
Newport County at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.71
1.38 Goals conceded 1.43
2.88 Total goals 3.14
10.75 Shots 12.86
3.88 Shots on target 5.43
14.13 Shots faced 13.14
3.50 Corners 3.57
5.00 Corners against 4.00
12.25 Fouls 11.43
2.13 Yellow cards 1.43
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

50% Wins 43%
25% Draws 14%
25% Losses 43%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
75% Over 2.5 goals 57%
50% Over 3.5 goals 43%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
63% Both teams scored 57%
25% Clean sheets 0%
38% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 29%
38% Draws 29%
38% Losses 43%
75% Over 0.5 goals 86%
38% Over 1.5 goals 43%
13% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Colchester – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.205.75 1.83 2.03
03.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 2–2 (2–1) 1.404.507.50 1.70 2.10
23.11.24 Notts County – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.53 2.40
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 Tranmere – Newport County 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.505.00 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Newport County – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.601.91 1.67 2.15
22.10.24 Gillingham – Newport County 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
18.10.24 Newport County – Chesterfield 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.801.73 1.62 2.25
12.10.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 1.88 1.98
07.10.24 Bradford – Newport County 3–1 (1–0) 1.484.336.00 1.73 2.08

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.604.75 1.98 1.88
03.12.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Chesterfield 3–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.00 1.73 2.08
16.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham 3–2 (1–2) 1.733.754.33 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93

Newport County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
26.10.24 Newport County – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.601.91 1.67 2.15
18.10.24 Newport County – Chesterfield 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.801.73 1.62 2.25
01.10.24 Newport County – Salford 3–1 (2–0) 3.203.502.20 1.90 1.95
28.09.24 Newport County – Crewe 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.00 2.00 1.85
07.09.24 Newport County – Port Vale 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.602.15 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Newport County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.402.90 1.73 2.08
17.08.24 Newport County – Doncaster 3–1 (0–1) 3.903.901.80 1.70 2.10
20.04.24 Newport County – Salford 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.70 2.10
13.04.24 Newport County – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.30 1.70 2.10

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.502.15 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
02.09.24 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 1.70 2.10
20.04.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 3–5 (2–2) 3.253.602.10 1.67 2.15
06.04.24 Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.83 2.03
01.04.24 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (1–1) 2.703.602.50 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newport County winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
11.11.23E3 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 19 12 4 3 35 19 +16 40
2 Doncaster 21 10 6 5 31 24 +7 36
3 Port Vale 20 10 6 4 26 19 +7 36
4 Crewe 20 9 8 3 24 16 +8 35
5 AFC Wimbledon 19 10 3 6 31 16 +15 33
6 Chesterfield 20 8 7 5 35 23 +12 31
7 Grimsby 20 10 1 9 27 30 -3 31
8 Milton Keynes Dons 18 9 3 6 30 20 +10 30
9 Gillingham 20 9 3 8 22 18 +4 30
10 Bradford 19 7 7 5 24 19 +5 28
11 Notts County 19 7 7 5 25 21 +4 28
12 Salford 19 7 6 6 20 19 +1 27
13 Cheltenham 21 7 6 8 29 30 -1 27
14 Barrow 20 7 5 8 20 18 +2 26
15 Bromley 19 5 9 5 23 23 0 24
16 Colchester 20 4 11 5 23 22 +1 23
17 Fleetwood Town 19 5 8 6 24 25 -1 23
18 Newport County 19 6 5 8 21 28 -7 23
19 Harrogate 20 6 3 11 17 30 -13 21
20 Tranmere 20 5 6 9 15 29 -14 21
21 Accrington 19 4 7 8 26 34 -8 19
22 Swindon 20 3 7 10 23 34 -11 16
23 Morecambe 20 3 5 12 19 36 -17 14
24 Carlisle 19 3 5 11 15 32 -17 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 10 7 2 1 21 14 +7 23
2 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 2 2 20 8 +12 20
3 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 2 3 18 10 +8 20
4 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 16 10 +6 19
5 Crewe 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
6 Doncaster 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
7 Barrow 10 5 3 2 15 8 +7 18
8 Bradford 9 5 3 1 13 7 +6 18
9 Salford 10 6 0 4 12 9 +3 18
10 Cheltenham 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
11 Port Vale 9 4 3 2 13 10 +3 15
12 Chesterfield 10 3 6 1 14 12 +2 15
13 Notts County 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
14 Newport County 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
15 Colchester 10 3 4 3 13 7 +6 13
16 Tranmere 10 3 4 3 8 10 -2 13
17 Fleetwood Town 10 2 6 2 9 10 -1 12
18 Grimsby 10 4 0 6 14 20 -6 12
19 Harrogate 10 4 0 6 9 16 -7 12
20 Accrington 9 2 5 2 12 12 0 11
21 Bromley 10 2 5 3 13 14 -1 11
22 Swindon 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
23 Carlisle 10 1 3 6 8 15 -7 6
24 Morecambe 9 0 3 6 8 19 -11 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 11 6 3 2 13 9 +4 21
2 Grimsby 10 6 1 3 13 10 +3 19
3 Walsall 9 5 2 2 14 5 +9 17
4 Doncaster 10 5 2 3 16 13 +3 17
5 Chesterfield 10 5 1 4 21 11 +10 16
6 Crewe 10 4 4 2 11 8 +3 16
7 Notts County 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
8 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 1 4 11 8 +3 13
9 Bromley 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
10 Fleetwood Town 9 3 2 4 15 15 0 11
11 Gillingham 9 3 2 4 6 8 -2 11
12 Morecambe 11 3 2 6 11 17 -6 11
13 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
14 Bradford 10 2 4 4 11 12 -1 10
15 Colchester 10 1 7 2 10 15 -5 10
16 Salford 9 1 6 2 8 10 -2 9
17 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9
18 Harrogate 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 Newport County 11 2 3 6 9 17 -8 9
20 Barrow 10 2 2 6 5 10 -5 8
21 Accrington 10 2 2 6 14 22 -8 8
22 Swindon 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
23 Carlisle 9 2 2 5 7 17 -10 8
24 Tranmere 10 2 2 6 7 19 -12 8

Newport County   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Accrington 19 6 13 1.4 1.8 4 7 8 26 34 19
2 6 Chesterfield 20 8 12 1.8 1.1 8 7 5 35 23 31
3 7 Grimsby 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 10 1 9 27 30 31
4 22 Swindon 20 8 12 1.1 1.7 3 7 10 23 34 16
5 13 Cheltenham 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 8 29 30 27
6 18 Newport County 19 8 11 1.1 1.5 6 5 8 21 28 23
7 1 Walsall 19 9 10 1.8 1.0 12 4 3 35 19 40
8 2 Doncaster 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 10 6 5 31 24 36
9 8 Milton Keynes Dons 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 9 3 6 30 20 30
10 20 Tranmere 20 10 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 15 29 21
11 23 Morecambe 20 10 10 0.9 1.8 3 5 12 19 36 14
12 5 AFC Wimbledon 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 10 3 6 31 16 33
13 10 Bradford 19 10 9 1.3 1.0 7 7 5 24 19 28
14 19 Harrogate 20 11 9 0.8 1.5 6 3 11 17 30 21
15 15 Bromley 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 5 9 5 23 23 24
16 17 Fleetwood Town 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 5 8 6 24 25 23
17 24 Carlisle 19 11 8 0.8 1.7 3 5 11 15 32 14
18 3 Port Vale 20 13 7 1.3 0.9 10 6 4 26 19 36
19 9 Gillingham 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 9 3 8 22 18 30
20 11 Notts County 19 12 7 1.3 1.1 7 7 5 25 21 28
21 12 Salford 19 12 7 1.1 1.0 7 6 6 20 19 27
22 16 Colchester 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 4 11 5 23 22 23
23 4 Crewe 20 15 5 1.2 0.8 9 8 3 24 16 35
24 14 Barrow 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 7 5 8 20 18 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 10 3 7 2.1 1.4 7 2 1 21 14 23
2 7 Grimsby 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 4 0 6 14 20 12
3 5 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 6 2 2 20 8 20
4 8 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 3 18 10 20
5 18 Newport County 8 2 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
6 22 Swindon 9 3 6 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
7 6 Chesterfield 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 3 6 1 14 12 15
8 9 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 1 4 16 10 19
9 10 Bradford 9 4 5 1.4 0.8 5 3 1 13 7 18
10 15 Bromley 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 2 5 3 13 14 11
11 19 Harrogate 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 4 0 6 9 16 12
12 21 Accrington 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 2 5 2 12 12 11
13 2 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
14 3 Port Vale 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 2 13 10 15
15 12 Salford 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 6 0 4 12 9 18
16 16 Colchester 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 3 4 3 13 7 13
17 23 Morecambe 9 5 4 0.9 2.1 0 3 6 8 19 3
18 4 Crewe 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
19 13 Cheltenham 11 8 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
20 14 Barrow 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 3 2 15 8 18
21 17 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 6 2 9 10 12
22 20 Tranmere 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 3 8 10 13
23 24 Carlisle 10 7 3 0.8 1.5 1 3 6 8 15 6
24 11 Notts County 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Cheltenham 10 2 8 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9
2 21 Accrington 10 2 8 1.4 2.2 2 2 6 14 22 8
3 6 Chesterfield 10 3 7 2.1 1.1 5 1 4 21 11 16
4 20 Tranmere 10 3 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 6 7 19 8
5 2 Doncaster 10 4 6 1.6 1.3 5 2 3 16 13 17
6 22 Swindon 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
7 23 Morecambe 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 3 2 6 11 17 11
8 7 Grimsby 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 6 1 3 13 10 19
9 11 Notts County 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
10 17 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 2 4 15 15 11
11 18 Newport County 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 17 9
12 24 Carlisle 9 4 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 5 7 17 8
13 8 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
14 10 Bradford 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 4 11 12 10
15 19 Harrogate 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
16 1 Walsall 9 6 3 1.6 0.6 5 2 2 14 5 17
17 3 Port Vale 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 6 3 2 13 9 21
18 5 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 1 4 11 8 13
19 12 Salford 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 1 6 2 8 10 9
20 15 Bromley 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
21 16 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 1 7 2 10 15 10
22 4 Crewe 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 4 4 2 11 8 16
23 9 Gillingham 9 7 2 0.7 0.9 3 2 4 6 8 11
24 14 Barrow 10 9 1 0.5 1.0 2 2 6 5 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06